Professional Documents
Culture Documents
others such as surveillance of its members' economies and policies, the IMF works
to improve the economies of its member countries. The IMF describes itself as an
organization countries, working to foster global monetary cooperation, secure
financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and
sustainable economic growth.
2. Foreign Exchange Market
The foreign exchange market is the framework for trading foreign currencies.
Financial centers around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide
range of different types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception
of weekends. The foreign exchange market determines the relative values of
different currencies.
The foreign exchange market is unique because of the following characteristics:
1. its huge trading volume representing the largest asset class in the world leading
to high liquidity,
2.its geographical dispersion,
3. its continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends;
4. the variety of factors that affect exchange rates,
5. the low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income,
6. the use of leverage to enhance profit and loss margins and with respect to
account size.
3. Official Reserves
Governments hold official reserves, international money in various forms. Official
reserves only refer to foreign currency held by a country. These function like
international money by their general acceptability. Official reserves consist of four
separate
and
distinct
2
components.
1. The first component is the IMF Reserve Positions. This represents quotes of
IMF member countries freely available to them to supplement their liquid
resources.
2. The smallest component is the special drawing rights (SDR), also referred to as
paper gold. SDRs were created to supplement international liquidity at a time when
it was thought official reserve growth would be inadequate to meet global needs.
SDRs reflect bookkeeping entries within the IMF, which members in deficit can
use to settle international payment at the official level (central bank of one country
transferring
SDRs
to
central
bank
of
another
country)
central
banks.
4. Finally, a part of official reserves is held in the form of monetary gold. A gold
reserve is the gold held by a central bank or nation intended as a store of value and
as a guarantee to redeem promises to pay depositors, note holders (e.g., paper
money),
or
trading
peers,
or
to
secure
currency.
Governments hold official reserves for numerous reasons. Some governments are
more concerned with the need to cover external debt payments, while others are
more interested in being able to cover the cost of necessary imports such as food
and fuel.
Factors influencing governments to hold official reserves include:
a) To be able to carry out international transactions including imports without any
delay in payments
b) To improve the international credit standing of the nation.
c) To provide resources for foreign exchange market intervention, when needed
3
d)
To
assure
and
facilitate
external
debt
service
payments.
Chapter three
FINANCING
OF
INTERNATIONAL
SERVICE
AND
PRODUCT
TRANSACTIONS
Settlement of international transactions:
Payment Methods Global sourcing often involves payment using various
methods as shown below:
1 Open account
this is similar to most home transactions. Goods are shipped and documents
remitted to the buyer with an invoince for payment on previously agreed terms,
such as net 30 days
2 Letter of credit transactions
it is a legal instrument constituting a cash guarantee, obligating the bank to make a
payment to a named beneficiary, such as an exporter, within a specified time
against the presentation of documents such as the bill of lading, certificate of
quality, insurance and origin, packing list and a commercial invoice.
The risk of non-payment by the buyer is therefore transferred to the issuing bank
An LOC is opened by an importer (applicant) to ensure that the documentation
requested proves that the seller has fulfilled the requirements of the underlying
sales contract by making such requirements conditions of the letter of credit(LOC)
From the exporters perspective, apart from cash in advance, an LOC is the most
secure method of payment in international trade. The conditional nature of an LOC
means that payment will not be made to the exporter unless all the credit terms
have been precisely met. LOC may be conditional, standby or transactional:
5
a conditional LOC may require some burden of proof by the owner that the
contractor has not failed to perform before the bank will pay
a standby LOC is normally used for open accounts and deals only with
payment of documented sums within a specified period.
A transactional LOC applies to one specific transaction
Most LOCs are irrevocable, which means that both parties must agree to any
changes in terms. While LOCs are a very secure method of payment, the
security comes at a price. The security must therefore be weighed against the
cost of higher bank charges.
3 payments in advance:
This is the least secure and most secure method of payment from the standpoint
of buyers and sellers respectively. Often this method takes the form of a
payment up front of say, 50% of the selling price, with the reminder payable on
agreed credit terms.
4 bills for collection:
Under this system, the shipping documents- including the bill of lading (which is
a receipt signed by a ships master specifying the goods shipped on board and
constituting a negotiable bill of title to such goods) are sent to the buyers bank
rather than direct to the buyer. These will be handed to the importer only when
payment has been made (documents against payment) or against a promise to pay
(document against acceptance) and, until the documents are received, title to the
goods remains with the exporter.
Documents against acceptance are usually accompanied by a draft or bill of
exchange drawn on the buyer. Bills of exchange are the oldest methods of payment
for goods bought overseas.
6
documents.
