Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Fundamentals of Corporate
Finance, Fourth Edition
Chapter
16
16.1
The McGrawHill
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Dividend Policy
Repurchases and
Share Valuation
www.companyboardroom.com Data
on recent dividend declarations
16.7 Summary
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announcement.
Explain why dividends may be used by
management to signal the prospects of the rm.
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Self-Test 16.1
In March 2002, Wal-Marts board of directors met to discuss the companys dividends.
The company announced a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.075 per share, making a total payment for the year of $.30. The term regular indicates that Wal-Mart expected to maintain the payment in the future. If it did not want to give that kind of assurance, it could have declared both a regular and an extra dividend. Investors realize
that extra dividends are less likely to be repeated.1
Who receives the Wal-Mart dividend? That may seem an obvious question but, because shares trade constantly, the rms records of who owns its shares can never be
fully up-to-date. So Wal-Mart announced that it would send a dividend check to all
shareholders recorded in its books on March 22. This is known as the record date.
The payment date for Wal-Marts dividend was April 18. On that date the dividend
checks were mailed to investors. If Wal-Marts records were not up-to-date, some of
those checks would be sent to the wrong investor. To handle this problem, stock exchanges x a cutoff date, called the with-dividend date, several days prior to the record
date. If you owned Wal-Mart stock on the with-dividend date, which in this case was
March 19, you were entitled to the dividend. If Wal-Mart mistakenly sent that dividend
to someone else, that person was obliged to pass it on to you. If you acquired the stock
after March 19, you were not entitled to the dividend. If Wal-Mart sent you that dividend by mistake, you had to send it on to the previous owner.
Through March 19, Wal-Mart stock was said to be trading with dividend or cum
dividend. Beginning on March 20, the stock traded ex dividend. The only difference between buying Wal-Mart before and after the ex-dividend date is that in the
second case you miss out on the dividend. Other things equal, the stock is worth more
when it is with dividend. Thus when the stock goes ex, we would expect the stock
price to drop by the amount of the dividend.
Figure 161 illustrates the sequence of the key dividend dates. This sequence is the
same whenever companies pay a dividend (though of course the actual dates will differ).
Some of Wal-Marts shareholders may have desired the cash payment, but others
preferred to reinvest the dividend in the company. To help these investors, Wal-Mart
had an automatic dividend reinvestment plan. If a shareholder belonged to this plan,
his or her dividends were automatically used to buy additional shares.2
Mick Milekin buys 100 shares of Junk Bombs, Inc., on Tuesday, June 2. The company
has declared a dividend of $1 per share payable on June 30 to shareholders of record
as of Friday, June 5. If the ex-dividend date is June 1, is Mick entitled to the dividend?
When will the checks go out in the mail?
1
2
March 8
March 19
March 20
March 22
April 18
Declaration
With-dividend
Ex-dividend
date
date
Record
date
Payment
date
date
Companies also use the term special dividend for payments that are unlikely to be repeated.
Often the new shares in an automatic dividend investment plan are issued at a small discount from the market
price; the rm offers this sweetener because it saves the underwriting costs of a regular share issue. Sometimes
10 percent or more of total dividends will be reinvested under such plans.
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Dividend Payments
Wal-Marts dividend was in the form of cash but companies often declare stock
dividends. For example, Archer Daniels Midland has paid a yearly stock dividend
of 5 percent for over two decades. That means it sends each shareholder 5 additional
shares for every 100 shares that are currently owned.
A stock dividend is very much like a stock split. In both cases the shareholder is
given a xed number of new shares for each share held. For example, in a two-forone split, each investor would receive one additional share for each share already
held. The investor ends up with two shares rather than one. A two-for-one stock split
is therefore like a 100 percent stock dividend. Both result in a doubling of the number of outstanding shares, but neither changes the total assets held by the rm. In
both cases, therefore, we would expect the stock price to fall by half, leaving the
total market value of the rm (price per share times shares outstanding) unchanged.5
More often than not, however, the announcement of a stock split does result in
a rise in the market value of the rm, even though investors are aware that the
3 The statutes dene insolvency in different ways. In some cases, it just means an inability to meet immediate
obligations; in other cases, it means a deciency of assets compared with all outstanding xed liabilities.
4
Where there is no par value, legal capital consists of part or all the receipts from the issue of shares.
One survey of managers indicated that 94 percent of splits are motivated by the desire to bring the stock price
into an acceptable trading range. They seem to believe that if the price is too high, investors wont be able
to afford to buy a round lot of 100 shares. Of course that might be a problem for you or us, but it isnt a
worry for the Prudential or GM pension fund. See J. Lakonishok and B. Lev, Stock Splits and Stock Dividends: Why, Who, and When, Journal of Finance 42 (September 1987), pp. 91332.
5
427
Internet Insider
Log in to www.companyboardroom.
com and click on Dividends to nd a recent list of dividend declarations. Can
you explain what each of the dates
means? What is the typical interval between each event?
