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Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan
School of Accountancy, Massey University, Auckland, New Zealand
Abstract
Financial statement preparers claim that the excess volatility of
comprehensive income (CI) confuses nancial statement users. We
examine the volatility and risk relevance of CI, relative to net income,
for a sample of 92 New Zealand nonnancial rms for the period 2003
2010. The results show that CI is more volatile than net income.
However, the volatility of CI incremental to net income is not related to
market risk. Furthermore, the incremental volatility of CI does not
modify the pricing of net income. These results hold when asset
revaluations are excluded from other CI.
Key words: Comprehensive income; Income volatility; Asset revaluations;
Risk; IFRS
JEL classification: M41
doi: 10.1111/ac.12108
1. Introduction
Despite a preference for a single statement of comprehensive income, the
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) has not been able to achieve
This study has beneted from the comments of Andrew Ferguson, Samithamby
Senthilnathan, Laura Schr
oder and the comments of participants at the Quantitative
Accounting Research Network second Annual PhD Consortium (Auckland) and the
Financial Markets and Corporate Governance Conference (Melbourne). Shahwali
Khan acknowledges the nancial support of the Accounting and Finance Association of
Australia and New Zealand and The Higher Education Commission, Government of
Pakistan.
Received 3 October 2012; accepted 13 January 2015 by Steven Cahan (Editor in Chief).
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this objective.1 The IASB allows a one or two statement option in IAS 1
Presentation of Financial Statements.2 In revising this standard, the IASB has
responded favourably to nancial statement preparers that lobbied against a
single statement of performance. In submissions to the joint IASB/FASB
Discussion Paper: Preliminary Views on Financial Statement Presentation,
respondents that disagreed with a single statement presentation argued that
items of other comprehensive income (OCI) are volatile and that their inclusion
with core business results will confuse users of nancial statements and lead to
signicant misinterpretation of an entitys performance.
Motivated by respondents complaints on the volatility of comprehensive
income and the lack of empirical evidence on this issue, we address three
research questions: (i) Is comprehensive income more volatile than net income?
(ii) Is the volatility of comprehensive income, incremental to net income,
associated with market risk? and (iii) Is the incremental volatility of
comprehensive income priced?
We employ a sample of New Zealand nonnancial rms to measure earnings
volatility over the period 20032010. With regard to the rst research question,
67.4 percent of rms experience greater volatility of comprehensive income
than net income. Asset revaluations dominate other comprehensive income and
are the major cause of volatility of comprehensive income. When asset
revaluations are excluded, only 57.6 of rms have greater comprehensive
income volatility than net income volatility. For the second research question,
the three income volatility measures are associated with the volatility of stock
returns (market risk). The volatility of comprehensive income incremental to
net income is not related to market risk. With respect to the third research
question, the volatility of all the three income measures moderates the earnings
price relation. The incremental volatility related to asset revaluations is priced,
but the volatility of the remaining components of other comprehensive income
is not priced.
Most prior research that examines the volatility of comprehensive income
focuses on the volatility of fair value income in the nancial sector (e.g. Barth
et al., 1995; Hodder et al., 2006). More recently, Khan and Bradbury (2014)
provide evidence on the volatility of comprehensive income for a large sample
1
Comprehensive income is the sum of net income plus other comprehensive income
where other comprehensive income (OCI) is the aggregate of all items that bypass net
income. Items that are required or allowed to be presented in OCI include the following:
foreign currency translation adjustments on foreign subsidiaries, actuarial gains and
losses arising from dene benet plans, revaluations of property, plant and equipment
and changes in the fair value of available-for-sale securities and nancial instruments in
a cash ow hedge.
2
Similarly, SFAS 130 Reporting Comprehensive Income does not specify the statement in
which comprehensive income must be displayed.
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For lower participation in retirement savings schemes in New Zealand, see Matuschka
et al. (2011). For evidence in dierences between Australian and US schemes, see
Forman and Mackenzie (2013).
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Respondents to the FASB exposure draft also adopt similar arguments. While most
respondents against a single income statement are in the nancial services, 34 percent of
industrial sector comment letters negatively comment on excess volatility, and eight
percent claim this volatility may misrepresent economic performance (Yen et al., 2007).
