Professional Documents
Culture Documents
15-02-2017
GROUP MEMBERS:
Brief History:
India is the worlds ninth largest economy but only the 18th largest export
market for U.S. goods, behind Switzerland and the United Arab Emirates. This
stands in contrast to progress across other areas of the U.S.-India relationship
over the last decade. Since independence from the British, India has been a
relatively minor player in the international economy, reflecting Indias
orientation that placed a premium on developing domestic means of production.
While one of the original parties to the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade
(GATT) 1948. Indias record in multilateral trade negotiations has largely been
obstructionist, and its FTAs have reflected low levels of ambition.
While India has been discarding non-alignment as an organizing foreign policy
principle, its approach to trade has not fundamentally evolved. The U.S.-India
economic relationship has also been riddled with challenges. The United States
has had a range of market access issues as well as specific concerns over Indian
protection of intellectual property rights. For India, greater access for its people
to work in the U.S. market has been a key objective.
The US is Indias number one export destination it accounted for 15.37 per
cent of Indias total export market in 2015-16. While India exported $40.33
billion of goods to US, it imported just $21.81 billion of goods from there.
The top three categories of products exported to US from India were precious
stones, textiles and pharmaceutical products.
In the past, the United States had virtually no defence ties with India. Today,
apart from a renewed Defence Framework Agreement, the U.S. has become a
large supplier of defence equipment to India, and even the biggest in the last
few years, with contracts worth almost $13 billion. In addition, the largest
number Indian joint military exercises are with the United States.
When it comes to deepening bilateral economic relations between the two
countries, progress has been mixed. For one thing, U.S. businesses remain
reluctant to invest in India because of their beliefs that the Indian government
has not yet delivered on promises to ease doing business in India including
taxation issues, and implement general economic reforms in the country.
Nevertheless, the IT sector has brought the knowledge economies of India and
the United States closer together and it constitutes the strongest link Washington
has with the drivers of Indias modernization and innovation. However, the
United States is unfortunately targeting this sector with higher visa costs and
increased restrictions.
The United States is the world leader in services exports and runs a growing
surplus in services trade. India also has an increasingly sophisticated services
sector which supports a services trade surplus with the United States, worth
almost $5.8 billion in 2015. For instance, India is the largest exporter of
computer and data processing services to the United States and India-based Tata
Consultancy Services is the worlds largest computer services firm.
Donald Trump as US President
The election of Donald Trump as US President may bring some level of
uncertainty in the Indo-US trade relations due to the conflicting stances he took
during the campaigning. While negotiating for a separate bilateral treaty with
the US may bring some positives for India, Trumps focus on protectionism may
affect the trade relationship.
America's trade deficit with India was $1.8 billion in November 2016, much
lower than China ($28.4 billion), Japan ($5.7 billion), Mexico ($5.7 billion) and
Germany ($5.3 billion) according to provisional data published by the US
Bureau of Economic Analysis on January 6, 2017.
This suggests India will not be the foremost in the US' protectionist radar. But
the bigger stickling point will be service trade flows, as US and Canada make
up for 60% of India's software exports.
Remittances and service trade receipts from the US make up close to 2.8% of
(India's) GDP, playing an important role for the balance of payment dynamics.
A study by Pew Research Center said that remittances by NRIs living in the US
stood at $11 billion in 2015 out of the overall remittance of $69 Billion across
the world by NRIs.
The visa restrictions can therefore further lead to disruption by dropping of
remittances from US.
Indians are the front runners of cutting edge technology companies in the US
and have proved their contribution in sustaining big businesses there through
employment generation. Incidentally, some of the biggest US-based technology
firms such as Google, Adobe and Microsoft are led by Indian Americans.
In 2015, a group of 12 Pacific Rim nations led by the United States signed the
mega Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP), a regional trade agreement which is
expected to set higher standards for trade in goods and Services. Apart from this
there is a large regional trade and investment partnership between the US and
the European Union. The TPP may challenge Indias industry in many ways.
Firstly, it will erode existing preferences for Indian products in established
traditional markets such as the US benefitting those who are partners to these
agreements. Secondly, they are likely to develop a rules architecture which will
place a greater burden of compliance on Indias manufacturing and services
standards for access to the markets of the participating countries.
India has a total import value of USD 359.14 billion. USA is the second major
Country that India imports from. The Import from USA had increased by 14%
this year. Highly imported products are unwrought metals and parts of airplanes
and helicopters. These two account to nearly 25% of the total imports from
USA.
