Insumos

Sal de sodio derivada del cido deshidroactico (DHA.Na) solubilizada en agua al 33% a

20C (fraccin de tamao < 300 micras) [Kg]

Polietileno de alta densidad (HDPE) de tipo TR-130 (fraccin de tamao < 500 micras)[kg]
Acetato propionato de celulosa [Kg]
Colorante rojo FD&C [kg]

Acetona en solucin al 15%(Pura)[kg]

Envases PET con caractersticas especficas por producto.

Bodega (Sector Rionegro)

Compra
Alquiler
Costos de adecuacin
Valor Referencia Cantidad por lmina [g]

$262,500.00 Sigma Aldrich 1.778

$6,000.00 Sigma Aldrich 4.148

$471,000.00 Sigma Aldrich 4.862
$15,000.00 Sigma Aldrich 1.5
$6,000.00 Sigma Aldrich 2.598
$1,000.00 Sigma Aldrich 1
Precio de produccin por lmina
Produccin diaria
Costo de materia prima al da
Produccin anual (240 das habiles)

En construccin Entrega inmediata

$469,400,000.00 $580,000,000.00
$3,500,000.00
Anlisis de costo con
$72,250,000.00 adecuacin por m2
costo por lamna [$] Laminas/kg

$177.17 506.18672666

$1.74 216.97203472
$116.25 185.10900864
$12.00 600
$2.77 346.42032333
$1,000.00 900
$2,937.95
100
$293,795.00
$70,510,800.00
Maquinaria Usada Nueva

Extrusor de un solo tornillo

(Extrusiograph 19/25D, Brabender
GmbH&Co. KG, Duisburg, D) $260,000,000.00 $338,000,000.00

Horno ventilador 230 V Fagor $247,166.40 $321,316.32

Mezclador Turbula $8,250,000.00 $10,725,000.00
Sierra de sobremesa $2,177,175.00 $2,830,327.50
Mercado libre

Efinox
ebay
Klaeger
 Datos externos del proyecto

Impuesto de renta 25%

Valor de salvamento primeros rticulos $10,900,000

Valor de salvamento segundos rticulos $57,162,985

IPC 8%

Objeto
Extrusor
3 Horno
Mezclador
Sierra
Inversin inicial Prensa
Insumos + Patente
Equipos de oficina
Vehiculo
Inversin muerta
Total

IPC 8%
Periodos 1 2
2016 2017
Precio ventas (#/D) $ - $12,000
Nmero de ventas (D) $ - 100
Das por ao $ - 240
Ingresos Operacionales $ - $288,000,000
Ingresos no gravables $ - ###
Total $ - $288,000,000

Tabla de amortizacin del Prestamo

Datos del prestamo Periodo
0
Inters efectivo anual 19.90% 1
Aos del prstamo (n) 5 2
Valor a prestar $ 183,839,337 3
Anualidad ($ 61,336,929.87) 4
5
 Valor Objeto
$260,000,000
Maquinaria
$ 741,499
$ 8,250,000
$ 2,177,175 Vehiculo
Depreciaciones
$ 7,000,000
$ 24,315,000
Pc
$ 10,195,000 $ 283,168,674
$ 50,000,000
Muebles
$ 5,000,000
$367,678,674

8% Ingresos o
3 4 5 6
2018 2019 2020 2021
$15,117 $16,326 $17,632 $19,042
101 102 103 104
240 240 240 240
$366,425,027 $399,657,237 $435,861,481 $475,300,597
$ - ### $ - $ -
$366,425,027 $399,657,237 $435,861,481 $475,300,597

amortizacin del Prestamo

Cuota Interes Amortizacin Saldo
$ 183,839,337
($ 61,336,929.87) $ 36,584,028.08 $24,752,901.79 $ 159,086,435.31
($ 61,336,929.87) $ 31,658,200.63 $29,678,729.25 $ 129,407,706.06
($ 61,336,929.87) $ 25,752,133.51 $35,584,796.37 $ 93,822,909.69
($ 61,336,929.87) $ 18,670,759.03 $42,666,170.85 $ 51,156,738.84
($ 61,336,929.87) $ 10,180,191.03 $51,156,738.84 $ 0.00
 Valor Vida ltil Deprecicin por objeto Depreciacin por ao

$278,168,674 10 $27,816,867

$50,000,000 5 $10,000,000
$39,481,492

$4,500,000 5 $900,000

$7,646,250 10 $764,625

Ingresos operacionales
7 8 9 10
2022 2023 2024 2025
$20,566 $22,211 $23,988 $25,907
105 106 107 108
240 240 240 240
$518,260,459 $565,051,975 $616,013,266 $671,512,031
$ - $ - $ - ###
$518,260,459 $565,051,975 $616,013,266 $671,512,031
 Salario minimo
Cargo
Operarios
Vigilantes
Administradores
Ingeniero quimico
Jefe de ventas
Secretaria
Total Salarios
Arrendamiento
Papeleria
Consumo de insum
Produccin anua
Servicios
Transporte
Total fijos

11
2026
$27,980
109
240
$731,948,114 $506,803,019
$ -
$731,948,114
 Costos fijos
Salarios
$689,454
Cantidad de salarios minimos
1.4
1
3
2.5
1.5
1.2
Total Salarios
Arrendamiento
Papeleria
Consumo de insumos
Produccin anual
Servicios
Transporte
Total fijos
 Cost