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Systematic risk is the portion of the variance of rms returns that is common to the
market and cannot be diversied, while unsystematic or idiosyncratic risk aects a very
small number of assets and can be almost eliminated with diversication. Total risk
includes both systematic and idiosyncratic component.
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It is not obvious that US evidence is appropriate for the IASB, especially as the
attempts for convergence between the IASB and FASB have been abandoned.
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their sample, comprehensive income is greater than net income and that that
comprehensive income for the mean (median) rm is 29 percent (9 percent)
more volatile than net income.
Khan and Bradbury (2014) examine the volatility of comprehensive income
relative to net income for a sample in excess of 2,500 US nonnancial rms.
They nd that comprehensive income is more volatile than net income and
that it is associated with market-based measures of risk (volatility of stock
returns and beta). However, the incremental volatility of comprehensive
income, relative to net income, is not associated with market risk and is not
priced.
To maintain comparability with prior research, we adapt the research design
in Hodder et al. (2006) and Khan and Bradbury (2014) and apply this to
nonnancial rms in an IFRS environment. In the next section, we describe
how we introduce a third income measure by adjusting for asset valuations.
3. Sample, data and results
3.1. Sample and descriptive statistics
The initial sample comprises all nonnancial companies listed on the New
Zealand Stock Exchange and the New Zealand Alternative Exchange. The
eect of sample selection criteria is documented in Table 1. Finance companies,
equity trusts and fund entities are excluded as they have dierent capital
structures, are subject to regulatory prudential supervision and have specic
nancial reporting requirements. In addition, nancial companies hold large
amounts of nancial instruments for purposes that dier from other corporate
rms. We also eliminate, from the sample, rms that do not report in New
Zealand dollars or have missing data. The resulting sample is 92 rms with
complete data over the period 20032010. This is a trade-o between sample
size and having sucient time series observations to measure volatility.9
Table 1
Eect of sample selection criteria
Firms listed on NZSX
Firms listed on NZAX
Total listed rms
Less nance, equity trusts and funds entities
Less rms not reporting in NZ dollars and with missing data
Firms with all income measures available for the period 20032010
127
24
151
12
47
92
If we increase the period to measure volatility from 2001 to 2010, the sample decreases
to 71 rms. Repeating the analysis on this smaller sample yields similar results.
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FRS-7 Paragraph 7.3 requires disclosure of net surplus (decit), changes in the
revaluation reserve, currency translation dierences and minority interests. For
consistency of terminology with prior research, we use the term net income rather
than net surplus, where net income is the prot for the period under IFRS.
11
A large proportion of other items in OCI are taxation on other OCI items and that
due to aggregation they cannot be allocated to individual items.
12
A similar feature is observed in US data (Khan and Bradbury, 2014). The eect is not
due to scaling as it exists in the raw data. Scaling by book equity or total assets yields
similar results as those reported.
13
Table 2
Descriptive statistics of income measures and other comprehensive income components
Panel A: Pooled sample
NI
AR
FCT
CFH
AFSS
DBP
Other
OCI
CI
ACI
Mean
SD
Min.
25%
Median
75%
Max.
