O'Leary Holds Commanding Lead In Conservative

Leadership Contest
But more than a third of respondents want "someone else"
Toronto January 22nd In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The
Forum Poll among 1,332 Canadian voters, Kevin O'Leary is the preferred
candidate to lead the Conservative Party (27%).
Maxime Bernier is in distant second, favoured by (11%), followed by with Lisa
Raitt (7%) and Michael Chong (6%).
More than a third of Canadians (38%) believe "someone else" would be a better
choice to lead the Conservative Party than any of the eight identified candidates.
This is down from (53%) who desired someone else in December.
For Conservative Party members OLeary leads all leadership candidates (31%),
and he has even more support with those who voted for the Conservatives in
2015 (49%).
"Kevin O'Leary's entry into the Conservative leadership race has propelled him to
the front of the field, with more than double the support of his nearest rival. Still,
more than a third of interested voters don't support any of the current
candidates," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be
reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.

Kevin O'Leary is the

preferred candidate to
lead the Conservative
Party (27%)
More than a third of
Canadians (38%) believe
"someone else" would be
a better choice to lead the
Conservative Party than
any of the eight identified
candidates. This is down
from (53%) who desired
someone else in December
"Kevin O'Leary's entry into
the Conservative
leadership race has
propelled him to the front
of the field, with more
than double the support of
his nearest rival. Still, more
than a third of interested
voters don't support any of
the current candidates,"
said Forum Research
President, Dr. Lorne
Bozinoff

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

Methodology
The Forum Poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an
interactive voice response telephone survey of 1332 randomly Canadian Voters.
The poll was conducted on January 19th-21st.
Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of
20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such
as age, gender) results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp
Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted by age, region, and
other variables to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according
to the latest Census data.
This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather,
captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a
public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. Forum houses
its poll results in the Data Library of the Department of Political Science at the
University of Toronto.
With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned Forum
Research is one of the countrys leading survey research firms. This Forum
Polland other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive
at www.forumresearch.com/polls.asp

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

Best Conservative Party Leader

Which of the following would make the best permanent leader of the federal
Conservative Party?
[All Respondents]
Age/Gender
1332
3

1834
209
3

3544
196
5

4554
245
2

5564
302
2

11

12

10

3
6
2
27
7
4
38

3
4
3
32
5
4
39

3
9
2
20
6
3
40

1
4
2
29
7
3
42

Total

Sample
Chris Alexander
Maxime Bernier (Max - EEM BAIRnyay)
Steven Blaney
Michael Chong
Kellie Leitch
Kevin OLeary
Lisa Raitt
Andrew Scheer
Someone Else [Anchor]

65+

Male

Female

380
2

693
3

613
3

11

15

12

10

5
6
2
29
10
4
31

5
6
3
22
8
4
36

4
7
2
33
7
4
28

2
5
3
21
7
3
47

Income

%
Sample
Chris Alexander
Maxime Bernier (Max EEM BAIR-nyay)
Steven Blaney
Michael Chong
Kellie Leitch
Kevin OLeary
Lisa Raitt
Andrew Scheer
Someone Else [Anchor]

139
3

$20$40K
209
4

$40$60K
222
2

$60$80K
168
0

$80$100K
146
2

$100$250K
211
4

11

12

15

10

17

3
6
2
27
7
4
38

7
4
1
14
7
6
46

4
6
1
25
4
3
39

4
6
3
32
6
4
33

2
7
2
26
10
2
35

4
4
5
29
9
4
37

1
10
3
30
8
5
31

Total

<$20K

1332
3

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
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forumresearch.com

Region / Language

%
Sample
Chris Alexander
Maxime Bernier (Max EEM BAIR-nyay)
Steven Blaney
Michael Chong
Kellie Leitch
Kevin OLeary
Lisa Raitt
Andrew Scheer
Someone Else [Anchor]

Total

Atl

Que

ON

Man/Sask

AB

BC

English

French

1332
3

119
0

294
6

503
3

101
1

139
1

176
0

1071
2

261
6

11

26

27

3
6
2
27
7
4
38

3
7
3
18
13
5
43

10
4
0
8
4
4
39

0
7
2
36
8
3
35

2
7
4
32
6
11
30

2
5
3
41
8
2
32

2
5
5
24
5
3
50

1
6
3
32
8
3
37

10
4
0
6
3
5
39

Total

Cons

Lib

NDP

Green

Bloc

1332
3

434
1

479
3

168
2

89
6

51
8

Other
Parties
50
3

11

13

11

13

26

3
6
2
27
7
4
38

3
2
3
50
7
5
21

3
9
2
13
8
4
45

3
8
3
13
7
3
51

2
5
1
32
4
1
35

8
3
0
3
5
0
47

0
4
1
35
5
2
49

Current Federal Vote Preference

%
Sample
Chris Alexander
Maxime Bernier (Max - EEM BAIRnyay)
Steven Blaney
Michael Chong
Kellie Leitch
Kevin OLeary
Lisa Raitt
Andrew Scheer
Someone Else [Anchor]

Conservative Party Membership

Total

Yes

No

Sample
Chris Alexander
Maxime Bernier (Max - EEM BAIR-nyay)
Steven Blaney
Michael Chong
Kellie Leitch
Kevin OLeary
Lisa Raitt
Andrew Scheer
Someone Else [Anchor]

1332
3
11
3
6
2
27
7
4
38

111
4
10
2
5
7
31
14
8
18

1221
3
11
3
6
2
26
6
3
39

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com

For more information:

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D.
President
Forum Research Inc.
Tel: (416) 960-9603
Fax: (416) 960-9602
E-mail: lbozinoff@forumresearch.com

180 Bloor Street W., #1400

Toronto, ON M5S 2V6
T 416.960.9600
F 416.960.9602
forumresearch.com