Meses del ao 12
Cantidad de trabajadores Salario Total por ao
6 $69,496,963
2 $16,546,896
1 $24,820,344
1 $20,683,620
1 $12,410,172
1 $9,928,138
$ 153,886,133
$ 42,000,000
$ 5,000,000
$ 20,000,000
$ 70,510,800
$ 24,000,000
$ 12,000,000
$ 327,396,933
 Costos operacionales

1 2
Clase de costo.
2016 2017
Marketing $ 2,000,000.00 $ 2,289,800.00
Mantenimiento $ 1,000,000.00 $ 1,144,900.00

Total costos variables por ao $ 3,000,000 $ 3,434,700

 Costos variables
3 4 5
2018 2019 2020
$ 2,450,086.00 $ 2,621,592.02 $ 2,805,103.46
$ 1,225,043.00 $ 1,310,796.01 $ 1,402,551.73

$ 3,675,129 $ 3,932,388 $ 4,207,655

 6 7 8 9
2021 2022 2023 2024
$ 3,001,460.70 $ 3,211,562.95 $ 3,436,372.36 $ 3,676,918.42
$ 1,500,730.35 $ 1,605,781.48 $ 1,718,186.18 $ 1,838,459.21

$ 4,502,191 $ 4,817,344 $ 5,154,559 $ 5,515,378

 Aumento anual 7%
10 11
2025 2026
$ 3,934,302.71 $ 4,209,703.90
$ 1,967,151.36 $ 2,104,851.95

$ 5,901,454 $ 6,314,556
 0
2016
Ingresos operacionales (+) $ -
Ingresos financieros (+) $ -
Costos operacionales Totales (-) $ -
Depreciacin (-) $ -
Ganancias Gravables $ -
Impuestos directos (-) $ -
Valor de salvamento (+) $ -
Impuestos utilidad en venta de activos (-) $ -
Ingresos no gravables (+) $ -
Costos de operacin no deducibles (-) $ -
Valor en libros de avtivos vendidos (ingresos no gravable) (+) $ -
Ganancias Netas $ -
Depreciacin (+) $ -
Valor de salvamento, activos no vendidos (+) $ -
Costos de inversin (-) $ 367,678,674
Inversiones financieras (-) $ -
Flujo neto $ (367,678,674)

VNP $ 249,108,536
TIR 20.44%
TIRM 13.82%
R B/C $ 1.68
 1 2 3
2017 2018 2019
$ 288,000,000 $ 366,425,027 $ 399,657,237
$ - ### $ -
$ 330,831,633 $ 331,072,062 $ 331,329,321
$ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492
$ (82,313,125) $ (4,128,528) $ 28,846,424
$ - ### $ 7,211,606
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ (82,313,125) $ (4,128,528) $ 21,634,818
$ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ (42,831,633) $ 35,352,965 $ 61,116,310
 Flujo de fondo puro
4 5 6
2020 2021 2022
$ 435,861,481 $ 475,300,597 $ 518,260,459
$ - $ - $ -
$ 331,604,588 $ 331,899,124 $ 332,214,277
$ 39,481,492 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ 64,775,400 $ 113,919,986 $ 156,564,694
$ 16,193,850 $ 28,479,996 $ 39,141,174
$ - $ 10,900,000 $ -
### $ - $ -
### $ - $ -
### $ - $ -
### $ - $ -
$ 48,581,550 $ 96,339,989 $ 117,423,521
$ 39,481,492 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ - $ -
### $ - $ -
### $ - $ -
$ 88,063,043 $ 125,821,477 $ 146,905,008

Chart Title
 7 8 9
2023 2024 2025
$ 565,051,975 $ 616,013,266 $ 671,512,031
$ - $ - $ -
$ 332,551,491 $ 332,912,310 $ 333,298,387
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ 203,018,996 $ 253,619,468 $ 308,732,157
$ 50,754,749 $ 63,404,867 $ 77,183,039
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ -
$ 152,264,247 $ 190,214,601 $ 231,549,118
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ -
$ 181,745,734 $ 219,696,088 $ 261,030,605

Chart Title
 10
2026
$ 731,948,114
$ -
$ 333,711,489
$ 29,481,487
$ 368,755,138
$ 92,188,784
$ 57,162,985
$ 1,429,075
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ 332,300,264
$ 29,481,487
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ 361,781,751 $616,787,209.76
Fecha S&P 500
1/2/2005 1189.4 Rentabilidad Anual
1/3/2005 1202.08 0.010604411 Rentablidad Bono USA (30 aos)
1/4/2005 1188.03 -0.011756916 Beta desapalancado
1/5/2005 1183.74 -0.003617555 Riesgo pas
1/6/2005 1187.89 0.003499706 1 Punto
1/7/2005 1186.19 -0.001432134
1/10/2005 1190.25 0.003416879 Deuda
1/11/2005 1182.99 -0.006118237 Patrimonio
1/12/2005 1187.7 0.003973532 D/E
1/13/2005 1177.45 -0.008667581
1/14/2005 1184.52 0.005986546 Beta apalancada
1/17/2005 1184.52 0.000000000 Impuesto
1/18/2005 1195.98 0.009628304
1/19/2005 1184.66 -0.009510119
1/20/2005 1175.31 -0.007923871 Ke=
1/21/2005 1167.87 -0.006350366
1/24/2005 1163.75 -0.003534027

