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Assume two goods, one with production function Qx = 2 Kx Lx and one with production function
Qy = 4 Ky Ly. Note that both show increasing returns to scale: if you double both K and L in the production of
X, you quadruple output; if you double both K and L in the production of good Y, output increases by a factor of
eight.
In autarky, we have 600 units of both labor and capital. Assume we devote 300 units of labor and 300
of capital to good X, so producing 2 * 300 * 300 = 180,000 units of X; and we devote 200 units of labor and 200
units of capital to Y, producing 4 * 200 * 200 = 160,000 units of Y. So does the rest of the world.
In trade, the direction of specialization will depend on historical accident. Say we specialize in X and the
rest of the world in Y, and both areas have 600 units of both labor and capital. We have:
X = 2 (600) (600) = 720, 000 units for both countries together (an increase of 2 times)
Y = 4 (600) (600) = 1,440,000 units of Y for both countries together (an increase of 4.5 times)
It would be possible for both countries to become better off by specialization and trade.
Problem 2. Why is trade within countries greater than trade between countries?
The answer is NOT transportation costs Toronto is closer to New York city than Los Angeles is, yet
there is more trade between New York and Los Angeles. Note also that costs of sea transportation are much
lower than land transport. Border effects are quite important here, and are not limited to tariffs and quotas and
customs delays already existing patterns of trade are hard to change, and different legal systems make it harder
to settle disputes in another country. See the text treatment of trade between the US and Canada, and the two
gravity equations (p. 212 and 214):
Trade between US states and Canadian provinces = 93 * GDP.State * GDP.Province /dist 1.25
Trade between Canadian provinces = 1300 * GDP.Province1 * GDP.Province2 / dist 1.25
Other things equal, there is about 14 times (1300 / 93) more trade between Canadian provinces than between
equally distant US states. Tariffs between the two countries were very low even before NAFTA, and the
language barrier is non-existent which leaves pre-existing patterns of trade and different legal systems as the
probable major factors here.
Problem 3. From monopoly to duopoly to multi-opoly.
The treatment of reciprocal dumping should have convinced you that more firms mean lower prices
and can be extended beyond duopoly. There are two factors at work as trade is opened
1.The number of firms in any one country's market increase, putting downward pressure on price due to
increased competition.
2.The size of the market increases, allowing firms with constant marginal cost to produce more, and hence
allowing lower average costs of production.
The text treatment differentiates between industry demand and firm demand, with industry demand being
represented by D and firm demand by d. It may be less confusing to have a very specific form for the demand
curve, using Q for industry quantity demanded and q for firm quantity demand.
Q = 3000 / P
where the exponent is the elasticity of demand for the industry demand curve.
(Remember that the percent change in quantity will be equal to - times the percent change in P when we apply
our percentage change rules, so that - = % Q divided by % P the definition of elasticity)
Note also that the demand for any individual firm can be derived from the industry demand equation assuming
that there are N identical firms in the industry, total industry demand will be N q, so
Nq = 3000 / P
q= 3000 / N P
GDP Distance to US
France 1830 5544
Italy 1668 6229
US 12,409 0
Both of these are MUCH too large to have come from observed data, (trade is predicted to exceed US
GDP) and have been a mechanical exercise in using the coefficients found in the Canadian case study in the
text. In reality, the parameters a and b would have been estimated from data that included France and Italy as
well as Canada and other trading partners. US-France trade in 2005 was under 24 billion dollars of exports to
France, and imports about 36 billion, so total trade was approximately 60 billion dollars. The gravity equation as
given overstates trade by a factor of 736 times ! Using a factor of 1/12 would be more appropriate than 93
Even if trade is beneficial to the average consumer, there will be unemployment costs. This problem
illustrates that the average length of unemployment may be quite long if the unemployment is due to plant
closings (other unemployment lasts an average of 3 months). The detailed calculation is tedious, but you should
note that the formula for the fraction finding a job in any year is p (1 p)z, where z is the year 1 from the plant
closure (in year 1). The formula for the total fraction unemployed in any year will be (1 p)n , where n is the
year from the plant closure.
The trickier part of the problem is the computation of the average length of unemployment, which as the
text correctly notes, is the sum of fractions N * p (1 p)z , since that is the fraction of workers who have been
unemployed for N years. The text on page 207 notes that the average spell of unemployment after plant closings
in the wake of NAFTA was 3 years. A computer simulation of the process with 1/3 finding a job each year found
an average unemployment of 2.5 years after 20 years.
Problem 9. Intra-industry trade index (IITI)
| X - M|
IITI = 1.0 - -------------- is easier to remember than the text version (which also works)
X + M
Note that if X = 0, we have IITI = 1.0 - M / M = 0.0 (one way trade = no intra-industry trade)
if X = M, we have IITI = 1.0 - 0 / 2 M = 1.0 (balanced trade = maximum possible IITI)
if X = 2 M, we have IITI = 1.0 - M / 3 M = 2/3
Assume both Home and Foreign monopolists faced the same demand and costs as in the previous problem.
After trade opens, what will be the effect on prices and quantities?
(for reference, monopoly price = $ 30 and monopoly Q = 40 in both markets, with profits of $ 800 )
Consider the Foreign market (the Home market will be identical, with only the names of the firms changing):
Note that there will be two marginal revenues and two marginal costs
(Home will pay a transport cost of $ 8)
MR.h = 50 Qh - Qf
so Home will maximize profit by setting MR.h = MC.h or 50 Qh - Qf = 18,
from which we can derive Home's reaction function Qh = 32 - Qf
MR.f = 50 - Qh Qf and setting MR.f = MC.f = $ 10, we will get the foreign reaction function,
Qf = 40 - Qh
Substitute the foreign reaction function into the Home reaction function to get:
Qh = 32 - [ 40 - Qh]
Qh = 32 20 + 1/4 Qh
Qh = 12
Qh = 48 / 3 = 16
Likewise, substitute the Home reaction function into the Foreign reaction function to get:
Qf = 32.
The Foreign market will have a total quantity supplied of 48, which implies a price of
P = 50 - 48 = $ 26.
Home will collect a revenue of $ 26 * 16 = $ 416 from the Foreign market, and will incur
variable costs of $ 18 * 16 = $ 288, leaving a profit of $ 128 from the Foreign market.
Note that the total monopoly profit from the Foreign market is $ 512 + $ 128 = $ 640, down from $ 800.
Price has fallen from $ 30 to $ 26, and the quantity sold is now 48, not 40.