India has a total Export value of USD 263.34 billion. USA is Indias Major
Exporter and exports have considerably increased by 26.7% when compared to
the last year. Highly exported products are Jewellery, Medicine, Diesel and sea
food. All of these account to nearly 40% of the total exports to USA.
Latest Trade Policy Forum meeting: Trade ministers of India and USA
discussed various issues with an aim to ramp up trade and investment between
the two countries.
During this time period, the Ministers acknowledged that India issued a
National Intellectual Property Policy, liberalized foreign direct investment (FDI)
in various sectors, and reduced customs processing time, and that the United
States ratified the Defend Trade Secrets Act, and advanced implementation of
its single window.
Sharing a desire to increase bilateral trade in goods and services, the two
governments reviewed substantive progress achieved in deepening bilateral
trade and investment in 2016, and discussed planned engagement for 2017
which can further promote economic growth and job creation in both India and
the United States. Minister Sitharaman and Ambassador Froman discussed and
exchanged views on a range of trade and investment issues, in particular, (i)
Agriculture, (ii) Trade in Services and Trade in Goods, (iii) Promoting
Investment in Manufacturing, and (iv) Intellectual Property.
Next Step:
In India, all interests are regional interests. The people vote for MPs and not for
governors or chief ministers or for prime ministers. People vote for either the
parties or for some local MP.
Modi reminded us that former Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee had
termed India and the United States natural allies a decade and a half ago, in
2000. And it is in that spirit of being natural allies, Modi stated that the U.S.-
India relationship is sailing into new welcoming waters, with the hurdles of the
past left behind.
Modi was referring to the fact that India-U.S. relationship had not always been
easy, as India was viewed by Washington as tilting toward the Soviet Union
during the Cold War. At the same time, the close U.S. relationship with Pakistan
was viewed by India as detrimental to Indian interests. Many in the United
States could not see much potential in an India that was poor and under-
developed in 1947. Indias stance of non-alignment and strategic autonomy
created further hurdles, as most policymakers in the United States could not
understand what was meant by being non-aligned or what the term strategic
autonomy really amounted to. India, on the other hand, was suspicious of
American intentions, and wary of overt American influence in Indias internal
affairs and foreign policy. Given the power differential between the United
States and India, India was apprehensive that lurking in an interdependence
rhetoric was an aspect of American dominance, in which U.S. interests in the
world would overshadow Indias own interest and foreign policy choices.
Fast forward to the present, and there are several reasons why that past should
no longer influence the decisions of today. First of all, the confining structures
of the Cold War are dismantled. Ideological differences, therefore, no longer
dictate foreign policy choices as much as they did during that period.
Third, the new security challenges, like defending the freedom of Sea Lanes of
Communications (SLOCs), especially given Chinas growing assertiveness with
regard to its maritime space, have provided the much needed urgency for both
the United States and India to deepen their security relationship.
Fourth, the issue of terrorism is a common concern shared by the United States
and India. Both countries have been affected deeply by terrorist attacks; Modi
reiterated the significance of security cooperation between the U.S and India to
fight terrorism, especially to deter the goals of groups like ISIS to spread their
extremist ideology.
From the U.S. perspective, to have India as a trusted partner and ally is
advantageous to its overall grand strategy. First, India with a population of 1.2
billion, living within a democratic set up, is politically structured to resonate
with American values of democracy, individual liberty, and freedom.
Henceforth, if America hopes to see a world with democratic values spreading,
having India as a partner is definitely a force multiplier.
Third, the United States needs to share the burdens of regulating the global
commons based on international norms and rules. This is especially critical in
the Asia-Pacific region. Who could provide a better partnership in this aspect
but India, with a growing military capability and fast-emerging naval power? In
January 2015, during President Barack Obamas visit to India, both countries
signed a strategic vision statement for the Asia-Pacific and the Indian Ocean in
which freedom of Sea Lanes of Communications (SLOCs), including in the
South China Sea was identified as of priority.
Finally, in surveys of social attitudes across the world, India comes out as a
country with some of the most favorable social attitudes toward the United
States. People-to-people contact is on the rise, as well as academic and cultural
exchanges. The Indian American diaspora of three million has also proved an
asset in supporting better relationship between the two countries.