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Companies, 2003
companys assets and business are not affected. The reason: investors take the decision
to split as a signal of managements condence in the companys propects.6
Example 16.1
When a rm wants to pay cash to its shareholders, it usually declares a cash dividend.
But an alternative method is for the rm to repurchase its own stock. In a stock
repurchase, the company pays cash to repurchase shares from its shareholders. These
shares are usually kept in the companys treasury and then resold if or when the company needs money.
To see why share repurchase is similar to a dividend, look at panel A of Table 161,
which shows the market value of Hewlard Pockets assets and liabilities. Shareholders
hold 100,000 shares worth in total $1 million, so price per share equals $1 million/100,000 = $10.
Pocket is proposing to pay a dividend of $1 a share. With 100,000 shares outstanding, that amounts to a total payout of $100,000. Panel B shows the effect of this dividend payment. The cash account is reduced by $100,000 and the market value of the
rms assets falls to $900,000. Since there are still 100,000 shares outstanding, share
price falls to $9. Suppose that before the dividend payment you owned 1,000 shares
of Pocket worth $10,000. After the payment you would have $1,000 in cash and 1,000
shares worth $9,000.
Rather than paying out $100,000 as a dividend, Pocket could use the cash to buy
back 10,000 shares at $10 each. Panel C shows what happens. The rms assets fall to
$900,000 just as in panel B, but only 90,000 shares remain outstanding, so price per
share remains at $10. If you owned 1,000 shares before the repurchase, you would
own 1 percent of the company. If you then sold 100 of your shares to Pocket, you
would still own 1 percent of the company. Your sale would put $1,000 of cash in your
6 The insight that stock splits provide a signal to investors was proposed in E. F. Fama, L. Fisher, M. Jensen, and
R. Roll, The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information, International Economic Review 10 (February
1969), pp. 121. For evidence that companies which split their stock have above-average earnings prospects, see
P. Asquith, P. Healy, and K. Palepu, Earnings and Stock Splits, Accounting Review 64 (July 1989), pp. 387403.
7 The distinction between stock dividends and stock splits is a technical one. A stock dividend is shown on the
balance sheet as a transfer from retained earnings to par value and additional paid-in capital, whereas a split is
shown as a proportional reduction in the par value of each share. Neither affects the total book value of stockholders equity.
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429
Assets
$ 150,000
Other assets
850,000
Value of rm
$1,000,000
Debt
Equity
Value of rm
1,000,000
$1,000,000
50,000
Other assets
850,000
Value of rm
$ 900,000
Debt
Equity
0
900,000
Value of rm
$ 900,000
Debt
50,000
Other assets
850,000
Value of rm
$ 900,000
Equity
Value of rm
0
900,000
$ 900,000
pocket and you would keep 900 shares worth $9,000. This is precisely the position that
you would have been in if Pocket had paid a dividend of $1 per share.
It is not surprising that a cash dividend and a share repurchase are equivalent transactions. In both cases, the rm pays out some of its cash, which then goes into the
shareholders pockets. The assets that are left in the company are the same regardless
of whether that cash was used to pay a dividend or to buy back shares. Later, however,
we will see that how the company chooses to pay out cash may affect the tax that the
investor is obliged to pay.
Self-Test 16.2
What would Table 161 look like if the dividend changes to $1.50 per share and the
share repurchase to $150,000?
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Stock Repurchases
Internet Insider
their earnings as dividends. There were few protable investment opportunities for the
remaining income, but the banks did not want to commit themselves in the long run to
any larger dividend payments. They therefore returned the cash to shareholders not by
increasing the dividend rate, but by repurchasing $16 billion of stock.
Shareholders often worry that excess cash will be frittered away on unprotable
ventures. So, when rms announce that they will use the cash to repurchase shares, the
stock price generally rises. Of course, investors would be less thrilled if the management of their favorite growth company suddenly announced that it could not think of
anything better to do with the cash.
430
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431
must pay to repurchase their stock. The value of the stock today for these shareholders is (10 + 100)/1.10 = $100. Thus, it does not matter whether we consider the cash
ows for the shareholder who continues to hold the stock or the cash ows for the
shareholder who resells her stock to the company. As long as the company pays a fair
price for the share, both methods give the same value. It would, however, be doublecounting to assume that a shareholder could both sell her share and continue to receive
dividends.
As long as Xs announcement does not lead investors to revise their view of company prospects, it will not affect todays company value. But after the repurchase has
taken place, there will be 1,000 fewer shares outstanding. Since each share is worth
$100, the total value of the companys stock will fall by 1,000 $100 = $100,000.
1. Firms have long-run target dividend payout ratios. This ratio is the fraction of
earnings paid out as dividends.
2. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on absolute levels. Thus paying a
$2.00 dividend is an important nancial decision if last years dividend was $1.00,
but its no big deal if last years dividend was $2.00.
