Universidad de Ingeniera y Tecnologa

School of Industrial Engineering

Course Syllabus 2017-1

1) Course number and name: EG4003-Statistics and Probability

2) Credits: 4 Credit Hours

3) Hours per session:

Lecture: 3 hours per week
Lab: 2 hours per week

Total number of sessions:

Lecture: 14
Lab: 14

4) Instructors name, e-mail, and office hours

Lecture coordinator:
Claudia Antonini cantonini@utec.edu.pe
Previous appointment with the instructor

Lab coordinator
Jos Miguel Renom jrenom@utec.edu.pe
Previous appointment with the instructor.

Instructors:
Teresa Pinillos tpinillos@utec.edu.pe
Previous appointment with the instructor.

Fabien Cornillier fcornillier@utec.edu.pe

Previous appointment with the instructor.

Humberto Galvez hgalvez@utec.edu.pe

Previous appointment with the instructor.

5) References, title, author, and year

Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists. Sheldon M. Ross. Fifth
Edition, 2014.
OpenIntro Statistics David M. Diez, Christopher D. Barr, Mine Getinkaya-Rundel. Third
Edition.
Introduccin a la probabilidad y estadstica. Mendenhall, Beaver. 13th edition.
Statistics, Principles and Methods. Johnson and Bhattacharryya. 6th edition, 2010.
Exploratory Data Analysis with R. Roger D. Peng. 2016.
R Programming for Data Science. Roger. D. Peng. 2016.
Report Writting for Data Science in R. Roger D. Peng. 2016.
 The Art of Data Science. Roger. D Peng. 2016.

6) Specific course information

a. Brief description of the content of the course (catalog description)

The scope of this subject naturally extends to all processes of acquiring knowledge
that involve fact finding through data collection and examination. Opinion polls
(surveys of households to study sociological, client satisfaction, economical, or health-
related issues), agricultural field experiments (with new seeds, pesticides, or farming
equipment), quality and process control, inventory, clinical studies of vaccines, and
cloud seeding artificial rain production are just a few examples. The principles and
methodology of statistics are useful in answering questions such as: What kind and
how much data need to be collected? How should we organize and interpret the data?
How can we analyze the data and draw conclusions? How do we assess the strength of
the conclusions and gauge their uncertainty?
Partially taken from Johnson & Bhattacharyya

This course is intended for students who do not have a strong background in
mathematics, but seek to learn the basic ideas of probability, statistics, and their
application in a variety of practical settings in an engineering context.

Using real engineering problems, this course covers the fundamentals of descriptive
and inferential statistics, as well as the fundamentals of probability theory.

b. Prerequisites or co-requisites: CC1001 Calculus I

c. Indicate whether course is required or elective: Required course

7) Specific course objectives:

a. Competences

This course contributes to the following student outcome competences:

a: Has a deep scientific and technical knowledge within his or her disciplines.
b: Reasons analytically for the resolution of multidisciplinary problems.
c: Effectively communicates and collaborates in diverse contexts, cultures, and
disciplines.

Specifically, the student develops the following competencies to a basic level:

Identifies relevant variables to describe the

system.
Classifies the relevant variables according to
their type.
Designs the sampling strategy for field
projects.
 Formulates relevant questions and hypotheses.
Collects data on relevant variables
systematically.
Correctly analyzes data using statistical tools.
Draws correct conclusions based on statistical
evidence.

b. Learning results:
This course contributes to the following students outcomes ICACIT/ABET: a, b, e, g.

a: Has engineering knowledge.

b: An ability to design and conduct experiments, as well as to analyze and
interpret data
e: An ability to identify, formulate, and solve engineering problems
g: An ability to communicate effectively

Specifically:

a1: Identifies engineering problems (Level 1)

a2: Formulates engineering problems. (Level 1)
b1: Designs and performs experiments (Level 1).
b2: Analyzes information (Level 1)
b3: Interprets information (Level 1)

