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Regional Industry Focus

Multi-finance Companies
DBS Group Research . Equity

Alternative lenders
Multi-finance companies are high-yielding
businesses despite higher cost of funds than
banks as they cannot take deposits; higher risk as
they are less regulated than banks
Potential headwinds from impending fuel price
hike and imposition of minimum down payment
for 2W, but long-term growth prospects for 4W
remain robust

28 Mar 2012

JCI :

4,079.4

Analyst
LIM Sue Lin +603 2711 0971
suelin@hwangdbsvickers.com.my
Indonesian Research Team +6221 3983 2668
research@id.dbsvickers.com

Peer Comparables: Multi finance companies

Valuations at a fraction of banks, given high ROE,


attractive NIM and low NPLs; liquidity an issue
High returns come with higher risks. Multi-finance
business, especially consumer financing, generate higher
yields than conventional bank loans. At end Dec11, multifinance companies ROE averaged 31.1% with 8.7% NIM,
while NPL ratios were low at 1.2%. However, these
companies are not allowed to collect deposits, hence, they
rely either on bank borrowings or bond issuances, and also
joint financing and channelling agreements with banks for
funding. Therefore, their cost of funds is higher than
banks, at 9-12%. These companies are also less tightly
regulated than banks, and have different NPL classification
and write-off policies.

ADMF

Market
cap
(US$m)

Price
(Rp/s)

PE (x)
FY11F FY12F

PBV (x)
FY11F FY12F

ROE (%)
FY11F FY12F

1,320

12,150

7.7x

NA

2.7x

NA

38.5%

BFIN

392

4,750

7.2x

5.5x

1.3x

1.0x

19.7% 19.3%

CFIN

209

510

6.9x

6.0x

0.9x

0.8x

15.3% 13.4%

MFIN

99

690

4.7x

4.0x

NA

NA

29.0% 27.0%

WOMF

58

265

88.3x

NA

1.2x

NA

1.2%

Weighted average

7.1x

5.4x

2.1x

0.8x

31.1% 18.6%

6.6x

5.2x

1.5x

0.9x

25.6% 21.2%

Closing prices as at 26 Mar 2012


* Weighted average PE excludes WOMF
^ Refers to 2-year EPS CAGR for CY11-13

Source: Bloomberg, Companies, DBS Vickers

Multi-finance companies: Total gross financing (2011)

Valuations at discount to banks. Multi-finance


companies are currently trading at 2.1x FY11 P/BV and
7.1x FY11 PE vs the banks at 3.2x FY11 P/BV and 13.9x
FY11 PE. The companies mentioned in this report are not
officially under our coverage, but the profiles and updates
will provide a more detailed understanding of the key
multi-finance companies that are operating in Indonesia.
Note that most of these companies are largely held by
banks or tightly held by foreign shareholders (e.g. BFIN).
As such, trading liquidity may be low.

Source: Companies, DBS Vickers

www.dbsvickers.com
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
ed: SGC / sa: MA

n/a

Simple average

Policy headwinds ahead. The MoF has imposed


minimum 20% downpayment for 2W and 25% for 4W,
effective 15 June 2012 onwards. Current average
downpayment is 12-15% for 2W and 20% for 4W.
Coupled with the impending fuel price hike, AISI and
Gaikindo expect new 2W and 4W unit sales to moderate
in the near term. But we believe 4W sales will remain
robust over the longer term, supported by a growing
middle class, urbanisation, and rising GDP per capita in
Indonesia. Separately, the formation of OJK in 2013 could
see more new regulations and supervisory changes.

In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed


to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited Investors as defined in the
Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.

NA

60.0

52.2

50.0
40.0
30.0

23.2

21.7

20.0

11.9

10.0

7.1

5.5

4.6

Mandiri
Tunas
F inance*

BFIN

CF IN

0.0
ADMF

BCA
Finance*

Astra
Seday a
Finance*

WOMF

*Non-listed companies
Total asset for Astra Sedaya Finance and CFIN are as of 3Q11

New minimum down payment regulation


Vehicles

Banks

Multi-finance
companies

2W

25%

20%

4W Productive (Private Use)

30%

25%

4W Non-productive (Commercial Use)

20%

20%

Source: BI, MoF, DBS Vickers

Recipients of this report, received from DBS Vickers Research (Singapore) Pte Ltd
(DBSVR), are to contact DBSVR at +65 6398 7954 in respect of any matters arising
from or in connection with this report.

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Analysts

Table of Contents

LIM Sue Lin +603 2711 0971


suelin@hwangdbsvickers.com.my

Overview

Indonesian Research Team +6221 3983 2668

Major players in the industry

Industry landscape

Growth drivers

Industry concerns

research@id.dbsvickers.com

Page 2

Regulatory environment

11

Industry trends

12

Multi-finance companies A comparison

14

Valuation

15

Stock Profiles

16

Adira Dinamika Multi Finance

17

BFI Finance

24

Clipan Finance

31

WOM Finance

38

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Growth of financing activities

Overview
Finance companies, or typically known in Indonesia as multifinance companies, are licensed to offer a range of services,
including leasing, consumer financing, credit card financing
and factoring. But unlike banks, they are not allowed to
accept deposits, and are governed by Bapepam-LK, the
regulatory arm of the Minister of Finance (MoF). These
companies target the financing needs of the lower income
households.

130.0%

80.0%

Factoring, 70.5%
Leasing, 44.1%

30.0%

Total, 31.6%
Consumer
Financing, 26.7%

-20.0%

-70.0%
2003

2004

Total

There are 195 financing companies in operation as at Dec


2011. Over the past 10 years, several had their licences
revoked due to non-compliance with regulations, the most
common being inadequate capital. Prior to the Asian Financial
Crisis, there were over 212 multi-finance companies
nationwide. They typically provide financing for consumption
needs (vehicle financing), leasing, factoring and credit cards.
Currently, the majority of multi-finance companies focus on
consumer financing (2W and 4W, new and used) and leasing.

2005

2006

Leasing

2007

2008

Factoring

2009

2010

2011

Credit Cards

Consumer Financing

Source: Bapepam-LK, DBS Vickers

Amount of financing per segment (Rp bn)


180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000

Multi-finance companies: Financing activities (2011)

20,000
2003

Leasing
31%

Consumer
F inancing
67%

Factoring, 2%

Source: Bapepam-LK, DBS Vickers

Leasing is main growth driver. Although multi-finance


companies focus on consumer financing, the current industry
growth driver is leasing, which grew 44% y-o-y at end
December 2011. Factoring is growing much faster, but its
base is small. Consumer financing remains the most attractive
in terms of lending yields. Although there is a trade off
between risk and reward, the ticket size is much smaller than
leasing, but the risk of default is higher because of the
customer profile. Credit card business has shrunk significantly
since August 2011 after GE Finance was acquired by Bank
Permata (BNLI). Prior to that, credit cards comprised less than
1% to total financing by multi-finance companies. The credit
card business is largely undertaken by commercial banks.

2005

Leasing

Factoring

2007
Credit Cards

2009

2011

Consumer Financing

Source: Bapepam-LK, DBS Vickers

Funded mainly by bank borrowings. Financing activities are


mostly funded by bank borrowings, which amount to
Rp186.7tr, or 86% of total funding. Bonds account for only
Rp31.3tr or 14% of total funding as of January 2012. Our
checks indicate that multi-finance companies may take
advantage of the current low interest rate environment to
issue more bonds to fund growth.
Multi-finance companies: Funding composition (Jan-12)

Bonds
14.4%

Subordinated
Loans
0.1%
Borrowing
85.5%

Source: Bapepam-LK, DBS Vickers

Page 3

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Joint-financing and channelling. Other sources of funding for


multi-finance companies are joint-financing or channelling
agreement with banks. Under joint-financing, both the multi finance company and bank jointly contribute funds to the
arrangement. The proportion of contribution by each party
differs between agreements, and risks and returns are shared
in the same proportion. Under channelling, full funding is
originated from the bank. The bank bears all the risks, while
multi-finance companies receive a fee for managing the
financing contracts for banks. As of January 2012, joint financing agreements reached Rp83.5tr, while channelling
reached Rp15.3tr. It is a win-win situation for both parties;
banks have access to a higher yielding asset, and financing
companies receive funding to grow their asset base. Under
MoF regulations, at least 40% of the assets in the balance
sheet of financing companies have to be allocated for
financing activities.

companies sharing the risk of delinquent loans, banks can


expect better quality credit than if these companies merely
acted as an agent under the channelling scheme.
Joint-finance and channeling (Total) by multi-finance
companies
90

83.5

80
67.2

70
60

49.9

50
40
30
20

12.9

10
7.8

6.5

2006

2007

9.0

9.1

2008

2009

Channeling

Preference for joint-financing option. Joint-financing is more


rampant than channelling, growing at 24.3% y-o-y at end
2011 against 7.0% for the latter. It seems banks prefer jointfinancing to channelling, because with multi-finance

47.1

39.2

14.3

15.3

2010

2011

J oint Financing

Source: Bapepam-LK, DBS Vickers

Joint Financing activities by multi-finance companies


Financing Company

WOMF
ADMF

BFIN

CFIN
BCA Finance*
Mandiri Tunas Finance*

Astra Sedaya Finance*

Counterpart

BMRI
BBRI
BNII
BDMN
Bank Syariah Mandiri (BSM)
BBRI
BNGA
Bank DKI
Bank Mutiara
BMRI
BTPN
Bank UIB
PNBN
BBCA
BBNI
BBKP
BMRI
BNLI
Sahabat Finansial Bersama
BNGA
BNII
Bank Commonwealth

* Non listed companies


Source: Companies; DBS Vickers

Page 4

Total Facility

Revolving

Recourse

JF Proportion

Rp500bn
Rp500bn
Rp8.0tr
n/a
Rp150bn
Rp150bn
Rp50bn
Rp100bn
Rp100bn
Rp245bn
Rp1.0tr
Rp8.5bn
Rp600bn
<Rp5bn per contract
Rp400bn
Rp75bn
Rp4.5tr
Rp4.45tr
Rp4.0tr
Rp2.0tr
Rp1.0tr
Rp500bn

n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
Y
n/a
n/a
Y
n/a
Y
Y
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a

Y
n/a
N
n/a
N
N
N
N
N
N
N
n/a
N
N
n/a
N
N
N
N
N
N
N

5:95
10:90
1:99
1:99
Channeling
Channeling
1:99
5:95
Channeling
5:95
10:90
n/a
Channeling
5:95
n/a
Channeling
5:95
5:95
5:95
5:95
5:95
5:95

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Gearing ratio regulated by MoF. Under the MoF/ Bapepam-LK


regulation, gearing ratio cannot exceed 10x the value of
capital plus subordinated loans. And subordinated loans
cannot be more than 50% of total capital. Big players
gearing ratios are relatively low because they generally opt for
joint-financing or channelling from banks. Industry gearing
ratio was about 8.2x at end 2011, implying there is still room
for multi-finance companies to borrow to finance loan
expansion.

NPL classification Unlike BI, Bapepam and MoF have not set
any guidance for NPL classification. But since most large
finance companies have joint-ventures or channelling
agreements with banks, they have to adhere to BIs NPL
classification guide. Although there are conservative finance
companies, most consider financing overdue by 90 days as
bad debt. Moreover, the write-off policy varies from 180 to
270 days for automatic write-off.
Multi-finance companies: Blended NPL

Multi-finance companies: Gearing ratio FY11

3.0%

9.00

2.7%
Blended NPL

8.25

2.5%

8.00

2.0%

7.00
5.61

6.00

2.1%
1.9%

2.0%

5.85

4.86

5.00

1.4%

1.5%

1.2%

4.00
2.43

3.00
2.00

1.18

1.39

1.0%

1.51

1.00

0.5%

BFIN

CF IN

BCA
F inance

ADMF

MTF

WOMF

ASF

Industry

0.0%

Source: BPS, DBS Vickers, Gaikindo

Write-offs are typical in managing asset quality. The


difference between banks and multi-finance companies is
that it is typical for the latter to write-off bad debts regularly.
Hence, it is normal for a finance company to have very low
NPL ratio. Blended NPL spiked to 2.7% during the crisis in
2008, but has since improved significantly.

2006

3.00%

2008

2009

2010

2011

Major players in the industry


There are several multi-finance companies in Indonesia, but
there are distinguishing factors for each.
Multi-finance companies: Total assets (2011)
20.0

Multi-finance companies: NPL per segment (Jan-12)

2007

Source: Bapepam-LK, DBS Vickers

18.4
16.9

18.0
16.0

2.81%

14.0
12.0

2.50%

10.0
8.0

2.00%

4.1

4.0

1.50%

1.21%

3.9

3.7
1.5

2.0
-

1.00%
0.50%

5.3

6.0

1.59%

Astra
Seday a
Finance*

0.32%

ADMF

BFIN

CFIN

WOMF

BCA
F inance*

Mandiri
Tunas
F inance*

0.00%
0.00%
Leasing

F actoring

Credit Cards

Consumer
Financing

Blended

Note: Prior to GE Finance acquisition, credit cards NPL was hovering

*Non-listed companies
Total asset for Astra Sedaya Finance and CFIN are as of 3Q11

Source: Companies, DBS Vickers

at 3-4%. Currently, none of the players are focusing on Credit Cards,


hence, there is very low activity and consequently low NPL.

Source: Bapepam-LK, DBS Vickers

Page 5

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Multi-finance companies: Total gross financing (2011)


60.0
52.2
50.0

International Finance (FIF). ASF, BCA Finance and MTF


concentrate on consumer financing for 4W. FIF concentrates
on financing for 2W, especially Honda, while Tunas also
dabbles in 2W financing.