3. Dividend changes follow shifts in long-run, sustainable levels of earnings rather
than short-run changes in earnings. Managers are unlikely to change dividend payouts in response to temporary variation in earnings. Instead, they smooth dividends.
4. Managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that might have to be reversed.
They are particularly worried about having to rescind a dividend increase.
A rm that always stuck to its target payout ratio would have to change its dividend
whenever earnings changed. But the managers in Lintners survey were loath to do
this. They believed that shareholders prefer a steady progression in dividends. Therefore, even if circumstances appeared to warrant a large increase in their companys
dividend, they would move only partway toward their target payment.
If managers are reluctant to make dividend changes that might have to be reversed,
we should also expect them to take future prospects into account when setting the payment. And that is what we nd. When companies pay unexpectedly low dividends,
earnings on the average subsequently decline. When they pay unexpectedly high dividends, earnings subsequently increase.9 That is why investors pay close attention to
the dividend decision.
To see Lintners model at work, consider Figure 162, which plots the dividends
and earnings per share of Motorola. While earnings per share uctuate quite erratically, dividends per share do not. Dividends grow gradually from 4 cents per share in
1983 to 16 cents in 2001. Dividends remained constant between 1985 and 1988, as
management seemed to cautiously wait for evidence that any dividend increase could
8
J. Lintner, Distribution of Incomes of Corporations among Dividends, Retained Earnings, and Taxes, American Economic Review 46 (May 1956), pp. 97113.
9 See, for example, R. Watts, The Information Content of Dividends, Journal of Business 46 (April 1973), pp.
191211, for an analysis of the information effects in the United States.
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1.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
Earnings
1.50
Dividend
2.00
83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01
Year
be supported over the long run. Moreover, when Motorola made a loss in 1998 and
2001, it did not reduce the annual dividend.
One nice feature of economics is that it can accommodate not just two, but three
opposing points of view. And so it is with dividend policy. On one side there is a group
that believes high dividends increase rm value. On the other side there is a group that
believes high dividends bring high taxes and therefore reduce rm value. And in the
center there is a middle-of-the-road party that believes dividend policy makes no difference.
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433
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Companies, 2003
434
These examples may seem articial at rst, for we do not observe rms scheduling
a stock issue with every dividend payment. But there are many rms that pay dividends and also issue stock from time to time. They could avoid the stock issues by
paying lower dividends and retaining more funds in the rm. Many other rms restrict
dividends so that they do not have to issue shares. They could instead issue stock occasionally and increase the dividend.
Of course our demonstrations of dividend irrelevance have ignored taxes, issue
costs, and a variety of other real-world complications. We will turn to these intricacies
shortly, but before we do, we note that the crucial assumption in our proof is that the
sale or purchase of shares occurs at a fair price. The shares that Pickwick sells to raise
$100,000 must actually be worth $100,000; those that Old Curiosity buys for
$100,000 must also be worth that gure. In other words, dividend irrelevance assumes
efcient capital markets.
Example 16.2
Dividend Irrelevance
The columns labeled Old Dividend Plan in Table 162 show that Consolidated Pasta
is currently expected to pay annual dividends of $10 a share in perpetuity. Shareholders expect a 10 percent rate of return from Consolidated stock and therefore the value
of each share is
PV =
10
10
10
10
+
+
+...=
= $100
1.10 1.102 1.103
.10
Consolidated has issued 1 million shares. So the total forecast dividend payment in
each year is 1 million $10 = $10 million and the total value of Consolidated Pasta
equity is 1 million $100 = $100 million. The president, Al Dente, has read that the
value of a share depends on the dividends it pays. That suggests an easy way to keep
shareholders happyincrease next years dividend to $20 per share. That way, he reasons, share price should rise by the present value of the increase in the rst-year dividend to a new value of
PV =
20
10
10
10
10
+
+
+...=
+
= $109.91
1.10 1.102 1.103
1.10 .10
TABLE 162 Consolidated Pasta is currently expected to pay a dividend of $10 million in perpetuity.
However, the president is proposing to pay a one-time bumper dividend of $20 million in Year 1. To replace
the lost cash, the rm will need to issue more shares and the dividends that will need to be diverted to the
new shareholders will exactly offset the effect of the higher dividend in Year 1.
Year 1
Year 2 on
Year 1
Year 2 on
10
10
20
10
10
10
20
Note: New shareholders are putting up $10 million of cash at the end of Year 1. Since they require a return of 10 percent, the total
dividends paid to the new shares (starting in Year 2) must be 10 percent of $10 million, or $1 million.
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The presidents heart is obviously in the right place. Unfortunately, his head isnt.
Lets see why.
Consolidated is proposing to pay out an extra $10 million in dividends. It cant do
that and earn the same prots in the future, unless it also replaces the lost cash by an
issue of shares. The new shareholders who provide this cash will require a return of
10 percent on their investment. So Consolidated will need to pay $1 million a year of
dividends to the new shares ($1 million/$10 million = .10, or 10%). This is shown in
the last line of Table 162.