0.015
0.016
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.001
0.018
0.032
0.016
0.202
0.075
0.059
0.019
0.042
0.002
0.025
0.104
0.224
0.214
0.965
0.407
0.151
0.230
0.345
0.032
0.356
0.450
0.965
0.965
0.007
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.008
0.010
0.058
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.063
0.056
0.091
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.007
0.113
0.090
1.998
1.166
1.539
0.165
0.864
0.010
0.439
1.540
1.996
2.000
NI
AR
FCT
CFH
AFSS
DBP
Other
OCI
CI
ACI
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0.027
0.015
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.012
0.039
0.024
0.008
0.044
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.041
0.048
0.005
0.032
0.019
0.015
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.032
0.065
0.046
0.051
0.024
0.005
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.029
0.080
0.056
0.035
0.023
0.003
0.003
0.010
0.000
0.000
0.026
0.062
0.039
0.021
0.006
0.005
0.001
0.003
0.000
0.004
0.005
0.024
0.018
0.023
0.001
0.001
0.011
0.002
0.000
0.002
0.007
0.030
0.031
0.036
0.000
0.004
0.005
0.004
0.000
0.003
0.009
0.028
0.028
0.015
0.016
0.002
0.001
0.001
0.000
0.001
0.018
0.032
KB (2014)
Mean
0.017
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.000
0.001
0.016
This study
SD
KB (2014)
SD
0.202
0.075
0.059
0.019
0.042
0.002
0.025
0.104
0.224
0.125
0.022
0.007
0.004
0.017
0.000
0.041
0.132
This table presents descriptive statistics of income volatility measures. Panel A reports the
summary statistics of net income (NI), comprehensive income (CI), comprehensive income
adjusted for asset revaluations (ACI), other comprehensive income (OCI) and the
components of other comprehensive income. The following components are examined: asset
revaluation (AR), foreign currency translation (FCT), cash ow hedge (CFH), other (Other),
available-for-sale securities (AFSS) and dened benets plans (DBP). All variables are scaled
by opening equity. The sample is pool for 92 rms over period is from 2003 to 2010 (n = 736).
Panel B reports annual means for the same variables. Bold type denotes the income measures.
For Panel C, KB (2014) is Khan and Bradbury (2014). Derivative gains and losses (DGL) and
securities gains and losses (SGL) are assumed to be equivalent to CFH and AFSS,
respectively.
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10
This comparison assumes that derivate gains and losses and securities gains and losses
in the US sample are equivalent to cash ow hedge and available for sale securities,
respectively.
15
We acknowledge that this is only a partial adjustment. A full adjustment would also
account for any depreciation of the revalued asset in net income and any related deferred
tax eect. There is insucient information in the annual reports to make these
adjustments. Using standard assumptions is not feasible because some revalued assets
are not depreciated (e.g. land), and deferred tax may not be relevant (e.g. if the partial
method has been adopted).
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Table 3
Comparative analyses of income volatility
Mean
SD
Min.
25%
Median
75%
Max.
0.149
0.184
0.159
0.689
0.687
0.688
1.450
1.112
22.578
3.861
1.052
1.005
rCI/rNI > 1
rCI/rNI = 1
rCI/rNI < 1
Count
Comparisons
Count
62
10
20
67.4
10.9
21.7
rACI/rNI > 1
rACI/rNI = 1
rACI/rNI < 1
53
14
25
57.6
15.2
27.2
0.001
This table reports the results for hypothesis H1. Panel A reports descriptive statistics of
income volatility measures. rNI, rCI, and rACI are rm-specic standard deviations measured
over the period 20012010 for net income, comprehensive income and comprehensive income
adjusted for asset revaluations scaled by opening market values. Panel B reports descriptive
statistics for income volatility ratios. Panel C reports the distribution of income volatility
ratios, and Panel D provides a statistical comparison using a Wilcoxon signed-rank tests.
12
0.01 level). This result rejects the null hypothesis of no dierence in the
volatility of CI and NI and supports the alternative hypothesis raised by the
opponents of a single statement of performance, who claim that the OCI
components make CI more volatile than NI. Furthermore, this result persists
when asset revaluations are eliminated from OCI. It therefore is likely to apply
to jurisdictions that do not actively of revalue assets.
3.4. Results: association between income volatility and market risk (H2)
To assess H2, we regress market risk measures on accounting risk measures.
The accounting risk measure of interest is income volatility. However, as
control variables, we also include other accounting variables to represent
leverage and solvency. Hamada (1972) shows that the systematic risk of a rms
common stock is positively correlated with the rms leverage. Bowman (1979)
provides the theoretical relation between a rms systematic risk and its
leverage. Therefore, the leverage ratio can be used as a measure of risk induced
by the capital structure (Beaver et al., 1970). The debt-to-equity ratio is used as
a proxy for default risk. Beaver et al. (1970) argue that liquid or current assets
have a less volatile return than noncurrent assets. The operating cash ow-tocurrent liabilities ratio is used as a proxy for liquidity risk.
