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ThinkHazard!

Identify natural hazards in your project area


and understand how to reduce their impact

Sragen
Indonesia , Jawa Tengah


River flood Earthquake Water scarcity Volcano


Cyclone Landslide Coastal flood Tsunami

Report generated on 2017-02-20


from http://thinkhazard.org/report/18058-indonesia-jawa-tengah-sragen
About ThinkHazard!
ThinkHazard! is a new web-based tool enabling non-specialists to consider the impacts of disasters on new development
projects. Users of ThinkHazard! can quickly and robustly assess the level of river flood, earthquake, drought, cyclone, coastal
flood, tsunami, volcano, and landslide hazard within their project area to assist with project planning and design.

ThinkHazard! is a simple flagging system to highlight the hazards present in a project area. As such, a user is only required to
enter their project location national, provincial or district name. The results interface shows a user whether they require high,
medium or low awareness of each hazard when planning their project.

ThinkHazard! also provides recommendations and guidance on how to reduce the risk from each hazard within the project area,
and provides links to additional resources such as country risk assessments, best practice guidance, additional websites.
ThinkHazard! also highlights how each hazard may change in the future as a result of climate change.

Developed by

In partnership with

The following organizations have contributed data and / or expert input to the development of this tool:

ThinkHazard! holds local data for the countries displayed in this map. Global data is available for river flood, earthquake,
cyclone, water scarcity, and landslide.

The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and
other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal
status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

Source of Administrative boundaries: The Global Administrative Unit Layers (GAUL) dataset, implemented by FAO within the
CountrySTAT and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) projects.
The tool code is open source, to encourage other users to adapt the tool to their needs. The code can be found on Github. Current
instance version is 1.5.3 .

ThinkHazard! is available under the GNU General Public Licence, Version 3, 29 June 2007. Text content is licenced under CC-BY-
SA. Classified hazard levels are licenced under CC-BY. Original hazard data are licenced under their original terms, which are
contained in the associated layer metadata.

The data was published for the last time on Thu Feb 2 17:06:34 2017.

This report is a product of the staff of the World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this report
do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent.

The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations
and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of the World Bank concerning
the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

2015 The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20433

All rights reserved


ThinkHazard! 2017-02-20 | http://thinkhazard.org/report/18058-indonesia-jawa-tengah-sragen/FL

Sragen
Indonesia , Jawa Tengah

River flood Hazard level: High


In the area you have selected (Sragen) river flood hazard is classified as high according to the information that is
currently available to this tool. This means that potentially damaging and life-threatening river floods are expected to
occur at least once in the next 10 years. Project planning decisions, project design, and construction methods
must take into account the level of river flood hazard. Surface flood hazard in urban and rural areas is not included
in this hazard classification, and may also be possible in this location. The following is a list of recommendations that
could be followed in different phases of the project to help reduce the risk to your project. Please note that these
recommendations are generic and not project-specific.

Climate change impacts: Medium confidence in more frequent and intense heavy precipitation days and an increase in
the number of extreme rainfall events. The present hazard level may increase in the future due to the effects of climate
change. It would be prudent to design projects in this area to be robust to river flood hazard in the long-term.

High Medium Low Very low

Data source: SSBN

10 km

Mapbox OpenStreetMap

Recommendations
Location assessment: The high-level information available in this tool may indicate the presence of river flood hazard
in your project area. Before committing significant resources to this issue, a study of the surrounding landscape can help
you to assess whether more detailed assessment and/or intervention should be considered.

Obtain pre-existing flood hazard information: The high-level information available in this tool may indicate the
presence of flood hazard in your project area. However, because flood hazard can change dramatically over short
distances, the exact geographical location of your project should be checked against pre-existing flood hazard
information.

Professional guidance: Consultation with professionals will provide a more detailed understanding of the risk posed
to your asset by flooding. The level of guidance required will depend upon the level of hazard present, the vulnerability
of the asset and local legislation that might apply.

Consider relocation of the project: If local flood risk information confirms your project is exposed to a high level of
flood hazard, relocation to areas not prone to flooding is recommended where viable. This decision will need to be
undertaken with the consideration of other hazards.

