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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
GENERALITIES
DEs?
Using the derivative to describe how a quantity changes.
Modeling?
Turning the rules that govern the evolution of a quantity into a differential
equation.
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
TECHNIQUES FOR MAKING PREDICTIONS
Analytical Techniques
Qualitative Techniques
Numerical Techniques
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Mathematical models are like other types of models The goal is not to
produce an exact copy of the real object but rather to give a representation
of some aspect of the real thing.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
We study mathematical models of systems that evolve over time, but they
often depend on other variables as well.
The behavior of a beam depends on the quality of the materials used, the
live load acting on the structure, the weather, the seismic and wind
conditions, the correct use of the structure, the construction practice, etc.
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Once the model is built, we should compare predictions of the model with
data from the system two options:
If the model and the system agree we can use the model to make
predictions (three ways).
If the system and the model disagree we must study and improve our
assumptions.
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Step I
Step II
Step III
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Example: when modeling the velocity v of a cat falling from a tall building, we
could asume:
Air resistance increases as the cats velocity increases.
We could choose kv or kv^2 for the air resistance term, where k is the friction
coefficient (k is a parameter).
Both expresions satisfy the assumption. However, we most likely would try kv
first because it is the simplest expression that satisfies the assumption.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
To talk about DEs, we shall classify DEs by type, order, and linearity.
CLASSIFICATION BY TYPE
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
CLASSIFICATION BY ORDER
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
The normal form is used to represent general first or higher order ODEs.
For example, the first- and second-order ODEs:
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
CLASSIFICATION BY LINEARITY
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
CLASSIFICATION BY LINEARITY
(i) The dependent variable y and all its derivatives y, y, , y^(n) are of the
first degree, that is, the power of each term involving y es 1.
(ii) The coefficients ao, a1, ,an of y, y, y, , y^(n) depend at most on the
independent variable x.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Nonlinear ODE Is simply one ODE that possesses non linear functions
in the dependent variable or its derivatives.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Therefore:
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Example:
By implicit differentiation:
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Proof:
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
FAMILIES OF SOLUTIONS
For the above example, any relation of the form x^2 + y^2 = c; c > 0
formally satisfies the ODE: y= -x / y.
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Particular solution
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NOTE: You should also be aware that a DE does not necessarily have to
possess a solution.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
For example, let x and y be two dependent variables and let t be the single
independent variable, a system of ODEs is
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Step I: The rate of growth of the population is proportional to the size of the
population.
Analysis:
The rate of change of a population depends on only the size of the population
and nothing else.
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Step III: Writting the differential equation relating Steps I and II, that is, the
rate of change of P is proportional to P.
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
This equation is our first example of a DE-Model. Recall that DEs have
associated a number of adjectives that describe them. For example:
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
But there are many other ways to express the same DE, e.g. prime notation:
P = kP.
The prime notation is used to denote only the first three derivatives. Higher
order derivatives are written as y^(n) with n = 4, 5, 6
The Leibniz notation has an advantage over the prime notation in that it
clearly displays both the dependent and independent variables.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
The main advantage of the Leibniz notation lies that it clearly displays both
the dependent and independent variables.
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NOTES:
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Coming back to our model, we have infinetely many solutions to the DE,
one for each value of the constant k.
The equation P(t) = ke(kt) is called the general solution we can find the
particular solution to any IVP.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
EXAMPLE
The table is showing the census (Colombia) from 1938 2005 (DANE).
http://www.dane.gov.co/revista_ib/html_r4/articulo2_r4.htm. Assuming: The
rate of growth of the population is proportional to the size of the population.
Analyze a model for this data set. Note: use Excel.
Ans. k = 0.02392.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
EXAMPLE
The following table is showing the census (EEUU) from 1790 2000. Source:
http://www.thirty-thousand.org/documents/QHA-01.pdf.
Assuming:
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Ans. k = 0.05091.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Step I: The rate of growth of the population is proportional to the size of the
population.
Analysis:
The rate of change of a population depends on only the size of the population
and nothing else Limitations of space or resources are ignored.
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Step I: The rate of growth of the population is proportional to the size of the
population.
Do you remeber?
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Step I:
The rate of growth of the population is proportional to the size of the
population but when too large, it is affected by its environment and
resources.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
dP/dt = k P (something)
(something) tends to 1 if P < N.
(something) tends to 0 if P N.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
dP/dt = kP(1 P/N) Analyzing the right hand side f(P) = kP(1 P/N):
If P = 0 dP/dt = 0 If P = N dP/dt = 0
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Equilibrium
solutions
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Equilibrium
solutions
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Imagine the situation where the behavior of the rate of growth could
decrease and even becomes negative when the population is large, and also
be negative when the population is too small (e.g. fertile adults run the risk
of not being able to find suitables mates).
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
The Model
Step I:
The rate of growth of the population is proportional to the size of the
population but when too large or too small, it is affected by its environment
and resources.
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
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dP/dt = f(P) Analyzing the right-hand side f(P) = kP(1 P/N)(P/M - 1):
If P = M dP/dt = 0
P
If P = 0 dP/dt = 0 If P = N dP/dt = 0
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
Equilibrium
solutions
t
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS
The method was developed for visualizing the graphs of the solutions to the
DE: dy/dt = f(t,y)
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