Issued: Monday March 13, 2017 at 500 p.m.

EDT
Warnings Midnight Tonight Midnight Tue Night

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
 What has Changed?

Continued Westward Shift of Storm Track

- Mixing from Eastern NYC east will Decrease
Snowfall Amounts

Upgrade to Blizzard Warning for Orange and Putnam

Counties in NY and Western Passaic County, NJ

Expand Coastal Flood Warnings on Tuesday to

Include Eastern Long Island Bays.

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
 Main Points
Hazard Impacts Timing
1-2 NY/NJ Metro and points N&W
6-14 Coastlowest E LI/SE CT
Heavy Snow Tue AM Snowfall rates of 2- 4/hr. 3 AM 8 PM Tuesday
Structural Damage Possible due to
Weight of Wet Snow

35 to 50 mphhighest along coast

Tuesday Morning into
Wind Gusts to 60 mph across E LI/SE CT
Afternoon
Potential for power outages

Moderate impacts across Long The high tide cycles

Coastal Flooding Islands South Shore and East End Tuesday morning into
Bays; Minor Elsewhere early afternoon
Wind gusts of 45-55+ KT
Marine Seas 15-20 on the ocean and 4 to Tuesday
8 on the Sound
Dangerous Travel Conditions for Tue Am commute!
Whiteout Conditions with several roads likely impassable!
Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc
US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
 Most Likely Snow Forecast

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
 Minimum and Maximum Snowfall Potential

Minimum Maximum
Expect at least this much: Potential for this much:

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
Updates to Coastal Flood headlines coming this morning

Coastal Flood Watch

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
Updates to Coastal Flood headlines coming this morning

Coastal Flood Watch

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
Weather Prediction Center Forecast Map: 8 a.m. Tuesday

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
 Forecast Uncertainties
Continued Westward Shift of Storm Track

How far West and North will Warmer Air Move?

Northwest movement of the Rain/Snow Line Tuesday Morning will have
significant affects on the snowfall forecast from NYC east.
How much Sleet will occur from NYC east during Tuesday Morning and
Afternoon, which will also affect snowfall forecasts

Western extent of strong to damaging wind gusts (25-50 mile westward shift)
Highest likelihood for 60+ mph wind gusts across Long Island and SE CT

Magnitude of Coastal Flooding around Tuesdays High Tides

Moderate coastal impacts expected Long Islands South Shore and East
End Bays with up to 2 feet of water inundation
Widespread Minor coastal impacts across NY Harbor and Western Long
Island Shore Bays with 1 foot or less of water inundation

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
 Event Summary
Heavy Snow Expected 3 AM 8 PM Tuesday
Heaviest Wet Snow NYC/NJ Metro North and East
including Southern Connecticut

Damaging Wind gusts likely for Long Island and SE CT

Blizzard Conditions Expanded across Orange and

Putnam Counties in NY and West Passaic County, NJ

Minor to Moderate Coastal Impacts

Period of Greatest Impact:

Tuesday (Mainly the Morning Commute)

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY
 Next Presentation Update

Additional Electronic Briefings will be Provided

Maintain Your Situational Awareness

Check www.weather.gov/nyc

Building a Weather Ready Nation @ www.weather.gov/nyc

US National Weather Service New York NY @NWSNewYorkNY