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9.1 Introduction
Index number as the name indicated shows the numerical measure of the
changes specified over a specific time period in cost of living, sales, imports
and exports, prices of different commodities, etc. Index number is described
as barometers of economic activity. These are playing an increasingly
significant role in business planning and in the formulation of executive
decisions. The idea of Index number came into existence in the year 1764 in
Italy when they want to compare the price level changes of 1750 to the price
level of 1500.
Objectives:
At the end of this unit you should be able to:
Understand index number and its uses
Learn different types of index numbers.
know the different types of test to check the goodness of index numbers.
iii) Fixed Base or Chain Base: While selecting the base year it should
be clear that it is fixed base or chain base. In fixed base method,
the year or period of year to which all other prices of a year to
which all other prices are related is constant for all times. In case
of chain base method the prices of a year are linked with those of
the preceding year and not with the fixed year.
3. Selection of number of items: The next problem in the construction of
index number is the selection of items and their varieties. The number of
items and their varieties included in the index should neither be too big
nor too small. While constructing the index number every item cannot be
included. The selection of items should be in such a way that it is used
by most of the people.
4. Selection of Data: The data related to set of prices and of quantities
consumed for the selected commodities for different periods, places etc
is used to construct the index numbers. Note that the data should be
collected from reliable source.
5. Selection of appropriate weights: The problem of selecting suitable
weights to different commodities is very important and at the same time
very difficult also as all items is not equally important. There are two
types of indices (i) Unweighted Indices (ii) Weighted Indices
Unweighted indices: are those in which no specific weights are attached
to various commodities
Weighted Indices: are those in which appropriate weights are assigned
to various items.
In case of weighted index numbers, weights may be assigned either
explicitly or implicitly. Under explicit manner, weights are assigned
differently to different items in some quantitative manner. But under
implicit method, weights are assigned by repeating an item for a number
of times of their varieties which may appear Unweighted.
6. Selection of suitable method of averaging: Since index numbers are
specialized averages, so need to decide which particular average of
arithmetic mean, median, mode, geometric mean or harmonic mean
should be used for constructing the index number. But median and
mode are never used in constructing the index number. So the choices
Sikkim Manipal University Page No.: 263
Probability and Statistics Unit 9
Where, = price index of the current year on the basis of the base
Where, = value index of the current year on the basis of the base
years value.
= values of the items consumed in the current year
W = Weighted assigned
= Value of the items in the base year i.e.,
5. Fixed Base Index Number: It is the index number computed for number
of years on the basis of a fixed base year. It is also known as price
relatives. The formula for fixed base index number is
preceding years data. It is also known as link relatives. The formula for
chain base index number is
Note: Fixed base index number can be converted into chain base index
number as
Chain base index number can be converted into fixed base index number as
Simple weighted
Example: From the following data construct an index number for 2011
taking 2010 as base year
Thus in the year 2011 there is net increase in price of commodities in the
index year to the extent of 17.70%.
SAQ 1: From the following data relating to prices of different items calculate
the price indices for 1991 and 1992 on the basis of the prices of 1990.
2. Simple Relative method: The price index under this method is computed
by the formula (when Mean is used)
Where, = Price index of the current year on the basis of its base years
price.
= price relative of the respective items i.e.
Dal 20 25 125
Rice 30 30 100
Milk 10 15 150
Cheese 25 35 140
Bread 40 45 125
Total N = 5
Total N = 5 10.5160
= 126.82
SAQ 2: Compute price index by simple average of price relatives method
based on (a) arithmetic mean, (b) geometric mean taking 2009 as a base
year
Where, = Price index of the current year on the basis of its base years
price.
current year
Example: From the following data construct the weighted relative Index
number for 2000 using arithmetics mean and Geometric mean and by
taking the values of the base year as the respective weights.
1998 2000
Commodity
Price Quantity Price Quantity
Sugar 500per qtl 8 qtl 600 per qtl 10 qtl
Flour 10 per kg 50 kgs 15 per kg 60 kgs
Milk 4 per litres 180 litres 6 per liter 200 litres
Vegetables 5 per kg 200 kgs 8 per kg. 250 kgs
Price relative
1998 2000 Values
Commodity
V=
P0 Q0 P1 Q1
Sugar 500 8 600 10 120 4000 480000
Flour 10 50 15 60 150 500 75000
Milk 4 180 6 200 150 720 108000
Vegetables 5 200 8 250 160 1000 160000
Total 6220 8,23,000
Price
1998 2000 relative Values
Commodity Log I V. Log I
V=
P0 Q0 P1 Q1
Sugar 500 8 600 10 120 4000 2.0792 8316.8
Flour 10 50 15 60 150 500 2.1761 1088.05
Milk 4 180 6 200 150 720 2.1761 1566.79
Vegetables 5 200 8 250 160 1000 2.2041 2204.1
Total 6220 13175.74
Where, = price index of the current year w.r.t. the base year
= Sum of products of the price of the current year and the respective
weights of the items
= Sum of the products of the price of the base year and the
respective weights of the items
Based on the use of different types of weights, a number of formulae has
developed by different statisticians for constructing index number.