Therefore, for the United States, having India as an ally and trusted partner in
the world is a good thing. It means it has, literally speaking, 1.2 billion friends
that would come to its aid in times of need. It means Washington could rely on
Indias diplomatic and military support in case there is conflict escalation in the
Asia Pacific. The United States could also count on Indian support to tackle
challenges of climate change. Most importantly, it could count on India to
support and strengthen a rules based international order that sustains peace and
prosperity in the world.
Political systems: Both the countries have a deeply ingrained democratic
culture. The U.S is the world's oldest democracy while India is the world's
largest democracy. Both the countries were former British colonies, though the
U.S became an independent country much ahead of India (the US in 1776 and
India in 1947). Many American visionaries like MLK jr. and Henry David
Thoreau were inspired by Gandhi's philosophy of civil disobedience. I came
across a popular blog which says:
In both these countries there was the same form of harsh racism against the
lower classes of the society. In the USA the Africans were treated in a very
harsh way. They were the slaves of the community. They had no rights and even
when they got their rights they still were treated in an ill manner and with
disrespect. In some regions they had to sit at a distance from the whites. They
were not allowed to enter restaurants, which served white people. They were not
allowed to reside near white people but only in their quarters.In India, the
untouchables were also treated in a harsh manner. They had no rights and were
treated in a very ill manner and with no respect. They had to sit at a distance
from the upper castes. They were not allowed to enter the quarters and temples
of the upper castes. They were also barred from entering restaurants, which
served the upper castes.
Entrepreneurship:
Both the countries love to take risks to create wealth and new businesses.
However, India's full potential has not yet been unleashed due to the disastrous
socialist policies from 1947-1992. The recent wealth creation in the Indian
economy was due to the opening up of the Indian economy post 1992 and these
policies are likely to continue. Also, the US and India trade has been increasing
rapidly. The IT industry links between both the countries are pretty well known
Geopolitical interests: India was closer to the USSR during the cold war, while
the U.S openly supported Pakistan. However, post 1990s both the countries
changed their foreign policy to support each other because their strategic
interests have changed. Both the countries are nuclear capable and were victims
of terrorism born in Pakistan (New York 9/11 and Mumbai 26/11). Other key
drivers of this realignment are the rise of China, trade and the changing
geopolitical landscape. However, India has made it clear to the U.S that it does
not wish to be treated as America's vassal state because it has higher ambitions.
Ab Ki Baar Trump Sarkar is another slogan which tells the geo political
intererests.
Cultural Differences :
Differences:
People take life less seriously and have more freedom to experiment in the US
(changing jobs into radically different fields, taking vacations to visit Europe,
Entrepreneurship etc) To me, the social security system and general prosperity
are huge enablers. Indians, unless born in a really wealthy family, do not have
many back-ups and have a set path to pursue in general. The overarching theme
is, unless you study well and be competitive, your life could be miserable. This
applies at a much higher degree in India than in the US, and you can see its
repercussions in work culture too. (longer hours, power hierarchy)
Generalizing at a high level, more people are in the darkness in India ( blind
devotion to leaders (religious, political, wealthy people) , being
illiterate,uninformed, gullible and not seeing the big picture etc., religious
beliefs). Not to confuse with spirituality. The rise of the far right in recent times
in India is alarming to me personally- it is regression. Comparing this to a
maximum of only 50% Trump supporters in the US , I have to say people need
more light in India. PS: Again, this is a generalization, There are regions in
India that have human development indexes comparable to developed countries
( Reference: Hans Roslings TED talk on data visualization)
Family ties
Indians, in general, cant make their parents stay in old age homes. I hear
stories from my American colleagues about nursing home employees treating
grandpa in not-so-good ways etc. To me, the only explanation is that they allow
it to happen because they care more about their own individual comforts. The
same colleague complains about Asian American parents being overly attached
to their kids. Talking about balance, the slider on individualism is too much to
the right in the US and a bit too much to the left in India. Taking good things
from both cultures, people should not live only for their families or society
(influences on independent marriage decisions etc.) or live only for their own
pleasures (frequent divorces, old age care, college fees, apparently smaller
social circles and shallow relations).