Errors in documentation are very expensive. The first result of a mistake is delay to
the consignment which might be held up in a warehouse under customs control in
overseas country. Wherever the delay, storage charges will become payable almost
immediately, and these have a habit of rising disproportionately as the delay
extends from days to weeks and perhaps even months. Most customs authorities
have the reserve power to seize goods which have not been cleared of customs
within a certain period. The other danger of delay is the loss of confidence by the
customer. In addition, any delay in delivery may lead to a deferment in settlement
of the order, so cash flow is then affected.
Although such events occur every day, there is no need for exporters to expose
themselves to these additional costs. Documentation for exports is not that
complicated, and the number of documents which have to be prepared by exporters
is very few. They must, however, all be completed carefully and checked before
they are despatched.
Many of the other forms are completed by freight forwarders, hauliers, airlines and
shipping lines, as well as banks and other financial intermediaries. This chapter
looks at both the documents which exporters complete and those normally
completed by the suppliers of transport.
1.The invoice
1.1 Types of invoice
The most important form which the exporter has to prepare is the invoice. an
invoice must accompany every shipment even if the goods are being supplied free
of charge. The invoice is the basic document used in export, and every other
document draws upon the information that appears on the invoice. The purpose is
to confirm to the purchaser the terms of the transaction. There are several different
types of invoice. These include:
8
This is essential for both customs and security procedures. Many companies tend
to describe their goods vaguely (for example machinery parts) and these shipments
are more likely to be delayed than those accurately described.
Hence , it is recommended to give as much information as possible of the goods
being shipped, for example,
(c) The total number of items in each of the packages being despatched.
(d) The tariff number of the item if this is available.
(e) The total value of the goods. Even for samples and free of charge goods.
(f) The reason for export. There should be a statement explaining whether the
goods are being sold, are samples or are being sent for repair or processing.
(g) The country of origin. this is important to ensure rates of duty are calculated
correctly or imported duty free as the case may be.
(h) Signature of exporter (this is the person responsible for sending the shipment).
There are other items which have to be included on some commercial invoices.
These include:
VAT registration number of the buyer this applies to transactions with other EU
Member States
details of the letter of credit if the goods are being shipped against a letter of credit
When sending fabrics, all countries require details of fibre content. Samples
should be marked sample or cut off 1 inches and the invoice must state that the
garment is mutilated.
When samples are being sent free of charge, customs authorities require an invoice
for customs purposes only. In this case the invoice is claused No commercial value.
Value for customs purposes only.
(b) Proforma invoice
10
Proforma invoices are prepared by the exporter and may be needed by the importer
for quotation purposes, to draw up a letter of credit or to apply for the foreign
exchange to pay for the goods. This applies to markets with exchange controls,
particularly in Africa and South America. The invoice is sent in advance of the
goods, but does not differ from a standard commercial invoice.
(c) Commercial invoice with declaration
Certain countries may require a specific declaration to be included on the invoice
in order to comply with certain import regulations in the country of destination.
(d) Certified invoice
Some countries require certified invoices, particularly when goods are being
shipped against letter of credit. These are invoices which are certified by a
Chamber of Commerce before goods are despatched. Exporters present the invoice
to the Chamber of Commerce, and they then stamp the document. The exporter
lodges authorised signatures with the local chambers who verify the signature
before stamping the document.
(e) Legalised invoice
occasionally, customs in the Middle East, require invoices to be both certified and
legalised. After certification, invoices have to be presented to the embassy of the
destination country for legalisation. This involves presentation of the certified
invoices to the embassy who then attach their stamp to the documents. Points to
remember when presenting legalised invoices are:
(a) Allow sufficient time for presentation as goods should not be despatched
before the invoices are legalised. Legalisation can take between five and seven
working days depending on the embassy concerned, and whether or not there is an
embassy.
(b) Embassies charge for legalisation either a flat fee or a percentage of the value
11
of the transaction.
Exporters should make allowance for what are often unexpected additional costs.
(f) Consular invoice
These are particularly common in South America. The details of the invoice are
transferred onto a standard form prepared by the country of destination. The
precise format of a consular invoice depends on the country of destination. All
details and supporting paperwork should be submitted to the countrys commercial
section prior to the despatch of the goods. (In some cases, the exporters invoice is
stamped and signed by the Consul of the importing county.) It is particularly
important to:
(a) Allow sufficient time for the procedure to be completed usually several days.
(b) Make an allowance in the quotation for consular fees which are often based on
the value of the consignment.
A consular invoice is usually needed in addition to a normal commercial invoice.
(g) Signed original invoices
Signed original invoices are occasionally sought by foreign countries. This means
that each individual invoice has to be signed. Even if the invoice is a photocopy, it
must still have an individual original signature. As most printed invoices are in
black ink, it is advisable to use blue ink for signing when an original signature is
required.
Conclusion
Regulations regarding invoices vary from one country to another, and change
frequently. For up to date information, shippers should consult before completing
the transaction. Amendments are published periodically.
Exporters should only despatch goods together with accompanying invoices. The
exception to this rule is for sales to other member states of the EU.