We employ the following models16:
MRi a0 a1 IVOLj a2 DTE a3 CTL e
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where P is the price per share for rm, BVE is the end of year book amount of
equity per share and AE is the period t abnormal earnings per share, which is
used as a proxy for expected future abnormal earnings. AE is calculated using
current period earnings (scaled by the number of shares outstanding) less the
product of the risk-free rate of return at the beginning of year times book value
per share at the beginning of year. We use the yield to maturity on long-term
New Zealand government bonds as the risk-free rate (see Chay et al., 1993),
which enables us to include the eect of risk in the model. We expect the
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Table 4
Association between income volatility and market risk
Panel A: Descriptive statistics of market risk and accounting risk measures
rSR
Beta
DTE
CTL
Mean
SD
Min.
25%
Median
75%
Max.
0.398
0.884
0.441
0.406
0.271
0.683
0.563
1.617
0.052
0.071
0.518
6.995
0.210
0.495
0.123
0.140
0.350
0.743
0.356
0.496
0.502
1.121
0.546
1.214
1.504
4.497
4.232
3.671
Panel B: Pearson (above diagonal) and Spearman (below diagonal) correlations between risk
measures
rSR
Beta
rNI
rCI
rACI
DTE
CTL
rNI
rSR
Beta
0.242**
0.405***
0.299***
0.366***
0.192*
0.550***
0.035
0.041
0.015
0.025
0.414***
0.397***
rCI
0.439***
0.127
0.808***
0.967***
0.063
0.466***
rACI
0.269***
0.022
0.914***
0.837***
0.057
0.303***
0.434***
0.124
0.953***
0.956***
0.048
0.455***
DTE
CTL
0.012
0.009
0.143
0.111
0.121
0.394***
0.32***
0.308***
0.226**
0.299***
0.124
0.102
0.340 (8.60)***
0.661 (3.15)***
(2)
0.354 (8.34)***
(3)
0.350 (8.79)***
(4)
0.357 (8.71)***
0.659 (3.16)***
(5)
0.342 (8.61)***
0.682 (3.22)***
0.432 (2.20)**
0.519 (2.69)***
0.002 (0.05)
0.050 (3.01)***
9.46***
0.218
0.015 (0.32)
0.058 (3.52)***
7.45***
0.175
0.009 (0.20)
0.053 (3.16)***
8.41***
0.196
0.675 (1.24)
0.003 (0.06)
0.046 (2.77)***
7.73***
0.228
0.469 (0.79)
0.000 (0.01)
0.050 (3.01)***
7.22***
0.215
(4)
(5)
1.012 (9.00)***
0.425 (0.74)
0.973 (8.96)***
0.373 (0.64)
0.968 (8.97)***
0.421 (0.73)
0.056 (0.45)
0.148 (3.25)***
3.58**
0.078
(2)
1.008 (8.98)***
0.634 (1.22)
0.060 (0.49)
0.150 (3.41)***
3.93**
0.088
(3)
0.978 (9.12)***
0.468 (0.90)
0.057 (0.46)
0.150 (3.32)***
3.68**
0.081
1.654 (1.32)
0.043 (0.35)
0.138 (3.02)***
3.14**
0.086
1.039 (0.64)
0.052 (0.41)
0.148 (3.25)***
2.77**
0.072
This table presents descriptive statistics, correlations and regression results for hypothesis H2.
Panel A reports descriptive statistics for market and accounting measures of risk: rSR is
return volatility, Beta is the market model beta, DTE is debt-to-equity ratio and CTL is the
cash ow-to-current liability ratio. The volatility of income measures rNI, rCI and rACI is
reported in Panel A of Table 3. Panel B reports correlations between volatility measures.
Panel C reports the regression of stock return volatility on accounting risk measures. *, **
and *** indicate signicance at 10, 5 and 1 percent (two tailed), respectively.
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15
In Table 5, we report the Hodder et al. (2006) model, which excludes the main eects
variables. We note that the accounting volatility measures do not feature in the original
model and hence are only included as moderating variables. However, it is common to
include main eects when interaction terms are introduced. We re-estimate the
regressions and included main eects. The results (not tabulated) are not qualitatively
dierent from those reported in Table 5.