Import and Exports:
Month Imports Exports Balance
Jan-16 1,488.70 3,680.10 -2,191.50
Feb-16 1,532.00 3,646.80 -2,114.80
Mar-16 1,839.30 3,946.40 -2,107.10
Apr-16 1,788.20 3,730.30 -1,942.20
May-16 1,597.10 4,128.80 -2,531.70
Jun-16 1,745.40 3,538.80 -1,793.40
Jul-16 1,618.10 3,797.10 -2,179.00
Aug-16 1,886.50 3,905.90 -2,019.40
Sep-16 1,915.80 4,099.60 -2,183.80
Oct-16 2,113.70 4,541.00 -2,427.30
Nov-16 2,068.20 3,537.10 -1,468.90
Dec-16 2,096.10 3,446.50 -1,350.40
TOTAL -
21,689.00 45,998.40
2016 24,309.50
Exchang
e Rate
Change
Price Open High Low
%
67.878 66.199 68.265 66.12 2.52%
68.208 67.868 68.909 67.485 0.49%
66.255 68.196 68.355 66.12 -2.86%
66.425 66.345 66.852 66.014 0.26%
67.209 66.415 67.78 66.225 1.18%
67.504 67.197 68.222 66.441 0.44%
66.655 67.499 67.571 66.6 -1.26%
66.973 66.71 67.37 66.56 0.48%
66.556 66.951 67.148 66.25 -0.62%
66.686 66.546 67.005 66.362 0.20%
68.598 66.675 68.881 66.217 2.87%
67.955 68.585 68.598 67.308 -0.94%
Import Exports Graph:
5,000.00 69
4,500.00
68.5
4,000.00
68
3,500.00
67.5
3,000.00
2,500.00 67
2,000.00
66.5
1,500.00
66
1,000.00
65.5
500.00
0.00 65
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Top 3 Exports:
10,000.00
8,000.00
6,000.00
4,000.00
2,000.00
-
ELECTRICAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT AND PARTS THEREOF; SOUND RECORDERS AND
REPRODUCERS, TELEVISION IMAGE AND SOUND RECORDERS AND REPRODUCERS,AND
PARTS.
IRON AND STEEL
AIRCRAFT, SPACECRAFT, AND PARTS THEREOF.
2016-
2012- 2013- 2014- 2015-
Commodity 2017(Apr- growth
2013 2014 2015 2016
Nov)
LIVE ANIMALS. 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.01 0
MEAT AND EDIBLE MEAT OFFAL. 0.02 0.46 1.89 4.02 112.6984127
COFFEE, TEA, MATE AND SPICES. 247.47 252.94 282.46 321.03 223.29 -30.4457527
VEGETABLE PLAITING
MATERIALS; VEGETABLE
1.15 0.7 0.56 1.14 0.63 -44.7368421
PRODUCTS NOT ELSEWHERE
SPECIFIED OR INCLUDED.
ANIMAL OR VEGETABLE FATS AND
OILS AND THEIR CLEAVAGE
98.26 80.5 108.03 85.95 59.25 -31.0645724
PRODUCTS; PRE. EDIBLE FATS;
ANIMAL OR VEGETABLE WAXEX.
PREPARATIONS OF CEREALS,
FLOUR, STARCH OR MILK; 73.67 69.51 81.31 87.98 69.79 -20.6751534
PASTRYCOOKS PRODUCTS.
PREPARATIONS OF VEGETABLES,
FRUIT, NUTS OR OTHER PARTS OF 74.78 70.95 79.08 90.12 56.56 -37.2392366
PLANTS.
MISCELLANEOUS EDIBLE
71.92 81.67 81.09 89.67 69.36 -22.6497156
PREPARATIONS.
ORES, SLAG AND ASH. 0.65 0.24 0.27 0.27 1.96 625.9259259
ALBUMINOIDAL SUBSTANCES;
MODIFIED STARCHES; GLUES; 111.24 86 61.86 37.92 28.46 -24.9472574
ENZYMES.
EXPLOSIVES; PYROTECHNIC
PRODUCTS; MATCHES;
1.71 1.33 1.59 1.58 1.15 -27.2151899
PYROPHORIC ALLOYS; CERTAIN
COMBUSTIBLE PREPARATIONS.
PHOTOGRAPHIC OR
2 0.94 0.26 0.22 0.19 -13.6363636
CINEMATOGRAPHIC GOODS.
MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL
414.55 425.67 471.18 454.27 280.59 -38.2327691
PRODUCTS.
