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ABSTRACT: Development of seismic risk microzonation study is required for disaster preparedness, risk and
hazard mitigation decisions for the Government of Jakarta. The study includes estimation of seismic hazard,
site characterization, site specific response analysis and risk assessment. Seismic hazard is performed based
on deterministic and probabilistic approachs considering seismic sources influencing Jakarta. Geotechnical
parameters are intrepreted from previous and recent measurements and depth of engineering bedrock is
estimated based on microtremor array measurement. Identification of local site effects is conducted by
carrying out one-dimensional ground response analysis considering the behavior of soil non-linearity. The
result of the hazard microzonation study includes the distribution of site response such as spectral acceleration
and amplification ratio. The results are then combined with building fragility that is determined based on the
FEMA 154. Two building fragility curves are formulated corresponding to existing building type in Jakarta
which are the confined masonry and in-filled frame structures.
Fi gure 1:: Seismic activity and seismotectonic condition in Sumatra and Java Island
Figure Island,, Indonesia for the last few decades. ((Modified
Modified
from USGS)
The active tectonics of western Indonesia is domi domi- segments of the Sunda Arc subduction zone. The
nated by convergence of the Australia plat platee with angle of the subducted plate is depicted by vertical
Sumatra and Java. Along Sumatra the direction of section sho
shown
wn in Figure 3. 3. The dip angle of the
convergence is highly oblique to the trench strike, megathrust represents important input for PSHA.
and is partitioned into nearly arc arc-perpendicular
perpendicular Therefore, dip angles were investigated further by
thrusting at the trench and arc
arc-parallel,
parallel, right lateral using carefully relocated events of Engdahl et al.
slip at the Sumatran fault (Bock et al., 22003).
003). (2007) using a 3D velocity and a double
double--difference
difference
Seismotectonic map showing the faults locations, (DD) technique (Pe (Pesicek
sicek et al., 2010). Figure 4
geological setting and historical earthquakes influinflu- shows the dip angles of megathrust zone and can be
encing Jakarta is shown in Figure 2.. Seismotectonic depicted well.
study has been collected in a circular area for detail In this study, several fault lines sources in Sumatra
with having radius of about 250 km around Jakarta. and Java Island are included. The 1900 1900-km
km long
The seismotectonic map for Jakarta city city contains Sumatran fault zone (SFZ) traverses the back back--bone
bone
several major fault lines in western Java with of Sumatra,
Sumatra, within or near the active volcanic arc
historical maximum magnitudes (Moment Mag Mag- (Katili and Hehuwat, 1967; Sieh and Natawidjaja,
nitude,Mw) ranging from 6.5 7.6, and subduction 2000). Other fault sources that are also considered
zone either megathrust or deep intraslab subduct
subduction
ion include the East Lampung fault (Semangko) and the
(Benioff) sources in sea with historical maximum Sunda Strait fault line.
Mw ranging from 7.8 to 9.0.
9.0. The source models were In Java Island, the nearest fault sou
sources
rces which have
derived based upon seismogenic conditions, focal been proven as active shallow crustal faults are the
mechanisms and earthquake catalogs. This Cimandiri and Lembang faults. The Cimandiri fault
seismogenic conditions include geometry and is considered as an active fault based on micro
geomorphological ooff tectonic plate such as faults and earthquake monitoring and geomorphic expression
subduction zones
zones. instead of the slip rate calculation (Ker
(Kertapati,
tapati, 1984).
The Sunda Strait segment is located in the Table 1 sumarizes the activity both for the fault and
transitional zone between the Sumatera and Java subduction zone influencing Jakarta ccity.
ity.
Figure 2.. Seismotectonic map of Sumatra and Java Island which show the sseismic
eismic sources influencing Jakarta city
ity
(a) (b)
Figure 3. Distribution of eearthquake
arthquake epicenters bbased
ased on relocated
elocated events.
vents. (Enghdal et al., 2007)
2007); (a) Hypocentre depths (colouring)
distribution from 1964 and 2007
2007; (b) Vertical sections across the convergent margin in Java through the P Wave model (Kennet et
P-Wave
al., 1995)
Table 1. Identified active seismic sources within 250 km radius from Jakarta city
ity
Activity
Sources Name Mechanism Mmax Length
Slip rate GR Parameter
(km) (mm/yr) a b
Cimandiri Strike slip
Strike-slip 7.2 62.2 4 -- --
Lembang Strike slip
Strike-slip 6.6 34.4 1.5 -- --
Fault Semangko Strike slip
Strike-slip 7.2 65 5 -- --
Sunda Strike slip
Strike-slip 7.6 150 5 -- --
Kumering Strike slip
Strike-slip 7.6 150 11.0
South Sumatra
Reverse 9.0 -- -- 5.76 1.05
Subduction Megathrust
Java Megathrust Reverse 9.0 -- -- 6.14 1.1
3 SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS OF JAKARTA and Irsyam et al., 2013b). Seismic sources are
devided into subduction, fault, and background
Seismic hazard analysis is performed based on zones by considering recurrence relationship that
both probabilistic and deterministic approach
approachees.
