Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
PAGE
I.
SUMMARY
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II.
13-3
III.
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A. MARKET STUDY
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13-7
13-8
13-8
B. UTILITIES
13-9
13-10
A. TECHNOLOGY
13-10
B. ENGINEERING
13-11
13-13
A. MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
13-13
B. TRAINING REQUIREMENT
13-14
FINANCIAL ANLYSIS
13-14
13-15
B. PRODUCTION COST
13-15
C. FINANCIAL EVALUATION
13-16
D. ECONOMIC BENEFITS
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IV.
V.
VI.
VII.
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I.
SUMMARY
The present demand for the proposed product is estimated at 30,000 tonnes per annum.
The demand is expected to reach at 54,000 tonnes by the year 2017.
The total investment requirement is estimated at Birr 7.08 million, out of which Birr 3.5
million is required for plant and machinery.
The project is financially viable with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 25.12 % and a
net present value (NPV) of Birr 5.19 million, discounted at 8.5 %.
II.
Cotton ginning is the process of separating cotton seed from the lint so that the lint will
be baled and goes to textile industries for further processing whereas the cotton seed is
milled by oil mills to produce edible oil.
III.
A.
MARKET STUDY
1.
Cotton is a natural vegetable fiber with great economic importance as a raw material for
cloth. Cotton is still a principal raw material for the worlds textile industry although its
dominant position has been reduced by synthetic fibers.
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Cotton's widespread use is largely due to the ease with which its fibers are spun into yarn.
Cotton's strength, absorbency and capacity to be washed and dyed also make it adaptable
to a considerable variety of textile products.
Cotton ginning is a mechanical process used to separate the fibers of cotton from the
seeds. Before the invention of cotton gin, seeds had to be removed from cotton fibers by
hand. This labor intensive and time consuming process made growing and harvesting
cotton uneconomical. The invention of cotton ginning technology allowed the seeds to
be removed mechanically and rapidly from the cotton fibers, making cotton production
economical and leading to dramatic growth in the cotton industry.
The demand for lint cotton is derived from textile production. According to Textile
Sector Survey conducted by Chemonics International (INC), the annual lint cotton
requirement of spinning plants in Ethiopia, when operating at full capacity, is 59,876
tones. However, according to the Report on Large and Medium Scale Manufacturing and
Electricity Industries Survey, CSA, November 2006, spinning plants operate at about
47% of their capacity during 2004/05. Hence, demand for lint cotton would be about
28,142 tonnes in 2004/05.
Cotton is produced in Ethiopia by state farm, private commercial forms and peasant
farms. Cotton produced on the state farms and private commercial farms is processed in
ginners and supplied to spinning mills for commercial textile manufacturing, what that is
produced by the peasant farmers is, for the larger part, used by the hand loom sector. The
annual production of lint cotton is shown in Table 3.1.
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Table 3.1
PRODUCTION OF LINT COTTON IN ETHIOPIA ( TONNES)
Year
Production
1995/96
5,670
1996/97
5,324
-6.1
1997/98
5,458
2.5
1998/99
6,324
15.9
1999/00
10,382
63.2
2000/01
12,382
19.3
2001/02
16,097
30.0
2002/03
20,845
29.5
2003/04
20,052
-3.8
2004/05
21,118
5.3
Production of lint cotton has exhibited a significant growth in the past 10 years. The
yearly average production between the period 1995/96-1998/99 was 5694 tonnes. During
the period 1999/00-2001/02, the yearly average production has reached to about 13,000
tonnes.
During the recent three years, i.e., 2002/03-2004/05, the production level
increased to about 21,000 tonnes. Despite the huge increase in production, current supply
is still lower than the current demand.
Current demand for lint cotton is estimated by assuming that spinning plants are currently
working around 50% of their capacity. Accordingly, current demand is calculated at
30,000 tonnes.
With regard to supply of raw cotton the Resource potential Assessment of SNNPR (IPS,
2006) indicate that there are a number of woredas which fulfill the agro-climatic
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conditions for growing cotton. These include Debub Omo, Bench Maji and Gamo Gofa
zones. If special attention is given for cotton production in these areas a good ground
will be created for the establishment of medium and large scale cotton ginning plants.
2.
Projected Demand
The future demand for lint cotton depends on the performance of the textile sector.
Currently, the sector is surrounded by diverse problems, the major ones being stiff
competition from legally and illegally imported fabrics and clothings.
There are, however, favourable prospects for the sector stemming from opening of the
markets of the United States and the European Union countries to Ethiopian textile
products.
including credit on easy terms and availing land for factory premises, to boost the foreign
exchange earning capacity of the sector.
