Professional Documents
Culture Documents
the report noted, this alert "generated little or no interest" among FBI officials and was not
passed on to the CIA or other relevant agencies. The following month the CIA's CounterTerrorism Center warned in a report that "for every [al Qaeda operative] that we stop, an
estimated 50 . . . slip through . . . undetected. . . . It is clear that [al Qaeda] is building up a
worldwide infrastructure which will allow it] to launch multiple and simultaneous attacks with
little or no warning." These and numerous other signals went unheeded, however, leading the
congressional committee to conclude that because government agencies "failed to capitalize"
on available information.
(4) Gelpi, Christopher, and Peter D. Feaver. 2002. "Speak Softly and Carry a Big Stick?
Veterans in the Political Elite and the American Use of Force." American Political Science
Review, 96: 779-793.
(5) New York Times, September 17, 1995.
The bureaucratic politics model (called governmental politics by Allison and Zelikow) provides an intersection
between several different competing theories of foreign policy. The "national interest" of the state may be at
stake and identify which organizations may be at play. The organizational culture of different bureaucracies
may embolden some individuals, but not others as well as define goals. The old phrase of "Where you sit is
where you stand" in governmental politics illuminates the idea that a bureaucrat for a particular agency will
advocate on behalf of their own and their organization's interests, not necessarily in the interest of the state.
Thus, a representative from the Navy is more likely to suggest Naval-based solutions to a problem while the
same person in the air force would advocate for air force-based solutions. Additionally, a bureaucratic
position may not be terminal and a given individual may be looking for the opportunity to advance their
career prospects within the bureaucracy or in other organizations. This creates a series of complex
interactions between individual, bureaucratic, and state incentives.
This can be a very difficult frame in which to explore foreign policy as it requires intimate knowledge of the
decision-making process for any given decision. Often, declassified documents, diaries, or interviews can
provide insight at this level, but even such detailed knowledge still leads the researcher to make large
assumptions about the various aspects of decision-making. The demand for a rich environment of information
to model processes at this level can also lead to especially illuminating conclusions about any given case that
cannot be garnered from models that have abstraction of actors at the organization or state level.
When analyzing foreign policy decision making from this perspective, some important concepts include
(Hudson 2007, p. 90-95):
Stakeholder: Actors whose have the power, interest, or capability to affect the outcome of a decision
within or without a bureaucracy or decision-making group.
Action Channels: The path or arena in which an actor can translate their preferences to outcomes.
Could be other bureaucracies, individuals, or institutions.
Decision Modifiers: There are a variety of factors that limit or enable the influence of stakeholders
during foreign policy decision-making. This can include something as simple has having a deadline
which limits the amount of information and actor can collect before making a decision. Hudson
suggests framing, rules, and agendas as all additional factors that can affect actors and actions.
Coalitions: Subgroups within a group that may enable or block particular options. Especially important
when decision-making is not unanimous.