s. The includes truncated exponential model, pure
analysis is conducted using similar procedures used characteristic model, and combined models.
by the Team for Revision of Seismic Hazard Maps Earthquake source param eters are derived based
parameters
of Indonesia 2010 (Irsyam et al., 2010a, Irsyam et upon earthquake catalog, geological, and
al., 2010b, Irsyam et al., 2011, Irsyam et al., 2013
2013a,
a, seismological information of active faults.
3.1 Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) 3.2 Attenuation Functions
Three seismic source models are utilized in this Based on the previous researchs in the develop-
analysis; fault zone, subduction zone, and gridded ment of Indonesia seismic hazard maps (Irsyam et al
seismicity for shallow background and deep 2010a, Irsyam et al, 2011, and Irsyam et al, 2013) a
intraslab. The source models were selected using number of attenuation functions from worldwide
seismogenic conditions, focal mechanisms and historical earthquake data record is adopted to
earthquake catalogs. This seismogenic conditions estimate the ground shaking in Jakarta city.
include geometry and geomorphological of tectonic Attenuation from Atkinson-Boore intraslab se-
plate such as faults and subduction zones. ismicity world data BC-rock condition (Atkinson
The modeling of the subduction sources is and Boore, 1995), Geomatrix slab seismicity rock
conducted based on well-identified seismotectonic (Youngs et al, 1997), and Atkinson-Boore intraslab
data such as location of subduction in latitude and (Atkinson and Boore, 2003) were used for Benioff
longitude coordinates, slope of subduction plane (deep background sources). Attenuation from Chiou-
(dip), rate, and b-value from historical earthquake Young NGA (Chiou and Youngs, 2008), Boore-
catalogues, and limit depth of subduction zones. The Atkinson NGA (Boore and Atkinson, 2008), and
subduction zone that is shallower than 50 km is Campbell-Bozorgnia NGA (Campbell and
considered as the Megathrust or interface zone, Bozorgnia, 2008) were chosen for faults and
whereas, the earthquake occurence deeper than the background sources. Attenuation from Geomatrix
Megathrust zones is classified as the Benioff zone subduction (Youngs et al., 1997), Atkinson-Boore
and considered as deep background sources (Irsyam BC rock and global Source (Atkinson and Boore,
et al., 2013b). 2003) and Zhao et al., with variable Vs-30 (Zhao et
Fault source is treated as a plane in 3-D space for al, 2006) were chosen for Megathrust zone
calculation of distance from a site to a certain point (subduction interface).
at the plane. Parameters of fault required for input of
PSHA include fault traces, focal mechanism, slip- 3.3 Seismic Hazard Level of Jakarta City
rate, dip, length and width of the fault. Location of
each fault was determined based on information Based on the earthquake sources listed on Table 1
obtained from previous publications and relocated and the attenuation function determined before, the
epicenters. The information was then used to trace PSHA is carried out to obtain the hazard level for
each fault on the Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission Jakarta. The analysis considers two hazard levels;
(SRTM) that indicates geomorphology. Using this 10% and 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years.
procedure, coordinate and length of each fault can be Figure 5 shows the distribution of peak ground
obtained. Other input data required for analysis was acceleration (PGA) for Jakarta city. The value of
obtained from publications and technical discussions PGA at bedrock ranges from 0.18 0.22 g and from
(Irsyam et al., 2010a and Irsyam et al., 2013b). 0.33 0.39 g for 10% and 2% probability of
Gridded (smoothed) seismicity model are utilized exceedance in 50 years.
to determine the rate of occurrence of small earth-
quakes on mapped faults and random earthquakes on 3.4 De-Aggregation & Time Histories Development
unmapped faults (Petersen et al., 2008). This model
is used to predict the likelihood of bigger earthquake The probabilistic seismic hazard analysis that was
for region in which lack of seismogenic data but has mentioned previously allows computation of the
seismic activities report from small to moderate mean annual rate of exceedance at particular site
earthquakes. location based on the cumulative risk from potential
A truncated-exponential or Gutenberg-Richter earthquake sources having different magnitude
(Gutenberg and Richter, 1954) magnitude-frequency occurring at different source-site distance. The
distribution between M5.0 and M6.5 is used to computed rate of exceedance is not associated with
model rates for different sizes of earthquakes in any particular earthquake magnitude or source-site
every grid. The composite catalog was used as input distance. In order to estimate the most likely
for background seismicity and it was divided into earthquake magnitude and the most likely source-
five depth intervals, i.e. shallow earthquakes (0-50 site distance, de-agregation process is conducted.
