PROBLEM 1: Data descriptives

Vehicle

Speed

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32

65.6
45
63.4
58.2
54.6
53.2
51.6
52.3
62.4
63.7
60.4
65.5
53.8
49.4
58.4
52.7
46.6
63.1
58.3
55.7
49.5
51.8
68.3
60.9
59.2
57.9
42.7
56.1
67.7
46.6
55.7
49.5

Range Frequency
40-44.9
45-49.9
50-54.9
55-59.9
60-64.9
65-69.9

1
6
7
8
6
4

time mean speed

space mean speed
pace

Speed Distribution Histogra

ut (mph)
us (mph)
largest frequency
pace

= 56.2
= 53.4
=8
= 55-59.9 mph

bution Histogram

sample standard deviati

(x - u_t) (x - u_t)^2
9.4
87.50
-11.2
126.47
7.2
51.18
2.0
3.82
-1.6
2.71
-3.0
9.28
-4.6
21.58
-3.9
15.57
6.2
37.87
7.5
55.56
4.2
17.26
9.3
85.64
-2.4
5.98
-6.8
46.87
2.2
4.64
-3.5
12.57
-9.6
92.12
6.9
47.60
2.1
4.22
-0.5
0.25
-6.8
45.61
-4.5
20.05
12.0
144.46
4.6
21.38
2.9
8.51
1.6
2.64
-13.6
184.42
-0.1
0.01
11.5
131.11
-9.6
92.12
-0.5
0.25
-6.8
45.61
Sum = 1424.87
S = 6.78

PROBLEM 2: Data for HOV lane (1211067)

Hour

Lane 1 Occ (%)

Lane 1 Speed (mph)

9.1
15.09
11.52
6.13
11.92
9.54
6.96
6.16
5.29
7.54
5.82
5.95
6.02
5.3
8.84
4.39
3.7
2.23
3.37
3.28
3.36
2.04

46.9
29.7
37.3
59.4
40.8
44.9
53.6
56.1
64.1
53.4
62
60.3
59.3
63.2
49
61.3
66.9
66.6
65.1
67
64.2
65.1

Greenshields Model
y = u_s (mph)
46.9
29.7
37.3
59.4
40.8
44.9
53.6
56.1
64.1
53.4
62
60.3
59.3
63.2
49
61.3

x = k (veh/mile)
18.48
30.64
23.39
12.45
24.21
19.37
14.13
12.51
10.74
15.31
11.82
12.08
12.23
10.76
17.95
8.92

12/1/2015 7:00
12/2/2015 7:00
12/3/2015 7:00
12/4/2015 7:00
12/7/2015 7:00
12/8/2015 7:00
12/9/2015 7:00
12/10/2015 7:00
12/11/2015 7:00
12/14/2015 7:00
12/15/2015 7:00
12/16/2015 7:00
12/17/2015 7:00
12/18/2015 7:00
12/21/2015 7:00
12/22/2015 7:00
12/23/2015 7:00
12/24/2015 7:00
12/28/2015 7:00
12/29/2015 7:00
12/30/2015 7:00
12/31/2015 7:00

Occupancy (%)

Speed (mph)

9.1
15.09
11.52
6.13
11.92
9.54
6.96
6.16
5.29
7.54
5.82
5.95
6.02
5.3
8.84
4.39
3.7
2.23
3.37
3.28
3.36
2.04

46.9
29.7
37.3
59.4
40.8
44.9
53.6
56.1
64.1
53.4
62
60.3
59.3
63.2
49
61.3
66.9
66.6
65.1
67
64.2
65.1

866.71
910.14
872.61
739.45
987.64
869.87
757.59
701.79
688.61
817.66
732.78
728.61
724.96
680.23
879.65
546.49

x^2
341.51
939.07
547.30
154.97
585.97
375.33
199.77
156.49
115.41
234.46
139.69
146.00
149.46
115.84
322.27
79.48

xy

Sum =
y =ax+b
b=
a=
k_j
x =k
y =u

66.9
66.6
65.1
67
64.2
65.1
1236.20

7.51
4.53
6.84
6.66
6.82
4.14
291.52

502.68
301.61
445.52
446.28
438.06
269.69
14908.63

56.46
20.51
46.84
44.37
46.56
17.16
4834.92
R^2 =

-1.51
76.26 = u_f (free flow speed)
50.36 (jam density in veh/mi)