40.0
30.0
23.2

21.7

20.0
11.9
7.1

10.0

5.5

4.6

BF IN

CF IN

0.0
ADMF

BCA
F inance*

Astra
Sedaya
F inance*

WOMF

Mandiri
Tunas
F inance*

*Non-listed companies
Gross Financing for Astra Sedaya Finance and CFIN are as of 3Q11

Source: Companies, DBS Vickers

Adira Dinamika Finance (ADMF) Funding growth through


joint-financing with parent, Bank Danamon (BDMN). ADMF
focuses on dealer-generated new and used 2W and 4W
financing. Almost 50% of its new loans is generated from
new 2W; although ticket size is smaller at Rp12.2m per unit,
yield is relatively high (c.30%) and less risky than for used
2W.
BFI Finance (BFIN) Largest segment in BFINs portfolio is
dealer generated used 4W (31% of portfolio). In order to
improve asset yield and reduce dealer dependency, BFIN will
improve its network to accommodate a larger proportion of
direct financing. This segment is yielding the highest return
for the company, at 23-25% for 4W and 41-42% for 2W.
However, there is always higher risk attached to the attractive
returns.
Clipan Finance (CFIN) - Unlike its peers, CFIN offers a wider
range of financing products: leasing, consumer financing and
factoring. Its portfolio has equal weightings of consumer
financing and leasing, and only extends factoring products to
customers referred by Panin Bank (PNBN). In consumer
financing, CFIN focuses on used 4W, whereby new 4W only
comprises c.5% of this portfolio.
WOM Finance (WOMF) WOMF focuses on new and used
2W financing. In 2011, due to asset quality issues, WOMF
reined in its used 2W financing business. Now, only 10% of
new bookings are used 2W, compared to about 30% before.
Other players (not listed). There are other big players in the
industry that are not listed, such as Astra Sedaya Finance
(ASF), BCA Finance, Mandiri Tunas Finance (MTF) and Federal

Page 6

FIF and ASF are members of the Astra International Group


(ASII), and contribute c.20% to the Groups total income.
28% of cars produced by ASII is financed through ASF. Tunas
and BCA Finance are subsidiaries of BMRI and BBCA,
respectively. Last year, they contributed 0.5% and c.7% of
the respective banks net income.
On average, 40% of 4W and 25% of 2W are purchased in
cash. ADMF and FIF dominate in new 2W financing, while
ASF and BCA Finance appear to be preferred for 4W
financing. Note that MTF, ASF and BCA Finance focus on
passenger cars in their 4W business, while ADMF
concentrates more on commercial vehicles.
Current 2W vs 4W buyers profile

60%
75%

40%
25%
4W

2W
Cash

Auto financing

Source: AISI, Gaikindo, ASII, IMAS

Multi-finance companies: Market share of new 2W


financing
30.0%
25.0%

ADMF, 23.19%
FIF*, 22.36%

20.0%
15.0%
10.0%

WOMF, 9.60%

5.0%
MTF*, 0.49%

0.0%
2006

2007
ADMF

2008
WOMF

2009

2010

FIF*

MTF*

2011

*Non-listed companies
Market share assumes only 75% new 2W purchased on credit

Source: Companies, AISI, DBS Vickers

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Multi-finance companies: Market share of new 4W


financing

Indonesia: Vehicle penetration

35.0%
BCA Finance*,
28.1%

30.0%

ASF*, 26.9%

25.0%

275.0

40.0%

250.0

35.0%
30.0%

225.0

25.0%

200.0

20.0%

175.0

15.0%
10.0%

20.0%

150.0
15.0%
ADMF, 11.0%

5.0%

125.0

0.0%
1987

10.0%

BFIN, 1.2%
2006

BFIN

2007
ADMF

2008
ASF*

2009
MTF*

2010
BCA Finance*

1997

Indonesia
Population (LHS)

MTF*, 6.8%
5.0%
0.0%

1992

2002

2007

4W Penetration (RHS)

2012F
2W Penetration (RHS)

Source: BPS, DBS Vickers, Gaikindo

2011

Auto penetration in developing countries

*Non-listed companies

9,000

Market share assumes only 60% new 4W purchased on credit

Source: Companies, Gaikindo, DBS Vickers

Multi-finance companies: Market share of 4W financing


(2011)

GDP per capita US$

CFIN and ADMF excluded as market share numbers are negligible

Malaysia, 32.17%

8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
3,000

Indonesia, 4.68%

2,000

India, 2.68%

1,000

BF IN, 1.2%

Thailand, 15.22%

China, 4.52%

4,000

ADMF , 11.0%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Car ownership ratio

BCA F inance*,
28.1%

Source: BPS, DBS Vickers, Gaikindo

ASF*, 26.9%
MTF *, 6.8%

Source: Companies, AISI, DBS Vickers

Competition from Kredit Kendaraan Bermotor (KKB). Banks


offer the product called KKB which typically refers to 4W
financing. But the banks focus is different from multi-finance
companies. The latter tend to prefer to finance commercial
vehicle fleets, while banks target the middle/affluent class
who purchase passenger vehicles. Banks do not usually
dabble in 2W financing because of deemed high risks.

A growing middle-class population will spur demand for


vehicles. GDP growth had been strong in the past few years,
driven by private consumption. And consumption power has
risen along with this. According to the World Bank, 13.3% of
Indonesians lived below the poverty line as at 2010, with
53% of the population being categorically poor. But there is
a rapid shift towards middle-income defined as people
whose daily expenditure is between US$2 and US$20. By
2015F, 58% of the population will fall into the middle class
category (vs .46% in 2010). The jump is more apparent in
urban areas than rural areas.
Indonesias GDP growth trends
7.0%
6.3%

6.5%

Industry landscape

6.0%

5.7%

5.5%

Population growing at c.1.5% p.a. The Indonesian population is


estimated at 240.6m people in 2011, growing an average of
1.5% p.a. for the last 20 years. However, vehicle penetration is
still considerably low compared to developed countries. As of
2011, 4W penetration is 4 cars per 100 people, while 2W
penetration is significantly higher at 27 motorcycles per 100
people.

6.5%
6.1%

5.5%

5.0%

5.0%
4.5%

6.1%

6.0%

4.6%
4.1%

4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012F

Source: CEIC, DBS Vickers,

Page 7

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Indonesia: Population based on average expenditure


100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%

Watch out for a switch to 4W from 2W. Our auto analyst


believes that we should watch for a switch to 4W from 2W.
Trends in other emerging markets indicate that private car
purchases start to see explosive growth when GDP per capita
exceeds US$3,000. With Indonesia having reached that
threshold at the end of 2010, we could be seeing double
digit growth ahead.

30%

Auto growth trends after GDP per capita >US$3,000

20%
10%

%
28

0%
Poor

1999
2005
Lower Middle

2009
Middle

2010
Upper Middle

2015F
Affluent

Source: Asian Development Bank; DBS Vickers

12,000,000
2W Sales
10,000,000

12.6% CAGR

6,000,000
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
2006

2007

YR 93-94
YR 92-93
YR 04-05

16

YR 73-74

12

YR 06-07

8
4
China

Korea

Brazil

Malay sia

Russia

J apan

Thailand

Source: CEIC, DBS Vickers, CEIC

Growth Drivers

Indonesia: 2W Sales

2005

YR 87-88

24
20

This shift to middle class category is reflected in 2W sales. It


expanded at 10.4% CAGR from 2006 to 2011, and is
expected to grow by 5% p.a. going forward. Our house
views that the market is already saturated. In 2010, 2W
penetration was 27%; with Indonesias average household
consisting of 4 people, this implies that every household
already owns a motorcycle.

8,000,000

YR 08-09

2008

2009

2010

2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F

Source: AISI, DBS Vickers

Indonesian auto industry still resilient. Our auto analyst


believes that going into 2012, Indonesia is expected to
register another year of solid growth. 4W sales are expected
to reach 974,000 premised on a bullish economy. Coupled
with a low interest rate environment, there is still ample room
for growth, especially with 4W penetration still low in
Indonesia at less than 4.7 vehicles per 100 people. However,
there may be risks: industry growth may be hampered by a
global economic slowdown and slow recovery from the Thai
floods. And given the impending cut in fuel subsidy, demand
will slow down in 2012F before normalising in 2013F.
Indonesia: 4W sales and growth

Indonesia: 4W Sales
1,600,000
4W Sales

1,400,000

12.0% CAGR

1,200,000

1,200,000

80%

1,000,000

60%
40%

800,000

20%

1,000,000

600,000
0%

800,000

400,000

600,000

200,000

-40%

-60%
2006

0
2005

2006

2007

2008

Source: Gaikindo, DBS Vickers

Page 8

-20%

200,000

400,000

2009

2010

2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F

2007

2008

4W Sales

Source: Gaikindo DBS Vickers

2009

2010

2011 2012F 2013F

4W Sales Growth YoY (%)

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

2W growth supported by affordable financing. Lack of


investment in public transport, rapidly growing purchasing
power, and record low interest rates are supporting the
growth of the 2W market. Going forward, our auto analyst
remains confident of 7.5% (2W sales) CAGR over 20112013F to 9.2m unit. We expect a slowdown in 2013F as the
market becomes saturated. By then, we expect 2W
penetration to reach 31 per 100 people.

Under-investment in public transport. This is more rampant in


urban area than rural areas. The existing public transport,
although affordable, is not reliable. Routes are not properly
planned, and there are insufficient buses and trains, which
lead them to be crowded most of the time. This makes
owning a car or motorcycle a necessity, to get around the
city. In 2012, the government is committing Rp55.6tr or
5.8% of total government expenditure to improve
infrastructure and public transport.

Indonesia: 2W sales and growth


10,000,000

40%
30%

8,000,000

20%

6,000,000

10%
4,000,000

Record low interest rates. Taking advantage of low inflation


in Indonesia, Bank Indonesia (BI) has been reducing its policy
rate over the years to a record low, after cutting the rate by
75bps last year. BI is keeping its policy rate at 5.75% to
absorb the effect of fuel subsidy cuts. We expect BI rate to
remain flat for the rest of the year.

0%

2,000,000

-10%
-20%

2006

2007

2008

2W Sales

2009

2010

2011 2012F 2013F

2W Sales Growth YoY (%)

Source: AISI, DBS Vickers

Policy rate and lending rate trends


%
18

Rp Lending rate (%)

16

BI rate (%)

14
12
10

The government is offering tax incentives to car


manufacturers involved in the LCGC project, including
exemption of import duties for LCGC components that
cannot be produced locally and lowering luxury tax charges
to 5% from 10% previously. Four Japanese car
manufacturers have pledged US$1.8bn annually to produce
500,000 units of LCGC.
LCGC: Car specifications

<1,000 1,200 cc engine capacity

Minimum fuel consumption 22km/l and 20km/l for


1,000cc and 1,200cc cars respectively

Comply with Euro 2 emission standard

<Rp100m on the road price

>US$50m capex to build manufacturing plants

40% local content on the first year, 60% on the third year
and 80% on the fifth year

Source: Bisnis Indonesia

Jul-11

Jan-11

Jul-10

Jan-10

Jul-09

Jan-09

Jul-08

Jan-08

Jul-07

Jan-07

Jul-06

Jan-06

Jul-05

Government Low Cost Green Car project. The Indonesian


government is introducing environmental-friendly affordable
cars to the community through its Low Cost Green Car
(LCGC) project. The objective is to strengthen domestic
development of automotive production systems and
components. This is also an initiative to migrate existing 2W
users to affordable 4W.

Source: BI, CEIC, DBS Vickers

Industry Concerns
BI and MoF want to raise down payment to 20%-30%. MoF
and BI jointly proposed to increase minimum down payment
for auto financing to 20%-30%, applicable to banks and
financing companies. The objective of the regulation is to
improve auto loans asset quality and control disbursements to
an industry that has been growing rapidly in the past few
years. This regulation was passed earlier in the month, and is
effective 15 June 2012.
New minimum down payment regulation
Vehicles

Banks

Financing Companies

2W

25%

20%

4W Productive (Private Use)

30%

25%

4W Non-productive

20%

20%

(Commercial Use)

Source: BI, MoF, DBS Vickers

Page 9

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

New regulations could hurt industry sales. On average, 75%


of 2W and 60% of 4W are purchased on credit. Our checks
with multi finance companies indicate that the average down
payment currently is 12-15% for 2W and 15-20% for 4W.
On average, only 25% of 2W purchases are settled in cash,
while the rest is bought on credit. This is slightly higher than
for 4W, where 40% of unit sales are cash purchases. Hence,
the industry will be affected significantly if the regulation is
implemented.

Vehicle sales (2008)


700

70

600

60

500

50

400

40

300

30

33% increase
from Rp4,500 to
Rp6,000

200

20
Motorcycles

100

The Indonesian Motorcycles Industry Association (AISI)


projects its 2012 forecast for 2W sales could drop by 30-45%
if down payments are increased to 30%. AISI and the
Indonesian Association of Automotive Industries (Gaikindo)
have recommended to cap minimum down payment at 1020% to ensure that the industry continues to grow.
Impending fuel price hike. Following volatile fuel prices, the
government has finally decided to cut fuel subsidies. The
option would mean a 33% increase in fuel prices from
Rp4,500/litre to Rp6,000. The government had increased
subsidised fuel price significantly previously, by 33% in 1Q05,
88% in 4Q05 and another 33% in 2Q08. Empirical evidence
from 2005 and 2008 suggest that the average consumer can
absorb a 30% increase in fuel price with no impact on vehicle
sales.
Vehicle sales (2005)
600

60

500

50

400

40
30

300
200

33% increase
from Rp1,810 to
Rp2,400

100

20
88% hike from
Rp2,400 to
Rp4,500

Motorcycles

0
Jan-05

May-05

Sep-05

Jan-06

Source: DBS Vickers, Gaikindo, AISI

Page 10

10

Cars

May-06

Sep-06

Cars

10
0

0
Jan-08

May-08

Sep-08

Jan-09

Source: DBS Vickers, Gaikindo, AISI

Softer global economy. Amid the softer global macro


environment, financial institutions are more cautious and
prefer to hold liquid assets to avoid a liquidity crunch. They
are also more likely to slow down loan disbursements or
select prime customers to maintain asset quality. But with 7080% of vehicles in Indonesia being purchased on credit,
slowing down loan disbursements could hamper auto
industry growth.
Concerns over fraud. Consumer financing are small ticket
items and usually involve several employees from origination
to approval and disbursement. And most companies adopt
an automatic write-off policy after a certain period. The
combination of these two practices raises concerns that there
might be room for fraud. Debtors who are unable to repay
their loans might choose to hide the collateral. Another
element of fraud that is not uncommon in 2W, is that spare
parts of the repossessed collateral had been swapped with
inferior or broken parts.
Multi-finance companies try to avoid these situations by
thoroughly screening potential borrowers. It is common for
them to send an employee to visit the residence of a
potential borrower and to interview other members of the
household and neighbours, to satisfy the lenders that the
borrower is a respectable member of the community. On the
same note, it is normally more difficult for those who live in
rental houses or rooms to obtain credit to purchase vehicles.

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Meanwhile, employees of multi-finance companies that deal


with 2W financing are normally trained to thoroughly check
parts. WOMF had encountered this problem when it was
rapidly expanding into the used 2W market, and as a result,
its loan disbursements for 2W purchases were significantly
higher than the market value of the used 2Ws. It has since
slowed down lending for used 2W, and is taking the initiative
to train employees who involved in used 2W financing. Its
asset quality has improved following this effort.