As long as the company replaces the extra cash it pays out, it will continue to earn
the same prots and to pay out $10 million of dividends each year from Year 2. However, $1 million of this total will be needed to satisfy the new shareholders, leaving
only $9 million (or $9 a share) for the original shareholders. Now recalculate the value
of the original shares under the revised dividend plan:
PV =
20
9
9
11
9
+
+
+...=
+
= $100
2
3
1.10 1.10 1.10
1.10 .10
The value of the shares is unchanged. The extra cash dividend in Year 1 is exactly offset by the reduction of dividends per share in later years. This reduction is necessary
because some of the money paid out as dividends in later years is diverted to the new
shareholders.11
Self-Test 16.3
Suppose that Consolidated Pasta had issued $10 million in preferred stock rather than
common stock to pay the extra dividend. What would be the price of the common
stock?
In that case one might also argue that interest payments are even more predictable, so that a companys risk
would be reduced by increasing the proportion of prots paid out as interest. How would you respond to that suggestion?
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because the new shares are priced to offer an expected return adequate to compensate
for the risk.
MMs argument for the irrelevance of dividend policy does not assume a world of
certainty; it assumes an efcient capital market. Market efciency means that the
transfers of ownership created by shifts in dividend policy are carried out on fair
terms. And since the overall value of (old and new) stockholders equity is unaffected,
nobody gains or loses.
You dont hear businesspeople argue that because there is a clientele of car buyers,
their company should manufacture cars. So why should you believe that because there
is a clientele of investors who like high payouts, your company can increase value by
manufacturing a high payout? That clientele was probably satised long ago.
13
Most colleges and universities are legally free to spend capital gains from their endowments, but this is rarely
done.
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Self-Test 16.4
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437
Suppose an investor in AT&T does not need a regular income. What could she do to
offset AT&Ts overly generous payout policy? If there were no trading costs, would
she have any reason to care about AT&Ts dividend payout policy? What if there is a
brokerage fee on the purchase of new shares? What if AT&T has a dividend reinvestment plan that allows the investor to buy shares at a 5 percent discount?
Dividends as Signals
Another line of argument for high payouts does not rely on market imperfections like
trading costs. Think of a market in which investors receive very little reliable information about a rms earnings. Such markets exist in some countries where a passion
for secrecy and a tendency to construct many-layered corporate organizations produce
earnings gures that are next to meaningless. Some people say that the situation is little better in the United States, thanks to creative accounting.
How might an investor in such a world separate marginally protable rms from
the real money makers? One clue is dividends. A rm that reports good earnings and
pays a generous dividend is putting its money where its mouth is. Accounting numbers may lie, but dividends require the rm to come up with hard cash. We can understand why investors would favor rms with established dividend records. We can
also see how investors would value the information content of dividends. Investors
would refuse to believe a rms reported earnings announcements unless they were
backed up by an appropriate dividend policy.
Of course, rms can cheat in the short run by overstating earnings and scraping up
cash to pay a generous dividend. But it is hard to cheat in the long run, for a rm that
is not making money will not have the cash ow to pay out. Only the rms with sufcient cash ow will nd that it pays to signal their good fortune by choosing a high
dividend level. If a rm chooses a high dividend payout without the cash ow to back
it up, that rm ultimately will have to cut back on investment or turn to investors for
additional debt or equity nancing. All of these consequences are costly. Therefore,
most managers dont increase dividends until they are condent that sufcient cash
will ow in to pay them.
Investors cant read managers minds, but they learn from managers actions. When
dividends increase, they infer managers condence in the rms cash ow and earnings.
Because a high-dividend-payout policy will be costly to rms that do not have
the cash ow to support it, dividend increases signal a companys good fortune
and its managers condence in future cash ow.
Healy and Palepu report that between 1970 and 1979 companies that made a dividend payment for the rst time experienced relatively at earnings growth until the
year before the announcement.14 In that year earnings grew by an average 43 percent.
If managers thought that this was a temporary windfall, they might have been cautious
about committing themselves to paying out cash. But it looks as if they had good reason to be condent about prospects, for over the next 4 years earnings grew by a further 164 percent.
Since dividends anticipate future earnings, it is no surprise to nd that announcements of dividend cuts are usually taken as bad news (stock price typically falls) and
14
P. Healy and K. Palepu, Earnings Information Conveyed by Dividend Initiations and Omissions, Journal of
Financial Economics 21 (1988), pp. 14975.
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Finance in Practice
information content of
dividends Dividend
increases send good news
about future cash ow and
earnings. Dividend cuts
send bad news.
Self-Test 16.5
438
that dividend increases are good news (stock price rises). This is called the information content of dividends.
Its important not to jump to the conclusion that investors like higher dividends for
their own sake. A dividend initiation or increase may be welcomed only as a sign of
higher future earnings. Even investors who prefer low-dividend policies might nd
that a drop in the dividend is unwelcome news about the rms prospects.