Greenberg Model
y = u_s (mph)
46.9
29.7
37.3
59.4
40.8
44.9
53.6
56.1
64.1
53.4
62
60.3
59.3
63.2
49
61.3
66.9
66.6
65.1

x = ln(k)

xy
2.92
3.42
3.15
2.52
3.19
2.96
2.65
2.53
2.37
2.73
2.47
2.49
2.50
2.38
2.89
2.19
2.02
1.51
1.92

136.79
101.65
117.59
149.78
130.01
133.08
141.96
141.74
152.19
145.71
153.12
150.26
148.46
150.17
141.50
134.11
134.92
100.59
125.21

x^2
8.51
11.71
9.94
6.36
10.15
8.78
7.02
6.38
5.64
7.45
6.10
6.21
6.27
5.65
8.34
4.79
4.07
2.28
3.70

Sum =
y =ax+b
b=
c=
a=
k_j =

Flow vs. Speed

u (mph)
46.9
29.7
37.3
59.4
40.8
44.9
53.6
56.1
64.1
53.4
62
60.3
59.3
63.2
49
61.3
66.9
66.6
65.1
67
64.2

67
64.2
65.1
1236.2

-17.96 = -c
17.96
100.30 = c*ln(k_j)
266.66

q (veh/h)
909.23
913.14
959.59
661.21
955.33
929.76
801.95
746.74
514.57
806.01
583.70
635.39
664.01
544.91
881.98
605.44
413.34
424.68
479.60
409.53
511.13

1.90
1.92
1.42
54.05

127.05
123.29
92.53
2931.71

3.60
3.69
2.02
138.64

R^2 =

Flow vs. Speed

65.1
max q =

479.60
959.59

MAX FLOW = 959 veh/h

Expected speed for uncongested conditions for q=800 veh/h
Expected speed for congested conditions for q=800 veh/h

# Lane Points

% Observed

12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12

100
100
100
0
0
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
0
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

y_hat
48.27
29.85
40.83
57.41
39.60
46.92
54.85
57.31
59.99
53.07
58.36
57.96
57.74
59.96
49.07
62.76

k (veh/ft)

0.0035
0.0058
0.0044
0.0024
0.0046
0.0037
0.0027
0.0024
0.0020
0.0029
0.0022
0.0023
0.0023
0.0020
0.0034
0.0017
0.0014
0.0009
0.0013
0.0013
0.0013
0.0008

k (veh/mile)

18.48
30.64
23.39
12.45
24.21
19.37
14.13
12.51
10.74
15.31
11.82
12.08
12.23
10.76
17.95
8.92
7.51
4.53
6.84
6.66
6.82
4.14

y - y_hat (y - y_hat)^2 y - y_avg

-1.37
1.88
-9.29
-0.15
0.02
-26.49
-3.53
12.47
-18.89
1.99
3.98
3.21
1.20
1.44
-15.39
-2.02
4.08
-11.29
-1.25
1.57
-2.59
-1.21
1.47
-0.09
4.11
16.90
7.91
0.33
0.11
-2.79
3.64
13.26
5.81
2.34
5.48
4.11
1.56
2.42
3.11
3.24
10.51
7.01
-0.07
0.01
-7.19
-1.46
2.12
5.11

64.88
69.40
65.89
66.17
65.92
69.98

0.9498

2.02
-2.80
-0.79
0.83
-1.72
-4.88

4.09
7.83
0.63
0.69
2.97
23.84
117.77

10.71
10.41
8.91
10.81
8.01
8.91

Greenshields Model - 1211067

R = 0.9498146119

y_hat
47.93
38.85
43.70
55.02
43.08
47.08
52.74
54.94
57.67
51.31
55.96
55.56
55.35
57.64
48.45
61.02
64.09
73.18
65.77