Banks vs Multi-finance companies


Liquidity

CAR
NPL
Funding

Multi-finance companies are susceptible to internal fraud as


well. This can be mitigated by strong internal controls.
However, these companies claim there is low incidence
internal fraud cases.
Regulatory environment

Reporting
Activities

Governed by MoF and Bapepam. The MoF and Bapepam LK


regulate multi-finance companies in Indonesia. The MoF
issues the regulations, while Bapepam-LK is tasked to enforce
them. These are generally less stringent than BI regulations for
banks, because multi-finance companies are non-deposit
taking. The main regulation guiding the establishment of a
finance company is MoF Regulation no.84/PMK.012/2006.
The MoF is currently drafting a revision to this regulation and
expects it to be published within the year. Based on the draft,
we do not expect significant changes to the main points.
Bapepam regulations for multi-finance companies
Regulation

Explanation

No.84/PMK.012/2006

Description of finance companies


activities
Guidelines on establishing a finance
company
Initial capital is Rp100bn minimum for
companies and Rp50bn minimum for
cooperatives
Foreign investors can own up to 85% of
total capital
A legal entity can own up to 50% of total
capital
Maximum gearing ratio is 10x
Finance companies are not allowed to
obtain deposits or issue promissory notes
Subject to monthly reporting to MoF
Finance companies are subject to routine
checks at least once every 5 years.
KYC principals on non-bank financial
institutions

No.166/PMK.010/2008
No 30/PMK.010/2010

Source: Bapepam LK, DBS Vickers

Banks

Multi-finance Companies

Banks are obliged to put


a minimum capital
reserve in BI and there is
ceiling and floor for LDR
Minimum capital
adequacy ratio is
specified
Specific provision and
NPL recognition criteria
Deposit taking, can raise
funds from interbank
market and equity
market, and through
bonds. The lender of last
resort is also available for
liquidity
Subject to monthly
reporting to BI
Minimal limitations

Not regulated

Source: Bapepam LK, BI, DBS Vickers

Only maximum gearing


ratio is specified
Not regulated
Can raise funds only
through bank loans,
bond issuance, and
equity market.

Subject to monthly
reporting to MoF
Limited to leasing,
consumer financing,
factoring and credit cards

New regulatory body OJK. The Financial Services Authority


(OJK) will take over the supervision of banks from BI, and
insurance companies, stock market and multi-finance
companies from Bapepam-LK. Under the legislation, OJK will
be led by nine commissioners, two of which will be
representatives of the central bank and the MoF. The
objective of this new regulatory body is to align the views of
BI and Bapepam-LK on the supervision of financial
institutions, both banks and non-banks. Once this supervisory
body is in place, there could be some regulatory changes for
finance companies, to be more in line with banks. Presently,
non-bank financial institutions are subject to more moderate
regulations because they are not deposit-taking institutions.
The main concerns of non-bank financial institutions over this
new supervisory hierarchy are:

Non-performing loans. Currently, finance companies


have different NPL recognition and write-off policies
from banks. Banks under BI guidance have five asset
quality classifications, guided by the banks judgement
of prospect, performance and repayment capacity of
each debtor. There is no NPL guidance for non-bank
financial institutions currently.

Refinancing or shadow banking. BI is also adamant in


regulating non-bank financial institutions that provide
refinancing to customers. A common practice for
finance companies is to provide additional financing to
a customer after the first loan has been paid off, using

Page 11

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

the vehicle bought with the first loan as collateral.


Areas that would be regulated include: limiting loanto-value at 60%, and only allow healthy finance
companies to provide refinancing.
Industry trends
Spreading beyond Java. A large share of Indonesias
population live in Java and Bali. But based on the data from
Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), the population outside Java and
Bali has been growing rapidly. By 2010, 40.9% of the
population resided outside Java and Bali, compared to 39.3%
in 2000. Multi-finance companies have acknowledged this
trend, and are tapping into this market. More than 60% on
BFINs income is generated by branches outside Jakarta and
Bali.
Leveraging off banks. Financing is a high-yield business and
banks want a slice of the pie. Banks channel loans though
finance companies or are involved in a joint-financing scheme.
Banks provide the funds, while finance companies provide the
operational expertise. Risk and rewards are shared according
to agreed terms, usually based on share of contribution of
each party.
BDMN acquired a majority stake in ADMF after exercising its
call option in 2004. ADMF is one of the key growth drivers in
BDMNs mass market segment, contributing Rp41.3tr or
20.4% of its loan portfolio at end December 2011. ADMF
and BDMN have a 1:99 joint-finance agreement, with BDMN
entitled to 10% of late payment penalty.
BFIN has numerous joint-finance and channelling agreements
with several banks, with facilities ranging from Rp150bn to
Rp245bn. The largest facility is a revolving Rp1.0tr facility at
10:90 share with BTPN, a sister company. As at December,
only Rp142.1bn of the facility had been used by BFIN. Going
forward, this facility will be utilised more effectively to help
fund BFINs growth.
BBRI, BMRI and BNII have joint-finance agreements with
WOMF. The largest facility is given by BNII major
shareholder of WOMF -, a Rp8.0tr facility at 1:99 share of risk
and reward. The agreement will expire by the end of the year,
but we expect it to be renewed.
PNBN channels auto loans through CFIN. The total facility is
for Rp600bn with interest rate at 9.25% for loans less than
12 months, 9.75% for loans with 13-24 months tenure, and

Page 12

10.25% for loans with 25-36 months tenure. The agreement


is reviewed annually.
Synergy with insurance companies. Vehicles financed by
finance companies are typically bundled with insurance
products. In return, these finance companies receive rebates
from the insurance companies, normally a percentage of
premium paid by the customer.
Finance companies that are not affiliated to banks normally
fund growth with bonds issuance or bank borrowings. At the
moment, funding is still skewed towards bank borrowings.
Competition eating into yields. Competition is intensifying as
banks and multi-finance companies realise that 2W and 4W
businesses give better yields. BCA Finance recently offered a
promotion rate of 3.99% for new 4W loans with 1 year
tenure, and a special rate for used 4W of 6.5% for 1-3 years
tenure. We note that BCA Finance is a wholly-owned
subsidiary of BBCA, which allows the former access to low
cost funds. And given the current low interest rates, multifinance companies are also issuing corporate bonds to fund
operations at lower financing costs. Multi-finance companies
may see improving NIMs going forward, led by declining cost
of funds and better spreads.
Multi-finance companies: FY11 results
CFIN*

WOMF

Avg Asset Yield


19.8
15.0
9.2
Cost of funds
10.8
8.0
8.0
Spread
9.0
7.0
1.2
NIM
11.1
12.8
7.4
*CFINs numbers refer to 3Q11 result; FY11 is not out yet

BFIN

ADMF

14.0
23.0
(9.0)
3.5

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Competing in approval process. Multi-finance companies


which cost of funds is higher have limited scope to compete
in pricing. However, borrowers who got to multi-finance
companies are normally more concerned about the
affordability of monthly repayments and a speedy approval
process, rather than pricing. Hence, unlike banks which have
more stringent regulations, multi-finance companies are able
to speed up their approval process. BFINs strategy is to limit
lending to customers within 20-25km radius from its
branches, so that credit checks and approvals can be done
within a day.
No regulation for NPL classification. There is no NPL regulation
for multi-finance companies. But note that under joint
financing, the proportion funded by banks have to comply

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

with BI regulation for NPL classification. Different companies


have different regulations depending on how conservative the
management is.
ADMF considers loans where repayments are 90 days past
due as non-performing. They are automatically written off
when repayment is 210 days past due. The company has a
policy to repossess the asset after the repayment is 60 days
past due. The repossessed vehicles are normally auctioned in
batches.
Meanwhile, CFIN sends a warning letter to borrowers whose
repayment is 7 days, 14 days and 30 days past due. Its policy
is to repossess the asset after repayment is 30 days past due,
but in practice, it usually waits until 60 days if the borrower
acts in good faith. Loans where repayments are 90 days past
due are classified as non-performing.
BFIN imposed a stricter write-off policy in 2011. A bad debt is
written-off after repayment is 270 days past due; last year
they were only written off after 360 days. BFIN has written off
Rp30.7bn this year (much higher than Rp15.9bn in 2010 and
Rp2.0bn in 2009) since implementing the stricter policy. BFIN
considers all loans that is 90 days past due as bad debt and

makes 100% provision. Under its policy, BFIN can repossess


the collateral after the repayment is 30 days past due.
However, it normally deals with this a case by case basis. If
the borrower acts in good faith and there is prospect of
repayment, it is usually more lenient.
WOMF classifies loans that are 90 days past due as nonperforming. If they are over 90 days past due, it prefers to
restructure rather than repossess if the customer has the
potential to repay. For loans under joint-finance agreement
with BNII, those over 180 days past due are written-off, but
for its own portion, the policy is automatic write-off after 210
days.
ASF classifies overdue loans into buckets based on days past
due. Each has its own monitoring team. Loans more than 90
days past due are classified as non-performing, and loans over
180 days past due are written-off. BCA Finance is very
conservative in classifying NPLs. Financing over 30 days past
due is considered non-performing. Loans over 150 days past
due is written-off, and under company policy, it will issue
repossession orders for loans over 60 days past due.

Page 13

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Multi-finance companies - A comparison


Name
Ticker

BFI Finance
BFIN

Adira Dinamika Multi Finance


ADMF

Summary
Total Asset
Total Financing (ne
Net Profit
NIM (%)
ROE (%)
ROA (%)
Gearing Ratio (x)
Cost to Income Rat
Business Risk
Operating
Environment

WOM Finance
WOMF

5,305
4,751
425
11.1
18.0
8.0
1.18
55.3

- Business: Consumer Financing and Leasing


- Asset Mix: Consumer

16,889
13,241
1,583
12.8
35.8
9.4
2.43
51.6

- Business: Consumer Financing


- Asset Mix:

Leasing HETO,
13%

Financing Used
Motorcycle Direct, 8%
Consumer
Financing Used
Car - Direct,
22%

Clipan Finance
CFIN
Note: data as of 3Q11, the FY11 result is not out yet

- Business: Consumer Financing


- Asset Mix:

Motorcycle
(used)
14%

Leasing LCV,
7%

3,907
3,261
5
3.5
1.2
0.1
5.61
88.8

Consumer
Financing Used
Car - Dealer,
31%

Ownership
Structure

TPG Nusantara S.a.r.l.

Motorcycle
(new)
90%

Leasing
51%

Franklin Templeton
Investment Funds

9.96%

44.95%

Public

6.20%

Mayban Offshore
Corporate Services
(Labuan) Sdn Bhd

Sorak Financial Holdings


Pte Ltd

42.96%

26.43%

67.37%

Consumer
Financing
36%

Motorcycle
(used)
10%

Motorcycle
(new)
53%

The Northern Trust S/A


AVFC

Trinugraha Capital & Co


SCA

59.68%

- Business: Leasing, Consumer Financing, Factoring


Factoring
- Asset Mix:
13%

Car (new)
22%

Car (used)
11%

Consumer
Financing New
Car - Dealer,
19%

40.32%

99.0%

95.0%

Morgan Stanley & Co


Intl PLC

Mellon Bank NA S/A

54.33%

8.07%

6.56%

Asia Financial (Indonesia)

DBS Nominees Pte Ltd


5.0%

4,056
3,935
204
7.4
12.4
5.0
1.39
42.3

90.0%

2.71%

45.09%

62.00%

Wahana Makmur Sejati

5.00%

31.02%

54.35%

Public

17.24%

1.0%

Public

Public
Willy Suwandi Dharma

Governance
Structure

Approval Policy

Management,
system and
strategy

Financial Risk
Asset Quality

Down Payment
Policy

President Commissioner: Kusmayanto Kadiman


Commissioners: Johanes Sutrisno (Independent);
Alfonso Napitupulu (Independent); Richard Andrew
Deitz; Emmy Yuhassarie (Independent)
President Director: Francis Lay Sioe Ho
Marketing and Credit Director: Yan Peter Wangkar
Financial and Operational Director: Cornellius Henry
Kho

15.76%

10.0%

President Commissioner: Ho Hon Cheong


Independent Commissioner: Djoko Sudyatmiko; Eng Heng
Nee Pholip; Pande Radja Silalahi
Commissioner: Muliadi Rahardja; Vera Eve Lim; Rajeev
Kakar
President Director: Stanley Atmadja
2W Financing Marketing Director: Marwoto Soebiakno
4W Financing Marketing Director: Hafid Hadeli
Risk Management Director: Ho Lioeng Min
Finance Director and Compliance: I Dewa Made Susila

President Commissioner: Stephen Liestyo


VP Commissioner: Robbyanto Budiman
Commissioner: Garibaldi Thohir
Independent Commissioner: I Nyoman Tjager; Myrnie Zachraini
Tamin
President Director: Djaja Suryanto Sutandar
Finance Director: Albertus Alex Hermanto
Marketing Director: Simon Tan Kian Bing
Human Capital Director: Martha Bambang
Risk Management Director: Ir. Purwadi Indra Martono
Operational Director: Ir. C. Guntur Triyudianto
Customer fill in application sheet -> Check if
Segregation of duties between marketing and surveyor
Potential client fill in application sheet -> Dealer Help Desk (DHD)
customer is on blacklist -> Survey house and credit functions.
performs checking if customer is on blacklist by batches ->
checking -> input credit scoring and
Potential customer fill in application form -> Marketing
Surveyor checks to house and performs credit checking -> Credit
recommendation into the system -> Report is
officer enters the data into system -> Credit checking team Analyst (CA) reviews the report and issue a recommendation ->
reviewed by credit analyst and marketing SPV ->
in branch checks if customer is blacklisted -> surveyor
Approved by credit commitee -> WOMF issues purchase order to
Credit approval by branch manager or credit
performs credit checking to the customer house or work
dealer
commitee -> credit agreement signing -> Loan
place -> Credit analyst review the surveyor report and
disbursed
make a recommendation -> Credit analyst or branch
manager approves the credit
Going forward, focusing on increasing portion of
The company expect new bookings achieved Rp35tr
After slowing down used 2W bookings to 10% of total bookings,
direct financing (non-dealer generated) due to
funded by joint financing and bonds issuance. ADMF will WOMF have ramped up their policy and procedure regarding used
higher margin opportunities and less dependency issue bonds amounting Rp3.5tr by 1H12. The company is 2W. Going forward, we will see more aggressive strategy from
on delaers
guiding for a slowdown in expected bookings due to down WOMF to catch up on industry growth.
payment rule and impending fuel price hike although
numerical impact is still on review.

President Commissioner: Mu'min Ali Gunawan


Commissioner: Roosniati Salihin; Suwirho Josowidjojo
Independent Commissioner: Veronika Lindawati; Lukman
Abdullan
President Director: Gita Puspa Kirana Dermawan
Marketing Director: Suhendra, SE
Operational Director: Ir. Parmanto Adhi Tjahjono

All loan past due over 90 days is considered bad


debt and 100% provision is provided for this
category. BFIN had just reviewed their write off
policy and automatically write off loan above 270
days (previously: 360 days). According to their
policy, BFIN can reposses collateral after 30 days
past due.
BFIN is heavy on leasing and commercial vehicle
financing, average dp is 20-30%.

Loan 90 days past due is considered non-performing. The


policy is to send warning letter on 7th, 14th and 30th days
past due. After 30 days, CFIN has the right to reposses asset.
In practice usually repossed after 60 days past due.