km), intermediate earthquakes (50100 km and 100 The process requires that the mean annual rate be
150 km), and deep earthquakes (150200 km and expressed as a function of magnitude and distance
200300 km) (Irsyam et al., 2010a, Irsyam et al., (the representing/controlling earthquakes). The
2010b, Irsyam et al., 2011, and Irsyam et al., 2013b). results of de-agregation is then used to select ex-
isting ground motion records, which record
recorded
ed in 3. Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis
3.5
earthquake of similar magnitude and at similar
source-
source-site
site distance. The de-
de-aggregation
aggregation results are In addition to probabilistic approach, determinis
determinis-
summarized in Table 2. tic seismic hazard analysis (DSHA) is also
The seismic hazard curves for PGA, 0.2 and 1.0 performed in the development of seismic micro micro-
second spectral period are developed and de de- zonation maps of Jakarta. DSHA for Jakarta is
aggregated to obtain representing m magnitudes
agnitudes and carried out ffirst
irst by selecting the matrix combination
distances for return periods of 500 and 2500 years of mag
mag-nitude
nitude and distance to represent earthquake
for Jakarta city. Selection of input motions is scenarios due to earthquake sources surrounding
conducted based on the magnitude and distance in Jakarta. The matrix is used as a basis to choose
Table 2. Modified time histories are then generated appropriate ground motion from worldwide
based on recorded ground motion from previ previous
ous historical earthquake reco
records.
rds.
historic earthquake event and estimated target Each of scenarios for a specific earthquake source
spectrum at bedrock using the spectral matching with certain magnitude and distance is represented
method proposed by Abrahamson (1998)
(1998). by appropriate time time--histories
histories of ground motion
records for input motions in shear wave propagation
analysis. Historical earthquake records with magn magni-
tude ranging from 5.0 to 7.0 and distance from 20
km to 60 km are collected for crustal fault. The
scenarios for subduction sources including deep
intraslab utilize various historical earthquake with
magnitude ranging from 7.0 9.0 and distance
ranging from 150 450 km. Site response analysis
using 11-D
D shear wave propagation procedure is then
conducted once the input motions corresponding to a
specific earthquake scenario are selected
selected.
Figure 6. Geological map of the Greater Jakarta Area and surrounding Area (After Fachri et al., 2002)
investigation of bedrock depth is urgently required. layers, where the bedrock depths in northern Jakarta
Microtremors array survey has becomed an effective can be depicted in the range from 518 m to 542 m
method to estimate engineering bedrock based on S- and in the southern part is in the range from 359 m
wave velocity structures because it is very simple in to 398 m (Ridwan et al, 2014). Figure 7 show the
the field operation and without active sources. location of instrumentation in Jakarta city and the
Analysis of dispersion curve of microtremors can be contour map showing the depth of recorded shear
performed by Spatial Auto-Correlation (SPAC) wave velocity greater than 750 m/s.
method which was developed by Aki (1957) and Reffering to the Geological condition in Jakarta
expanded by Okada (1998) on the circular array with where layers thickness increases to the North, hence,
distance r between two stations. The microtremor microtremors survey was designed in one line from
study is expected to provide the estimation of depth the South to the North across Jakarta. The triangular
at which the material is measured its shear wave arrays configuration was used for each sites by using
velocity. 4 instrument and the time duration for microtremors
Ridwan et al. (2013) applied microtremors array to data record was 1 - 2 hours for each array. 1D S-
obtain the 1D and 2D S-wave velocity profiles in wave velocity profile resulted by individual inver-
some locations in Jakarta. Estimation of the bedrock sion was used to construct 2D profile after con-
depth in Jakarta is based on S-wave velocity para- ducted second inversion. The results of microtremors
meters. The spatial autocorrelation method was used array analysis shows that the subsurface models for
to estimate dispersion curves, while S-wave velocity Jakarta consist of four layers where engineering
structure is derived by genetic algorithm. The result bedrock can be estimated at the forth layers (359 -
of 2D construction of S-wave velocity structure 608 m depth) as shown in Figure 8.
shows stratigraphy cross section that consists of four
(a) (b)
Figure 7.
7. Microtremor measurement to identify engineering bedrock in Jakarta (Ridwan et al, 201 2013)); (a) Location ooff Instru
Instru-
mentation.; (b) Contour map of depth of engineering bedrock (Vs > 750 m/s) identified by microtremor array
mentation array.