y - y_hat (y - y_hat)^2 y - y_avg

-1.03
1.06
-9.29
-9.15
83.71
-26.49
-6.40
40.91
-18.89
4.38
19.14
3.21
-2.28
5.21
-15.39
-2.18
4.76
-11.29
0.86
0.73
-2.59
1.16
1.35
-0.09
6.43
41.33
7.91
2.09
4.38
-2.79
6.04
36.52
5.81
4.74
22.47
4.11
3.95
15.60
3.11
5.56
30.94
7.01
0.55
0.30
-7.19
0.28
0.08
5.11
2.81
7.89
10.71
-6.58
43.33
10.41
-0.67
0.45
8.91

s. Speed

66.25
65.82
74.78

0.8052

0.75
-1.62
-9.68

0.56
2.63
93.73
457.09

10.81
8.01
8.91

Greenberg Model - 1211067

R = 0.697963848

Flow vs. Density

k (veh/mi)
18.48
30.64
23.39
12.45
24.21
19.37
14.13
12.51
10.74
15.31
11.82
12.08
12.23
10.76
17.95
8.92
7.51
4.53
6.84
6.66
6.82

4.14
max q =

Length of observed roadway

Detector length
Density
# of observations

(y-y_avg)^2
86.32
701.77
356.87
10.30
236.88
127.48
6.71
0.01
62.55
7.79
33.75
16.88
9.67
49.13
51.71
26.10

L=
20 ft
d=
6 ft
k = Occ/(L+d)
n=
22

114.68
108.35
79.37
116.84
64.15
79.37
2346.68

Model - 1211067

(y-y_avg)^2
86.32
701.77
356.87
10.30
236.88
127.48
6.71
0.01
62.55
7.79
33.75
16.88
9.67
49.13
51.71
26.10
114.68
108.35
79.37

116.84
64.15
79.37
2346.68

Model - 1211067

w vs. Density
q (veh/h)
892.0785207031
914.8269336269
955.2196941216
714.6196762059
958.6122038016
908.999137012
775.3044295095
716.9629743839
644.443683417
812.6037079267
689.7474011951
700.3238365964
705.9314141475
645.3309431062
880.9434350573
559.4758829887
487.4828167012
314.2780386764
450.9493763449
440.7496602516
449.8210703354

Flow vs. Density

289.9214408142
958.6122038016

w vs. Density

PROBLEM 2: Data for mainline lane 1 (1211066)

Hour

Lane 1 Occ (%)

Lane 1 Speed (mph)

13.77
11.22
4.47
4.22
10.74
4.51
9.09
4.34
4.47
4.38
4.07
4.4
4.22
4.49
5.17
4.37
4.47
3
4.18
4.12
4.11
3.27

26.5
29.9
61.8
68.9
40.7
65.5
40.2
64.8
70.1
67
70.1
68
67.2
69.8
58.7
68.2
72.5
73.2
71.2
72.9
72.8
71.8

Greenshields Model
y = u_s (mph)
26.5
29.9
61.8
68.9
40.7
65.5
40.2
64.8
70.1
67
70.1
68
67.2
69.8
58.7
68.2
72.5

x = k (veh/mile)
27.96
22.79
9.08
8.57
21.81
9.16
18.46
8.81
9.08
8.89
8.27
8.94
8.57
9.12
10.50
8.87
9.08

12/1/2015 7:00
12/2/2015 7:00
12/3/2015 7:00
12/4/2015 7:00
12/7/2015 7:00
12/8/2015 7:00
12/9/2015 7:00
12/10/2015 7:00
12/11/2015 7:00
12/14/2015 7:00
12/15/2015 7:00
12/16/2015 7:00
12/17/2015 7:00
12/18/2015 7:00
12/21/2015 7:00
12/22/2015 7:00
12/23/2015 7:00
12/24/2015 7:00
12/28/2015 7:00
12/29/2015 7:00
12/30/2015 7:00
12/31/2015 7:00

Occupancy (%)

15.12
13.73
5.89
5.46
11.97
5.75
10.71
5.56
5.83
5.53
5.26
5.77
5.38
5.51
6.3
5.54
5.41
3.57
5.14
5.05
4.93
4.03

Speed (mph)

