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每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 7 月 7 日
市场技术解读
必须维持在 1,300 点关口以吸引买盘…
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 在新趁低吸购活动下,上海综合指数主导了午盘的反转走势而宣告急升 1.92%,从而促使其它亚洲和欧洲股市也大奏凯
歌。同时,澳洲储备银行(Reserve Bank of Australia)对中国经济成长喊出深具信心的谈话,也成功缓和了有关全球经
济复苏步伐转弱的忧虑。
技术解读∶
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2010 年 7 月 7 日
每日交投策略∶
♦ 不过,我们认为,市场欲要重返多头局势依然言之过早。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶主要海外指数及原产品
6月 7月 7月 7月 7月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 30 日 1日 2日 5日 6日 本地主要指数 (点) (%)
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,307.08 7.58 0.6
267 206 286 182 405
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 8,596.91 46.50 0.5
343 413 300 425 195
平盘 富时大马创业板 3,767.00 19.81 0.5
259 238 263 270 273
无交易 各大海外指数
494 506 514 484 488
道琼斯工商指数 9,743.62 57.14 0.6
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,093.88 2.09 0.1
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,028.06 5.48 0.5
(百万股) 564 558 626 450 622 伦敦金融时报指数 4,965.00 141.47 2.9
总成交值 恒生指数 20,084.12 241.92 1.2
(百万令吉) 988 1,023 974 718 970 雅加达综合指数 2,910.65 33.35 1.2
东京日经 225 指数 9,338.04 71.26 0.8
外汇 首尔综合指数 1,684.94 9.57 0.6
令吉兑美元 3.2350 3.2375 3.2220 3.2060 3.2040 上海综合指数 2,409.42 45.47 1.9
曼谷综合指数 815.52 11.49 1.4
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg) 富时新加坡海峡时报指
数 2,868.02 24.00 0.8
台湾加权指数 7,548.48 108.52 1.5
印度 Sensex 指数 17,614.48 173.04 1.0
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 71.98 -0.16 -0.2
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,301.00 11.00 0.5
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 4 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
27 日-28 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 6 月 22 日-23 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
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2010 年 7 月 7 日
图 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(日线图) 图 4∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(单日线图)
技术解读∶
♦ 本地期货指数周二意外地发动上涨攻势,基于区域股市在午盘所上演的复苏行情成功激励交投士气。这得归功于中国股市的
凌厉反弹。
每日交投策略∶
♦ 不过,市场需要更多确认讯号,以带动买气。
表 3∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)收盘
FKLI (月份) 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 7 月 1287.00 1313.00 1287.00 1311.50 18.00 1311.50 9704 15974
10 年 8 月 1287.00 1312.00 1286.50 1312.00 19.00 1312.00 336 130
10 年 9 月 1286.50 1311.00 1286.50 1309.00 16.50 1311.00 127 553
10 年 12 月 1288.00 1310.00 1287.00 1310.00 17.00 1311.00 46 238
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2010 年 7 月 7 日
图 5∶美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)(日线图) 图 6∶美国纳斯达克指数(Nasdaq)(日线图)
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 美国股市周二恢复交易并以涨势告收,不过午盘的谨慎情绪迫使股项收窄涨势。
技术解读∶
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2010 年 7 月 7 日
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶马矿业( MMCCorp)(日线图) 图 8∶ 马矿业(单日线图)
将继续维持在当前的横摆趋势内…
♦ 技术而言,从利多蜡烛形态看来,加上正面的动力解读,以及 10 日和 40 日移动平均线也转升,该股应会在跟进买盘下重
新挑战 2.55 令吉阻力线。
♦ 我们认为,只有在完全突破该交投波幅的任何上下一方,届时该股才能形成新趋势。
技术解读∶
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
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Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
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