12
The use of the fax can reduce customs delays. However, many customs
authorities in other parts of the world do not accept a fax as a substitute for an
original invoice.
If you are unsure which invoice to send with the shipment you should ask your
customer?
2. Origin Certificates
2.1 Purpose and types
In many cases, exporters have to obtain an origin certificate to accompany the
invoice. The purpose of these certificates is:
(a) To confirm the origin of the goods (also known as non-preferential origin). The
certificates used are called a Certificate of Origin.
(b) To allow the consignment to benefit from a reduced or zero rate of duty in the
country of import (also known as preferential origin).
An origin certificate can either be:
a prepared and signed statement which appears on an invoice.
A separate form which has to be authorised by Customs & Excise or a Chamber
of Commerce and/or the embassy of the country of destination.
(3) Certificate of conformity
some countries demand that all goods require a certificate of conformity. The
certificate of conformity confirms that the goods comply with standards issued by
the importing country.
Features of a certificate of conformity are:
(a) The certificate has to be obtained prior to shipment.
(b) Many countries appoint an exclusive organisation worldwide to issue
certificates of conformity.
13
goods passes to another party. This is why a bill of lading is an extremely valuable
document, and must be kept securely at all times. The negotiability of a bill of
lading depends on how it is completed.
(b) A contract of carriage: the bill of lading is evidence of a contract of carriage
between the consignor and the shipping line. One of the main conditions of the
contract of carriage allows the shipping line to raise charges for the freight.
(c) A receipt for the goods: the shipping line checks the goods as they are loaded
and then issues the bill of lading, which is therefore a receipt for the goods. If there
are no clauses on the bill of lading, it is known as a clean bill of lading. In many
cases, cargo might be damaged or packing inadequate, and the bill of lading is then
claused accordingly e.g. leaking drum, inadequate packing. This then means the
bill of lading is a claused bill of lading and this causes a lot of problems to the
shipper.
Unlike any other transport document, the bill of lading allows the exporter to have
almost total control of the shipment even when it is thousands of miles away. The
consignee cannot obtain the goods without an original bill of lading; the consignor
can retain the original bill until, for example, full payment has been made.
There are many types of bill of lading as follows:
(a) shipped bill of lading
(b) Received bill of lading
(c) Through bill of lading
(d) House bill of lading
(e) Clean bill of lading
(f) Combined transport bill of lading
15
remains the largest single cause of claims against both liner and port agents.
Shippers should always ensure their customer overseas has:
(a) the original bill of lading
(b) the correct bill of lading.
The alternative when a bill of lading is lost is to obtain a letter of indemnity, to
which special rules attach.
Common problems arising with bills of lading are:
(a) Stale bill of lading: a stale bill of lading is a bill which arrives at the port after
the goods have arrived. The delay inevitably means the cargo cannot be
released, and there are demurrage charges to be paid before the goods are
released. If a bill of lading is not presented within the time limit stipulated
(normally 21 days after shipment), banks also regard the bill of lading as stale.
(b) Claused bill of lading: when the shipping line wants to amend any of the
clauses in the bill of lading, some comments are added to the document. This
can occur when the goods are damaged, wet, or when the number of items does
not tally with the number stated on the bill of lading. The bill of lading then
becomes a claused bill of lading. A claused bill might be rejected by a bank.
(c) Loss of bills of lading: one of the commonest problems with bills of lading
is their loss, often in the postal system. This can be avoided if the shipping line
issues two or three originals, and one original bill is held by the shipper as an
insurance policy in the event of loss. It is usual practice to send the original
bills of lading under separate cover on successive days to minimise the danger
of loss of these important documents in the post. Courier companies are an
19
carriers insist on keeping the bank indemnity valid for ten years.
(d) Discrepancies: there are errors with bills of lading which mean they do not
reflect the terms of the letter of credit and so are rejected by the bank. For
example: the goods might be shipped after the expiry date of the letter of
credit,
(i)
The wrong type of bill of lading might be used.
(ii)
presentation of the bill might be late
(iii) The bill might not give a consistent description of the goods.
6.4.2 Action to take in the event of a mistake
The bill of lading is a valuable and important document, and must be
completed correctly. If the shipping line makes any type of mistake, exporters
should point this out, and ask for an amended set or a new set. However, all
the originals should be returned to the shipping line.
Shipping lines also have a duty of accuracy, and can be expected to put correct
shipping dates on a bill of lading, so that the document complies with a letter
of credit.
6.4.3 Bill of lading fraud
Fraudulent bills of lading have been a major problem for many years, and all
shippers should be aware of some of the most common methods used;
(a) Mis-dating the bill of lading. Shippers might ask the shipping line to
confirm loading of goods prior to or after the actual date of loading.
(b) Incorrect description. Shippers want their cargo to be accepted clean on
board. However, if cargo does appear damaged, clausing the bill of lading as
clean on board is fraudulent.