Identify Early Warning Systems: Early warning systems (EWS) are designed to provide communities with advance
warning of an imminent flood event based on information such as weather forecasts, recorded rainfall or rising water
levels upstream. They can be used to trigger protocols (such as the deployment of portable flood defences or
evacuation) to mitigate against an incoming flood event.

Consider vulnerability of other assets within the project's dependency network: If your project is interdependent with
other projects, it is important to assess the vulnerability of the entire network if the service provided is critical.

Flood management: Your project or development should consider flood management measures.

Built infrastructure may alter flood hazard: Constructing a significant piece of infrastructure can significantly alter the
landscape and potentially influence how an area responds during a flood. Any alteration of the landscape should be
undertaken with consideration as to how this will influence the local hydrology.

Further resources
Climate risk management in Indonesia

Indonesia: Advancing a National Disaster Risk Financing Strategy Options for Consideration

National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB) disaster loss and damage database

Overview of Natural Disasters and their Impacts in Asia and the Pacific 1970 - 2014

Analysis and evaluation of Flood risk management practice in selected megacities

Cities and Flooding: A Guide to Integrated Urban Flood Risk Management for the 21st Century

Cities and Flooding: A Guide to Integrated Urban Flood Risk Management for the 21st Century

Climate Change Knowledge Portal

Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction: Country Profiles

Defining disaster resilience: a DFID approach paper

EMDAT: Country Profile on Historical Disaster Events

Towards Safer School Construction

Understanding Risk in an Evolving World - Emerging Best Practices in Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Understanding the Economics of Flood Risk Reduction

Weather and Climate Resilience: Effective Preparedness through National Meteorological and Hydrological Services

Global Risk Patterns and Trends in Global Assessment Report

Guidance on Safe School Construction

INFORM: Index for Risk Management


ThinkHazard! 2017-02-20 | http://thinkhazard.org/report/18058-indonesia-jawa-tengah-sragen/DG

Sragen
Indonesia , Jawa Tengah

Water scarcity Hazard level: Medium


In the area you have selected (Sragen) water scarcity is classified as medium according to the information that is
currently available to this tool. This means that there is up to a 20% chance droughts will occur in the coming 10 years.
Based on this information, the impact of drought must be considered in all phases of the project, in particular its effect
on personnel and stakeholders, and during the design of buildings and infrastructure. Project planning decisions,
project design, and construction methods should take into account the level of drought hazard. Further detailed
information should be obtained to adequately account for the level of hazard.

Climate change impact: Model projections are inconsistent in their estimates of change in drought hazard, which
influences water scarcity. The present hazard level may increase in the future due to the effects of climate change. It
would be prudent to design projects in this area to be robust to increased drought hazard and water scarcity in the long-
term.

High Medium Low Very low

Data source: IVM / VU University Amsterdam

10 km

Mapbox OpenStreetMap

Recommendations
Vulnerability assessment. The high-level information available in ThinkHazard! indicates the presence of water
scarcity in your project area. Before committing significant resources to this issue, you should further evaluate if your
project is vulnerable to water scarcity and whether a more detailed assessment and/or intervention should be
considered.

Obtain pre-existing water scarcity/drought hazard information. ThinkHazard! predominantly uses global datasets,
therefore you should determine the availability of pre-existing local water scarcity/drought information to check whether
your project is indeed located in a drought prone region.

Professional guidance. Consultation with water scarcity and drought experts will provide a more detailed
understanding of the risk posed to your project. The level of professional guidance required will depend upon the level
of hazard present, the vulnerability of project assets, and any existing local legislation that might apply.

Identify Drought Monitoring and Drought Forecasting Systems. Drought Monitoring and Drought Forecasting Systems
are designed to provide communities with information on evolving drought water scarcity & drought conditions using
information from (long-term seasonal) weather-forecasts, temperature records, measured rainfall and
evapotranspiration, and data on the levels of rivers, lakes and reservoirs. They can be used to trigger protocols (drought
management plans) to mitigate the effects of a potential water scarcity/drought event.

Water scarcity/drought management. Your project or development should consider water scarcity/drought
management measures.