NPL (Rp bn)


NPL Ratio (%)
Coverage Ratio
(%)

Financing over 90 days is considered dilinquent whereby


write off is done after the loan is 210 past due,

Av dp for:
- New 2W 15%
- Used W 22%
- New 4W 21%
- Used 4W 26%

66
1.1
92.2

Collection policy includes a phone reminder and visit within 90


days past due. Loan over 90 days past due is considered nonperforming, although WOMF prefers restructure rather than asset
repossession if customer still in good faith and still have prospect.
Loans over 210 days past due are automatically written off. Loans
under joint financing with BNII has a 180 days automatic write off
policy.
Av dp for:
- New 2W 15-17.5%
- Used 2W min 16%

Customer fill in application sheet -> Credit Marketing Officer


(CMO) check if customer is on blacklist -> CMO performs
house survey and credit checking -> Report is reviewed by
credit analyst -> Credit approval by branch manager or credit
commitee -> credit agreement signing -> Loan disbursed

Looking ahead, there will not be a significant change in CFIN's


business model. Funding through borrowing and channeling
agreementi with PNBN. For consumer financing, CFIN prefers
second hand cars rather than new cars because the price is
more stable. Moreover, for new cars, the targeted market
differs from its MFC peers, because it targets the more high
middle/affluent class. This market is usually targeted by banks.

Heavy on leasing and used 4W financing, average dp already


above 20%.

653
1.3

14
0.4

69.9

5.0

Liquidity
Borrowing
27%

Borrowing
35%

Borrowings
83%

Bonds
57%

Borrowing
100%

Bonds
73%
Bonds
17%

MTN
8%
2,000

7,000

3,500

6,000

3,000

5,000

Asset Maturity
Liability Maturity

2,500

1,600

1,400

1,400

1,200

1,200

1,000

2,000

600

1,000

1,000

400

2013

2014

Borrowing
% of Total
Liability
Bonds
% of Total
Liability

>2015

600
400
200

200

No
maturity

< 1 mth

1-3 mths

3-12 mths

1-3 yrs

> 3 yrs

Liability Maturity

800

800

2012

Liability Maturity

1,000

3,000

1,500

Asset Maturity

1,600

1,800

Liability Maturity

2,000

Asset Maturity

Asset Maturity

4,000

500

1,800

< 3 mths

3-12 mths

1-5 yrs

<1 mth

> 5 yrs

1-3 mths

3-12 mths

1-5 yrs

> 5 yrs

2,316

2,957

851

2,285.59

78.8
482

23.7
7,805

24.5
1,596

94.84
-

16.4

62.6

46.0

19.8

15.0

14.0

8.0

10.8
9.0
11.1
1.18

8.0
7.0
12.8
2.43

23.0
(9.0)
3.5
5.61

1.2
7.4
24.9
1.39

1.24

2.82

7.95

1.46

Profitability

Ave Asset Yield


(%)
Av Cost of Funds
(%)\
Spread (%)
NIM (%)
Gearing Ratio
Liability/ Equity

Source: Companies; DBS Vickers

Page 14

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

factors justify the valuation discount. On average, multifinance companies are currently trading at 2.1x FY11 P/BV
and 7.1x FY11 PE.

Valuation
Trade at a discount to banks. Multi-finance companies
except for ADMF trade at a significant discount to the
banks. We believe this is partly due to the size of the
companies and also the limited liquidity of the stock. Also,
as stated in the report above, multi-finance companies are
less tightly regulated than the banks, have different NPL
classification and write-off policies and carry higher cost of
funds as they are not allowed to take deposits. All these

High risk, high return. Multi-finance business, especially


consumer financing, generate higher yields than
conventional bank loans. At end Dec11, multi-finance
companies ROE averaged 31.1% with 8.7% NIM, while
NPL ratios were low at 1.2%.

Peer Comparables: Multi finance companies

ADMF
BFIN
CFIN
MFIN
WOMF

Market cap
(US$m)

Price
(Rp/s)

FY11F

1,320
392
209
99
58

12,150
4,750
510
690
265

Weighted average
Simple average

PE (x)

FY12F

FY11F

7.7x
7.2x
6.9x
4.7x
88.3x

NA
5.5x
6.0x
4.0x
NA

7.1x
6.6x

5.4x
5.2x

PBV (x)

FY12F

Net div (%)


FY11F
FY12F

38.5%
19.7%
15.3%
29.0%
1.2%

NA
19.3%
13.4%
27.0%
n/a

0.0%
0.0%
2.2%
0.0%
0.0%

NA
0.0%
2.2%
NA
NA

31.1%
25.6%

18.6%
21.2%

n.m
n.m

n.m.
n.m.

FY12F

FY11F

2.7x
1.3x
0.9x
NA
1.2x

NA
1.0x
0.8x
NA
NA

2.1x
1.5x

0.8x
0.9x

ROE (%)

* Weighted average PE excludes WOMF


^ Refers to 2-year EPS CAGR for CY11-13

Source: Bloomberg; Companies; DBS Vickers

Peer Comparables: Banks


Market
cap

Price

Target
Price

(US$m)

(Rp/s)

(Rp/s)

Bank Central Asia

21,500

8,000

8,500

Buy

23.3x

19.5x

17.5x

13.2

Bank Danamon

4,649

4,450

4,800

Hold

13.2x

12.7x

10.6x

20.8

Bank Mandiri
Bank Negara
Indonesia
Bank Rakyat
Indonesia
Bank Tabungan
Negara
Bank Tabungan
Pensiunan
Nasional

17,168

6,750

7,200

Buy

15.2x

11.4x

10.1x

12.9

8,029

3,950

4,500

Buy

14.7x

12.6x

11.2x

18,151

6,750

8,200

Buy

13.8x

10.5x

1,146

1,190

1,500

Buy

11.3x

2,161

3,500

4,700

Buy

23.7x

Banking Group

Rating

PE (x)
FY10F

FY11F

CAGR
FY12F

^ (%)

P/BV (x)
FY10F

ROE
(%)

Net div
(%)

FY11F

FY12F

FY12F

FY12F

5.8x

4.8x

4.0x

24.9%

1.5%

2.1x

1.7x

1.5x

14.8%

3.3%

3.4x

2.3x

2.0x

20.9%

3.1%

13.6

1.8x

2.0x

1.7x

16.3%

2.4%

9.8x

12.2

4.3x

3.2x

2.6x

29.0%

3.1%

9.3x

8.5x

15.1

1.6x

1.4x

1.3x

15.7%

3.2%

14.2x

12.3x

22.5

4.7x

3.5x

2.7x

25.1%

0.0%

Weighted average

17.3x

13.9x

12.4x

4.1x

3.2x

2.7x

23.3%

2.5%

Simple average

16.5x

12.9x

11.4x

3.4x

2.7x

2.2x

21.0%

2.4%

Weighted average (ex BBCA)

14.7x

11.5x

10.3x

3.4x

2.5x

2.1x

22.6%

2.9%

Simple average (ex BBCA)

15.3x

11.8x

9.6x

3.0x

2.3x

1.8x

20.4%

2.8%

Buy (B), Hold (H), Fully Valued (FV)


^ Refers to 2-year EPS CAGR for CY10-12

Source: Bloomberg; Companies; DBS Vickers

Page 15

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

Stock Profiles

Page 16

Industry Focus

Adira Dinamika Multi Finance


Bloomberg: ADMF IJ | Reuters: ADMF.JK

NOT RATED Rp12,250 JCI : 4,079.38

Driven by auto loans

Potential Catalyst: -

Funding supported by major shareholder, BDMN

Analyst
LIM Sue Lin +603 2711 0971
suelin@hwangdbsvickers.com.my

Resilient growth of auto industry is driving


sustainable new bookings

Indonesia Research Team +62 21 3983 2668


research@id.dbsvickers.com

But keep an eye on operating costs and thinning


margins

Price Relative
4,500

16,000

4,000

14,000

3,500

12,000

3,000

10,000

2,500

8,000

2,000

6,000

1,500

4,000

1,000

2,000

500

2008

2009
Relative JCI Index (LHS)

2010

2011

2012

Adira Dinamika Multi Finance (RHS)

Financials and Valuation


FY Dec (Rp bn)

Pre-prov. Profit
Net Profit
Net Pft (Pre Ex.)
EPS (Rp)
EPS Pre Ex. (Rp)
EPS Gth (%)
EPS Gth Pre Ex (%)
Diluted EPS (Rp)
PE Pre Ex. (X)
Net DPS (Rp)
Div Yield (%)
ROAE Pre Ex. (%)
ROAE (%)
ROA (%)
BV Per Share (Rp)
P/Book Value (x)

Synergies with BDMN. Bank Danamon (BDMN) is now


major shareholder of Adira Dinamika Multi Finance
(ADMF) after exercising its call options over the years. It
has 95% stake in the company. ADMF specialises in
financing motorcycles and cars, both new and used.
Previously, it also extended loans to the electronics
sector, but that business unit has been taken over by
affiliate PT Adira Quantum Multifinance. There is also
cross-selling of Adira Insurance products.

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

1,445
1,020
1,020
1,020
1,020
82.3
82.3
1,020
12.0
280
2.3
25.0
25.0
13.0
1,950
6.3

1,691
1,212
1,212
1,212
1,212
18.8
18.8
1,212
10.1
510
4.2
25.0
25.0
14.2
2,652
4.6

2,125
1,468
1,468
1,468
1,468
21.1
21.1
1,468
8.3
242
2.0
25.0
25.0
7.7
3,795
3.2

2,568
1,583
1,583
1,583
1,583
7.9
7.9
1,583
7.7
954
7.8
25.0
25.0
8.0
4,421
2.8

N/A
B: N/A

N/A
S: N/A

N/A
H: N/A

Consensus EPS (Rp):


Other Broker Recs:

ICB Industry : Finance


ICB Sector: Multifinance
Principal Business: Adira Dinamika Multi Finance (ADMF) is a finance
company that focuses on financing new and used 2W and 4W. It is
95% owned by BDMN.

Source of all data: Company, DBS Vickers, Bloomberg

Page 17
Recipients of this report, received from DBS Vickers Research (Singapore) Pte Ltd
(DBSVR), are to contact DBSVR at +65 6533 9688 in respect of any matters arising
from or in connection with this report.
www.dbsvickers.com
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
ed: SGC / sa: MA

Growth driven by auto loans. BDMN channels


lending through ADMF and cross-sells other products to
ADMFs customers. But growth had been mainly driven
by strong auto sales, with industry growth resilient at
9% for 2W and 17% for 4W in 2011. The largest share
of new financing last year was to new motorcycles,
valued at Rp15.5tr for 1.26m units.
Key risks: rising operating costs and thinning
margins. The largest expense item is staff cost. Costto-income ratio is maintained at 60.2% in 2010. With
195 competitors in the industry in 2011, competition
has heated up and is squeezing margins and causing
asset quality to deteriorate.

At A Glance
Issued Capital (m shrs)
Mkt. Cap (Rpbn/US$m)
Major Shareholders
Bank Danamon (%)
Free Float (%)
Avg. Daily Vol.(000)

1,000
12,250/1,334
95.0
5.0
17,805

Industry Focus
Adira Dinamika Multi Finance

Company Background
Strong synergy with BDMN. Adira Dinamika Multi Finance
(ADMF) was established as a multi-finance company in the
1990 by Raphael Adi Rachmat, Linda Rachmat and Yus
Winata. It was a part of the Triputra Group, a conglomerate
with many businesses, including a motorcycle dealership,
auto parts manufacturing, and auto parts retail. After ADMF
went public, Bank Danamon (BDMN) has since become major
shareholder with 95% stake after exercising its call options
over the years.
Cross-selling opportunities within the group. ADMF
specialises in financing new and used motorcycles and cars. It
also extended loans for electronic appliances, but that
business unit has been taken over by an affiliate company, PT
Adira Quantum Multifinance. ADMF also bundles its finance
products with insurance products by Adira Insurance, in
which BDMN has 90% stake.
Growth Strategies
Access to funding remains a competitive strength. Despite
the large number of multi-finance companies in Indonesia,
ADMF remains one of the strongest. One of the reasons is the
support of major shareholder, BDMN. The bank channels
lending through ADMF and cross-sells other products to
ADMFs customers. But growth has been driven mainly by the
strong auto sales, which growth resilient at 9% for 2W and
17% for 4W respectively in 2011. ADMF has 16% and 7%
market shares of new motorcycles and cars, respectively. The
company is diversified in terms of auto segment and brands,
and geographically.
Business model focuses on financing new and used 2W.
Although the company offers financing for both used and
new motorcycle and cars, it is skewed towards motorcycles.
The largest share of new financing last year was to new
motorcycles, valued at Rp15.5tr for 1.26m units.
Consumer Financing Portfolio
Avg. Ticket
Size (Rp m)

Avg.

Avg.

Tenor

Deposit

(mth)

(%)

Avg. Rate
(%)

4W (new)

141-143

41

21

13-16

4W (used)

91-93

35

26

15-20

2W (new)

11-12

29

15

27-31

2W (used)

7-9

25

22

31-36

Source: Company

Although smaller in ticket size, 2W financing offers higher


yields and larger volumes. And AMDF has been in the
business long enough to be able to manage the related risks,
especially for used 2W. We see this as a balanced trade-off
between risk and satisfactory reward.
No material asset quality issues. ADMF considers an asset nonperforming when repayment is 90 days past due. It writes off
loans that are more than 210 days overdue. NPLs spiked in 2010
and 2011 after a jump in new bookings. Going forward, NPL
ratio should be maintained at below 1.5%. Since 2010, ADMF
has adopted more conservative provisions for loan losses
following the implementation of a new accounting practice.
And we can see coverage ratio has been trending up since
2010. The company tries to maintain asset quality by increasing
intensity of collection, improving its approval process, and
adopting more prudent risk management.
Aggressively expanding network. ADMF has been expanded its
network aggressively, doubling the number of service point over
four years. This is in line with its strategy to penetrate deeper
into several regions nationwide, especially outside Java. As of
2011, ADMF had 653 service points spread out geographically,
with 57% located outside Java. That year, 50% of income was
generated from outside Java. However, the expansion also
resulted in higher headcount; ADMF hired 3,880 new employees
in the year.
Network Expansion
2010

2011

Branch

121

139

Representative Office/Service Point

306

365

Kiosk

103

126

Dealer Outlets

20

23

TOTAL

550

653

24,392

28,272

Employees

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Income driven by consumer financing. This is supported by


strong auto sales and ADMFs position as one of the strongest
auto financier in the market. The second larger contribution is
administration income, which is positively correlated with the
numbers on new bookings.
Funding sources. ADMFs financing activities are funded by
borrowing from financial institutions, as well as bond issues.
It recently issued Rp2.5tr worth of bonds with 24-60 months
tenure and priced at 7.75-9.00%. The total amount of bond
issuance approved is Rp6.0tr, with the remaining Rp3.5tr to

Page 18

Industry Focus
Adira Dinamika Multi Finance

be issued within 1H12. The company also has a joint-finance


facility with BDMN at 1:99 share.