(c) Shipped on board. Bills of lading might be claused shipped on board even
before the cargo has been loaded or even before the ship arrives in the port.
21
waybill:
(a) Air waybill often abbreviated to MAWB. These are produced by airlines,
and each waybill has 11 digits in three parts: (i) The first three digits are the
airline prefix. (ii) The next seven digits are the serial number of the air
waybill. (iii) The last digit is the check digit. The purpose of the check digit is
to minimise computer error. The last figure of every air waybill is between 1
and 6 - never7, 8 or 9.
(b) House air waybill often abbreviated to HAWB. These are produced by
freight forwarders; they are used in much the same way as a house bill of
lading .The airline produces a master air waybill which has freight forwarders
as consignor and consignee. The freight forwarder then issues individual
house air waybills for every shipment.
8.2 Functions of an Air Waybill
The air waybill has several functions:
(a) A legally binding contract of carriage between the shipper and the airline.
(b) A guide to airline staff informing them about the shipment and including
special handling instructions.
(c) A certificate of insurance.
(d) A method of invoicing for freight and other charges.
The air waybill must consist of three original copies with a minimum of six
copies and a maximum of 11 additional copies. The distribution of the three
original air waybills is as follows:
(a) Green copy marked for the issuing carrier and retained by the airline. It
serves as an accounting document for the issuing carrier and being signed by
the shipper is proof of the contract of carriage.
23
(b) Pink or red copy marked for consignee. This accompanies the goods, and
is signed by the consignee upon delivery.
(c) Blue - marked for shipper. Given to the shipper it serves as a proof of
receipt of the goods for shipment and documentary evidence of the contract of
carriage.
At the top of the air waybill are the words non-negotiable (or not negotiable).
The air waybill is non-negotiable, and cannot be endorsed over to another
party. This is a major difference between an airway bill and a bill of lading.
8.3 How to use an air waybill
The main pieces of information required for an air waybill are:
(a) Shippers and consignees name and address.
(b) Issuing carriers agent and agents IATA code.
(c) Airport of departure and airport of destination.
(d) Handling of information box. In this box, details of special instructions are
provided on dangerous goods information, live animals information and
special handling instructions on the temperature requirements of the cargo.
(e) Declared value of the goods. This is divided into three:
(i) Value for carriage this can be any amount specified by the shipper or no
value might be declared. The amount in this box affects the airlines
responsibility in case of loss or damage to the consignment it can also affect
the freight rate.
(ii) Value for Customs this is the value declared by the exporter for customs.
(iii) Value for insurance this is the amount of insurance the shipper might
insure the cargo for through the airline. Most exporters prefer to take out
insurance through their own nominated broker.
24
(f) Description of the goods this includes the gross weight (in kilos), the
number of pieces, the nature of the goods, the dimensions and the chargeable
weight. The chargeable weight is the number of kilos on which the freight is
being levied. For volumetric shipments, the chargeable weight is always larger
than the actual weight of the shipment.
(g) Details of charges. These appear in the lower left side of the air waybill,
and charges are either prepaid or collect. Prepaid means the exporter pays, and
charges collect means the consignee pays.
(h) The shipper and the issuing carrier sign separate boxes of the air waybill
which establishes a contract of carriage between the two parties.
8.4 The importance of the air waybill
(a) The air waybill is used throughout the air journey, and even if the
consignment is passed from one airline to another, the same waybill continues
to be used.
(b) The language of the air waybill is the language of the country of origin.
(c) Erasures are not allowed, but alterations can be made as long as they are
authenticated
by
the
consignors
signature
or
initials.
(d) The number of the air waybill is used to trace consignments throughout
their journey; without the number of the air waybill, no information on a
consignment
9.
is
Courier
9.1
available.
Waybill
Function
complete
9.2
prior
The
to
importance
of
the
shipment.
courier
waybill
(a) The waybill covers all methods of transport and worldwide destinations.
(b) The shipper has a number of options which cover service requirements.
the shipper can choose between express documents, express parcels or express
freight. There are also questions about insurance.
(c) Many of these companies do not recognise Inco-terms , but rather just ask
the shipper to choose between sender pays or receiver pays. No interim
transfer of responsibility is available.
(d) The waybill is used as the basis for customs clearance procedures both in
country of export and in the country of destination.
(e) The conditions of carriage are printed on the back of the waybill. Neither
the conditions nor the limitation of liability are standardised, and each
integrated operator will establish its own conditions. Shippers should satisfy
themselves that the conditions of carriage are acceptable before handing a
shipment to a courier or an integrated operator.
9.3 Main features of a courier waybill
The main information required to complete a courier waybill is:
From and to - shippers and consignees full name and address including a
telephone number. Many couriers refuse goods consigned to P.O. box
numbers.