1/25/2005 1168.41 0.003996301

1/26/2005 1174.07 0.004832495
1/27/2005 1174.55 0.000408751
1/28/2005 1171.36 -0.002719629 Datos del prestamo
1/31/2005 1181.26 0.008416198 Inters efectivo mensual
2/1/2005 1189.4 0.006867313 Inters efectivo anual
2/2/2005 1193.19 0.003181415 Aos del prstamo (n)
2/3/2005 1189.89 -0.002769527 Valor a prestar
2/4/2005 1203.03 0.010982508 Anualidad
2/7/2005 1201.72 -0.001089510
2/8/2005 1202.3 0.000482525
2/9/2005 1191.99 -0.008612210
2/10/2005 1197.01 0.004202601
2/11/2005 1205.3 0.006901718
2/14/2005 1206.14 0.000696679
2/15/2005 1210.12 0.003294350 Periodo
2/16/2005 1210.34 0.000181784 0
2/17/2005 1200.75 -0.007954950 1
2/18/2005 1201.59 0.000699318 2
2/22/2005 1184.16 -0.014612017 3
2/23/2005 1190.8 0.005591688 4
2/24/2005 1200.2 0.007862859 5

2/25/2005 1211.37 0.009263741

2/28/2005 1203.6 -0.006434885
3/1/2005 1210.41 0.005642079
 3/2/2005 1210.08 -0.000272672
3/3/2005 1210.47 0.000322241
3/4/2005 1222.12 0.009578342
3/7/2005 1225.31 0.002606818
3/8/2005 1219.43 -0.004810337
3/9/2005 1207.01 -0.010237309
3/10/2005 1209.25 0.001854106
3/11/2005 1200.09 -0.007603779
3/14/2005 1206.83 0.005600533
3/15/2005 1197.75 -0.007552290
3/16/2005 1188.07 -0.008114655
3/17/2005 1190.21 0.001799620
3/18/2005 1189.65 -0.000470616
3/22/2005 1171.71 -0.015194926
3/23/2005 1172.53 0.000699587
3/28/2005 1174.28 0.001491386
3/29/2005 1165.36 -0.007625142
3/30/2005 1181.41 0.013678588
3/31/2005 1180.59 -0.000694327
4/1/2005 1172.92 -0.006517947
4/4/2005 1176.12 0.002724519
4/5/2005 1181.39 0.004470826
4/6/2005 1184.07 0.002265945
4/7/2005 1191.14 0.005953175
4/8/2005 1181.2 -0.008379961
4/11/2005 1181.21 0.000008466
4/12/2005 1187.76 0.005529844
4/13/2005 1173.79 -0.011831351
4/14/2005 1162.05 -0.010052143
4/15/2005 1142.62 -0.016861816
4/18/2005 1145.98 0.002936295
4/19/2005 1152.78 0.005916250
4/20/2005 1137.5 -0.013343545
4/21/2005 1159.95 0.019544029
4/22/2005 1152.12 -0.006773177
4/25/2005 1162.1 0.008624990
4/26/2005 1151.74 -0.008954871
4/27/2005 1156.38 0.004020594
4/28/2005 1143.22 -0.011445594
4/29/2005 1156.85 0.011851952
5/2/2005 1162.18 0.004596758
5/3/2005 1161.17 -0.000869434
5/4/2005 1175.65 0.012393069
5/5/2005 1172.63 -0.002572097
5/6/2005 1171.35 -0.001092160
 5/9/2005 1178.84 0.006373974
5/10/2005 1166.22 -0.010763155
5/11/2005 1171.11 0.004184268
5/12/2005 1159.36 -0.010083888
5/13/2005 1154.05 -0.004590634
5/16/2005 1165.69 0.010035692
5/17/2005 1173.8 0.006933163
5/18/2005 1185.56 0.009968888
5/19/2005 1191.08 0.004645222
5/20/2005 1189.28 -0.001512377
5/23/2005 1193.86 0.003843673
5/24/2005 1194.07 0.000175885
5/25/2005 1190.01 -0.003405929
5/26/2005 1197.62 0.006374544
5/27/2005 1198.78 0.000968119
5/31/2005 1191.5 -0.006091355
6/1/2005 1202.22 0.008956830
6/2/2005 1204.29 0.001720334
6/3/2005 1196.02 -0.006890804
6/6/2005 1197.51 0.001245023
6/7/2005 1197.26 -0.000208788
6/8/2005 1194.67 -0.002165616
6/9/2005 1200.93 0.005226260
6/10/2005 1198.11 -0.002350941
6/13/2005 1200.82 0.002259342
6/14/2005 1203.91 0.002569937
6/15/2005 1206.58 0.002215318
6/16/2005 1210.96 0.003623522
6/17/2005 1216.96 0.004942512
6/20/2005 1216.1 -0.000706929
6/21/2005 1213.61 -0.002049628
6/22/2005 1213.88 0.000222452
6/23/2005 1200.73 -0.010892136
6/24/2005 1195.07 -0.004724944
6/27/2005 1190.69 -0.003671790
6/28/2005 1201.57 0.009096064
6/29/2005 1199.85 -0.001432486
6/30/2005 1191.33 -0.007126219
7/1/2005 1194.44 0.002607126
7/5/2005 1204.99 0.008793812
7/6/2005 1194.94 -0.008375293
7/7/2005 1197.87 0.002449005
7/8/2005 1211.86 0.011611390
7/11/2005 1219.44 0.006235368
7/12/2005 1222.21 0.002268958
7/13/2005 1223.29 0.000883255