Notice that investors do not get excited about the level of a companys dividend;
they worry about the change, which they view as an important indicator of the sustainability of earnings. The nearby box illustrates how an unexpected change in dividends can cause the stock price to bounce back and forth as investors struggle to interpret the signicance of the change.
In 1974 Consolidated Edison announced that it would omit its regular 45 cents per
share cash quarterly dividend. It cited losses due to increased oil prices following the
OPEC oil embargo. The stock price fell by about 30 percent in 1 day, from about $18
a share to $12 a share. Why would omission of a $.45 per share dividend result in a
stock price drop of $6 a share?
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Self-Test 16.6
Look again at Table 163. What would happen to the price and pretax rate of return
on stock B if the tax on capital gains were eliminated?
Firm A
Firm B
$112.50
$102.50
Dividend
$ 10.00
$112.50
$112.50
$100
$ 97.78
Capital gain
$ 12.50
12.5
14.72
100
= .125 = 12.5%
4.72
97.78
= .1505 = 15.05%
$0
(0 + 12.50) 2.50 =
$10.00
(10 + 4.72)
(4.00 + .94) = $9.78
10
100
= .10 = 10%
9.78
97.78
= .10 = 10%
15 While the actual federal tax bracket on capital gains income for most stockholders is 20 percent, the effective
rate can be even lower because of the ability to defer the realization of gains. More on this later.
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Finance in Practice
holders elsewhere. For both reasons, more growth companies will tend to mean fewer dividend-payers.
Even so, there is a puzzle about the disappearing dividend. It is not just growth companies that are opting out
of dividends, but all companies, including those enjoying
healthy ows of free cash. Among very protable companies, only 32% pay dividends, half the proportion that did
20 years ago.
One possible explanation is that shareholders do not
want dividends. These represent income, which is taxed
at a top federal rate of 38.6%. By leaving prots in the
rm, investors can defer this tax, and, if need be, cash in
a capital gain, which is taxed at only 20%. But taxes do
not in themselves explain the decline in dividend-paying.
After all, income tax has long been higher than capital
gains tax; it is unlikely that American investors have only
just noticed.
Another theory says that dividends have not disappeared, but assumed a new guise: companies purchases
of their own shares. Such buybacks have risen from 35%
of annual corporate prots during the 1970s to 26% in the
1980s and 1990s. But share buybacks are not replacing
dividends as such, because most of the companies buying back shares also pay dividends. Mr. Fama and Mr.
French nd no evidence that companies stop paying dividends (or do not start) because they can buy back shares
instead.
Source: Abridged from The Economist, November 20, 1999. 1999 The
Economist Newspaper Group, Inc. Reprinted with permission. www.
economist.com.
Few would go quite that far. The Internal Revenue Service has attempted to prevent
rms from disguising dividends as repurchases; for example, proportional or regular
repurchases are liable to be treated as dividend payments. A rm that eliminates dividends and starts repurchasing stock on a regular basis may nd that the IRS would
recognize the repurchase program for what it really is and would tax the payments accordingly. That is why nancial managers seldom announce that they are repurchasing shares to save stockholders taxes; they give some other reason.16
Nevertheless, one could argue that rms which pay dividends and as a result have
to issue shares from time to time are making a serious mistake. Any such rm is essentially nancing its dividends by issuing stock; it should cut its dividends at least to
the point at which stock issues are unnecessary. This would not only save taxes for
shareholders but it would also avoid the transaction costs of stock issues.
The nearby box notes that dividend payouts have in fact drastically declined in the
last few decades, and it explores some explanations for this phenomenon.
440
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only 20 percent. The tax disadvantage of dividends is somewhat less in 2002. The
maximum tax rate on long-term capital gains in 2002 is 20 percent,17 while the maximum tax rate on dividends is 38.6 percent.18
Tax law is on the side of capital gains in another important respect. Taxes on dividends have to be paid immediately, but taxes on capital gains can be deferred until
shares are sold and capital gains are realized. Stockholders can choose when to sell
their shares and thus when to pay the capital gains tax.19 The longer they wait, the less
the present value of the capital gains tax liability.20
Tax motives are not as important for nancial institutions, many of which operate
free of all taxes and therefore have no tax reason to prefer capital gains to dividends,
or vice versa. Pension funds are untaxed, for example.
Only corporations have a tax reason to prefer dividends. They pay corporate income tax on only 30 percent of any dividends received.21 Thus the effective tax rate
on dividends received by large corporations is 30 percent of 35 percent (the marginal
corporate tax rate), or 10.5 percent. But they have to pay a 35 percent tax on the full
amount of any realized capital gain.
16.7 Summary
How are dividends paid and how do companies decide on dividend payments?
Dividends come in many forms. The most common is the regular cash dividend, but sometimes
companies pay an extra cash dividend, and sometimes they pay a stock dividend. A rm is not
free to pay dividends at will. For example, it may have accepted restrictions on dividends as a
condition for borrowing money.