Further resources
Climate risk management in Indonesia

Indonesia: Advancing a National Disaster Risk Financing Strategy Options for Consideration

National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB) disaster loss and damage database

Overview of Natural Disasters and their Impacts in Asia and the Pacific 1970 - 2014

National Drought Management Policy Guidelines: A Template for Action

Climate Change Knowledge Portal

Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction: Country Profiles

Defining disaster resilience: a DFID approach paper

Drought Risk Reduction: Framework and Practices

EMDAT: Country Profile on Historical Disaster Events

Towards Safer School Construction

Understanding Risk in an Evolving World - Emerging Best Practices in Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Guidance on Safe School Construction

INFORM: Index for Risk Management


ThinkHazard! 2017-02-20 | http://thinkhazard.org/report/18058-indonesia-jawa-tengah-sragen/EQ

Sragen
Indonesia , Jawa Tengah

Earthquake Hazard level: Medium


In the area you have selected (Sragen) earthquake hazard is classified as medium according to the information that is
currently available. This means that there is a 10% chance of potentially-damaging earthquake shaking in your project
area in the next 50 years. Based on this information, the impact of earthquake should be considered in all phases of
the project, in particular during design and construction. Project planning decisions, project design, and
construction methods should take into account the level of earthquake hazard. Further detailed information
should be obtained to adequately account for the level of hazard.

High Medium Low Very low

Data source: UNISDR

10 km

Mapbox OpenStreetMap

Recommendations
EARTHQUAKE HISTORY AND HAZARD: Get information about major earthquakes and secondary hazards (fires,
landslides, liquefaction, tsunami in coastal areas) that have affected the project area in the past and the effects these
caused. Community memory and historical accounts of earthquakes can provide useful information to supplement
scientific studies. Contact the governmental organisations (e.g. Ministry of Environment and Geological Survey/ Ministry
of Earth Sciences) responsible for earthquake risk management in the project country to obtain more detailed
information on the potential earthquake hazard.

LOCAL BUILDING REGULATIONS: Find out if the local building regulations provide for earthquake protection. To do
this, engage the local engineering community, especially those serving with the local government, in discussions; or
consult external experts. i) If they do, comply with the stipulations with respect to planning, design and construction,
including typology of construction, and materials of appropriate quality suitable for use in areas of seismic hazard. ii) if
they do not, consider adopting and complying with standards from other medium earthquake hazard areas.

SITE AND SOIL CONDITIONS: Determine whether the project site is likely to be affected by ground failure or other site
hazards during an earthquake. Conduct soil investigations which should be performed by a geotechnical engineer who
will test the soil at the site and will prepare a report that indicates physical properties of the soil, its bearing capacity,
chemical composition, its liquefaction potential, the stability of natural slopes and other considerations for design.
Select sites with minimal site hazards if possible. Ensure that the proposed project is not built on or in close proximity to
active earthquake faults.
TECHNICAL EXPERTISE: Engage qualified and experienced local (or international) technical professionals: structural
and geotechnical earthquake engineers, and also geologists specializing in hazards. Ensure that design and
implementation of all project activities, including infrastructure construction and improvements, provide for earthquake
protection and comply with local and/or international building standards.

DESIGN CONSIDERATIONS: While designing a project in earthquake prone areas, it is important to set design
standards for each building based on the criticality of the functions it shall serve and the building standards applicable
in the area. Determine the performance requirements of each structure in the project and design accordingly. When
calculating performance requirements, consider how collapse, serious damage, or functional losses of project
associated infrastructure could affect the local population and environment. For the most vital buildings or infrastructure
in the project, higher design standards may be necessary.

UTILITIES: Consider how earthquakes could interrupt the availability and function of off-site utility services such as
electricity, water supply, communications, sanitation, as well as access to transportation. Determine potential impacts
and provide sufficient on-site back-up and seismic protection of critical utilities.

BUILDING CONTENTS AND FALLING HAZARDS MITIGATION: Consider the disruption and damage that an earthquake
may cause to buildings and interiors, including windows, doors, furnishings, suspended ceilings and equipment. Design
building exteriors so that objects cannot fall on people, especially at exits. Mitigate these hazards during construction to
prevent injuries and blockage of exits during earthquakes, and to safeguard essential contents such as medical
equipment, sensitive data, or cultural artifacts.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT: Incorporate emergency management considerations in the buildings planning and
construction, such as well located emergency exits, fire extinguishers and clear signs to facilitate safe evacuation in the
event of crisis. For projects where buildings will have to remain functional following an earthquake, (such as hospitals or
Emergency Operations Centers), in addition to having the entire building - including structure, finishes and equipment -
protected from earthquake damage and providing back-up for critical utilities, a clear emergency management plan
should be drafted and practiced to prepare the staff for crisis mitigation.