7/14/2005 1226.5 0.002620634
7/15/2005 1227.92 0.001157096
7/18/2005 1221.13 -0.005545021
7/19/2005 1229.35 0.006708915
7/20/2005 1235.2 0.004747326
7/21/2005 1227.04 -0.006628135
7/22/2005 1233.68 0.005396808
7/25/2005 1229.03 -0.003776332
7/26/2005 1231.16 0.001731574
7/27/2005 1236.79 0.004562499
7/28/2005 1243.72 0.005587575
7/29/2005 1234.18 -0.007700107
8/1/2005 1235.35 0.000947549
8/2/2005 1244.12 0.007074122
8/3/2005 1245.04 0.000739205
8/4/2005 1235.86 -0.007400574
8/5/2005 1226.42 -0.007667728
8/8/2005 1223.13 -0.002686209
8/9/2005 1231.38 0.006722345
8/10/2005 1229.13 -0.001828890
8/11/2005 1237.81 0.007037087
8/12/2005 1230.39 -0.006012497
8/15/2005 1233.87 0.002824379
8/16/2005 1219.34 -0.011845843
8/17/2005 1220.24 0.000737832
8/18/2005 1219.02 -0.001000303
8/19/2005 1219.71 0.000565868
8/22/2005 1221.73 0.001654762
8/23/2005 1217.59 -0.003394392
8/24/2005 1209.59 -0.006592036
8/25/2005 1212.37 0.002295662
8/26/2005 1205.1 -0.006014571
8/29/2005 1212.28 0.005940333
8/30/2005 1208.41 -0.003197438
8/31/2005 1220.33 0.009815868
9/1/2005 1221.59 0.001031975
9/2/2005 1218.02 -0.002926699
9/5/2005 1218.02 0.000000000
9/6/2005 1233.39 0.012539886
9/7/2005 1236.36 0.002405103
9/8/2005 1231.67 -0.003800607
9/9/2005 1241.48 0.007933244
9/12/2005 1240.58 -0.000725204
9/13/2005 1231.2 -0.007589709
 9/14/2005 1227.16 -0.003286747
9/15/2005 1227.73 0.000464379
9/16/2005 1237.91 0.008257538
9/19/2005 1231.02 -0.005581380
9/20/2005 1221.34 -0.007894477
9/21/2005 1210.2 -0.009162981
9/22/2005 1214.62 0.003645635
9/23/2005 1215.29 0.000551461
9/26/2005 1215.63 0.000279729
9/27/2005 1215.66 0.000024678
9/28/2005 1216.89 0.001011285
9/29/2005 1227.68 0.008827786
9/30/2005 1228.81 0.000920012
10/3/2005 1267.7 0.031158014
10/4/2005 1214.47 -0.042896467
10/5/2005 1196.39 -0.014999078
10/6/2005 1191.49 -0.004104065
10/7/2005 1195.9 0.003694415
10/10/2005 1187.33 -0.007191951
10/11/2005 1184.87 -0.002074025
10/12/2005 1177.68 -0.006086662
10/13/2005 1177.68 0.000000000
10/14/2005 1186.57 0.007520391
10/17/2005 1190.1 0.002970545
10/18/2005 1178.14 -0.010100414
10/19/2005 1195.76 0.014845043
10/20/2005 1177.8 -0.015133675
10/21/2005 1179.59 0.001518629
10/24/2005 1199.38 0.016637836
10/25/2005 1196.54 -0.002370698
10/26/2005 1191.38 -0.004321760
10/27/2005 1178.9 -0.010530499
10/28/2005 1198.41 0.016413878
10/31/2005 1207.01 0.007150549
11/1/2005 1219.94 0.010655450
11/2/2005 1214.76 -0.004255151
11/3/2005 1219.94 0.004255151
11/4/2005 1219.99 0.000040985
11/7/2005 1222.81 0.002308827
11/8/2005 1218.59 -0.003457036
11/9/2005 1220.65 0.001689051
11/10/2005 1230.96 0.008410849
11/11/2005 1234.72 0.003049871
11/14/2005 1233.71 -0.000818334
11/15/2005 1229.01 -0.003816923
11/16/2005 1231.21 0.001788458
11/17/2005 1242.8 0.009369473
11/18/2005 1248.27 0.004391694
11/21/2005 1254.85 0.005257451
11/22/2005 1261.23 0.005071392
11/23/2005 1265.61 0.003466784
11/25/2005 1268.25 0.002083778
11/28/2005 1257.46 -0.008544184
11/29/2005 1257.48 0.000015905
11/30/2005 1249.48 -0.006382254
12/1/2005 1264.67 0.012083754
12/2/2005 1265.08 0.000324143
12/5/2005 1262.09 -0.002366284
12/6/2005 1263.7 0.001274849
12/7/2005 1257.37 -0.005021688
12/8/2005 1255.84 -0.001217567
12/9/2005 1259.37 0.002806925
12/12/2005 1260.43 0.000841337
12/13/2005 1267.43 0.005538296
12/14/2005 1272.74 0.004180829
12/15/2005 1270.94 -0.001415273
12/16/2005 1267.32 -0.002852350
12/19/2005 1259.92 -0.005856208
12/20/2005 1259.62 -0.000238139
12/21/2005 1262.79 0.002513471
12/22/2005 1268.12 0.004211930
12/23/2005 1268.66 0.000425737
12/26/2005 1268.66 0.000000000
12/27/2005 1258.18 -0.008294993