Most managers seem to have a target dividend payout ratio. But if rms simply applied this
target payout rate to each years earnings, dividends could uctuate wildly. Managers therefore
try to smooth dividends by moving only partway toward the target payout in each year. Also, they
dont look just at past earnings: they try to look into the future when they set the payment. Investors are aware of this and they know that a dividend increase is usually a sign of optimism on
the part of management.
How are repurchases used to distribute cash to shareholders?
Companies also pay out money to shareholders by repurchasing their shares. Stock repurchases
have grown rapidly in recent years, but they do not substitute for dividends. Instead, they are generally used to make major one-off changes to the rms capital structure, particularly when cash
resources have outrun good investment opportunities. Repurchases can be like bumper dividends;
they cause large amounts of cash to be paid to investors when the rm buys back their shares.
Why would dividend policy not affect rm value in an ideal world?
If we hold the companys investment policy and capital structure constant, then dividend policy
is a trade-off between cash dividends and the issue or repurchase of common stock. In an ideally
simple and perfect world, the choice would have no effect on market value. This is the MM
17 In the case of shares bought after 2000 and held for more than 5 years, the capital gains are taxed at only 18
percent.
18 See Chapter 3, Table 36, for a table of tax rates on ordinary income. As we go to press in early 2003, President Bush has proposed eliminating taxation of dividends altogether, but it is too early to forecast the outcome
of this initiative.
19
If the stock is willed to your heirs, capital gains escape taxation altogether.
Suppose the discount rate is 8 percent, and an investor in a 20 percent capital gains tax bracket has a $100 capital gain. If the stock is sold today, the capital gains tax will be $20. If sale is deferred 1 year, the tax due on that
$100 gain still will be $20, but by virtue of delaying the sale for a year, the present value of the tax falls to
$20/1.08 = $18.52. The effective tax rate falls to 18.52 percent. The longer the sale is deferred, the lower the effective tax rate.
20
21
Actually, the percentage of dividend income on which tax is paid depends on the rms ownership share in the
company paying the dividend. If the share is less than 20 percent, taxes are paid on 30 percent of dividends received.
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Instead of paying dividends, the company can repurchase its own stock. The Internal Revenue
Service taxes shareholders only on the capital gains that they realize as a result of the repurchase.
Capital gains are taxed at lower rates than dividend income. If dividend income is seriously
tax-disadvantaged, we would expect investors to demand a higher before-tax return on highpayout stocks. Instead of paying high dividends, companies should use the cash to repurchase
shares or to reduce the amount of share issues. In this way the company would in effect convert
dividend income into capital gains. This is one reason a low-dividend policy might be preferred.
Why may dividends be used by management to signal the prospects of the rm?
A rm that chooses a high-dividend policy without the cash ow to back it up will nd that it ultimately has to either cut back on investments or turn to capital markets for additional debt or equity nancing. Because this is costly, managers do not increase dividends unless they are condent that the rm is generating enough cash to pay them. This is the principal reason that we say
that there is an information content of dividendsthat is, dividend changes are liable to be interpreted as signals of a change in the rms prospects.
If a sharp dividend change is necessary, then the company should provide as much forewarning and explanation as possible. Moreover, a rm should adopt a target payout that is sufciently
low to minimize its reliance on external equity. Why pay out cash to stockholders if that requires
issuing new shares to get the cash back? Its better to hold on to the cash in the rst place.
Quiz
1. Dividend Sequence. Cash Cow International paid a regular quarterly dividend of $.075 a share.
a. Connect each of the following dates to the correct term:
May 7
Record date
June 6
Payment date
June 7
Ex-dividend date
June 11 Last with-dividend date
July 2
Declaration date
b. On one of these dates the stock price is likely to fall by about the value of the dividend.
Why?
c. The stock price in early January was $27. What was the prospective dividend yield?
d. The earnings per share were forecast at around $1.90. What was the percentage payout rate?
e. Suppose that the company paid a 10 percent stock dividend. What would be the expected fall
in the stock price?
2. Institutional Background. True or false? If false, correct the statement.
a. A company may not generally pay a dividend out of legal capital.
b. A company may not generally pay a dividend if it is insolvent.
c. The effective tax rate on capital gains can be less than the stated tax rate on such gains.
d. Corporations are not taxed on dividends received from other corporations.
3. Splits and Dividends. Shares in Raven Products are selling for $80 per share. There are 1 million shares outstanding. What will be the share price in each of the following situations? Ignore
taxes.
a. The stock splits ve for four.
b. The company pays a 25 percent stock dividend.
c. The company repurchases 100,000 shares.
4. Dividend Irrelevance. You own 2,000 shares of Patriot Corporation, which is about to raise its
dividend from $.75 to $1.00 per share. The share price is currently $100. You would prefer that
the dividend remain at its current level. What would you do to offset the effects of the increase
in the dividend?
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Practice Problems
6. Dividends and Repurchases. While dividend yields in the United States in the late 1990s were
at historically low levels, share repurchases were at historical highs. Was this a coincidence?
7. Dividend Irrelevance. Respond to the following comment: Its all very well saying that I can
sell shares to cover cash needs, but that may mean selling at the bottom of the market. If the
company pays a regular dividend, investors avoid the risk.
8. Cash Dividends. The stock of Payout Corp. will go ex-dividend tomorrow. The dividend will
be $0.50 per share, and there are 20,000 shares of stock outstanding. The market-value balance
sheet for Payout is shown below.
a. What price is Payout stock selling for today?
b. What price will it sell for tomorrow? Ignore taxes.
Assets
Cash
Fixed assets
$100,000
Equity
$1,000,000
900,000
9. Repurchases. Now suppose that Payout from problem 8 announces its intention to repurchase
$10,000 worth of stock instead of paying out the dividend.
a. What effect will the repurchase have on an investor who currently holds 100 shares and sells
1 of those shares back to the company in the repurchase?
b. Compare the effects of the repurchase to the effects of the cash dividend that you worked
out in problem 8.
10. Stock Dividend. Now suppose that Payout again changes its mind and decides to issue a 1 percent stock dividend instead of either issuing the cash dividend or repurchasing 1 percent of the
outstanding stock. How would this action affect a shareholder who owns 100 shares of stock?
Compare with your answers to problems 8 and 9.
11. Dividend Irrelevance. Suppose Mr. Dente from Example 16.2 changes his mind and cuts out
Consolidateds Year 1 dividend entirely, instead spending $10 million to buy back stock. Are
shareholders any better or worse off than if Consolidated had paid out $10 million as cash dividends? Hints: How many shares will be repurchased? The purchase price at Year 1 will be
$110.
12. Dividends and Taxes. Suppose that the tax rate on dividends is 30 percent, and the tax rate on
capital gains is zero. Eagle Net Resources is about to pay a $2 per share dividend.
a. By how much will Eagle Nets share price fall when the stock goes ex-dividend?
b. Will anything happen to the share price on the payment date when the dividend checks are
sent out?
13. Stock Dividends and Splits. Suppose that you own 1,000 shares of Nocash Corp. and the company is about to pay a 25 percent stock dividend. The stock currently sells at $100 per share.
a. What will be the number of shares that you hold and the total value of your equity position
after the dividend is paid?
b. What will happen to the number of shares that you hold and the value of your equity position if the rm splits ve for four instead of paying the stock dividend?
14. Dividends and Taxes. Good Values, Inc., is all-equity nanced. The total market value of the
rm currently is $100,000, and there are 2,000 shares outstanding. Ignore taxes.
a. The rm has declared a $5 per share dividend. The stock will go ex-dividend tomorrow. At
what price will the stock sell today? Tomorrow?
b. Now assume that the tax rate on dividend income is 30 percent, and the tax rate on capital
gains is zero. At what price will the stock sell taking account of the taxation of dividends?
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15. Repurchases and Taxes. Now suppose that instead of paying a dividend Good Values (from
problem 14) plans to repurchase $10,000 worth of stock.
a. What will be the stock price before and after the repurchase?
b. Suppose an investor who holds 200 shares sells 20 of her shares back to the rm. If there are
no taxes on dividends or capital gains, show that she should be indifferent between the repurchase and the dividend.
c. Show that if dividends are taxed at 30 percent and capital gains are not taxed, the value of
the rm is higher if it pursues the share repurchase instead of the dividend.
16. Dividends and Taxes. Investors require an after-tax rate of return of 10 percent on their stock
investments. Assume that the tax rate on dividends is 30 percent while capital gains escape taxation. A rm will pay a $2 per share dividend 1 year from now, after which it is expected to sell
at a price of $20.
a. Find the current price of the stock.
b. Find the expected before-tax rate of return for a 1-year holding period.
c. Now suppose that the dividend will be $3 per share. If the expected after-tax rate of return
is still 10 percent, and investors still expect the stock to sell at $20 in 1 year, at what price
must the stock now sell?
d. What is the before-tax rate of return? Why is it now higher than in part (b)?
17. Dividends and Taxes. The expected pretax return on three stocks is divided between dividends
and capital gains in the following way:
Excel
Stock
Expected Dividend
$ 0
$10
10
a. If each stock is priced at $100, what are the expected net returns on each stock to (i) a pension fund that does not pay taxes, (ii) a corporation paying tax at 35 percent, and (iii) an individual paying tax at 36 percent on investment income and 20 percent on capital gains?
b. Suppose that investors pay 50 percent tax on dividends and 20 percent tax on capital gains. If
stocks are priced to yield an 8 percent return after tax, what would A, B, and C each sell for?
18. Dividends and Taxes. Suppose all investments offered the same expected return before tax.
Consider two equally risky shares, Hi and Lo. Hi shares pay a generous dividend and offer low
expected capital gains. Lo shares pay low dividends and offer high expected capital gains.