PLASTIC AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 490.24 537.63 554.72 581.82 414.68 -28.7270977
RUBBER AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 308.2 309.97 330.48 304.25 222.8 -26.7707477
ARTICLES OF LEATHER,SADDLERY
AND HARNESS;TRAVEL GOODS,
HANDBAGS AND SIMILAR 337.57 398.99 444.89 461.14 320.35 -30.5308583
CONT.ARTICLES OF ANIMAL
GUT(OTHR THN SILK-WRM)GUT.
FURSKINS AND ARTIFICIAL FUR,
0.03 0.5 0.87 1.91 2.32 21.46596859
MANUFACTURES THEREOF.
CORK AND ARTICLES OF CORK. 0.8 0.44 0.53 0.44 0.36 -18.1818182
MANUFACTURES OF STRAW, OF
ESPARTO OR OF OTHER PLAITING
0.77 1.17 1.99 2.7 2.2 -18.5185185
MATERIALS; BASKETWARE AND
WICKERWORK.
KNITTED OR CROCHETED
15.82 15.32 18.74 37.2 28.22 -24.1397849
FABRICS.
HEADGEAR AND PARTS THEREOF. 227.59 320.67 359.83 7.35 3.83 -47.8911565
NATURAL OR CULTURED
PEARLS,PRECIOUS OR
SEMIPRECIOUS
106.78 114.75 141.27 8673.33 6989.75 -19.410999
STONES,PRE.METALS,CLAD WITH
PRE.METAL AND ARTCLS
THEREOF;IMIT.JEWLRY;COIN.
COPPER AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 1756.05 1328.7 1712.6 143.26 93.99 -34.3920145
NICKEL AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 94.03 105.29 137.35 4.22 2.35 -44.3127962
ALUMINIUM AND ARTICLES
8.65 5.88 6.93 295.18 189.3 -35.8696389
THEREOF.
LEAD AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 179.09 201.92 306.86 35.42 36.66 3.500846979
ZINC AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 2.49 21.11 22.67 8.14 9.24 13.51351351
TIN AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 1.37 2.59 3.05 0.16 0.25 56.25
MISCELLANEOUS ARTICLES OF
135.35 136.67 147.8 71.23 54.55 -23.4170995
BASE METAL.
OPTICAL, PHOTOGRAPHIC
CINEMATOGRAPHIC MEASURING,
CHECKING PRECISION, MEDICAL
51.6 0.59 0.45 357.85 289.14 -19.2007825
OR SURGICAL INST. AND
APPARATUS PARTS AND
ACCESSORIES THEREOF;
MISCELLANEOUS
40.16 48.3 51.1 97.98 64.02 -34.6601347
MANUFACTURED ARTICLES.
2016-
Commodity 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2017(Apr- growth
Nov)
LIVE ANIMALS. 1,918.92 2,476.65 2,406.83 2,134.08 896.65 -
57.984237
FISH AND CRUSTACEANS, 0.96 0.72 7,848.03 5,092.59 -
MOLLUSCS AND OTHER 35.109958
AQUATIC INVERTABRATES.
LIVE TREES AND OTHER 3,193.53 7,311.99 7,738.89 181.27 116.74 -35.59883
PLANTS; BULBS; ROOTS AND
THE LIKE; CUT FLOWERS
AND ORNAMENTAL FOLIAGE.
TIN AND ARTICLES THEREOF. 8,150.54 10,732.20 17,373.20 23.61 29.49 24.904701
OTHER BASE METALS; 39.94 51.15 73.7 15,071.91 8,917.50 -
CERMETS; ARTICLES 40.833644
THEREOF.
Recommendations:
"Its really a mixed bag with several factors at play. From a science and
technology perspective, the United States continues to be an innovative
society that creates strong a R&D environment. Though there are some
question marks around educational strengths in science and technology,
generally these factors are pointing in good direction. Similarly, the financing
environment even with the credit crunch and the decline in IPOs still
capital is available for good business opportunities. In addition, the United
States has a very diverse labor and human capital side with a relatively young
population compared to Europe, for example.
In fact, other than a small dip in 2013, the number of businesses newly
created has risen steadily since 2010, when the entrepreneurial economy
bottomed out following the financial crisis. Joining the ranks of first-time
business owners are more women particularly among African American
women and Millennials.
Conclusion:
We think its true that anytime you put a speed bump on the road, cars
will go slow, But for people who are driven with great ideas,
(regulations) are probably not going to stop them.