a) Laspeyres Price Index (or base year) method: In this method the
base year quantities are taken as weights. That is,
b) Paasches Price index (or Given year) method: In this method the
current year quantities are taken as weights. That is,
Thus,
e) Marshall-Edgeworth Method:
In this method we take the average of quantities of the base year and
the current year as the weights of the items i.e. . So the formula in
this case becomes
quantities rather than A.M. as the weights of the item for both the years
i.e.,
Example: Construct the index numbers of prices for the year 2010 taking
2009 as the base year form the following data by applying the following:
Laspeyres, Paasches, Bowleys, Fishers, Marshall-Edgeworth, Walschs,
method.
2009 2010
Commodity
Price Quantity Price Quantity
Rice 2 8 4 6
Wheat 5 10 6 5
Cotton 4 14 5 10
Dal 2 19 2 13
Solution:
2009 2010
Commodity Price Quantit Price Quantit
P0 y Q0 P1 y Q1
Rice 2 8 4 6 32 16 24 12
Wheat 5 10 6 5 60 50 30 25
Cotton 4 14 5 10 70 56 50 40
Dal 2 19 2 13 38 38 26 26
Total 200 160 130 103
Laspeyresmethod:
Paasches method:
Bowleys Method:
Fishers Method:
Walschs method:
Example: Construct the index numbers of prices for the year 1998 taking
1993 as the base year form the following data by applying the following:
Laspeyres, Paasches, Bowleys, Fishers, Marshall-Edgeworth, Walschs,
method.
1993 1998
Items
Price Quantity Price Quantity
A 2 40 5 75
B 4 16 8 40
C 1 10 2 24
D 5 25 10 60
Solution:
1993 1998
Item Price Quantity Price Quantit
P0 Q0 P1 y Q1
A 2 40 5 75 200 80 375 150
B 4 16 8 40 128 64 320 160
C 1 10 2 24 20 10 48 24
D 5 25 10 60 250 125 600 300
Total 598 279 1343 634
Laspeyresmethod:
Paasches method:
Bowleys Method:
Fishers Method:
Marshall-Edgeworth method:
Walschs method:
Example: From the following data construct the price index number for the
year 1998 using Kelleys weighted aggregative method.
Average
Items quantity Price in 1995 Price in 1998
consumed
P 60 32 40
Q 40 30 42
R 30 16 24
S 20 40 52
T 10 35 45
Solution:
Average
quantity Price in 1995 Price in 1998
Items consumed P1Q P0Q
P0 P1
Q
P 60 32 40 2400 1920
Q 40 30 42 1680 1200
R 30 16 24 720 480
S 20 40 52 1040 800
T 10 35 45 450 350
Total 6290 4750
SAQ3. From the following data find the weighted index numbers using the
various weighted aggregative methods
SAQ4. Compute price index and quantity index numbers for the year 2002
with 2000 as base year, using Laspeyres. Paasches, Fishers method.
Quantity Expenditure
Commodity
2000 2002 2000 2002
A 100 150 500 900
B 80 100 320 500
C 60 72 150 360
D 30 33 360 297
SAQ5. From the data given below, find x if the ratio between Laspeyres (L)
and Paasches (P) index numbers is L : P : : 28 : 27
Commodities P0 q0 P1 q1
A 1 10 2 5
B 1 5 x 2
2. Time reversal test: This test is one of the important test for Index
number. It is a test to determine whether the given formula is true in both
forward and backward ways of time that is when the time subscripts of
the formula are reversed.
According to Fisher, The test is that formula for calculating an index
number should be such that ratio between one point of comparison and
other, no matter which of the two is taken as base
Thus, if the time script say price, of any index formula be interchanged
then the resulting index should be the reciprocal of the original index.
That is,
That is,
Note: Fishers index satisfies factor reversal test and none of other
formulae satisfies the factor reversal test.
4. Circular test: This test was put forth by Westergaard. According to this
test, the index number formula should be such that it works in a circular
fashion. This means that if an index is computed for the period 1 on the
base period 0, another index is computed for the period 2 on the base
period 1 and another index is computed for the period 0 on the base
period 2, the product of all these indices should be equal to 1. That is,
This test is not satisfied by most of the important index formula i.e.,
Fishers, Laspeyres, Paasches, Marshal and Edgeworths, Drobish and
Bowleys etc.