Which of the following investors would prefer the Lo shares? Which would prefer the Hi
shares? Which wouldnt care? Explain. Assume that any stock purchased will be sold after 1
year.
a. A pension fund
b. An individual
c. A corporation
19. Signaling. It is well documented that stock prices tend to rise when rms announce an increase
in their dividend payouts. How then can it be said that dividend policy is irrelevant?
20. Dividend Policy. Here are several assertions about typical corporate dividend policies. Which
of them are true? Write out a corrected version of any false statements.
a. Most companies set a target dividend payout ratio.
b. They set each years dividend equal to the target payout ratio times that years earnings.
c. Managers and investors seem more concerned with dividend changes than dividend levels.
d. Managers often increase dividends temporarily when earnings are unexpectedly high for a
year or two.
21. Dividend Policy. For each of the following four groups of companies, state whether you would
expect them to distribute a relatively high or low proportion of current earnings and whether
you would expect them to have a relatively high or low price-earnings ratio.
a. High-risk companies.
b. Companies that have recently experienced a temporary decline in prots.
c. Companies that expect to experience a decline in prots.
d. Growth companies with valuable future investment opportunities.
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22. Dividend Policy. Risky companies tend to have lower target payout ratios and more gradual
adjustment rates. Explain what is meant by this statement. Why do you think it is so?
Challenge Problem
23. Dividends versus Repurchases. Big Industries has the following market-value balance sheet.
The stock currently sells for $20 a share, and there are 1,000 shares outstanding. The rm will
either pay a $1 per share dividend or repurchase $1,000 worth of stock. Ignore taxes.
Assets
Cash
$ 2,000
Fixed assets
a.
b.
c.
d.
1.
Equity
$ 10,000
20,000
What will be the price per share under each alternative (dividend versus repurchase)?
If total earnings of the rm are $2,000 a year, nd earnings per share under each alternative.
Find the price-earnings ratio under each alternative.
Adherents of the dividends-are-good school sometimes point to the fact that stocks with
high dividend payout ratios tend to sell at above-average price-earnings multiples. Is this evidence convincing? Discuss this argument with regard to your answers to parts (a)(c).
16.1 The ex-dividend date is June 1. Therefore, Mick buys the stock ex-dividend and will not receive the dividend. The checks will be mailed on June 30.
16.2
Assets
Other assets
850,000
Value of rm
$850,000
Debt
Equity
Value of rm
0
850,000
$850,000
Other assets
850,000
Value of rm
$850,000
Debt
Equity
Value of rm
0
850,000
$850,000
If a dividend is paid, the stock price falls by the amount of the dividend. If the company instead uses the cash for a share repurchase, the stock price remains unchanged, but with fewer
shares left outstanding, the market value of the rm falls by the same amount as if the dividend had been paid. If a shareholder wants to receive the same amount of cash as if the rm
had paid a dividend, he or she must sell shares, and the market value of the remaining stock
will be the same as if the rm had paid a dividend.
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Self-Test Questions
Debt
28,000
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16.3 The total value of the rm remains at $100 million. Since the rm issues $10 million in new
preferred stock and the total value of the rm is xed, the total value of common equity must
fall by $10 million, which translates into the same $1 per share price drop as when equity was
issued. If the rm starts out all-equity nanced, the market-value balance sheet of the rm will
be as follows (in millions):
Assets
Assets
Preferred stock
Common equity
Value of rm
$ 100
Value of rm
$ 10
90
$100
16.4 An investor who prefers a zero-dividend policy can reinvest any dividends received. This will
cause the value of the shares held to be unaffected by payouts. The price drop on the exdividend date is offset by the reinvestment of the dividends. However, if the investor had to
pay brokerage fees on the newly purchased shares, she would be harmed by a high-payout policy since part of the proceeds of the dividends would go toward paying the broker. On the
other hand, if the rm offers a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) with a 5 percent discount,
she is better off with a high-dividend policy. The DRIP is like a negative trading cost. She
can increase the value of her stock by 5 percent of the dividend just by participating in the
DRIP. Of course, her gain is at the expense of shareholders that do not participate in the DRIP.
16.5 The stock price dropped by more than the dividend because investors interpreted the news as
a signal that future earnings would be lower than investors had previously expected. The omitted dividend conveyed bad news about the future prospects of the rm.
16.6 The price of the stock will equal the after-tax cash ows discounted by the required (after-tax)
rate of return:
102.5 + 10 (1 .4)
P=
= 98.64
1.10
Notice that the after-tax proceeds from the stock would increase by the amount that previously
went to pay capital gains taxes, .20 $4.72 = $.944. The present value of this tax saving is
$.944/1.10 = $.86. Therefore, the price increases to $97.78 + $.86 = $98.64. The pretax rate
of return falls to (102.50 98.64 + 10)/98.64 = .1405, or 14.05 percent, but the after-tax rate
of return remains at 10 percent.