12/28/2005 1260.04 0.001477234
12/29/2005 1254.42 -0.004470152
12/30/2005 1248.76 -0.004522255
1/2/2006 1248.29 -0.000376444
1/3/2006 1268.71 0.016226021
1/4/2006 1273.46 0.003736969
1/5/2006 1273.48 0.000015705
1/6/2006 1285.45 0.009355541
1/10/2006 1289.66 0.003269766
1/11/2006 1294.18 0.003498672
1/12/2006 1286.06 -0.006294009
1/13/2006 1287.61 0.001204506
1/16/2006 1287.61 0.000000000
1/17/2006 1282.93 -0.003641262
1/18/2006 1277.93 -0.003904943
1/19/2006 1285.04 0.005548265
1/20/2006 1262.54 -0.017664281
1/23/2006 1263.82 0.001013316
1/24/2006 1266.86 0.002402517
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12/8/2015 2077.07 -0.007014105
12/9/2015 2063.59 -0.006511062
12/10/2015 2047.62 -0.007769041
12/11/2015 2052.23 0.002248864
12/14/2015 2012.37 -0.019613875
12/15/2015 2021.94 0.004744315
12/16/2015 2043.41 0.010562534
12/17/2015 2073.07 0.014410619
12/18/2015 2041.89 -0.015154751
12/21/2015 2005.55 -0.017957512
12/22/2015 2021.15 0.007748319
12/23/2015 2038.97 0.008778122
12/24/2015 2064.29 0.012341563
12/28/2015 2056.5 -0.003780833
12/29/2015 2056.5 0.000000000
12/30/2015 2078.36 0.010573612
12/31/2015 2063.36 -0.007243399
1/4/2016 2012.66 -0.024878492
1/5/2016 2012.66 0.000000000
1/6/2016 2016.71 0.002010240
1/7/2016 1990.26 -0.013202187
1/8/2016 1943.09 -0.023985794
1/11/2016 1922.03 -0.010897570
1/12/2016 1938.68 0.008625410
1/13/2016 1938.68 0.000000000
1/14/2016 1921.84 -0.008724269
1/15/2016 1880.33 -0.021835767
1/19/2016 1880.33 0.000000000
1/20/2016 1881.33 0.000531680
1/21/2016 1859.33 -0.011762766
1/22/2016 1906.9 0.025262679
1/25/2016 1906.9 0.000000000
1/26/2016 1877.08 -0.015761509
1/27/2016 1903.63 0.014045212
1/28/2016 1882.95 -0.010922894
1/29/2016 1893.36 0.005513333
2/1/2016 1939.38 0.024015306
2/2/2016 1939.38 0.000000000
2/3/2016 1903.03 -0.018920982
2/4/2016 1912.53 0.004979620
2/5/2016 1915.45 0.001525609
2/8/2016 1880.05 -0.018654210
2/9/2016 1853.44 -0.014255000
2/10/2016 1852.21 -0.000663851
2/11/2016 1829.08 -0.012566413
2/12/2016 1829.08 0.000000000
2/16/2016 1864.78 0.019329975
2/17/2016 1895.58 0.016381777
2/18/2016 1926.82 0.016346115
2/19/2016 1917.83 -0.004676637
2/22/2016 1917.78 -0.000026071
2/23/2016 1945.5 0.014350746
2/24/2016 1921.27 -0.012532588
2/25/2016 1929.8 0.004429945
2/26/2016 1951.7 0.011284417
2/29/2016 1948.05 -0.001871915
3/1/2016 1932.23 -0.008154096
3/2/2016 1978.35 0.023588388
3/3/2016 1986.45 0.004085962
3/4/2016 1993.4 0.003492597
 3/7/2016 1999.99 0.003300457
3/8/2016 2001.76 0.000884613
3/9/2016 1979.26 -0.011303756
3/10/2016 1989.26 0.005039673
3/11/2016 1989.57 0.000155825
3/14/2016 2022.19 0.016262548
3/15/2016 2019.64 -0.001261805
3/16/2016 2015.93 -0.001838650
3/17/2016 2027.22 0.005584769
3/18/2016 2040.59 0.006573585
3/21/2016 2049.58 0.004395912
3/22/2016 2051.6 0.000985082
3/23/2016 2049.8 -0.000877749
3/24/2016 2036.71 -0.006406467
3/28/2016 2035.94 -0.000378132
3/29/2016 2037.05 0.000545054
3/30/2016 2055.01 0.008778031
3/31/2016 2063.95 0.004340908
4/1/2016 2059.74 -0.002041861
4/4/2016 2072.78 0.006310940
4/5/2016 2066.13 -0.003213409
4/6/2016 2045.17 -0.010196377
4/7/2016 2066.66 0.010452862
4/8/2016 2041.91 -0.012048133
4/11/2016 2047.6 0.002782731
4/12/2016 2041.99 -0.002743553
4/14/2016 2082.42 0.019605856
4/15/2016 2082.78 0.000172861
4/20/2016 2100.8 0.008614685
4/26/2016 2087.79 -0.006212134
4/27/2016 2091.7 0.001871042
4/28/2016 2095.15 0.001648017
4/29/2016 2075.81 -0.009273711
Rentabilidad 0.000200758
Rentabilidad Anual 5.0591%
Riesgo
Riesgo anual
 5.0591% Riesgo de Mercado
(30 aos) 2.6800% Libre de riesgo
0.97 Beta desapalancado
261 2.61%
0.01%