10. Certificate of Shipment
10.1 Purpose
Exporters frequently come across a certificate of shipment which is a
document issued by a freight forwarder with the following purpose:
confirmation that the goods have been despatched overseas;
26
This refers to a system in which exchange rate for a currency is fixed by the
government. The basic purpose of adopting this system is to ensure stability in
foreign trade and capital movements
To achieve stability, government undertakes the duty to buy foreign currency when
the exchange rate becomes weaker, sell foreign currency when the exchange rate
gets stronger. When value of domestic currency is fixed to the value of another
currency it is known as pegging.
Under this system each country keeps value of its currency fixed in terms of some
external standard examples of countries practice this type of exchange rate
include; Hong Kong fixed the Hong Kong dollar, Denmark fixed the Danish kroner
and Bermuda the Bermudian dollar
b) Flexible exchange rate
28
29
Spot rate of exchange is the rate at which foreign exchange is made available on
the spot. It is also known as cable rate or telegraphic transfer rate because at this
rate cable or telegraphic sale and purchase of foreign exchange can be arranged
immediately Spot rate is quoted differently for buyers and sellers
e.g. $ 1=Rs 15.50 for buyers and $ 1=Rs 15.30 for the seller. This difference is due
to the transport charges, insurance charges, insurance exchanges, dealers
commission to mention. These costs are to be born by the buyers.
Forward rate.
Forward rate of exchange is the rate at which the future contract for foreign
currency is made. The forward exchange rate is settled now and the actual sale and
purchase of foreign exchange occurs in the future. It is quoted at premium or
discount ever/spot rate.
Long rate
Long rate of exchange is the rate at which a bank purchases or sells foreign
currency bills which are payable at a fixed future date. The basis of the long rate
exchange is the interest on the delayed payment.
Multiple rates.
This refers to system in which a country adopts more than one rate of exchange for
its currency. Different exchange rates are fixed for importers, exporters and for
different countries.
Two-tier exchange rate system
30
may become uncompetitive because the rise in the value of Pound is not related to
increased productivity and competitiveness.
5. Inflation? One possible problem of depreciation is that it could cause inflation.
If inflation does result, then firms could face costs, such as greater uncertainty.
6. Fixed contracts. Many business use fixed contracts for buying imported raw
materials. This means temporary fluctuations in the exchange rate will have little
effect. The price of buying imports will be set for up to 12 or 18 months ahead.
Exporters may also use future options to hedge against dramatic movements in the
exchange rate. These fixed contracts help to reduce the uncertainty around
exchange rate movements and mean there can be time lags between changes in the
exchange rate and changing costs for business.
Quotations
A quotation is a business offer made by a seller to an interested buyer to sell certain
goods at specific prices and on certain terms and conditions
Any foreign exchange market quotation always uses the abbreviation of the
currency under question. There are standard currency keys or currency codes that
have been created by international standards organization. these keys are used for
transactions worldwide for example USD for a United States dollar, GBP for
Great Britain Pound, Ugx for Ugandan shillings.
Different types of foreign exchange quotation.
Direct quotation.
Here, the quote is expressed in terms of domestic currency. This means that the rate
expresses how one unit of domestic currency were to be exchanged, how many
32
units of the foreign currency would it beget. This method is also alternatively
referred to as the price quotation method.
Therefore, if the value of the domestic currency increases a smaller amount of it
would have to be exchanged, conversely a decline in value would create a situation
where a large amount of the domestic currency would have to be exchanged.
Hence it can be said that the quotation rate has an inverse relationship with the
value of the domestic currency.
The value of the domestic currency is assumed to be 1 in case of a direct quotation.
The price being quoted explains the number of units of foreign currency that can
be exchanged for a single unit of domestic currency.
The direct quote method is one of the most widely used quotation method across
the world. This is the norm for quoting forex price and is assumed to facto until
another method has been explicitly mentioned
Indirect quotation
here, the quote is expressed in terms of foreign currency. Therefore this rate
assumed one unit of foreign currency, it then express how many units of domestic
currency are required to obtain a single unit of foreign currency sometimes this
quote is also expressed in terms of 100 units of foreign currency. This method is
after referred to as the quantity quotation method.
Since the method is quoted in terms of foreign currency, the quoted rate has a
direct correlation with the domestic rate, if the quoted goes up, so does the value of
the domestic currency.
33
The usage of indirect currency quotation is extremely rare it is only in the common
wealth countries like United Kingdom and Australia that the indirect quotation
method is used as a result of convention.
Introduction.
35
Defining Objectives
This is a key step as it forms the basis for all risk management activities on
the project. It is important that the project objectives are recorded and
understood by all participants. This involves identifying project
requirements, stakeholders and developing an understanding of the success
criteria for the project. Requirements must be assessed and challenged at
this point to ensure they are realist and understood by all team members. At
this point base assumptions relating to the project and key constraints must
also be reviewed.
ii.