Hence, when these factors are taken into account, it will be reasonable to assume that the
capacity utilization in the textile sector will increase to about 90% in the coming eight
years, giving rise to a corresponding expansion in lint cotton demand.
The future
unsatisfied demand for lint cotton is, hence, projected by assuming an annual capacity
utilization increase of 5% in the existing spinning plants (see Table 3.2).
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Table 3.2
PROJECTED DEMAND FOR LINT COTTON (TONNES)
Year
3.
Projected
Existing
Unsatisfied
Demand
Production
Demand
2008
35,000
21,000
12,000
2009
36,000
21,000
15,000
2010
39,000
21,000
18,000
2011
42,000
21,000
21,000
2012
45,000
21,000
24,000
2013
48,000
21,000
27,000
2014
51,000
21,000
30,000
2015
54,000
21,000
33,000
2016
54,000
21,000
33,000
2017
54,000
21,000
33,000
At present, most ginneries are integrated with cotton farms which provide ginning and
baling service at a charge ranging between Birr 35-45 per quintal. It is recommended that
the envisaged plant may charge Birr 40 per quintal.
B.
1.
Plant Capacity
Based on the unsatisfied lint cotton demand obtained from the market study and the
possibility of producing cotton in the SNNPRS, the envisaged cotton ginnery will have
annual ginning capacity of 15,000 tonnes of lint cotton or equivalently treating 42,857
tonnes of raw cotton.
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2.
Production Programme
Considering skill development and market penetration, the plant is assumed to start
operation at 75% plant capacity in the first year, 85% in the second year and full capacity
(100%) in the third year and then after.
days a year, in single shift of eight hours a day. Operation build-up is shown in Table
3.3.below.
Table 3.3.
PRODUCTION PROGRAMME
Year
3 and above
75
85
100
11,250
12,750
15,000
IV.
A.
Raw material required by the cotton ginnery is raw cotton from cotton farms in the
region. Resource potential assessment study conducted by IPS indicated that there are
areas in the SNNPRS that have favorable climate and soil condition to grow cotton.
Availability of the raw material in the region is thus a good opportunity to establish
cotton ginnery.
Auxiliary materials for the ginnery are ropes and Hessian fabric for fastening the bales of
lint cotton and jute bags for packing the cotton seed. These auxiliary materials are locally
available. Annual requirements and costs of raw and auxiliary materials are shown in
Table 4.1 below.
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Table 4.1
RAW AND AUXILIARY MATERIALS & COST
Sr.
Description
Qty
No.
LC
FC
TC
A. Raw Material
1
42,860
975
975
350,000
2,100
2100
3075
3075
Sub-total
B. Auxiliary Materials
1
kg)
2
3075
3075
B.
UTILITIES
Utilities required for cotton ginning plant include electricity and water. Electricity is
required to furnish motive power for machinery and supply power for lighting units and
sockets.
costs about Birr 75,840. Annual water requirement is estimated at 5,000 m3, which costs
about Birr 27,500. Accordingly, the total annual cost of utilities is estimated to be Birr
125,840.
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V.
A.
TECHNOLOGY
1.
Process Description
Raw cotton from the storage hall is manually transported to an intake separator where
the cotton is screened to separate the cotton from foreign materials and then passed to a
hot gas drier to dry damp or wet cotton.
Dried and cleaned cotton is fed to gin stands containing gin saws that can separate seed
from the lint. Gin saws are steel disks approximately 0.037 inch thick and provide with
about seven teeth per inch of periphery.
Ribs of tough, highly polished iron are used in cotton gins to form grids through which
the saws may pass. Ginning ribs are spaced about 5/8 inch apart, so that the saws
carrying the lint may pass while the seeds are excluded.
After the seed is separated from the lint, it is discharged into self cleaning belt and then
into self cleaning blow pipe systems. The lint removed from the saws is carried by air
past to the condenser. From the condenser, the cotton drops into the press box, over the
bottom of which has been spread bale bagging.
packed every minute or so by mechanical trampers. After enough amount has been
accumulated to make 150 kg bale, heavy press is applied by hydraulic press. The bale is,
then fastened by jute rope. The seed produced is bagged in jute sacks and dispatched to
oil mills. The project is environmentally friendly since it is solid process and doesnt
have any waste.
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2.
Source of Technology
The machinery and equipment required by the plant can be obtained from the following
company.
B.
ENGINEERING
1.
Machinery and equipment required to produce 15,000 tonnes of lint cotton or process
42,857 tonnes of raw cotton are presented in Table 5.1. The total cost of machinery and
equipment is estimated at Birr 3.45 million, out of which about Birr 3.2 million will be
required in foreign currency.