34.9
32
58
64.2
43.8
62.2
40.9
60.4
67.5
64.4
65.5
63.3
63.1
67.6
58.3
63.7
69.2
69.6
68.4
68.7
68.2
68

Greenshie

f(x) = - 2
R = 0.94

73.2
71.2
72.9
72.8
71.8

Greenberg Model
y = u_s (mph)
26.50
29.90
61.80
68.90
40.70
65.50
40.20
64.80
70.10
67.00
70.10
68.00
67.20
69.80
58.70
68.20
72.50
73.20
71.20
72.90
72.80
71.80

6.09
8.49
8.37
8.35
6.64

x = ln(k)
3.33
3.13
2.21
2.15
3.08
2.21
2.92
2.18
2.21
2.19
2.11
2.19
2.15
2.21
2.35
2.18
2.21
1.81
2.14
2.12
2.12
1.89

# Lane Points

% Observed

36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36
36

97
100
100
0
0
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
0
100
100
100
100
100
100
100

k (veh/ft)

0.0053
0.0043
0.0017
0.0016
0.0041
0.0017
0.0035
0.0017
0.0017
0.0017
0.0016
0.0017
0.0016
0.0017
0.0020
0.0017
0.0017
0.0012
0.0016
0.0016
0.0016
0.0013

k (veh/mile)

27.96
22.79
9.08
8.57
21.81
9.16
18.46
8.81
9.08
8.89
8.27
8.94
8.57
9.12
10.50
8.87
9.08
6.09
8.49
8.37
8.35
6.64

Greenshields Model - 1211066

f(x) = - 2.3717876268x + 88.8631035333
R = 0.9460573237

Greenberg Model - 1211066

f(x) = -86.4093198872 ln(x) + 134.0439199813
R = 0.91604492

Length of observed roadway

Detector length
Density

L = 20 ft
d= 6 ft
k = Occ/(L+d)

066

99813

PROBLEM 4: Probability Distributions

Probability Mass Function (PMF)
x
P(x)
0 5.77775E-008
1 0.000000963
2 8.02465E-006
3 4.45814E-005
4 0.0001857558
5 0.000619186
6 0.0017199611
7 0.0040951456
8 0.0085315533
9 0.0157991728
10 0.0263319546
11 0.039896901
12 0.0554123624
13 0.0710414903
14 0.0845732028
15 0.0939702253
16 0.0978856513
17 0.0959663248
18 0.0888577082
19 0.0779453581
20 0.0649544651
21 0.0515511627
22 0.0390539112
23 0.0282999356
24 0.0196527331
25 0.0131018221
26 0.0083986039
27 0.0051843234
28 0.0030859068
29 0.0017735096
30 0.0009852831

Cumulative Distribution Function

x
P(x)
0 5.77775E-008
1 1.02074E-006
2 9.04539E-006
3 5.36268E-005
4 0.0002393826

Arrival rate = 16.6666667 veh/cycle

time cycle t =
120 sec

PMF

CDF

CDF
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33

0.0008585686
0.0025785297
0.0066736753
0.0152052286
0.0310044014
0.057336356
0.097233257
0.1526456195
0.2236871098
0.3082603125
0.4022305378
0.5001161892
0.596082514
0.6849402222
0.7628855803
0.8278400453
0.8793912081
0.9184451192
0.9467450549
0.9663977879
0.97949961
0.9878982139
0.9930825373
0.996168444
0.9979419537
0.9989272368
0.9994569589
0.9997328559
0.9998721977

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13

P(x)
0.0002403695
0.002003079
0.0083461624
0.0231837844
0.0482995508
0.0804992513
0.1118045157
0.1331006139
0.1386464729
0.1283763638
0.1069803031
0.0810456842
0.0562817251
0.0360780289

Part c
x

Arrival rate =
P(x 15) =
P(x < 20) =
P(15x<20) =
P(15x<20) =

8.33333333 veh/cycle
0.01170851
0.99983772
0.01170661
1.1706613 %

14
15
16
17
18
19
20

0.0214750172
0.0119305651
0.006213836
0.003045998
0.0014101843
0.0006185019
0.0002577091

0.9999999999

PMF

CDF

CDF