183,839,337
183,839,337
1.0

1.7275
25%

9.3999%

Kd= 14.93%
Tabla de amortizacin del Prestamo
el prestamo Periodo Cuota
0% 0
19.90% 1 $ 61,336,929.87
5 2 $ 61,336,929.87
183,839,337.10 3 $ 61,336,929.87
$61,336,929.87 4 $ 61,336,929.87
5 $ 61,336,929.87

Valor del prstam Inters Cuota

183,839,337.10
36,584,028.08 $61,336,929.87
31,658,200.63 $61,336,929.87
25,752,133.51 $61,336,929.87
18,670,759.03 $61,336,929.87
10,180,191.03 $61,336,929.87
 Industry Name

Chemical (Specialty)

Wacc= 10.2968%
amortizacin del Prestamo
Interes Amortizacin Saldo
183,839,337.10
$ 36,584,028.08 $24,752,901.79 $ 159,086,435
$ 31,658,200.63 $29,678,729.25 $ 129,407,706
$ 25,752,133.51 $35,584,796.37 $ 93,822,910
$ 18,670,759.03 $42,666,170.85 $ 51,156,739
$ 10,180,191.03 $51,156,738.84 $ -

Inters - Impuesto (ahorro en impuesto) Total

183,839,337.10
9,146,007.02 - 52,190,922.85
7,914,550.16 - 53,422,379.72
6,438,033.38 - 54,898,896.50
4,667,689.76 - 56,669,240.12
2,545,047.76 - 58,791,882.12

14.93%
Number of
Beta D/E Ratio Tax rate Unlevered beta Cash/Firm value
firms
104 1.25 31.38% 8.45% 0.97 4.49%
Unlevered beta corrected for cash HiLo Risk Standard deviation of equity
1.01 0.4718 50.43%
 0
2016
Ingresos operacionales (+) $ -
Ingresos financieros (+) $ -
Costos operacionales Totales (-) $ -
Depreciacin (-) $ -
Interses sobre crditos recibidos por el proyecto (-) $ -
Ganancias Gravables $ -
Impuestos directos (-) $ -
Valor de salvamento (+) $ -
Impuestos utilidad en venta de activos (-) $ -
Ingresos no gravables (+) $ -
Costos de operacin no deducibles (-) $ -
Valor en libros de avtivos vendidos (ingresos no gravable) (+) $ -
Ganancias Netas $ -
Depreciacin (+) $ -
Valor de salvamento, activos no vendidos (+) $ -
Costos de inversin (-) $ 367,678,674
Ingreso por emisiones de bonos, acciones del proyecto (+) $ -
Dividendos pagados (-) $ -
Crditos Recibidos (+) $ 183,839,337
Amortizaciones (-) $ -
Inversiones financieras (-) $ -
Flujo neto $ (183,839,337)

VPN $ 221,385,576
TIR 21.00%
TIRM 15.68%
R B/C 2.20
 Flujo de fondo fin
1 2 3 4
2017 2018 2019 2020
$ 288,000,000 $ 366,425,027 $ 399,657,237 $ 435,861,481
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ 330,831,633 $ 331,072,062 $ 331,329,321 $ 331,604,588
$ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492
$ 36,584,028.08 $ 31,658,200.63 $ 25,752,133.51 $ 18,670,759.03
$ (118,897,153) $ (35,786,728) $ 3,094,290 $ 46,104,641
$ - ### $ - $ 11,526,160
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ (118,897,153) $ (35,786,728) $ 3,094,290 $ 34,578,481
$ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492
$ - ### $ - $ -
$ - ### $ - $ -
$ - ### $ - $ -
$ - ### $ - $ -
$ - ### $ - $ -
$ 24,752,902 $ 29,678,729 $ 35,584,796 $ 42,666,171
$ - ### $ - $ -
$ (104,168,563) $ (25,983,965) $ 6,990,986 $ 31,393,803

Flujo de Fondos Financiado

 Flujo de fondo financiado
5 6 7 8
2021 2022 2023 2024
$ 475,300,597 $ 518,260,459 $ 565,051,975 $ 616,013,266
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ 331,899,124 $ 332,214,277 $ 332,551,491 $ 332,912,310
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ 10,180,191.03 $ - $ - $ -
$ 103,739,795 $ 156,564,694 $ 203,018,996 $ 253,619,468
$ 25,934,949 $ 39,141,174 $ 50,754,749 $ 63,404,867
$ 10,900,000 $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - $ - $ -
$ 88,704,846 $ 117,423,521 $ 152,264,247 $ 190,214,601
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ - $ - $ -
### $ - $ - $ -
### $ - $ - $ -
### $ - $ - $ -
### $ - $ - $ -
$ 51,156,739 $ - $ - $ -
### $ - $ - $ -
$ 67,029,595 $ 146,905,008 $ 181,745,734 $ 219,696,088

dos Financiado
 9 10
2025 2026
$ 671,512,031 $ 731,948,114
$ - $ -
$ 333,298,387 $ 333,711,489
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ -
$ 308,732,157 $ 368,755,138
$ 77,183,039 $ 92,188,784
$ - $ 57,162,985
$ - $ 1,429,075
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ 231,549,118 $ 332,300,264
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ - $ -
$ 261,030,605 $ 361,781,751 405,224,912.94
Costos operacin 1
2016
$ 330,396,933

Costos operacionales RPC

20% Mano de obra profesional 0.87
20% Mano administrativa 0.41
60% Obreros calificados 0.6

Cuentas 2016
Costos fijos Eval. Financiera $ 330,396,933
20% Mano de obra profesional $ 57,489,066
20% Mano administrativa $ 27,092,548
60% Obreros calificados $ 79,295,264
Costos fijos Eval. Econmico social $ 163,876,879

BSN $ 83,920,821
Beneficios $ 247,797,700

Inversion inicial $ 362,678,674

20% Mano de obra profesional $ 63,106,089
20% Mano administrativa $ 29,739,651
60% Obreros calificados $ 87,042,882
IES(Inversion inicial valorada a
precio social) $ 179,888,622

Tasa social de descuento rs 6%

Van Social $ 105,208,462
 2 3 4
2017 2018 2019
$ 330,831,633 $ 331,072,062 $ 331,329,321

Porcentaje Inversion inicial

20%
20%
40%

Costos operacionales
2017 2018 2019
$ 330,831,633 $ 331,072,062 $ 331,329,321
$ 57,564,704 $ 57,606,539 $ 57,651,302
$ 27,128,194 $ 27,147,909 $ 27,169,004
$ 79,399,592 $ 79,457,295 $ 79,519,037
$ 164,092,490 $ 164,211,743 $ 164,339,343

-$ 84,373,557 -$ 19,897,099 -$ 12,657,814

$ 79,718,933 $ 144,314,643 $ 151,681,529
 5 6 7
2020 2021 2022
$ 331,604,588 $ 331,899,124 $ 332,214,277

$ 362,678,674

acionales
2020 2021 2022
$ 331,604,588 $ 331,899,124 $ 332,214,277
$ 57,699,198 $ 57,750,448 $ 57,805,284
$ 27,191,576 $ 27,215,728 $ 27,241,571
$ 79,585,101 $ 79,655,790 $ 79,731,427
$ 164,475,876 $ 164,621,965 $ 164,778,282

-$ 2,595,418 $ 10,444,037 $ 26,608,749

$ 161,880,457 $ 175,066,002 $ 191,387,030
 8 9 10
2023 2024 2025
$ 332,551,491 $ 332,912,310 $ 333,298,387

2023 2024 2025

$ 332,551,491 $ 332,912,310 $ 333,298,387
$ 57,863,959 $ 57,926,742 $ 57,993,919
$ 27,269,222 $ 27,298,809 $ 27,330,468
$ 79,812,358 $ 79,898,955 $ 79,991,613
$ 164,945,540 $ 165,124,506 $ 165,316,000

$ 55,066,856 $ 88,707,770 $ 127,989,056

$ 220,012,395 $ 253,832,276 $ 293,305,056
 11
2026
$ 333,711,489

2026
$ 333,711,489
$ 58,065,799
$ 27,364,342
$ 80,090,757
$ 165,520,898

$ 239,389,232
$ 404,910,130
 0
2016
Ingresos operacionales (+) $ -
Ingresos financieros (+) $ -
Costos operacionales Totales (-) $ -
Depreciacin (-) $ -
Interses sobre crditos recibidos por el proyecto (-) $ -
Ganancias Gravables $ -
Impuestos directos (-) $ -
Valor de salvamento (+) $ -
Impuestos utilidad en venta de activos (-) $ -
Ingresos no gravables (+) $ -
Costos de operacin no deducibles (-) $ -
Valor en libros de avtivos vendidos (ingresos no gravable) (+)
$ -
Ganancias Netas $ -
Depreciacin (+) $ -
Valor de salvamento, activos no vendidos (+) $ -
Costos de inversin (-) $ 367,678,674
Ingreso por emisiones de bonos, acciones del proyecto (+)$ -
Dividendos pagados (-) $ -
Crditos Recibidos (+) $ 183,839,337
Amortizaciones (-) $ -
Inversiones financieras (-) $ -
Flujo neto $ (183,839,337)

VPNS $ 424,630,058
TIRS 80%
TIRMS 44%
R BCS 3.4
 1 2 3
2017 2018 2019
$ 288,000,000 $ 366,425,027
$ 399,657,237
$ - ### $ -
$ 164,092,490 $ 164,211,743 $ 164,339,343
$ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492
$ 36,584,028.08 $ 31,658,200.63 $ 25,752,133.51
$ 121,010,046 $ 194,389,992 $ 221,588,535
$ 30,252,511 $ - $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ 90,757,534 $ 194,389,992 $ 221,588,535
$ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492 $ 39,481,492
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ - ### $ -
$ 24,752,902 $ 29,678,729 $ 35,584,796
$ - ### $ -
$ 105,486,125 $ 204,192,755 $ 225,485,231

$ 1,450,972,076

1,634,811,412.64
 Flujo de fondo financiado
4 5 6
2020 2020 2020
$ 435,861,481 $ 475,300,597 $ 518,260,459
$ - $ - ###
$ 164,475,876 $ 164,621,965 $ 164,778,282
$ 39,481,492 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ 18,670,759.03 $ 10,180,191.03 $ -
$ 250,574,872 $ 291,377,335 $ 324,000,690
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ 250,574,872 $ 291,377,335 $ 324,000,690
$ 39,481,492 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ 42,666,171 $ 51,156,739 $ -
$ - $ - ###
$ 247,390,193 $ 269,702,084 $ 353,482,177

$630,969,394.67
 7 8 9
2020 2020 2020
$ 565,051,975 $ 616,013,266 $ 671,512,031
$ - $ - ###
$ 164,945,540 $ 165,124,506 $ 165,316,000
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ - $ -
$ 370,624,947 $ 421,407,272 $ 476,714,544
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ 370,624,947 $ 421,407,272 $ 476,714,544
$ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487 $ 29,481,487
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - ###
$ - $ - $ -
$ - $ - ###
$ 400,106,435 $ 450,888,760 $ 506,196,031
 10
2020
$ 731,948,114
$ -
$ 165,520,898
$ 29,481,487
$ -
$ 536,945,728
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ 536,945,728
$ 29,481,487
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ -
$ 566,427,216
 Variacin de gastos y costos operacionales fijos inici
Escenario
Pesimista (incremento de gastos y costos) 5%
Normal
Optimista (reduccin de gastos y costos) 5%
Elasticidad: Escenario Pesimista

Elasticidad: Escenario optimista

En aras de estudiar los riesgos que presenta el proyecto si alguna de las variables que
o disminuir, se realiza un anlisis de sensibilidad, variando en un 5% por encima y por
resultados que se obtienen al hacer varias los gastos y costos operacioneles no son
escenario pesimista se obtiene un VPN menor al escenario probable lo cual represent
largo plazo, en caso de que los costos aumenten. En contraparte en el escenario optim
costos operacionales del proyecto el VPN aumenta considerablemente. Por lo tanto el
ante una reduccin o un aumento de esta variable.
stos y costos operacionales fijos iniciales
VPN Gastos y costos fijos iniciales
$ 99,697,164.29 $ 343,766,779.44
$ 178,896,530.02 $ 327,396,932.80
$ 258,095,895.74 $ 311,027,086.16
o Pesimista
-8.85

o optimista
-8.85

el proyecto si alguna de las variables que intervienen en el, al aumentar

dad, variando en un 5% por encima y por debajo del valor esperado. Los
s los gastos y costos operacioneles no son muy buenos, ya que en un
or al escenario probable lo cual representaria perdidas para el negocio a
nten. En contraparte en el escenario optimista, al disminuir los gastos y
menta considerablemente. Por lo tanto el proyecto es bastante sensible
duccin o un aumento de esta variable.
 Variacin del precio de venta inicial
Escenario VPN
Pesimista (reduccin del precio de venta) 16,6% -$ 183,992,636.40
Normal $ 178,896,530.02
Optimista (Incremento del precio de venta) 25% $ 723,230,279.64
Elasticidad: Escenario Pesimista

Elasticidad: Escenario optimista

En aras de estudiar los riesgos que presenta el proyecto si alguna de las variables que intervien
aumentar o disminuir, se realiza un anlisis de sensibilidad, variando en un 25% por encima y u
debajo del valor esperado. Los resultados que se obtienen al hacer variar el precio de venta no so
ya que en un escenario pesimista se obtiene un VPN negativo, lo que representaria perdidas para
largo plazo al reducir el precio de venta, ya que quizas los gastos pueden sobrepasar los ingr
contraparte en el escenario optimista, al incrementar el precio de venta del proyecto el VPN aum
tanto el proyecto es bastante sensible ante una reduccin o un aumento de esta variab
nicial
Precio de venta inicial
$ 10,000.00
$ 12,000.00
$ 15,000.00

12.17

12.17

e las variables que intervienen en el, al

en un 25% por encima y un 16,6% por
ar el precio de venta no son muy buenos,
representaria perdidas para el negocio a
pueden sobrepasar los ingresos. En
nta del proyecto el VPN aumenta. Por lo
un aumento de esta variable.
 Variacin del impuesto (incrmento del 5% del valor inicial)
Escenario VPN
Pesimista (Incremento del impuesto) $ 173,261,260.07
Normal $ 178,896,530.02
Optimista (Disminucin del impuesto) $ 184,531,799.96
Elasticidad: Escenario Pesimista

Elasticidad: Escenario optimista

Los resultados que se obtienen al hacer variar el impuesto son los siguientes: en un escenari
pesimista se obtiene un menor al escenario probable, lo cual representaria perdidas para el nego
largo plazo al incrementar el impuesto. En contraparte en el escenario optimista, al disminuir
inversin inicial del proyecto el VPN aumenta presentando un valor de VPN. Por lo tanto el proyec
bastante sensible ante una reduccin o un aumento de esta variable, pero sigue siendo rentable a
plazo.
valor inicial) Variacin de la tasa de inter
Impuesto Escenario
26% Pesimista (Incremento de la tasa de inters )
25% Normal
24% Optimista (Disminucin de la tasa de inters)
Elasticidad: Escenario Pesimista
-0.63

Elasticidad: Escenario optimista

-0.63

siguientes: en un escenario
taria perdidas para el negocio a
ario optimista, al disminuir la
VPN. Por lo tanto el proyecto es
ero sigue siendo rentable a largo
Los resultados que se obtienen al hacer variar los intereses d
pesimista se obtiene un VPN positivo pero menor al escen
optimista, al disminuir la tasa de interes del proyecto el VPN a
valor de VPN optimista= $228.101.556,69. por lo tanto el pro
un aumento de esta variable, por lo que se hace necesario re
tasa que ofrezca mejores ingreso
n de la tasa de interes del prestamo
VPN Inters
$ 152,096,222.05 25%
$ 178,896,530.02 19.90%
$ 228,101,556.69 10%
o Pesimista
-0.71

o optimista
-0.55

variar los intereses del prestamo son los siguientes: en un escenario

pero menor al escenario probable. En contraparte en el escenario
del proyecto el VPN aumenta con respecto al esperado, obteniendo un
69. por lo tanto el proyecto es bastante sensible ante una reduccin o
e se hace necesario realizar un buen estudio de creditos buscando la
rezca mejores ingresos para el proyecto.