Given ADMFs exposure to the 2W market, we may see a


slowdown in new bookings this year.

Gearing ratio is well below the maximum 10x imposed by


Bapepam. This gives ADMF plenty of room to borrow and
issue bonds to fund growth.

Prospect

Key Risks
Operating expenses. The largest expense item is staff cost.
The company employed an additional 3,880 people in 2011
to man its growing network. Consequently, cost-to-income
ratio shot up to 60.2% in 2011.
Strong competition. With 192 competitors by end 2010,
strong competition in the industry had resulted in thinning
margins and dwindling asset quality.
Maximum down payment regulation. MoF recently imposed
a maximum down payment for auto financing effective Jun
2012, to rein in auto sales growth. The 2W market is more
sensitive because buyers have lower purchasing power.

The company expects new bookings to reach Rp35tr in 2012,


funded by joint-finance and bonds. ADMF will issue Rp3.5tr
worth of bonds by 1H12. It is guiding for slower bookings
due to the new down payment rules and impending fuel
price hike, although the impact is still being assessed. ADMF
is expecting a dramatic slowdown, but bookings will recover
in 2013F. We expect cost of funds to trend down in this low
interest rate environment, but margins will be squeezed by
competition.
Valuation
ADMF trades at 7.7x FY11 PE and 2.7x FY11 BV, higher than
its peers given its higher ROE and market positioning within
the industry. There are no consensus estimates for ADMF.

Shareholding Structure

Franklin Templeton
Investment Funds

Public

5.0%

6.20%

26.43%

67.37%

Asia Financial (Indonesia)

99.0%

95.0%

90.0%

1.0%

Willy Suwandi Dharma

Source: Company; DBS Vickers

Page 19

10.0%

Industry Focus
Adira Dinamika Multi Finance

Market Share (4W&2W)

Lending Composition (Dec 2010)

20.0%

Motorcycle
(used)
14%

Car (new)
22%

15.73%

14.66%

16.0%

12.18%

13.58%

13.22%

2.98%

3.43%

2008

2009

15.81%

12.0%
8.0%
Car (used)
11%

8.65%

4.0%
2.66%
2007

0.0%

Motorcycle
(new)
53%

2006

Market Share 4W

2010

4.5%

3.74%

700

4.0%
3.5%

600

3.0%

500

West Java
11%

2.5%

400
300
0.87%

200

0.95%

1.24%

1.25%

Central Java
11%

0.0%
2006

2007

2008

25.0%
20.7%

3,000
66.5%

20.6%
20.0%

17.4%

2,000

2010

2011

NPL (%)

Cost to Income

3,500

14.1%

2009

NPL(Rp bn)

Net Interest Income

2,500

13.9%

12.8%

15.0%

80.0%

67.8%

2,500

58.0%

60.2%

58.0%

2,000

1,500

10.0%

1,000
5.0%

500
-

0.0%
2007

2008

2009

2010

Consumer Financing Income (Rp bn)

50.0%
40.0%

10.0%

0.0%
2006

2007

2008

2009

Operating Expense (Rp bn)

2010

2011

CIR (%)

Net Profit and ROE (%)


3.00

10,000

2.50
2.00

1.57

1,800
1,600

2.43

60.0%

52.3%

51.2%
45.7%

45.7%

1,400

50.0%
38.7%

1,200
1,000

1.50

1.10

4,000

1.00

0.68
0.43

2,000

0.34

0.50

2006

20.0%
500

2011

12,000

6,000

30.0%

1,000

NIM (%)

Gearing Ratio

8,000

70.0%
60.0%

50.4%

1,500

2006

1.5%
0.5%

East Java
12%

3,000

2.0%
1.0%

100

Sumatera
23%

2011

Market Share 2W

4.17%

800

Greater
Jakarta
15%

Kalimantan
12%

6.60%

Asset Quality Measures

Contribution of Income per Segment (Dec-11)


Bali and Nusa
Tenggara
Sulawesi 6%
10%

5.22%

2007

2008

Total Debt (Rp bn)

2009

2010
Gearing Ratio

2011

35.8%

40.0%
30.0%

800
600

20.0%

400

10.0%

200
-

0.0%
2006

2007

2008

2009

Net Profit (Rp bn)

2010
ROE (%)

Source: Company data; DBS Vickers

Page 20

Industry Focus
Adira Dinamika Multi Finance
Key Assumptions
FY Dec

Consumer Financing Gth


Portion Financed by BDMN
Yld. On Earnings Assets
Avg Cost Of Funds

Sensitivity Analysis
2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

17.4
64.0
28.4
14.1

26.6
66.9
33.4
13.0

12.3
65.0
33.9
14.2

55.1
60.6
17.3
7.7

32.3
52.8
15.0
8.0

2011

Loan gth +/- 1%


Int Yield +/- 1%

Net Profit +/- 1.9%


Net Profit +/- 11.1%

Portion financed by
BDMN is trending down

Income Statement (Rp bn)


FY Dec

Consumer Financing
I
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Net Profit bef Except

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

1,727
758
2,485
(1,636)
(47)
801
(241)
560
560

2,331
1,049
3,379
(1,934)
(26)
1,419
(399)
1,020
1,020

2,778
1,167
3,945
(2,254)
(33)
1,658
(446)
1,212
1,212

2,119
1,778
3,897
(1,772)
(193)
1,932
(464)
1,468
1,468

3,008
2,295
5,304
(2,736)
(456)
2,112
(528)
1,583
1,583

Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
22.4
Net Profit Gth
20.6
Margins, Costs & Efficiency (%)
Spread
14.2
Net Interest Margin
13.9
Cost-to-Income Ratio
65.9
Business Mix (%)
Net Int. Inc / Opg Inc.
69.5
Non-Int. Inc / Opg inc.
30.5
Fee Inc / Opg Income
Oth Non-Int Inc/Opg Inc
Profitability (%)
ROAE Pre Ex.
52.5
ROAE
52.5
ROA Pre Ex.
17.0
ROA
17.0

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 21

Operating expenses to
increase along with
network expansion and
new staff hire.

Margins Trend
3,500

25%

3,000

20%

2,500
2,000

15%

1,500

10%

1,000

35.0
82.3

19.2
18.8

(23.7)
21.1

42.0
7.9

20.4
20.7
57.2

19.7
20.6
57.1

9.6
17.4
45.5

7.0
12.8
51.6

69.0
31.0
-

70.4
29.6
-

54.4
45.6
-

56.7
43.3
-

64.3
64.3
28.4
28.4

52.7
52.7
28.0
28.0

45.5
45.5
19.3
19.3

38.5
38.5
9.4
9.4

5%

500
-

0%
2007

2008

2009

2010

Net Interest Income

2011
NIM

Industry Focus
Adira Dinamika Multi Finance
Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (Rp bn)
FY Dec

Financing Income
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Net Profit bef Except
Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
Net Profit Gth

4Q10A

1Q11A

Quarterly Net Profit & Growth


2Q11A

3Q11A

4Q11A

579
515
1,094
(483)
(99)
512
(127)
384
384

667
475
1,141
(573)
(51)
517
(129)
388
388

728
527
1,255
(646)
(137)
472
(118)
354
354

830
650
1,480
(733)
(89)
657
(165)
(3)
490
490

784
643
1,427
(783)
(179)
465
(116)
3
352
352

8.5
3.1

15.1
0.8

9.2
(8.8)

14.1
38.5

(5.6)
(28.1)

50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
-10.0
-20.0
-30.0
-40.0

600
500
400
300
200
100
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
Qty Net Profit

Net Profit Gth

4Q11 result is weak on the


back of higher operating
expenses and provision.

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 22

Industry Focus
Adira Dinamika Multi Finance
Gross Consumer Financing & Gth

Balance Sheet (Rp bn)


FY Dec

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

Cash & Cash Eqv.


Financing (net)
Investment Securities
Prepaid Expenses
Other Receivables
Fixed Assets
Intangible Asset
Other Assets
Total Assets

376
1,905
69
22
151
25
752
3,302

474
1,821
82
19
155
46
995
3,592

487
2,562
1
75
21
145
44
996
4,330

619
6,544
1
136
31
191
35
43
7,600

2,793
13,241
1
234
123
263
29
205
16,889

Fund Borrowing
Bonds
Taxes Payable
Accrued expenses
Other Liabilities
Shareholders' Funds
Total Liab& S/Hs Funds

146
1,200
37
260
435
1,225
3,302

96
749
225
299
273
1,950
3,592

225
677
51
354
370
2,652
4,330

50
2,535
53
618
548
3,795
7,600

2,957
7,805
62
745
899
4,421
16,889

Financial Stability Measures (%)


FY Dec

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

60,000

60%

50,000

50%

40,000

40%

30,000

30%

20,000

20%

10,000

10%
2007

Liabilities Measure
Gearing Ratio
Laibility/Equity

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

2008

2009

Gross Financing

2010

2011

Gross Financing Gth

ADMF has been aggressively


issuing bonds to reduce
dependence on BDMN to fund
growth.
Total Debt & Gearing Ratio
12,000

3.0

10,000

2.5

8,000

2.0

6,000

1.5

4,000

1.0

2,000

0.5
0.0

Balance Sheet Structure


Financing/ Total Asset
Debt/Total Liability
Borrowings/ Int. Bear. Liab.
Bonds/ Int. Bear. Liab.
Asset Quality
NPL / Total Gross Loans
NPL / Total Assets
Loan Loss Reserve Coverage
Provision Coverage Ratio

0%

57.7
40.8
7.0
57.8

50.7
23.5
5.8
45.6

59.2
20.8
13.4
40.4

86.1
34.0
1.3
66.6

78.4
63.7
23.7
62.6

3.74
20.3
7.1
7.7

0.87
5.5
13.2
5.2

0.95
5.6
13.6
6.0

1.24
6.4
39.6
21.4

1.25
3.9
69.9
38.2

1.10
1.70

0.43
0.84

0.34
0.63

0.68
1.00

2.43
2.82

2007

2008

2009

2010

Total Debt

2011
Gearing Ratio

NPL Ratio has


improved sharply since
2007.
NPL / Total Gross Loans
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
2007

2008

2009

2010

NPL (%)

Page 23

2011

Industry Focus

BFI Finance
Bloomberg: ADMF IJ | Reuters: ADMF.JK

Opportunities in direct
financing

NOT RATED Rp4,725 JCI : 4,079.38


Potential Catalyst: Analyst
LIM Sue Lin +603 2711 0971
suelin@hwangdbsvickers.com.my
Indonesia Research Team +62 21 3983 2668
research@id.dbsvickers.com

Price Relative
4,500

8,000

4,000

7,000

3,500

6,000

3,000

Increasing share of high yielding assets, reducing


reliance in dealer-generated bookings

Focus on expanding outside Java and Bali

Competition squeezing NIM in the long run

Venturing into direct financing. BFI Finance (BFIN)s


unique characteristic is its focus on direct financing. This is
an effort to venture into higher yielding assets and reduce
dependence on dealer-generated bookings.

5,000

2,500

4,000

2,000

3,000

1,500

2,000

1,000

1,000

500

2008

2009

2010

Relative JCI Index (LHS)

2011

2012

BFI Finance (RHS)

Financials and Valuation


FY Dec Rp bn)

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

Pre-prov. Profit
Net Profit
Net Pft (Pre Ex.)
EPS (Rp)
EPS Pre Ex. (Rp)
EPS Gth (%)
EPS Gth Pre Ex (%)
Diluted EPS (Rp)
PE Pre Ex. (X)
Net DPS (Rp)
Div Yield (%)
ROAE Pre Ex. (%)
ROAE (%)
ROA (%)
BV Per Share (Rp)
P/Book Value (x)

463
362
362
476
476
20.1
20.1
476
10
78
1.7
20.8
20.8
9.4
2,553
1.85

558
425
425
559
559
17.5
17.5
559
8
19.8
19.8
8.0
3,112
1.52

698
512
512
674
674
20.4
20.4
674
7
56
1.2
19.6
19.6
7.1
3,751
1.26

784
577
577
758
758
12.6
12.6
758
6
67
1.4
18.5
18.5
6.6
4,450
1.06

B: 1

666
S: N/A

866
H: N/A

Consensus EPS (Rp):


Other Broker Recs:

ICB Industry : Finance


ICB Sector: Multifinance
Principal Business: BFIN provides financial services such as leasing,
consumer financing and factoring.

Source of all data: Company, DBS Vickers, Bloomberg

Page 24
Recipients of this report, received from DBS Vickers Research (Singapore) Pte Ltd
(DBSVR), are to contact DBSVR at +65 6533 9688 in respect of any matters arising
from or in connection with this report.
www.dbsvickers.com
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
ed: SGC / sa: MA

Focus on regions outside Java and Bali. Based on data


from BPS, the population outside Java and Bali has been
growing more rapidly, which translate into larger business
potential for BFIN. Currently, more than 60% of BFINs
income is generated from branches outside Java and Bali.
BFIN is committed to expanding its distribution network
outside Java and Bali.
Competition squeezing margins. There are 192 multifinance companies in Indonesia who also have to compete
with banks for a slice of the pie. In order to gain market
share, finance companies have to fork out higher
acquisition costs and have better relationships with the
dealers, which are eating into NIMs. However, BFIN is
mitigating this by increasing the share of direct financing
in its loan portfolio and developing its network and
channels to reduce dependence on dealers.

At A Glance
Issued Capital (m shrs)
Mkt. Cap (Rpbn/US$m)
Major Shareholders
Trinugraha Capital (%)
Northen Trust S/A AVFC (%)
Free Float (%)
Avg. Daily Vol.(000)

760
3,592/391
45.0
10.0
45.0
250,250

Industry Focus
BFI Finance

Company Background
Over 20 years track record. The company started out as a
joint venture with Manufacturer Hanover Leasing Company in
1982. Hanover Leasing subsequently sold its stake to PT Bank
Umum Nasional and Essompark Ltd of Hong Kong in 1986. In
1990, the company was licensed as a multi-finance company
and renamed PT Bunas Finance Indonesia. BFIN then went
public and was listed on the Jakarta and Surabaya Stock
Exchanges in the same year.

Expanding into direct financing will also reduce its


dependence on dependency on dealer-generated financing.
Dealers have the power to dictate rates, and prefer lower
rates to encourage sales. Furthermore, dealers charge high
commission rates, which will squeeze BFINs margins in the
long run. One dealership usually accommodates sales persons
from several finance companies. Dealers prefer either finance
companies that pay high commission rates and offer fast
approvals.
Key Risks

Recently acquired by Trinugraha Capital & Co. A consortium


comprising TPG Capital, Northstar Equity Partners and Boy
Garibaldi Thohir bought a controlling stake (44.95%) in BFIN
in May 2011 for Rp1.44tr. BTPN, which is also owned by TPG
Capital, became a related company. Currently, BFIN has a
Rp1tr joint-finance agreement with BTPN, and we expect this
strategic alliance to improve down the road. We also note
that Boy Garibaldi Thohir is one of the Commissioners of
WOM Finance (WOMF), a finance company that focuses on
2W.
Growth Strategies
Concentrating on higher yielding assets. BFINs business
includes leasing, dealer-generated new and used 4W
financing, as well as direct financing for new and used 4W.
Going forward, BFIN is looking at 20-25% growth in new
bookings with emphasis on higher-yielding segments i.e.
direct financing and leasing of Light Commercial Vehicles
(LCV). The average asset yield generated from this segment is
significantly higher than dealer-generated financing due to
additional risks. Direct financing of used cars can generate
average 23% yield, while used motorcycles can yield 41%.
Dealer generated used cars generate 18% yield after dealer
commissions (part of acquisition costs).
Average financing yield per segment
Leasing
Dealer generated used car financing
Dealer generated new car financing
Direct used car financing
Direct motorcycle financing
Blended

17-18%
18-20%
16-17%
23-25%
41-42%
21-24%

Dependent on bank borrowings. BFINs main source of


funding is still bank borrowings, at rates of 9.48-15.75%. But
it plans to increase the share of bond funding by issuing Rp12tr within the next two years. It also has joint-finance
agreements with several banks, including BTPN, to fund
growth in consumer financing. Going forward, the company
will utilise more of this facility.
Competition squeezing margins. There are 192 multi-finance
companies in Indonesia who also have to compete with banks
for a slice of the pie. In order to gain market share, financing
companies have to fork out higher acquisition costs and have
better relationships with dealers, which will squeeze NIMs.
BFIN is trying to mitigate this by increasing the share of direct
financing in its loan portfolio, and develop a network and
channels to reduce dependence on dealers.
Prospect
Has not utilised financing facility from BTPN. BFIN has a
revolving joint-finance facility from its sister company, BTPN.
The Rp1tr facility is non-recourse with 10:90 share. BFIN has
only used Rp142bn at end 2011. Going forward, we will see
BFIN utilising more of this facility to grow its asset base.
Focusing on growth outside Java and Bali. Despite keen
competition, BFINs growth is sustainable. Its unique
approach to compete is to expand and maintain its market
shares outside Java and Bali. More than 60% of BFINs
income is generated from branches outside Java and Bali. This
trend should continue along with BFINs efforts to expand its
distribution network outside Java and Bali.

Source: Company

Page 25

Industry Focus
BFI Finance

Valuation
Currently trading at below book value. BFIN trades at 1.0x
FY12 P/BV and 5.5x FY12 PE based on consensus estimates.
There is only 1 broker covering the stock with a Buy
recommendation. BFINs shares are tightly held, with free
float at 45%. Trinugraha Capital & Co recently bought 45%

stake in the company. Prior to the acquisition, BFIN was


owned by several shareholders with each owning less than
20%. Stock liquidity is thin, with 250m average daily traded
volume (3-month average).

Shareholding Structure

TPG Nusantara S.a.r.l.

Trinugraha Capital & Co


SCA
44.95%

59.68%

40.32%

Page 26

9.96%

45.09%

Public

Source: Company; DBS Vickers

The Northern Trust S/A


AVFC

Industry Focus
BFI Finance

Avg Earning Asset, Cost of Funds and NIM

Lending Composition (Dec 2010)


Consumer
Financing Used
Motorcycle Direct, 8%
Consumer
Financing Used
Car - Direct,
22%

25.0%

Leasing HETO,
13%

20.0%

Leasing LCV,
7%

15.0%
10.0%
5.0%

Consumer
Financing Used
Car - Dealer,
31%

Consumer
Financing New
Car - Dealer,
19%

0.0%
2006

2007

2008

2009

Yield of earning asset

2010

2011

2012F

Av cost of funds

2013F

NIM

Asset Quality Measures

Contribution of Income per Segment (Dec-11)

80

Unallocated
14%

(Rp bn)

2.5%

70

Java
33%

2.0%

60
50

Sulawesi
18%

1.5%

40
1.0%

30
20

0.5%

10
Sumatera
21%

Kalimantan
14%

2,000.00

13.4% 13.0%

16.0%

13.4%
11.1% 10.8%

14.0%
10.3% 12.0%
10.0%

1,000.00

2009

2010

2011

2012F

2013F

NPL(%)

1,200.00
1,000.00

50.0%

42.1%

600.00
400.00

40.0%

200.00

35.0%

45.0%

0.0%

30.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F


Operating Income

60.0%
55.0%

48.7% 49.8%

47.7%

800.00

58.0%

6.0%
2.0%
-

55.3% 55.5%

53.2%

8.0%
4.0%

500.00

NIM

Operating Expense

Gearing Ratio

Cost to Income

Net Profit and ROE (%)

6,000.0

1.47

1.47

5,000.0

1.53

1.18
0.99

0.90

3,000.0
2,000.0

2008

Cost to Income
14.8%

1,500.00

4,000.0

2007

NPL (Rp bn)

Net Interest Margin


14.8%

0.0%
2006

0.43

0.28

1,000.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F 2013F
Debt

Gearing Ratio

1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
-

700.00

25.0%

600.00
500.00

19.6%
18.7%18.0%18.0%
17.0% 20.0%
16.6%17.1%
15.5%

400.00

15.0%

300.00

10.0%

200.00
5.0%

100.00
-

0.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Net Profit

ROE (%)

Source: Company data; DBS Vickers

Page 27

Industry Focus
BFI Finance
Key Assumptions
FY Dec

Gross Consumer Financing Gth

Gross Leasing Gth


Yld. On Earnings Assets
Avg Cost Of Funds

2009A

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

(19.5)
(41.5)
21.2
9.5

40.3
152.7
21.2
10.4

29.9
120.8
19.8
10.8

20.0
12.0
20.4
10.0

20.0
10.0
20.5
10.0

Leasing has been


growing rapidly.

Income Statement (Rp bn)


FY Dec

2009A

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

Consumer Financing
I

619
49
242
910
(443)
(75)
392
(91)
301
301

661
70
192
922
(459)
(0)
463
(101)
362
362

850
150
249
1,248
(690)
(29)
529
(104)
425
425

1,097
225
247
1,570
(872)
(15)
683
(171)
512
512

1,317
248
303
1,867
(1,083)
(15)
769
(192)
577
577

Leasing Income
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Net Profit bef Except

Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
(3.7)
Net Profit Gth
30.0
Margins, Costs & Efficiency (%)
Spread
11.7
Net Interest Margin
14.8
Cost-to-Income Ratio
48.7
Business Mix (%)
Net Int. Inc / Opg Inc.
73.4
Non-Int. Inc / Opg inc.
26.6
Fee Inc / Opg Income
Oth Non-Int Inc/Opg Inc
Profitability (%)
ROAE Pre Ex.
20.8
ROAE
20.8
ROA Pre Ex.
12.6
ROA
12.6

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 28

Operating Expense
increasing in line with
network expansion and
new staff hire.

Margins Trend
700

16%

600

14%

500

12%
10%

400

8%

300

6%

200

4%

100

2%

9.3
20.1

36.8
17.5

32.3
20.4

18.3
12.6

10.7
13.4
49.8

9.0
11.1
55.3

10.4
10.8
55.5

10.5
10.3
58.0

79.2
20.8
-

80.0
20.0
-

84.2
15.8
-

83.8
16.2
-

20.8
20.8
9.4
9.4

19.8
19.8
8.0
8.0

19.6
19.6
7.1
7.1

18.5
18.5
6.6
6.6

0%
2009

2010

2011

2012F

Net Interest Income

2013F
NIM

Industry Focus
BFI Finance
Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (Rp bn)
FY Dec

4Q10

1Q11

Quarterly Net Profit & Growth


2Q11

3Q11

4Q11

30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%

140
120

Leasing Income
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Net Profit bef Except

182
22
51
255
(127)
(0)
128
(25)
103
103

193
25
56
274
(148)
126
(25)
101
101

205
33
59
297
(166)
(6)
125
(25)
101
101

220
41
61
321
(188)
(9)
125
(24)
100
100

231
51
74
356
(188)
(14)
153
(30)
123
123

Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
Net Profit Gth

(4.6)
25.5

7.4
(1.5)

8.7
(0.8)

9.6
(0.1)

8.3
22.7

Consumer Financing Income

100
80
60
40
20
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
Qty Net Profit

Net Profit Gth

4Q is always the strongest


quarter, with high net profit
growth q-o-q.

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 29

Industry Focus
BFI Finance
Gross Consumer Financing & Gth

Balance Sheet (Rp bn)


FY Dec

2009A

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%

7,000

Cash and Cash


E i l t
Leasing (net)
Consumer Financing
( t)
Fixed Asset
Derivative Receivables
Deferred Tax Asset
Other Assets
Total Assets

166
167
1,916
55
12
27
50
2,393

334
511
2,807
145
6
6
61
3,870

231
1,085
3,666
204
40
4
75
5,305

1,320
1,195
4,345
220
44
5
68
7,197

1,843
1,313
5,208
231
48
5
71
8,720

Fund Borrowing
Bonds
Taxes Payable
Accrued expenses
Other Liabilities
Shareholders' Funds
Total Liab& S/Hs Funds

657
25
75
102
1,534
2,393

1,593
159
21
73
84
1,941
3,870

2,316
482
21
64
56
2,366
5,305

3,127
1,060
22
67
70
2,852
7,197

3,908
1,272
23
71
63
3,384
8,720

Financial Stability Measures (%)


FY Dec

2009A

2010A

2011A

2012F

2013F

Balance Sheet Structure


Consumer Financing/ Total Asset

80.1
7.0
76.5
76.5

Leasing/ Total Asset


Debt/Total Liability
Borrowings/ Int. Bear. Liab.
Asset Quality
NPL / Total Gross Loans
0.8
NPL / Total Assets
0.8
Loan Loss Reserve Coverage
1,059.5
Provision Coverage Ratio
(1,018.3)
Liabilities Measure
Gearing Ratio
0.43
Laibility/Equity
0.56

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
2009

2010

2011

2012F

Gross Financing

2013F

Gross Financing Gth

Funding still dependent on


borrowings
Gross Leasing & Growth
200%

1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
-

150%
100%
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
2009

2010

2011

72.5
13.2
90.8
82.5

69.1
20.4
95.2
78.8

60.4
16.6
96.3
72.0

59.7
15.1
97.1
73.2

0.7
0.6
313.5
424.7

1.4
1.2
92.2
103.5

1.1
0.9
115.3
690.5

1.1
0.8
132.7
425.4

Gearing ratio is well


below Bapepams cap.

0.90
0.99

1.18
1.24

1.47
1.52

1.53
1.58

NPL / Total Gross Loans

2012F

Gross Leasing

2013F

Gross Financing Gth

1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
2009

2010

2011

2012F

NPL (%)

Page 30

2013F

Industry Focus

Clipan Finance
Bloomberg: BBCA IJ | Reuters: BBCA.JK

NOT RATED Rp510 JCI : 4,079.38

Business as usual

Potential Catalyst:

Top revenue contributor is leasing, followed by


consumer financing
Funding growth with bank borrowings, but
seeking to increase bond issuance

Analyst
LIM Sue Lin +603 2711 0971
suelin@hwangdbsvickers.com.my

Expect resilient year despite global economic


headwinds

Indonesia Research Team +62 21 3983 2668


research@id.dbsvickers.com

Price Relative
4,500

900

4,000

800

3,500

700

3,000

600

2,500

500

2,000

400

1,500

300

1,000

200

500

100

2008

2009

2010

Relative JCI Index (LHS)

2011

2012

Clipan Finance (RHS)

Financials and Valuation


FY Dec (Rp bn)

Pre-prov. Profit
Net Profit
Net Pft (Pre Ex.)
EPS (Rp)
EPS Pre Ex. (Rp)
EPS Gth (%)
EPS Gth Pre Ex (%)
Diluted EPS (Rp)
PE Pre Ex. (X)
Net DPS (Rp)
Div Yield (%)
ROAE Pre Ex. (%)
ROAE (%)
ROA (%)
BV Per Share (Rp)
P/Book Value (x)

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011F*

122
75
75
28
28
(28.5)
(28.5)
28
18.0
9.9
9.9
4.5
402
1.3

193
113
113
43
43
51.1
51.1
43
11.9
10.1
10.1
7.0
445
1.1

224
150
150
57
57
33.1
33.1
57
9.0
5
0.0
12.1
12.1
8.5
497
1.0

269
201
201
76
76
33.6
33.6
76
6.7
15
0.0
14.4
14.4
7.5
561
0.9

Consensus EPS (Rp):


N/A
N/A
409
Other Broker Recs:
B: 1
S: 0
H: 0
*Based on DBSV estimates
ICB Industry : Financials
ICB Sector: Banks
Principal Business: CFIN provides leasing and consumer financing
services.

Source of all data: Company, DBS Vickers, Bloomberg

Page 31
Recipients of this report, received from DBS Vickers Research (Singapore) Pte Ltd
(DBSVR), are to contact DBSVR at +65 6533 9688 in respect of any matters arising
from or in connection with this report.
www.dbsvickers.com
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
ed: SGC / sa: MA

Leasing contributes 50% of revenue. Ticket size is


this segment is significantly larger than in consumer
financing, averaging Rp500m. Yields are similar to
consumer financing.
Funding not an issue yet. The company has several
funding sources: channeling with PNBN, bank
borrowings, and bond issuance. Currently, the largest
source of funding is bank borrowings. However, it
issued Rp1tr worth of bonds at end 2011, and expects
to issue more in 2012.
Expect loan growth to remain resilient. CFINs loan
growth has been robust for the past five years. It is
expecting assets to grow by Rp5tr and net profit by
c.3% in FY11.Moving into 2012, it expects to see the
similar growth, driven by leasing and consumer
financing. It also expects more contribution from
factoring unit in the year.

At A Glance
Issued Capital (m shrs)
Mkt. Cap (Rpbn/US$m)
Major Shareholders
PT Panin Financial (%)
Voltraint No 1103 Pty Ltd(%)
Free Float (%)
Avg. Daily Vol.(000)

2,642
1,925/210
44.68
38.82
45.65
8,681

Industry Focus
Clipan Finance

Company Profile
Network Expansion
Bank Pan Indonesia is major shareholder. PT Clipan Finance
Indonesia Tbk (CFIN) started out in 1982 as a joint-venture
company between Credit Lyonnais of France and PT Bank Pan
Indonesia (PNBN). In 1990, CFIN became a listed company
and in 1997, Credit Lyonnais stake in CFIN was acquired by
PNBN, which has since been its major shareholder.

2010

3Q11

Branch

18

18

Marketing Office

10

14

TOTAL

28

32

Employees

654

843

Source: Company

Growth Strategies
Diverse multi-finance business. In line with its principal
business, CFIN offers the following: consumer financing for
new and used cars, lease financing, and factoring of short
term bills or receivables of companies for domestic trade
transactions. Its focus is consumer financing, mainly to loans
for used cars through dealers, at fixed rates and loan tenures
of 1-4 years.
Consumer financing: focus on Greater Jakarta. In order to
manage credit risk, CFIN tries to diversify its loan portfolio.
Geographically, it focuses on Greater Jakarta, which makes
up 53.4% of its total portfolio. It finances mainly non-sedan
Japanese vehicles (c.85% of total portfolio). Japanese vehicles
have better resale values and see stronger used car demand.
In leasing, its portfolio comprises mainly the following brands:
Hitachi, Komatsu, Caterpillar and Kobelco, which have
excellent resale value in the secondary market.
CFIN has also ventured into the higher-yielding business by
providing direct financing for used cars. Yields are 2 to 3%
higher than for consumer financing, and the average tenure
is 18 months to 2 years. This segment typically sees 20%
repeat business.
Factoring business started in 2007. Most of its factoring
business is derived from referrals from PNBN. CFIN provides
short term financing for corporate clients, charging them
16% annually. The term of financing is more than 91 days
and less than a year. Typically a land or building is used as
collateral.
In expansion mode. New bookings grew in 2011 after it
expanded it added five branches and 144 employees in 2010,
and another four branches and 189 employees in 2011.
Looking ahead, CFIN wants to expand outside Java with plans
to open 5-10 branches this year. Its plan is to open a few
main branches in large cities, and then try to penetrate the
region with smaller branches in smaller cities.

Key Risks
NIM pressure due to competition. Like its peers in the
industry, CFIN is starting to feel slight NIM pressure due to
competition. Moreover, since consumer financing is a dealer
generated business, dealer incentives or acquisition costs are
also eating into margins. But with cost of funds trending
down, CFIN believes it can maintain margins going ahead.
Prospects
Funded by borrowings. Most of its borrowing is from PNBN,
its major shareholder. At end 3Q11, Rp2.3tr of its funds were
from PNBN and Bank Danamon (BDMN), with effective
annual interest rate of 10.74%. In 2011, it raised Rp1.5tr
from bonds and a right issue. Going forward, we expect
equal weighting between bank borrowings and bond
issuance to finance growth. The company plans to issue more
bonds in 2012. Gearing ratio is below 1x, allowing plenty of
room for CFIN to take on more debt.
PNBN channels loans through CFIN. The company has a
channeling agreement with PNBN. CFIN prefers this option
rather than joint-financing to grow its asset base. Currently,
the company has a revolving facility of Rp600bn with PNBN
that charges 9.25% for 12 months, 9.75% for 13-24 months
and 10.25% for 25-36 months. As of 3Q11, CFIN has used
Rp107.9bn of the facility.
Valuation
CFIN currently trades at 0.8x FY12 P/BV and 6.0x FY12 PE
based on consensus estimates. There is only 1 broker that
cover the stock with a Buy recommendation. Trading volume
for CFIN is rather limited with only 8m average daily traded
volume (3-month average)

Page 32

Industry Focus
Clipan Finance

Shareholder Structure

Morgan Stanley & Co


Intl PLC

Mellon Bank NA S/A


8.07%

54.35%

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 33

6.56%

31.02%

Public

Industry Focus
Clipan Finance

New Bookings Composition (2011)

Asset Yield, Cost of Funds and NIM

Factoring,
15%

16.0%
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%

Consumer
Financing,
52%

6.0%
4.0%
2.0%

Leasing, 33%

0.0%
2006

2007

2008

Yield of earning asset

Contribution of Income per Segment (Sep-11)

2009

Av cost of funds

2010
NIM

Asset Quality Measures


20.00

Factoring
13%

1.20%

18.00

1.00%

16.00
14.00

0.80%

12.00
10.00

0.60%

8.00

0.40%

6.00

Leasing
51%

4.00

0.20%

2.00

Consumer
Financing
36%

0.00%

2006

2007

2008
NPL (Rp bn)

Net Interest Income


14.0%
11.0%

350.00
9.1%

11.5%

12.0%

10.4%

9.5%

10.0%

250.00

8.0%

200.00

6.0%

150.00

4.0%

100.00

2.0%

50.00

0.0%

2006

2010

NPL (%)

Cost to Incomel

400.00

300.00

2009

2007

2008
Interest Income

2009

2010

160.00
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
-

50.0%
44.2%

45.0%

40.5%

40.0%
32.1%

33.1%

2009

2010

2007

2008

Operating Expense

Cost to Income

Net Profit and ROE (%)

Gearing Ratio
(Rp bn)

(x)

1,200

0.80
0.70

1,000

250.00
200.00

13.6%
11.5%

11.2%

0.60
800

0.50

600

150.00

0.30

400

0.20
200

8.0%

100.00

6.0%
4.0%

50.00

2007
Total Debt (RHS)

2008

2009

2010

Gearing Ratio (LHS)

14.0%
10.0%

7.0%

2.0%

0.10

16.0%
12.0%

9.6%

0.40

2006

35.0%
30.0%

2006

NIM (%)

55.0%

50.6%

0.0%
2006

2007

2008
Net Profit

2009

2010

ROE (%)

*At the time of this report is published, CFIN has yet to release its FY11 results.
Source: Company data; DBS Vickers

Page 34

Industry Focus
Clipan Finance

Key Assumptions
FY Dec

Gross Consumer Financing Gth

Gross Leasing Gth


Yld. On Earnings Assets
Avg Cost Of Funds

2006A

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

36.4
(7.7)
15.1
1.0

37.3
116.0
11.5
4.9

(23.0)
2.4
12.9
10.1

72.6
(1.7)
11.0
9.4

123.0
(2.6)
11.3
7.3
Growth of consumer
financing segment has
been resilient.

Income Statement (Rp bn)


FY Dec

Consumer Financing Income

Leasing Income
Factroring Income
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Net Profit bef Except

2006A

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

49
77
28
154
(78)
(7)
69
(19)
50
50

65
83
2
69
218
(96)
(28)
94
(20)
75
75

76
151
28
68
323
(131)
(34)
158
(45)
113
113

69
145
52
64
329
(106)
(21)
202
(52)
150
150

137
158
44
64
403
(133)
(4)
265
(64)
201
201

Margins Trend
250

1400%
1200%

200

1000%

150

800%

100

600%
400%

50

200%
0%

2007

Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
(5.7)
Net Profit Gth
(5.9)
Margins, Costs & Efficiency (%)
Spread
14.1
Net Interest Margin
9.1
Cost-to-Income Ratio
50.6
Business Mix (%)
Net Int. Inc / Opg Inc.
81.9
Non-Int. Inc / Opg inc.
18.1
Fee Inc / Opg Income
Oth Non-Int Inc/Opg Inc
Profitability (%)
ROAE Pre Ex.
11.7
ROAE
11.7
ROA Pre Ex.
6.4
ROA
6.4

Page 35

2009

2010

Net Interest Income

18.6
48.8

70.6
51.1

3.9
33.1

27.6
33.6

6.6
9.5
44.2

2.9
11.0
40.5

1.6
11.5
32.1

4.1
10.4
33.1

68.5
31.5
-

78.9
21.1
-

80.5
19.5
-

84.0
16.0
-

9.9
9.9
4.5
4.5

10.1
10.1
7.0
7.0

12.1
12.1
8.5
8.5

14.4
14.4
7.5
7.5

*) FY2011 Financial statement is not yet published


Source: Company, DBS Vickers

2008

2011
NIM

Industry Focus
Clipan Finance
Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (Rp bn)
FY Dec

3Q2010

4Q2010

Quarterly Net Profit & Growth


1Q2011

2Q2011

3Q2011

100

100%

50

Consumer Financing
I
Leasing Income
Factoring Income
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Net Profit bef Except

37
42
8
13
99
(36)
3
66
(16)
50
50

52
38
14
9
113
(41)
(7)
66
(16)
50
50

67
41
24
20
152
77
(6)
222
(22)
200
200

78
38
28
20
164
(72)
(3)
89
(22)
67
67

91
42
28
19
180
(81)
(7)
93
(23)
69
69

Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
Net Profit Gth

25.7
9.0

21.1
0.4

26.5
297.7

9.0
(66.4)

11.8
3.2

0%

(50)

-100%
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11

-200%

(100)

-300%

(150)

-400%

(200)

-500%

(250)

-600%

Qty Net Profit

Net Profit Gth

Booked strong profit in Q1

*) FY2011 Financial statement is not yet published


Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 36

Industry Focus
Clipan Finance
Gross Consumer Financing& Gth

Balance Sheet (Rp bn)


FY Dec

2006A

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

Factoring (net)
Leased Asset
Fixed Asset
Short Term Investment
Deferred Tax Asset
Other Assets
Total Assets

33
427
281
12
11
10
4
779

26
856
377
102
11
11
262
15
16
1,674

117
880
294
259
10
15
18
6
10
1,607

31
866
494
270
9
13
74
2
11
1,771

26
927
1,108
567
11
18
15
2
20
2,694

Fund Borrowing
Bonds
Taxes Payable
Accrued expenses
Other Liabilities
Shareholders' Funds
Total Liab& S/Hs Funds

84
223
7
6
9
449
779

381
149
4
8
71
1,062
1,674

395
6
14
18
1,175
1,607

378
24
15
43
1,312
1,771

1,090
30
12
82
1,481
2,694

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Leasing (net)
Consumer Financing (net)

Financial Stability Measures (%)


FY Dec

2006A

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
-

150%
100%
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
-150%
2007

2008

Gearing Ratio
Laibility/Equity

36.1
54.8
93.3
25.5

22.5
51.1
6.1
86.5
62.1

18.3
54.7
16.1
91.3
91.3

27.9
48.9
15.3
82.3
82.3

41.1
34.4
21.1
89.8
89.8

0.2
0.2
619.1
7.0

0.3
0.3
801.4
13.9

0.3
0.3
778.9
15.1

0.6
0.7
301.5
10.9

0.4
0.3
209.0
5.0

0.7
73.3

0.5
57.7

0.3
36.8

0.3
35.0

0.7
81.9

*) FY2011 Financial statement is not yet published


Source: Company, DBS Vickers

2010

Gross Financing

2011

Gross Financing Gth

Gross Leasing & Growth


150%

1,150
1,140
1,130
1,120
1,110
1,100
1,090
1,080
1,070

100%
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
-150%
2007

Balance Sheet Structure


Consumer Financing/ Total
A t
Leasing/ Total Asset
Factoring/Total Asset
Debt/Total Liability
Borrowings/ Int. Bear. Liab.
Asset Quality
NPL / Total Gross Loans
NPL / Total Assets
Loan Loss Reserve Coverage
Provision Charge-Off Rate
Liability Measures

2009

2008

2009

2010

Gross Leasing

2011
Gross Leasing Gth

NPL / Total Gross Loans


0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
2007

2008

2009
NPL (%)

Page 37

2010

2011

Industry Focus

WOM Finance
Bloomberg: BBCA IJ | Reuters: BBCA.JK

No way but up

NOT RATED Rp265 JCI : 4,079.38

Rising cost of funds pressuring NIM

Potential Catalyst:

Asset quality is improving; exposure in books due


to 2010 legacy loans

Analyst
LIM Sue Lin +603 2711 0971
suelin@hwangdbsvickers.com.my

Expect strong growth after slowdown this year

Indonesia Research Team +62 21 3983 2668


research@id.dbsvickers.com

Price Relative
4,500

800

4,000

700

3,500

600

3,000

500

2,500

400

2,000

300

1,500
1,000

200

500

100
0

2008

2009

2010

Relative JCI Index (LHS)

2011

2012

WOM Finance (RHS)

Forecasts and Valuation


FY Dec (Rp bn)

Pre-prov. Profit
Net Profit
Net Pft (Pre Ex.)
EPS (Rp)
EPS Pre Ex. (Rp)
EPS Gth (%)
EPS Gth Pre Ex (%)
Diluted EPS (Rp)
PE Pre Ex. (X)
Net DPS (Rp)
Div Yield (%)
ROAE Pre Ex. (%)
ROAE (%)
ROA (%)
BV Per Share (Rp)
P/Book Value (x)

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

314
21
21
10
10
(107.3)
(107.3)
10
25.6
140
52.8
65.8
65.8
17.7
525
0.5

280
61
61
30
30
192.9
192.9
30
8.7
255
96.2
25.0
25.0
17.6
301
0.9

285
138
138
69
69
127.2
127.2
69
3.8
121
45.8
25.0
25.0
18.4
207
1.3

186
5
5
3
3
(96.1)
(96.1)
3
98.3
477
180.0
25.0
25.0
23.0
(269)
(1.0)

Consensus EPS (Rp):


Other Broker Recs:

n.a
B: 0

n.a
S: 0

n.a
H: 0

ICB Industry : Financials


ICB Sector: Banks
Principal Business: WOMF concentrates in providing financing for
new and secondhand motorcycles.

Source of all data: Company, DBS Vickers, Bloomberg

Page 38
Recipients of this report, received from DBS Vickers Research (Singapore) Pte Ltd
(DBSVR), are to contact DBSVR at +65 6533 9688 in respect of any matters arising
from or in connection with this report.
www.dbsvickers.com
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
ed: SGC / sa: MA

NIM squeezed by higher cost of funds. Cost of funds


is still high and averaging above its asset yields, and is
generating negative spreads. And due to tight
competition, asset yield will be flat. And with its car
financing generated by auto dealers, asset yield is also
squeezed by dealer commissions.
Asset quality might improve. Lack of expertise in
used 2W financing and strong growth of 2W financing
in 2010 caused its asset quality to deteriorate in 2011.
During the year, it wrote of Rp161bn worth of bad debt.
Going forward, WOMF will further improve loan quality
from point of origination, and will continue to train
employees who are involved in used 2W financing.
Expect turnaround. In 2011, WOMF had been
focusing on cleaning up its loan portfolio, and that was
reflected in slower loan growth. And loans for 2W
financing slowed down significantly, from an average of
15k units a month to 4k units. Going forward, WOMF
expects new 2W loans to improve to industry growth
rate. However, there is risk from the implementation of
minimum down payment and impending increase in fuel
price.

At A Glance
Issued Capital (m shrs)
Mkt. Cap (Rpbn/US$m)
Major Shareholders
Bank Internasional Indonesia (%)
PT Wahana Makmur Sejati (%)
DBS Nominees (%)
Free Float (%)
Avg. Daily Vol.(000)

2,000
530,000 /57
62.00
17.24
5.00
21.00
503,851

Industry Focus
WOM Finance

Company Profile
Started out as a financing new Honda motorcycles. PT
Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha Tbn (WOMF) was established
in 1982 as PT Jakarta Tokyo Leasing, and specialised in
providing financing for new Honda motorcycles. In 2001, it
broadened its market by offering financing for new and
used motorcycles, mainly Honda, Yamaha and Suzuki. After
listing in 2004, it was acquired by a consortium comprising
Bank Internasional Indonesia (BNII), International Finance
Corporation (IFC) and DBS Nominees Pte Ltd. The
consortium currently holds 67% stake in the company.
Growth Strategies
Focus on financing new and used motorcycles. In line with its
principal business, WOMF provides financing for new and
used motorcycles through dealers. It does not plan to expand
into car financing to avoid competing directly with its major
shareholder, BNII.
Gearing up after cleaning up books. In 2011, WOMF focused
on cleaning up its loan portfolio, which was reflected in
slower loan growth that year. And loans for 2W financing
slowed down significantly, from an average of 15k units a
month to 4k units. Going forward, WOMF expects new 2W
loans to improve to industry growth rate. It expects negative
impact from the implementation of minimum downpayment
regulation, although the magnitude is still being assessed by
management.
Key Risks
Gearing has always been high. Although gearing is still well
below the 10x maximum set by Bapepam-LK and industry
average of 8.14x, it is trending up. Its funding is mainly from
bond issuance and borrowings. Interest rate on borrowings
has dropped by c.200bps over the last two years to 10.2512.00%.

Corporate Bonds and MTN Issuance


Issue Date

Nominal
value

Coupon
Rate (%)

Tenure
(years)

Maturity

(Rp Bn)

Bonds IA

4-Nov-03

150

13.50

11-Nov-06

Bonds IB

4-Nov-03

150

13.75

11-Nov-07

Bonds IIA

30-May-05

190

12.75

7-Jun-07

Bonds IIB

30-May-05

140

13.25

7-Jun-08

Bonds IIC

30-May-05

170

13.90

7-Jun-09

Bonds IIIA

24-May-06

200

14.85

7-Jun-08

Bonds IIIB

24-May-06

465

15.15

7-Jun-09

Bonds IIIC

24-May-06

160

15.35

7-Jun-10

Bonds IVA

29-May-07

225

11.25

29-May-10

Bonds IVB

29-May-07

185

11.625

29-May-11

Bonds IVC

29-May-07

590

12.00

4.5

29-Nov-11

MTN I

10-Aug-10

200

9.50

1.5

16-Feb-12

MTN II

30-Aug-10

150

9.25

20-Sep-11

Bonds VA

4-Mar-11

294

8.75

9-Mar-12

Bonds VB

4-Mar-11

Bonds VC

4-Mar-11

120
366

9.60
10.30

2
3

Bonds VD

4-Mar-11

620

11.00

9-Mar-14

9-Mar-13
9-Mar-15

Source: Bloomberg, Company

NIM is squeezed. Cost of funds is still high and averaging


above its asset yields, and is generating negative spreads.
And due to tight competition, asset yield will be flat. And
with its car financing generated by auto dealers, asset yield
is also squeezed by dealer commissions.
Asset quality issue due to strong 2010 auto sales.
Indonesias auto industry saw strong growth in 2010, with
new car sales growing 57% and motorcycles sales up 26%,
after recovering from negative growth in 2009. Lack of
expertise in used 2W financing and strong growth of 2W
bookings in 2010 caused its asset quality to deteriorate in
2011. During the year, it wrote off Rp161bn worth of bad
debt, albeit smaller than 2009s Rp221bn following the
global financial crisis. Going forward, WOMF will try to
improve loan quality from the point of origination, and
continue to train employees who are involved in used 2W
financing.

Page 39

Industry Focus
WOM Finance

Prospects
Concerns on new policies. MoF recently issued a regulation
on minimum down payment for 2W and 4W, to be effective
three months form now. 2W market demand will be more
sensitive to this new policy, because buyers have
substantially lower purchasing power, and sales will slow
down. And since WOMF focuses solely on 2W, it will feel
the impact of slower bookings during the year. Its
management is still assessing the impact.
WOMF is less concerned about the increase in fuel price.
Typical 2W fuel consumption is only 25 litres a month, so
the forecast 33% increase in fuel price will not increase
expenditure severely. But it expects some 4W users to shift
to 2W after the fuel price hike.

Expanding outside Java. Currently, 70% of WOMFs loan


portfolio originates from Java and 25% from Sumatera.
Going forward, it expects to increase the share of loans from
outside Java. In terms of car brands, WOMF maintains equal
weightings for Honda and Yamaha in its portfolio. In the
past year, Hondas weighting had increased because the
floods in Thailand disrupted the supply of Yamaha vehicles.
Valuation
WOMF trades at 1.2x FY11 P/BV while its PE is meaningless
after recording significantly depressed profits in FY11 of
only Rp5bn as it was faced with asset quality issues.
WOMFs free float is 21% while its trades at 503m average
daily traded volume (3-month average). There are no
consensus estimates for WOMF.

Shareholding Structure

Mayban Offshore
Corporate Services
(Labuan) Sdn Bhd

Sorak Financial Holdings


Pte Ltd

42.96%

54.33%

DBS Nominees Pte Ltd

2.71%

62.00%

Public

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 40

5.00%

15.76%

Wahana Makmur Sejati


17.24%

Industry Focus
WOM Finance

New Booking Composition (2011)

Cost of Funds, Asset Yield and NIM

Motorcycle
(new)
90%

Motorcycle
(used)
10%

36.0%
32.0%
28.0%
24.0%
20.0%
16.0%
12.0%
8.0%
4.0%
0.0%

32.0%
23.0%

21.8%

18.0%

14.8%

2006

17.6%

15.2%

14.6%
14.0%
12.3%
6.4%
6.3%
3.5%

5.6%

5.0%

1.6%
2007

2008

Asset Yield

Contribution of Income per Segment (Dec-11)

2009

2010

Cost of Funds

NIM

10.0%

700

9.0%

600

Sumatera
17%

8.0%

500

7.0%

400

6.0%

300

4.0%

5.0%
3.0%

200

East Java,
Bali,
Kalimantan
and Sulawesi
21%

7.0%

1,600

6.0%

1,400
1,200

5.0%

700
600

3.5%

NPL (%)

1.6%

200
100
2008

2009

2010

Consumer Financing Income (Rp bn)

132.4%

140.0%
97.2%

88.0%

93.3%

99.0%

80.0%
60.0%

600

2.0%

400

1.0%

200

0.0%

40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
2006

2011

2007

2008

2009

2010

Operating Expense (Rp bn)

NIM (%)

Gearing Ratio

120.0%
100.0%

87.0%

800

3.0%

400

2011

CIR (%)

Net Profit and ROE (%)


14.00

12.36

3,000

12.00
8.77

2,500

10.00

2,000
4.72

3.80

5.61
3.86

8.00
6.00

150

(200)

(250)

Total Debt (Rp bn)

2009

2010

2011

Gearing Ratio

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

-20.0%
-40.0%
-60.0%

(150)

(300)

20.0%
0.0%

(100)

2.00
2008

1.2%

500
2007

7.5%

50
(50)

40.0%

18.0%

14.6%

100

4.00

30.0%

200

1,000

2006

2010

1,000

4.0%

500

1,500

2009

Cost to Income
6.3%

5.0%

2007

2008
NPL (Rp bn)

5.6%

3,500

2007

Jabotabek
32%

6.4%

2006

0.0%
2006

1,000

300

1.0%

Net Interest Income

800

2.0%

100

900

2011

Asset Quality Measures*

West Java
10%

Central Java
20%

18.4%

17.7%

-80.0%
-110.5%

-100.0%

(350)

-120.0%
Net Profit (Rp bn)

ROE (%)

*)NPL Data is only available up to 2010; Source: Company data; DBS Vickers

Page 41

Industry Focus
WOM Finance
Key Assumptions
FY Dec

Consumer Financing Gth


Portion Financed by JF
Yld. On Earnings Assets
Avg Cost Of Funds

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

15.7
28.9
14.8
21.8

6.5
47.2
15.2
17.7

(10.7)
55.5
14.6
17.6

31.9
52.4
12.3
18.4

6.8
55.0
14.0
23.0

Majority of financing is
done by joint financing.

Income Statement (Rp bn)


FY Dec

Consumer Financing
I
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Net Profit bef Except

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

917
273
1,191
(1,091)
(486)
(386)
104
(282)
(282)

854
483
1,338
(1,023)
(276)
38
(17)
21
21

636
751
1,388
(1,108)
(187)
93
(32)
61
61

554
938
1,492
(1,207)
(91)
194
(56)
138
138

745
908
1,653
(1,467)
(170)
16
(10)
5
5

Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
3.5
Net Profit Gth
(410.1)
Margins, Costs & Efficiency (%)
Spread
(7.0)
Net Interest Margin
1.6
Cost-to-Income Ratio
91.6
Business Mix (%)
Net Int. Inc / Opg Inc.
77.0
Non-Int. Inc / Opg inc.
23.0
Fee Inc / Opg Income
Oth Non-Int Inc/Opg Inc
Profitability (%)
ROAE Pre Ex.
(64.2)
ROAE
(64.2)
ROA Pre Ex.
(6.0)
ROA
(6.0)

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 42

Margins Trend
7%

1,000

6%

800

5%

600

4%

400

3%
2%

200

(6.9)
(107.3)

(25.5)
192.9

(12.9)
127.2

34.4
(96.1)

(2.6)
5.6
76.5

(3.0)
6.4
79.8

(6.1)
6.3
80.9

(9.0)
3.5
88.8

63.9
36.1
-

45.9
54.1
-

37.2
62.8
-

45.1
54.9
-

7.8
7.8
0.6
0.6

19.8
19.8
2.4
2.4

34.7
34.7
3.8
3.8

1.2
1.2
0.1
0.1

1%

0%
2007

2008

2009

Net Interest Income

2010

2011
NIM

2011 Result is weak due


to cleaning up of books.

Industry Focus
WOM Finance
Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (Rp bn)
FY Dec

Consumer Financing
I
Other Income
Total Income
Operating Expense
Provision
Pre-Tax Profit
Tax
Extraordinary Income
Minorty Interest
Net Profit
Growth (%)
Net Interest Income Gth
Net Profit Gth

4Q2010

155
221
376
(331)
(29)
16
(6)
10

(0.0)
(77.3)

1Q2011

177
203
381
(338)
(36)
7
(3)
4

14.1
(56.0)

Quarterly Net Profit & Growth


2Q2011

181
221
402
(365)
(39)
(3)
(1)
(4)

1.9
(183.9)

3Q2011

177
239
416
(362)
(50)
5
(3)
1

(2.0)
(138.1)

4Q2011

210
245
455
(403)
(45)
7
(3)
3

18.6
142.2

50

200
150

40

100

30

50
0

20

-50
-100

10

-150

(10)

3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11


Qty Net Profit

-200
-250

Net Profit Gth

Contribution from other


income is larger than
consumer financing income

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

Page 43

Industry Focus
WOM Finance
Gross Loan& Growth

Balance Sheet (Rp bn)


FY Dec

Cash and Cash Equivalents


Consumer Financing (net)

Prepaid Expenses
Other Receivables
Fixed Assets (net)
Deferred Tax Asset
Derivative Receivable
Other Assets
Total Assets
Fund Borrowing
Medium Term Notes
Bonds
Taxes Payable
Accrued expenses
Deferred tax liabilities - net

Other Liabilities
Shareholders' Funds
Total Liab& S/Hs Funds

2007A

2008A

2009A

2010A

2011A

101
4,258
152
59
33
47
1
66
4,716

202
2,925
96
44
47
29
43
47
3,433

243
2,090
80
34
68
3
54
2,573

134
3,163
133
35
95
39
3,599

309
3,261
186
43
93
15
3,907

1,029
2,122
4
60
1,246
255
4,716

629
1,788
1
49
689
276
3,433

431
1,157
1
53
3
592
336
2,573

649
349
774
1
49
59
1,260
459
3,599

851
200
1,397
1
33
69
918
437
3,907

Financial Stability Measures (%)


FY Dec

14,000

40%

12,000

30%

10,000

20%

8,000

10%

6,000

0%

4,000

-10%

2,000

-20%

2007

2009

2010

Gross Financing

2011

Gross Financing Gth

Consumer financing is
balance sheet driver.

Total Debt & Gearing Ratio


3,500

14.0

3,000

12.0

2,500

10.0

2,000

8.0

1,500

6.0

1,000

4.0
2.0

500

2009A

2010A

2011F

2012F

0.0

2013F

2007

2008

2009

2010

Total Debt

Balance Sheet Structure


Financing/ Total Asset
Debt/Total Liability
Borrowings/ Int. Bear. Liab.
Bonds/ Int. Bear. Liab.
Asset Quality
NPL / Total Gross Loans
NPL / Total Assets
Loan Loss Reserve Coverage
Provision Charge-Off Rate

90.3
66.8
23.1
47.6

85.2
70.4
19.9
56.6

81.2
61.7
19.3
51.7

87.9
49.2
20.7
24.7

83.5
62.7
24.5
40.2

9.44
13.96
23.2
14.8

6.01
13.07
18.8
10.2

3.31
8.77
22.4
10.1

4.29
10.48
16.9
7.9

n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a

Liabilities Measure
Gearing Ratio
Laibility/Equity

12.36
17.49

8.77
11.45

4.72
6.65

3.86
6.84

5.61
7.95

Source: Company, DBS Vickers

2008

2011
Gearing Ratio

Gearing ratio in
average is always high.

NPL / Total Gross Loans


10.00
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
2007

2008

2009
NPL (%)

Page 44

2010

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies
DBSV recommendations are based an Absolute Total Return* Rating system, defined as follows:
STRONG BUY (>20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame)
BUY (>15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large caps)
HOLD (-10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large caps)
FULLY VALUED (negative total return i.e. > -10% over the next 12 months)
SELL (negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable catalysts within this time frame)

Share price appreciation + dividends


DBS Vickers Research is available on the following electronic platforms: DBS Vickers (www.dbsvresearch.com); Thomson
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GO). For access, please contact your DBSV salesperson.

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(a)
(b)

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ANALYST CERTIFICATION
The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies
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(interest includes direct or indirect ownership of securities, directorships and trustee positions).

Page 45

Industry Focus
Multi-finance Companies

COMPANY-SPECIFIC / REGULATORY DISCLOSURES


DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd and its subsidiaries do not have a proprietary position in the company mentioned as of
1.
26-Mar-2012.
PT. DBS Vickers Securities Indonesia ("DBSVI") has a proprietary position in BFI Finance recommended in this report as of 28 Mar
2012.
DBSVR, DBSVS, DBS Bank Ltd and/or other affiliates of DBS Vickers Securities (USA) Inc ("DBSVUSA"), a U.S.-registered brokerdealer, may beneficially own a total of 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of the company mentioned as of
26 Mar 2012.

2.

3.

Compensation for investment banking services:


i.

DBSVR, DBSVS, DBS Bank Ltd and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA may have received compensation, within the past 12
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ii.

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Page 46

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