S--wave
wave Velocity (m/s) S--wave
wave Velocity (m/s) S-wave
wave Velocity (m/s) S-wave
wave Velocity (m/s) S--wave
wave Velocity (m/s)
0 300 600 900 1200 0 300 600 900 1200 0 300 600 900 1200 0 300 600 900 1200 0 300 600 900 1200
0 0 0 0 0
Depth (m)
-400 -400
Depth (m)
Depth (m)
Depth (m)
Depth (m)
Depth (m)
Depth (m)
4.
4.2 Soil Condition of Jakarta City velocity measurement using seismic downhole test
and laboratory tests. Field and laboratory data are
Site characterization is carried out by interpreting obtained by collection of previous soil investigation
the results of field measurements including in in--situ
situ results conducted previously by various consultants
testing such as standard penetration test (SPT), and by performing new addit
additional
ional soil investigation
Dutch cone penetration te test
st (DCPT), shear wave conducted by the Government of Jakarta. Figure 9
shows the distribution of borehole points in all part 450
of Jakarta city
ity used for the development of seismic
microzonation maps. 400 (N)0.3403
92.868(N)
Vs = 92.868
R = 0.9951
Further study to identify the dynamic soil prop prop-
350
erties is also conducted to encounter limited data of
shear wave velocity profiles in Jakarta. An empirical 300
correlation between N N-SPT
SPT with shear wave velocity
Vs (m/s)
has been developed based on 42 borehole points 250
from 22 different location in Jakarta. The borehole
data is collected from high rise building projects 200
spread across the city and the data is plotted in
Figure 110.. 150
Figure 10 indicates that the correlation between N N-
SPT with shear wave velocity is quite scatter. It 100
shows
show that the tendency of plotted data is eligible as
50
a basis to develop the empirical equation to estimate
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
shear wave velocity value. The shear wave velocity N SPT
N-SPT
profile in other borehole is etimated based on this Apart. Avatar 1 Gudang Garam 1
Gudang Garam 2 Menara Kompas 1
empirical equation shown in Figure 10. Based on tthe he Menara Kompas 2 Pondok Klub Villa (Lebak Bulus) 1
Pondok Klub Villa (Lebak Bulus) 2 The City Center 1
result developed by Yunita (2013), the result show The City Center 2 Ancol Mansion
that the equation proposed by Imai and Tonouchi Kebagusan City
Grand PI Mall 3
Apartemen Gatsu 1
Hayam Wuruk
(1982) is the closest relationship for shear wave Karawang Greenland 1 Karawang Greenland 2
Menara Prima Mega K Plaza Indonesia 1
velocity estimation ba based
sed on N N-SPT
SPT value for Plaza Indonesia 2 Senopati Residence 1
Senopati Residence 2 Springhill 1
Jakarta ccity.
ity. Springhill 2 Sudirman Setiabudi tower
Site classification study for Jakarta is perf
performed
ormed Teluk Naga 1
Teluk Naga 3
Teluk Naga 2
Dharmawangsa Eminence
based on the N N--SPT
SPT30 according to the NEHRP site Permata Hijau
60%
from fault source with magnitude M=6.5 and
40% distance R=20 km and megathrust source with
20% magnitude M= M=9.0
9.0 and distance R=20
R=200 kmkm.. The
maps indicate that the amplification factor ranges
0% from 0.8 to 2.2 and at the center of Jakarta where
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 most of major high rise buildings are located the
PSA (g)
INF-Complete INF-Extensive
value varies from 1.2 to 1.6.
INF-Moderate INF-Slight Fig
Figure
ure 14.a
14.a shows peak surface acceleration due to
CM-Complete CM-Extensive ground motions from fault source with magnitude
CM-Moderate CM-Slight M=6.5 and distance R=20 km km.. The peak acceleration
Figure 112.. Fragility curves for In
In-Filled
Filled Frame (INF) and at ground surface varies from 0.14 to 0.24 g for fault
Confined Masonry (CM) sources. Figure 14.b present probabilistic pea peakk
surface acceleration for 2500 year yearss earthquake
occurence period where tthe he peak acceleration at
5 RESULTS & DISCUSSION ground surface ranges from 0.2 to 0.4 g.
(a) (b)
Figure 113.. Contour map of deterministic amplification factor ffor:
or: (a) Scenario-30,
Scenario 30, fault sources with Mw=6.5 and R=20 km; (b)
Scenario
Scenario-36,
36, megathrust sources with Mw=9.0 and R=200 km km.
(a) (b)
Figure 114.. Contour map of; (a) Peak Surface Acceleration (PSA)
(PSA),, Scenario-30,
Scenario 30, fault sources with Mw=6.5 and R=20 km; (b)
Probabilistic
robabilistic Peak Surface Accel
Acceleration
eration with 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years.
Disaster Reduction for their supports and assistances
during this study.
REFERENCES