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(1) What is the appropriate discount rate to use in evaluating the Collinsville
plant opportunity?
What is the cost of equity?
What is the after-tax cost of debt?
What weights ought to be applied to each source of capital in calculating the
discount rate?
The discount rate or Weighted Average Cost of capital to use in evaluating the
Collinsville plant opportunity is calculated as
WACC= (1-Tax rate) *cost of pretax debt *(D/D+E) + cost of equity*(E/D+E)
Where tax rate =48 % as based on financial statement of Dixon corporation (Exhibit
7)
WACC =15.49% (As calculated in Worksheet-2 given below)
Risk free rate,9.5 %, is taken as Long term treasury bond(case) as Dixon is expected
to run Collinsville plant for at least ten year. The calculation of risk premium is
based on arithmetic average of spread between S& P return and long term US
Government treasury Bond returns from 1926 to 1979 because I believe that
historical premium over extended period is the best estimate of the risk premium
looking forward.
Calculate the unlevered beta to remove the beneficial effect (Tax effect) gained by
adding debt to capital structure.
Unlevered Beta = levered Beta/ (1 + (1- tax rate) (Debt/Equity))
Adjusting Unlevered Beta for financial leverage: -Calculate the Levered beta
to achieve target leverage ratio of 35 % for Dixon corporation
As case does not mention the debt premium, which is rate applicable for corporate
borrowing above government borrowing. So, I assume that Dixon will borrow the
debt at a rate of 11.25 %, which is Long term BBB corporate bonds rate.
Debt =0.35
Equity =0.65
Value (Debt +Equity) =1
D/D+E =0.35 and E/D+E=0.65
(2) What are the relevant free cash flows to be used in evaluating the Collinsville
plant, excluding the investment in the laminate technology? Please clearly
show the free cash flow in each year. What specific recommendations would
you provide to top management concerning the estimate of the terminal
value for the plant? Based on your analysis, is the purchase of the Collinsville
plant, in the absence of any other investment considerations such as the
laminate technology, economically worthwhile?
The calculation of cash flow for Collinsville plant, excluding Laminate technology
from 1981 to 1989, is based on given information in case, and assumptions.
Calculation of Cash flows
The capital expenditure consists of expenditure on new and existing property plant
and equipment
Capex =Net increase in PP&E +depreciation
Total NPV = Initial investment + Present value of all cash flows discounted at
WACC
We can calculate the terminal value of plant in two way. One way is to operate the
plant for five year and sell it at a book value in fifth years. The other way is to
operate the plan for ten year and scrap the plant once it reaches zero scrap value.
IF Dixon decides to buy this plan with no investment on laminate technology, I
recommend that the Dixon would operate this plant for ten year and generate the
projected cashflows. At the end of ten year Dixon can write off and avail tax benefits
associated with property, plant and equipment.
From my calculation, I can see that total NPV, -5.45 million USD as calculated in
below worksheet-3, is negative for this project if the cost of plant (12 million USD) is
taken into consideration. In the absence of any other investment, the project would
erode the shareholders wealth. Hence it is advised that Dixon should not buy the
plant without the laminate technology.
If Dixon owns the Collinsville plant, the cashflow will be calculated based on
laminated technology. I assume that the laminate technology
reduces power costs by 20 percent between year 1980 and 1989.
eliminates graphite costs between year 1980 and 1989 as It can be installed
in the beginning of 1980 for $2.25 million.
brings tax savings due to depreciation between year 1980 and 1989.
will be depreciated as based on straight line depreciation.
Other assumptions remain the same.
(4) What steps should Dixon take with respect to these investment opportunities
to enhance shareholder wealth? That is, should the company acquire the
Collinsville plant, or not? If it buys the plant, should it invest in the laminate
technology or not? Be sure to explain carefully how you arrived at your final
recommendations regarding what you believe that Dixon should do.
If the capital is cheap, the option of investment is attractive. So, I will test the
NPV sensitivity to different discount factor.
Competitive environment is intense in sodium chlorate industry as every
corporation is producing the same product, a perfect competition scenario
where profitability depends on supply and demand. So, I will test the NPV
sensitivity to sales growth and price change.
Strengths
Entering sodium chlorate industry improves its relationship with pulp and paper
customers N
Can uses existing sales network to increase the sales of Collinsville plant
Diversified Chemical Company
Weakness
Opportunities
Overall, the sales of sodium chlorate industry increase.
Price Increase over last years (Positive trend).
Increase in Demand.
Laminate technology will decrease the graphite and power cost.
Threats
Profit Margins can go down because of
emerging competition
Capacity utilization can be decreased
Twelve existing competitors plus two new
competitors
Recommendation
By evaluating the value of the project economically, strategically, and financially, I
recommend that Dixon Corporation should buy Collinsville plant with Laminate
technology as this investment will establish its position as a dominant player in
sodium chlorate industry. It would complement Dixons strategy of supplying
chemicals to the paper and pulp industry. Dixon will always have the option of
exiting business by selling plant if business turns not profitable. Purchasing
Collinsville plant, as opposed to building a new plant, is a cheap way to enter in
the sodium chlorate business.