INSURANCE: Consider purchasing earthquake insurance to cover potential losses to the project. While insurance does
not prevent injuries or deaths, or save communities, it can certainly reduce financial losses and enable the project to
recover from the effects of the earthquake and regain its function more quickly.

Further resources
The Padang, Sumatra - Indonesia earthquake of 30 September 2009

Indonesia: Advancing a National Disaster Risk Financing Strategy Options for Consideration

National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB) disaster loss and damage database

The Indian Ocean Tsunami of 26 December 2004

Overview of Natural Disasters and their Impacts in Asia and the Pacific 1970 - 2014

Temblor

Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction: Country Profiles

Defining disaster resilience: a DFID approach paper

E-learning course: Understanding Risk (World Bank)

EMDAT: Country Profile on Historical Disaster Events

Earthquake-report.com - Independent Earthquake Reporting Site

Reducing Earthquake Risk in Hospitals

Understanding Risk in an Evolving World - Emerging Best Practices in Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Global Earthquake Model - GEM Foundation

Global Risk Patterns and Trends in Global Assessment Report

Guidance on Safe School Construction

INFORM: Index for Risk Management

Learning from Megadisasters: Lessons from the Great Japan Earthquake

Towards Safer School Construction


ThinkHazard! 2017-02-20 | http://thinkhazard.org/report/18058-indonesia-jawa-tengah-sragen/VA

Sragen
Indonesia , Jawa Tengah

Volcano Hazard level: Medium


In the area you have selected (Sragen) volcanic hazard is classified as medium according to the information that is
currently available. This means that the selected area is located at less than 50 km from a volcano for which a potentially
damaging eruption has been recorded in the past 10,000 years and that future damaging eruptions are possible. Based
on this information, the impact of volcanic eruption should be considered in all phases of the project, in
particular during project design, implementation and maintenance. Further detailed information should be
obtained to adequately account for the level of hazard.

High Medium Low Very low

Data source: GFDRR

10 km

Mapbox OpenStreetMap

Recommendations
Ensure the project can take action on volcanic early warnings. This may involve having a plan in place to mobilize in
the event of a warning being received.

Consider the effect that potentially lethal and destructive volcanic hazards near to the volcano ballistic projectiles,
lava flows, lahars and pyroclastic flows could have on the planned project. Lahars can impact areas within valleys as
far as 100 km from a volcano. Further information should be gained from local volcanic hazard maps, if available.

Check with local authorities for any local regulations concerning volcanic hazards. Ensure that the project conforms to
1) any applicable volcanic hazard land use planning regulations; 2) any existing plans for warning and evacuation; and
3) any national laws, regulations and rules.

Consider engaging a qualified local or international volcanologist to investigate the volcanic hazards in the project
area in more depth. Where possible, establish a relationship with the local volcano observatory/agency.

Consider the effects of volcanic ashfall and gases on the project. These hazards are the most far-reaching of the
volcanic hazards and can affect areas hundreds or even thousands of km downwind of volcanoes.

Further resources
Indonesia: Advancing a National Disaster Risk Financing Strategy Options for Consideration

National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB) disaster loss and damage database

Overview of Natural Disasters and their Impacts in Asia and the Pacific 1970 - 2014

Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction: Country Profiles

Database of Volcanoes - Global Volansim Program

Defining disaster resilience: a DFID approach paper

EMDAT: Country Profile on Historical Disaster Events

The health hazards of volcanic ash - A guide for the public

Towards Safer School Construction

Understanding Risk in an Evolving World - Emerging Best Practices in Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Volcanic Ash impacts on critical infrastructure

Volcanic Ash: What it can do and how to prevent damage

Volcanic ash fall hazard and risk

Volcanic gases and aerosols guidelines

Volcanic hazards and their mitigation - Progress and problems

Volcano Observatory database - World Organization of Volcano Observatories (WOVO)