36
The purpose of the risk management plan (RMP) is to formalize the risk
management process for the project. It is a single document that contains
the definition of the chosen risk management process to be undertaken. It
includes the scope and objectives of the risk process, roles and
responsibilities of the participants, the tools and techniques to be
implemented, deliverables, review and reporting cycle. The risk
management plan provides a document for all to relate.
iii.
Identification
The identification of project risk can use a variety of identification
techniques such as brainstorming, interviewing, mind mapping among
others. It should be comprehensive and consistent and identified risks
should be given names that are meaningful to anyone whether they have
intimate knowledge or not. It will be impossible to avoid all risk on any
given project. However the key objective of comprehensive risk
identification is that risks are undertaken knowingly rather than unwittingly
iv.
Assessment
Risks must be assessed objectively so that key risks can be prioritized and
effective strategies to deal with them developed. This focuses management
attention on the key issues. Two assessment methods can be employed and
these include:Qualitative assessment provides a descriptive result and allows the relative
ranking of risk issues. This is applicable to any project of any size and is
always undertaken first. Quantitative assessment provides a mathematical
description of risk and produces a numerical result (risk estimate).
Quantitative assessment is undertaken to address specific issues that
warrant a detailed analysis.
37
v.
Planning
Once the risks have been identified, it is important that the responses to
be implemented to deal with them be thought out in some detail to
achieve appropriate, achievable and affordable action plans.
Risks are assigned to risk owners who are individuals best placed to
deal with given issues. Each action owner must then develop a
management plan with review dates. This establishes who is going to do
what and by when to mitigate the risks.
vi.
Management
Effective management of risk requires ongoing review of the action
plans and adjustment of strategies to respond to risk in response to risk
to the fluid situation as the project progress. It requires ongoing
diagnosis of the current position with respect to risk, identifying the
best alternatives and generally sustaining the process.
vii.
Feedback
Effective feedback is a key vehicle to learn from success and mistakes.
During the project. It allows for continuous re-evaluation of the
situation with the respect to risk and adjustment of the responses to
ensure a successful outcome. Over the course of many projects, it
allows businesses to continuously improve their planning and
estimating, and the risk management process itself.
viii.
Monitor and Review: Monitoring of all risks and regular review of the
risk profile is a key part of effective risk management.
Your plan will only be effective as the tools and techniques you use. Choosing
the right tools and techniques will help to reduce the complexity of the risk
management. The identification, evaluation and mitigation of risks can be
carried out with both formal and informal tools and techniques. Your choices
must allow you to have control over companys risks.
Although nothing is set in stone, there are good practical examples of risk
management tools and techniques.
Risk Management Stages
Risk identification
Quantitative analysis
Qualitative analysis
Responses
Monitoring
The following are some established tools and techniques for each stage and
these include:1. Risk Register, is the mother of all risk management tools and
techniques. It tracks the risks throughout the project life cycle. It acts
like a snap shot of what is going on with the project risks. Risk registers
are normally Excel spread sheets. As well as helping to keep the project
on track, they are useful for providing information for lessons learnt
document.
2. Risk Identification, to successfully identify risk, you must think of
every possible eventuality. The problem is that there are some things
that you just wont know. This is where the following tools and
techniques are used to discover hidden risks.
a) Delphi technique is where a panel of experts are asked to answer
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4.
will ensure that nothing slips through the crack. You should familiarize
yourself with risk triggers to know when an action needs to be taken.
The system below will help you to track your risks;
i) Status Meetings should be used to report on the progress of risk
management. Frequent status meetings ensure that risks are at
the forefront of peoples minds.
j) Risk Audits need to be done to evaluate how effective the
responses to risks have been. Audits can also be used to assess
the risk management process. The format objectives and findings
of a risk audit needs to be clearly documented to improve the
risks management process.
Tools and techniques that are not used effectively wont help with tour
risk management. It could take sometimes find which ones suit your
business. The good news is that there is plenty to choose from so you
can move to the next if a particular tool or technique isnt working.
POLITICAL RISK
This refers to the type of risk faced by Investors, corporations and governments
that political decisions, events or conditions will significantly affect the
profitability of a business actor or the expected value of a given economic action.
This can also be defined as the risk of financial market or personnel losses because
of political decisions or disruptions. Does your company do business on ground in
emerging markets, or is it selling to government customers in developing
economies. If it its doing either are you aware of how the political risk of those
markets can threaten your bottom line. These risks may include the following:
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Risk of expropriation. Nathan holds that the expropriation risk is either direct or
indirect. Direct expropriation risk is the risk that the host government will (wholly
or partially) nationalize the asset or equity of Project Company in arbitrary manner
or without payment of just compensation. It also includes other forms of forceful
alienation of project assets at the instance of host government.viz forceful sale of
assets or production to an instrumentality of host government at below market
prices.
Indirect expropriation risk on the other hand, is a risk of major contract disputes
that affect the assets and ownership structure of a project company or a firm. This
includes the host governments (politically driven) debt default, failure to deliver
on a contract.