Example: From the data given in the table construct the Fishers ideal
number and show that it satisfies (1) Time reversal test (2) Factor reversal
test.
Solution:
Fishers Method:
Thus,
=1
Therefore,
Example: With the help of following data show that the Time and Factor
reversal tests are satisfied by Fishers Ideal formula for index number
construction
Base year Base year Current year Current year
Commodity
Price Quantity Price Quantity
A 6 50 10 56
B 2 100 2 120
C 4 60 6 61
D 8.5 30 12 24
E 8 40 16 22
Solution:
Commodity P0 Q0 P1 Q1 P1Q0 P0Q0 P1Q1 P0Q1
A 6 50 10 56 500 300 560 336
B 2 100 2 120 200 200 240 240
C 4 60 6 61 360 240 366 244
D 8.5 30 12 24 360 255 288 204
E 8 40 16 22 640 320 352 176
Total 2060 1315 1806 1200
Thus,
Therefore,
Example: For the following data show that the simple aggregative method
satisfies the time reversal test and circular test.
Solution:
2000 2001 2002
Items
P0 P1 P2
A 12 10 12
B 15 7 5
C 24 5 9
D 5 16 14
E 7 8 15
Total 63 46 55
Thus,
Thus,
SAQ 6: From the data below, calculate the Fishers Ideal Index and show
that it satisfies time reversal test:
2009 2010
Items
Price Quantity Price Quantity
A 12 20 14 5
B 14 13 20 10
C 10 12 15 20
D 6 8 4 10
E 8 5 6 5
9.6 Summary
In this unit, we studied about index number and its different types. We also
studied various tests to check the goodness of index number. The idea of
solving different problems with the help of index numbers is also discussed
here with suitable examples.
2. Calculate the index number for 2005 with 2000 as base year by using
(a) The simple average of price relatives (b) the weighted average of
price relatives.
Price
Commodity Unit Weight
2000 2005
A Kg. 5 20 45
B Quintal 7 25 32
C Dozen 6 30 45
D Kg. 2 10 18
4. Calculate price index for 2000 with 1999 as base year by Laspeyres,
Paasches, Fishers, Marshall-Edge worth method.
1999 20000
Commodities
Price Quantity Price Quantity
A 20 8 40 6
B 50 10 60 5
C 40 15 50 15
D 20 20 20 25
5. Construct Fishers Ideal Index number from the following data showing
that it satisfies time reversal and factor reversal tests.
1999 20000
Commodities
Price Quantity Price Quantity
A 10 100 12 144
B 15 75 20 120
C 8 80 10 110
D 20 60 25 50
E 50 500 60 540
6. Prepare price index number for 2005 with 2002 as base year from the
following data by using Laspeyres, Paasches, Fishers, Marshall-
Edgeworth method. Also verify that the Factor reversal test and Time
reversal test are satisfied by Fishers formula.
Article-I Article-II Article-III Article-IV
Year
Price Qty. Price Qty. Price Qty. Price Qty.
2002 5 5 7.75 6 9.63 4 12.50 9
2005 6.50 7 8.80 10 7.75 6 12.75 9
9.8 Answers
Self Assessment Questions
Paasches method:
Bowleys Method:
= 124.935
Fishers Method:
Marshall-Edgeworth method:
Walschs method:
Where q = (q1+q2)/2
(1) (2) (3) (4) = (3)/(1) (5) (6) = (5)/(2) (7) (8)
5.
Commodities p0 q0 p1 q1 p1 q0 p0 q0 p1 q1 p0 q1
A 1 10 2 5 20 10 10 5
B 1 5 x 2 5x 5 2x 2
Total 20+5x 15 10+2x 7
Therefore,
L/P = , Given
x=4
6.
2009 2010
Items p1 q0 p0 q0 p1 q1 p0 q1
P0 Q0 P1 Q0
A 12 20 14 5 280 240 420 360
B 14 13 20 10 260 182 300 210
C 10 12 15 20 180 120 300 200
D 6 8 4 10 32 48 40 60
E 8 5 6 5 30 40 30 40
total 782 630 1090 870
Thus,
=1
Terminal Questions
1. Price Index (A.M.) = 113.13
Price Index (G.M.) = 113.11
4. Laspeyresmethod:
Paasches method:
Fishers Method:
Marshall-Edgeworth method:
5. Fishers Method:
6. Laspeyresmethod:
Paasches method:
Fishers Method:
Marshall-Edgeworth method: