Alora North

3/22/2017

Compute each of the following probabilities. Label each problem clearly and show all your
work. Use the class data.

Problem 1: Suppose you are going to randomly select two Skittles from the bag YOU purchased.

Red: 9

Orange: 15

Yellow: 12

Green: 14

Purple: 10

Total Number of Candies: 60

Height in inches: 63

(a) What is the probability that both Skittles are purple if you select them with replacement?
Give your answer correct to four decimal places. (4 points)

10/60*10/60=.0278

(b) What is the probability that both Skittles are purple if you select them without replacement?
Give your answer correct to four decimal places. (4 points)

10/60*9/59=.0254

(c) What is the probability that at least one Skittle is purple if you select them with replacement?
(4 points)

1-p(none)=1-.8333=.1667

Problem 2: Suppose all of the Skittles in the class data set are combined into one large bowl and
you are going to randomly select one Skittle.

(a) What is the probability that you select a green Skittle? (4 points)

Total number of green skittles in class= 650

Total number of skittles in class=3328
 650/3328=.2014

(b) What is the probability that you select a Skittle that is NOT green? (4 points)

1-650/3228=.7986

(c) What is the probability that you select a Skittle that is red OR yellow? (4 points)

Total number of red skittles=622

Total Number of yellow skittles is 626

622/3228+626/3228=.3990

(d) What is the probability that you select a Skittle that is orange GIVEN that it is a secondary
color (secondary colors are green, orange and purple)? (4 points)

633/1949=.3263

Problem 3: Suppose all of the Skittles in the class data set are combined into one large bowl and
you are going to randomly select ten Skittles with replacement and count how many are yellow.

(a) Show that this meets the requirements of the binomial probability distribution and identify n
and p. (5 points)

n represents 10 because it is the number of the independent trials. The p represents

626/3228=19% because it is the probability of success. This is a binomial probability
because the variables are constant. 626 is how many yellow skittle there are total and
3228 is the total of skittle in the class. The trial is independent because the outcome of
one trial will not affect the other trials.

(b) What is the probability that exactly 4 of the 10 Skittles are yellow? (4 points)

Binompdf(10,626/3228,4) = .0814

(c) For samples of size 10, what is the expected value and standard deviation for the number of
yellow skittles that will be included? (4 points)

expected value = N*P

10*.19=1.9

standard deviation= sqrt.NP(1-P) sqrt.10*.19(1-.10)=1.2

Problem 4: For this problem, treat a 2.17 ounce bag of Skittles as an individual. Suppose the
values for our class data are the parameter values for all 2.17 ounce bags of Skittles. In other
words, assume = mean number of candies per bag in our class data set and = standard
deviation of number of candies per bag in our class data set (you computed these values in Part
2).

Mean= 59.77
Standard Deviation=2.20

(a) Describe the sampling distribution for the mean number of candies per bag for samples of 32
bags. Include center, spread and shape. Round the center and spread to one decimal place. Note:
The shape of the SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION is different from the shape of the population,
which you determined in Part 2 of the project. (5 points)

2.203/sqrt(32)=.4
Center: stays the same
mean=59.8
Spread: get smaller
2.20/32=.4
Shape: approx. normal
3230
(b) What is the probability that the mean number of candies per bag for a sample of 32 bags is
greater than 58.5? Use the values from part (a), which you rounded to one decimal place. (4
points)

58.5-59.8/.3889=-3.34
1-.0004= .9996