Risk of changes in regulatory regime. This means the risk of politically
motivated changes in regulatory policies or legal framework of the host
government which render the project unprofitable. Example may include import
and export restrictions, price controls, excessive taxation (like taxes on windy
gains, duplicate tax claims by both central and state government), stringent
environment laws or labor standards preferential policy towards protection of
domestic companies or financial institutions.
Currency risk, Weiss explains that there is a risk on inconvertibility of local
currency revenues into foreign currency required to pay off the debts owing to
foreign exchange shortages in host country. This currency risk becomes political
risk when the currency market is fixed or regulated by the host government or its
instrumentality. For example, there was a great risk of china allowing its currency
to depreciate in 2015 because of domestic economic slowdown and other
international factors.
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information about the types of political risk your company faces or is likely to
face in the target country. The objective here is to find out how political
conditions may affect your companys goals in the market.
Measure your exposure. Here you rank the risks identified and measure your
exposure to each other. This involves attaching numbers to the risk to reflect
their potential financial effects on your company. These measurements will
help determine the risk level of a market is within your tolerance thus helping
you decide whether to enter it.
Mitigation of risk. Here you take measures to lower the probability of a risk to
reduce its effects if it becomes a reality. How you do this will be determined by
the nature of the company, if youre making an investment for example you
could work with local partners whose familiarity with their market can help
you avoid problems. To help you if trouble hits, you could purchase insurance
against political risks.
Monitoring of the risks, once you have established how your risk
management process will work, there is need to set up routines for reporting,
evaluation and review. There should be formal channels for regularly reporting
political risk issues both upward to senior management and downward to
personnel. In this case you can turn to outside experts; there are numerous
private sector agencies that specialize in providing their clients with detailed
information on political risks in world markets and help companies establish
their political risk management systems.
The different ways in which political risk can be managed are as follows:
Avoiding investment.
The simplest way to manage political risk is to avoid investing in a country
ranked high on such risks. Where investment has already been made, plants
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Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis can be used for example to estimate the
financial impact of specific events as an input to help organizations understand
their tolerance level.
Other tools, such as an organizational network analysis can help determine the
estimated operational impact of specific risks. Here managers create a model of
the company as network of various inter-dependent business units. For example
a consumer goods company might have manufacturing, packaging and
distribution across countries. One of the most important aspects of
measurement is the translation projected events into readily identifiable and
comprehensible metrics, such as dollar figures, an impact index, or an ability to
influence index. Using these metrics, risk managers can assess whether the risk
level surpasses the organizations risk appetite or tolerance.
CREDIT RISK
This is the chance that a bond issuer will not make the coupon payments or
principal repayment to its bond holders. In other words, it is the chance the
issuer will default. A credit risk is a risk of default on a debt that may arise
from the borrower failing to make required payments. For example uchumi
supermarket which had some of its outlets in Uganda closed due to long
outstanding debts from different credit institutions. The loss may be complete
or partial.
How it works (example)
While the definition of credit risk may be straight forward, measuring it is not.
Many factors can influence an issuers credit risk and in varying degrees. Some
examples are poor or falling cash flow from operations (which is often needed
to make the interest and principal payments),rising interest rates(if the bonds
are floating rate notes, rising interest rates increase the required interest
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payments), or changes in the nature of the market place that adversely affect
the issuer (such as a change in technology, an increase in competitors, or
regulatory changes).the credit risk associated with foreign bonds also includes
the home countrys socio- political situation and the stability and regulatory
practices of its government.
Why it matters:
Credit risk is one of the most fundamental types of risk. After all, it represents
the chance the investor will lose his or her investment. All bonds, except for
those issued by the U.S government carry some credit risk. This is one reason
corporate bonds almost always have higher coupon payment amounts than
government bonds.
A credit risk is the risk of default on a debt that may arise from a borrower
failing to make required payments. In the first resort, the risk is that of the
lender and includes lost principal and interest, disruption to cash flows and
increased collection costs. The loss maybe complete or partial. In an efficient
market .higher level of credit risk will be associated with higher borrowing
costs. Because of this, measures of borrowing costs such as yield spreads can
be used to infer credit risk levels based on assessments by market participants.
Losses can arise in a number of circumstances, for example:
i.
ii.
iii.
iv.
v.
vii.
viii.
ii.
iii.
$1,000 bond with a 10% coupon rate in Canadian dollars (CAD). If the exchange
rate at the time is $1 CAD: $USD, then the 10%coupon payment is equal to $100
Canadian and because of the exchange rate, it is also equal to US$100.
Now lets assume a year from now the exchange rate is 1:0.85. Now the bonds
10% coupon payment, which is still $100 Canadian, is worthy only US$85.
Despite the issuers ability to pay, the investor has lost a portion of his return
because of the fluctuation of the exchange rate.
Why it matters:
Foreign exchange risk is an additional dimension of risk which offshore investors
must accept. As a result, open positions in non-dollar denominated items may
need to be closed. Though foreign-exchange risk specifically addresses undesirable
movements that might result in losses, it is possible to benefit from favorable
fluctuations with the potential for additional value above and beyond that of an
already-stable investment.
BREAKING DOWN foreign exchange risk
Foreign exchange risk typically affects businesses that export and /or import their
products, services and supplies. It also affects investors making international
investments. For example, if money must be converted tom another currency to
make a certain investment, then any changes in the currency exchange rate will
cause that investments value to either decrease or increase when the investment is
sold and converted back into original currency.
Types of Exposure
1. Transaction exposure
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4. Contingent exposure
A firm has contingent exposure when bidding for foreign projects or
negotiating other contracts or foreign direct investments. Such an exposure
arises from the potential for a firm to suddenly face a transactional or economic
foreign exchange risk, for a project bid to be accepted by a foreign business or
government that if accepted would result in an immediate receivable. While
waiting, the firm faces a contingent exposure from uncertainty as to whether or
not that receivable is paid the firm then faces a transaction exposure, so a firm
may prefer to manage contingent exposures.
Sources of Foreign Exchange Risk
Foreign exchange risk for a business can arise from a number of sources,
including:
Where the business imports or exports.
Where other costs, such as capital expenditure are denominated in foreign
currency.
Where revenue from exports is received in foreign currency
Where other income, such as royalties, interest, dividends is received in foreign
currency.
Where the businesss loans are denominated (and therefore payable) in foreign
currency.
INTEREST RATE RISK
Interest rate risk is a chance that an unexpected change in interest rates will
negatively affect the value of an investment. For example lets assume you
purchased a bond from company X, because bond prices typically fall when
interest rates rise, unexpected increase in interest rate means that your investment
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could suddenly lose value. If you expected to sell bond before maturity, this could
mean you end up selling the bond for less than you paid for it is a capital loss.
target
countrys
economic
iii.
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offer higher salary level than what you would normally find in the target
iv.
v.
vi.
vii.
iii.
rate.
Economic non viability.
Considering that foreign investment may be capital intensive from the
point of the view of the investor. It can sometimes be very risky or
iv.
economically non-viable.
Negative impact on countrys investment.
The rules that govern foreign exchange rate and investment might
negatively have an impact on the investing country. Investment may be
banned in some foreign markets which means that is impossible to
v.
international
markets
with
minimum
capital
investment.
iii.
iv.
It reduces paperwork a lot and hence the storage of paper files is kept
v.
vi.
vii.
It works 24/7, customers can do transaction for the product at any time
anywhere from any location the 24 refers to the hours a day and 7 the
viii.
days in week.
E-commerce applications provide the user more option to compare and
ix.
x.
xi.
xii.
xiii.
xiv.
xv.
xvi.
Many firms have had trouble recruiting and retaining employees with the
technological design and business process skills needed to create an
ii.
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iii.
iv.
v.
interaction
and
integration
between
the
worlds
ii.
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iv.
v.
vi.
Disadvantages of globalization.
i.
ii.
Environmental degradation.
Developed countries can take advantages of underdeveloped countries,
weak regulator laws in terms of environment protection.
Unfair working conditions.
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iv.
of globalization.
Growing disparity among rich and the poor.
86% of the worlds resources are said to be consumed by the richest 2%
of the worlds population. This means that the poorer 80% only gets to
consume 14% of the worlds resources. This is a direct result of
v.
globalization.
Rapid spread of deadly diseases.
Deadly diseases such as AIDS or other communicable diseases can
spread at very fast pace via travelers or due to other means as direct
vi.
consequence of globalization.
Small industries face extinction.
Small industries which are indigenous to a particular place face
extinction as they do not have the resources or the power that the
multinational companies have.As a result small industries are unable to
compete with bigger companies and go out of the business.
Electronic finance
is the provision of financial services and markets using electronic
communication and computation.
Advantages of electronic finance.
i.
Cost effective.
The entire financial transactions will eventually become electronic,so
sooner conversion is going to be lower on cost.
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ii.
Higher margin.
Electronic finance also enables us to move better with high margin for
more business safety. Higher margin also means business with more
iii.
iv.
Security.
Customers need to be confident and trust the provider of payment
method. Sometimes we can be tricked. Examine on integrity and
ii.
iii.
of customers at a time if your web is not well enough, you better forget it.
Integrity ondata and system.
Customers need secure access all the time in addition to it,protection to
data is also essential.Unless the transaction can provide it,we should
iv.
v.
business.
Products people.
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People who prefer and focus on product will not buy online.They will
want to feel,try and sit on their new couch and bed.
Financial engineering
Is the use of mathematical techniques to solve financial problems.
Financial
engineers
design,create,
implement
new
financial
ii.
iii.
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