8) Brief list of topics to be covered

a) Descriptive Statistics:
i) Basic definitions: Variables. Variable classification: qualitative (nominal, ordinal), quantitative
(continuous, discrete). Measuring scale.
ii) Frequency distribution tables for qualitative and quantitative variables. Graphics.
iii) Central tendency measures: mean, median, mode. Position measures: cuartiles, deciles and
percentiles.
iv) Spread measures: range, interquartile range, variance, standard deviation, coefficient of
variation. Boxplot.
b) Basic probability theory:
i) Basic definitions: random experiment, sample space, events, sets, counting and probability.
ii) Conditional probability, total probability, Bayes theorem.
iii) Discrete random variables: properties, expectation, variance. Notable discrete random variables:
Binomial, Negative Binomial, Hypergeometric and Poisson.
iv) Continuous random variables: properties, expectation, variance. Notable continuous random
variables: Beta, Gamma, and Normal.
c) Inferential Statistics:
i) Confidence intervals for a single parameter: sample mean and sample variance.
ii) Sampling and sample size.
iii) Concepts and definitions for hypotheses testing: Type I and type II errors. Hypothesis testing for
population mean and variance.
iv) Hypothesis testing for ratio of variances. Hypothesis test for mean difference. Hypothesis test
for difference of ratios.
v) One factor experimental design.
vi) Relationships among variables: correlation and linear regression: simple and multiple.

9) Methodology and evaluation system

a) Methodology

Theory sessions:
The knowledge building sessions are centered on students and through their active
participation solve problems related to the course with individual and group contributions.

The student will be presented with situations that challenge their prior beliefs and that involve
correct probability and statistical reasoning. The evaluation of these sessions is through
continuous assessment.

Laboratory sessions:
Practice sessions require the use of statistical software R, RStudio and EXCEL to analyze the
datasets provided by the instructor. The student should come prepared to each lab session.
Instructions will be given opportunely.

Lab sessions will practice the theoretical concepts with R, using datasets related to engineering
problems chosen by the professor. A week after each of these sessions, students will have to
turn in an Rmarkdown document. A randomly chosen member of a randomly chosen team will
present this document orally for the other students if the instructor deems it necessary.

Field practices:
These sessions may occur on the field, where students will work in teams towards the
completion of their project. Students should turn in partial results during the semester.
Instructions will be given in due time.

Finally, each team will turn in a written Rmarkdown report with results, analysis and
recommendations. The team will then make an oral presentation of results and conclusions of
their field project with participation of all its members.

Field project description:

Using a real problem, the student will be exposed to the concepts of sampling, data collection,
data cleanup, descriptive and inferential statistics so that the acquired knowledge can be
applied in a specific context.

The deliverables for this field project will be the following:

Installment Topics Challenges

Deadline
Week
2 Objective population, sampling and Establish the objective population.
relevant variables. Determine the questions that need to
Kinds of variables. be answered.
Plan the collection of data.
7 Rmarkdown. Classify the variables according to
Descriptive statistics. their kind.
Random variables. Carry out a descriptive analysis of the
 selected variables.
Establish models that explain the
selected variables.

9 Hypothesis Testing. Formulate hypotheses and test their

Confidence Intervals. validity to generate conclusions using
inferential statistics.
13 Regression. Establish models that explain the
ANOVA. selected variables.
16 All previous topics. Articulate an effective communication
to present the results of the project
using an Rmarkdown document and
orally.

Evaluation System:

Final Grade = 0.30 Pa + 0.40Pb + 0.30Q

Where:

Pa = average of laboratory sessions.

Each laboratory session will be evaluated based on a particular previously published criterion.

Pb = 0.1 (Pb1) + 0.1 (Pb2) + 0.2 (Pb3) + 0.2 (Pb4)+ 0.4 (Pb5)
Pb1, Pb2, Pb3 y Pb4 are the deliverables for the field project and Pb5 is the final report and its
oral defense.

Q = Average of the quizzes taken on the knowledge building sessions.

The student needs to get 11 or more in all Pa, Pb and Q to be able to pass the class.