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16
Table 5
Association between stock price, book value, abnormal earnings and accounting volatility
Panel A: Descriptive statistics for regression variables
P
BVE
AE
DTE 9 AE
CF 9 AE
NI 9 AE
CI 9 AE
ACI 9 AE
Mean
SD
Min.
25%
Median
75%
Max.
2.011
1.327
0.103
0.189
0.073
0.026
0.028
0.027
1.759
1.280
0.161
1.410
0.114
0.143
0.144
0.143
0.020
0.004
0.009
0.005
0.098
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.611
0.393
0.016
0.003
0.004
0.001
0.002
0.001
1.516
0.989
0.046
0.015
0.035
0.003
0.004
0.003
3.159
1.811
0.110
0.045
0.010
0.006
0.009
0.007
7.594
5.407
1.060
13.543
0.549
1.301
1.317
1.301
Intercept
BVE
AE
(1)
(2)
0.536
(3.19)***
0.932
(9.50)***
2.327
(2.98)***
0.510
(3.32)***
0.823
(8.75)***
4.964
(3.66)***
12.556
(4.30)***
rNI 9 AE
rCI 9 AE
(3)
0.506
(3.26)***
0.844
(8.97)***
4.865
(3.54)***
0.506
(3.29)***
0.827
(8.83)***
5.141
(3.73)***
(5)
(6)
0.543
(3.58)***
0.711
(6.73)***
4.658
(3.48)***
11.875
(4.13)***
0.502
(3.23)***
0.833
(8.64)***
5.317
(3.48)***
12.917
(4.28)***
12.095
(4.09)***
rACI 9 AE
12.769
(4.33)***
(rCI rNI) 9
AE
(rACI rNI) 9
AE
DTE 9 AE
77.37
(2.15)**
CF 9 AE
F-Value
Adjusted R2
(4)
72.21***
0.610
1.034
(3.86)***
0.455
(0.29)
38.50***
0.673
1.006
(3.67)***
0.460
(0.29)
37.53***
0.667
1.051
(3.90)***
0.299
(0.19)
38.62***
0.703
0.899
(3.33)***
0.756
(0.48)
34.19***
0.686
27.32
(0.51)
1.061
(3.87)***
0.131
(0.08)
31.85***
0.670
This table reports the results for hypothesis H3. Panel A reports descriptive statistics of
regression variables: P is price per share, BVE is book value of equity per share, AE is
abnormal earnings, and interaction terms of abnormal earnings of accounting risk measures.
Panel B reports the regression of price on book value, abnormal earnings and interaction
terms. *, ** and *** indicate signicance at 10, 5 and 1 percent (two tailed), respectively.
17
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+
+
+
+
+
+
NI
NI
NI
NI
NI
NI
Max.
22.279
2.762
1.987
3.860
1.729
1.097
Mean
1.938
1.055
1.053
1.032
1.003
1.001
0.678
0.820
0.620
0.534
0.579
0.992
Min.
39.1
32.6
33.7
35.9
10.9
1.1
7.6
21.7
20.7
19.6
5.4
1.1
rNI + C/rNI
> 1 (%)
6.5
22.8
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.0
=8 years
9.8
13.0
7.6
5.4
0.0
1.1
30.4
18.5
46.7
48.9
16.3
1.1
53.3
45.7
45.7
44.6
83.7
97.8
=0 years
This table reports descriptive statistics of income volatility measures for the components of OCI. Each component of OCI is added to net income
(rNI+C). Then, rm-specic standard deviations measured over the period 20012010, and the income volatility ratio is measured. The following
components are examined: asset revaluation (AR), foreign currency translation (FTC), cash ow hedge (CFH), other (Other), available-for-sale
securities (AFSS) and dened benets plans (DBP). The last four columns report the percentage of rms (n = 92) that report a particular
component of OCI in various frequencies over the 8-year period (20032010).
AR
FCT
CFH
Other
AFSS
DBP
+ C
rNI
rNI + C/rNI
> 1 (%)
Table 6
Analyses of income volatility for components of OCI descriptive statistics of rm-specic measures
18
S. Khan, M. E. Bradbury/Accounting and Finance
19
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20
The details in the Discussion Paper (IASB, 2013) are not suciently precise to warrant
empirical testing at this stage of the project.
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21
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