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Table 6.1
MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT REQUIREMENT & COST FOR COTTON
GINNERY
Sr.
Description
Qty
No.
FC
TC
Separator
240
240
Dryer
240
240
Cleaning machine
295
295
Master extractor
650
650
Distributor
350
350
Feeders
As reqd
140
140
Gin stands
As reqd
65
65
Lint cleaners
320
320
160
160
10
Ribs,
doffing As reqd
80
80
180
180
mating
devices
and
devices
11
Condenser
160
160
13
Presses
320
320
FOB price
3,200
3,200
250
250
250
3,200
3,450
2.
The envisaged plant requires a total land area of 4000 m2, out of which 1500 m2 is a
built-up area. Considering average cost of construction of Birr 1500 per m2, the total cost
of buildings will be Birr 2,250,000. The average land lease value is taken to be Birr 1.00
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per m2. Thus, the expenditure of leasing 4,000 m2 of land for 80 years will be Birr
320,000. Therefore, the total cost of land, buildings and civil works, assuming that the
total land lease cost will be paid in advance, will be Birr 2.57 million.
3.
Proposed Location
VI.
A.
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
Details of manpower
requirement and estimate of annual expenses for salaries is presented in Table 6.1.
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Table 6.1
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT OF GINNERY AND ANNUAL LABOUR COST
Sr.
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
B.
Description
Req. No.
Plant manager
Secretary
Production and tech. head
Production supervisor
Machine operators
Electrician
Mechanic
Accountant
Store keeper
Cashier
Clerks
Laborers
Guard
Messenger & cleaner
Driver
Sub-total
Employees benefit (25% of
sub total)
Grand total
1
1
1
1
5
2
2
1
1
1
3
6
4
3
2
34
Training Requirement
34
Monthly
Salary
2,500
750
2,000
1,300
500
600
600
800
500
500
400
300
300
250
400
Annual Salary
30,000
9,000
24,000
15,600
30,000
14,400
14,400
9,600
6,000
6,000
14,400
21,600
14,400
9,000
9,600
228,000
57,000
285,000
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VII.
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
The financial analysis of the cotton ginnery project is based on the data presented in the
previous chapters and the following assumptions:-
Construction period
1 year
Source of finance
30 % equity
70 % loan
Tax holidays
5 years
Bank interest
8.5 %
8.5 %
Accounts receivable
30 days
30 days
Work in progress
1 day
Finished products
15 days
Cash in hand
10 days
Accounts payable
30 days
A.
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr
7.08 million, of which 23 per cent will be required in foreign currency.
The major breakdown of the total initial investment cost is shown in Table 7.1.
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Table 7.1
INITIAL INVESTMENT COST
Sr.
Total Cost
No.
Cost Items
(000 Birr)
2,250.0
3,500.0
50.0
Pre-production Expenditure*
524.2
Working Capital
442.1
320.0
7,086.3
23
* N.B Pre-production expenditure includes interest during construction ( Birr 374.17 thousand ) and Birr
150.03 thousand costs of registration, licensing and formation of the company including legal fees,
commissioning expenses, etc.
B.
PRODUCTION COST
The annual production cost at full operation capacity is estimated at Birr 4.48
million (see Table 7.2).
while repair and maintenance take 6.35 per cent of the production cost.
71.33
per cent,
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Table 7.2
ANNUAL PRODUCTION COST AT FULL CAPACITY ('000 BIRR)
Items
Cost
3,075.00
68.53
125.84
2.80
285
6.35
Labour direct
155.4
3.46
Administration Costs
129.6
2.89
3,770.84
84.04
Depreciation
467.5
10.42
Cost of Finance
248.76
5.54
4,487.10
100
C.
FINANCIAL EVALUATION
1.
Profitability
According to the projected income statement, the project will start generating profit in the
first year of operation. Important ratios such as profit to total sales, net profit to equity
(Return on equity) and net profit plus interest on total investment (return on total
investment) show an increasing trend during the life-time of the project.
The income statement and the other indicators of profitability show that the project is
viable.
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2.
Break-even Analysis
The break-even point of the project including cost of finance when it starts to operate at
full capacity ( year ) is estimated by using income statement projection.
BE =
Fixed Cost
22 %
3.
The investment cost and income statement projection are used to project the pay-back
period. The projects initial investment will be fully recovered within 4 years.
4.
Based on the cash flow statement, the calculated IRR of the project is 25.12 % and the
net present value at 8.5 % discount rate is Birr 5.19 million.
D.
ECONOMIC BENEFITS
The project can create employment for 34 persons. In addition to supply of the domestic
needs, the project will generate Birr 2.47 million in terms of tax revenue.