Guidance on Safe School Construction

Guidelines on preparedness before, during and after an ashfall

Living with volcanoes - The sustainable livelihoods approach for volcano-related opportunities
ThinkHazard! 2017-02-20 | http://thinkhazard.org/report/18058-indonesia-jawa-tengah-sragen/CY

Sragen
Indonesia , Jawa Tengah

Cyclone Hazard level: Low


In the area you have selected (Sragen) cyclone (also known as hurricane or typhoon) hazard is classified as low
according to the information that is currently available. This means that there is a 1% chance of potentially-damaging
wind speeds in your project area in the next 10 years. Based on this information, the impact of cyclones should be
considered in the project, in particular during design and construction. Project planning decisions, project design,
and construction methods should take into account the level of cyclone hazards. Note that damages can not only
occur due to wind but also cyclone induced heavy rainfall and subsequent flooding as well as coastal floods in coastal
areas. Further detailed information should be obtained to adequately account for the level of hazard.

Climate change impact: Global average tropical cyclone wind speed and rainfall is likely to increase in the future, and
the global average frequency of tropical cyclones is likely to decrease or remain unchanged. It is possible that the
frequency of the most intense tropical cyclones will increase substantially in some ocean regions (IPCC, 2013). The
present hazard level in areas currently affected by tropical cyclones may increase in the long-term. Projects located in
such areas should be robust to future increases in cyclone hazard.

High Medium Low Very low

Data source: UNISDR

10 km

Mapbox OpenStreetMap

Recommendations
For cyclone wind risks that cannot be mitigated, consider insurance products specifically aimed at alleviating the
financial costs associated with wind risk.

Project planning, design, and construction practices should account for strong wind from potential cyclones in your
project area.

Consider the regional and national governments emergency response policy and protocols to cyclones in your project
area.

If the project involves the development of critical infrastructure (e.g., a hospital, fire station, or power transmission
line), or will support critical infrastructure, you should consider how your project can be affected by wind beyond the
specific project location.

Consider consulting with an expert familiar with cyclone wind risk and has experience with natural hazards and/or
construction practices in your local area. Such consulting professionals include structural engineers, civil engineers, and
atmospheric scientists. Consider incorporating local and subject matter expertise in the design, construction, and
maintenance phases of your project.

Further resources
Indonesia: Advancing a National Disaster Risk Financing Strategy Options for Consideration

National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB) disaster loss and damage database

Overview of Natural Disasters and their Impacts in Asia and the Pacific 1970 - 2014

Past Tropical Cyclones

Climate Change Knowledge Portal

Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction: Country Profiles

Defining disaster resilience: a DFID approach paper

EMDAT: Country Profile on Historical Disaster Events

Towards Safer School Construction

Understanding Risk in an Evolving World - Emerging Best Practices in Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Weather and Climate Resilience: Effective Preparedness through National Meteorological and Hydrological Services

Guidance on Safe School Construction

INFORM: Index for Risk Management


ThinkHazard! 2017-02-20 | http://thinkhazard.org/report/18058-indonesia-jawa-tengah-sragen/LS

Sragen
Indonesia , Jawa Tengah

Landslide Hazard level: Very low


In the area you have selected landslide susceptibility is classified as very low according to the information that is
currently available. This means that this area has rainfall patterns, terrain slope, geology, soil, land cover and
(potentially) earthquakes that make localized landslides a rare hazard phenomenon. Based on this information,
planning decisions such as project siting, project design, and construction methods, may want to consider the potential
for landslides. Further detailed information should be obtained to better understand the level of landslide susceptibility
in your project area.

Climate change impact: Climate change is likely to alter slope and bedrock stability through changes in precipitation
and/or temperature. It is difficult to determine future locations and timing of large rock avalanches, as these depend on
local geological conditions and other non-climatic factors.

High Medium Low Very low

Data source: UNISDR

10 km

Mapbox OpenStreetMap

Recommendations
Contact the governmental organizations responsible for management of landslides (e.g. ministry of environment,
national geological survey and/or local authorities) to obtain more detailed information on areas previously affected by
landslides and areas considered to be highly susceptible.

Ensure that the project obeys existing (if any) landslide zoning regulations.

Further resources
Indonesia: Advancing a National Disaster Risk Financing Strategy Options for Consideration

National Agency for Disaster Management (BNPB) disaster loss and damage database

Overview of Natural Disasters and their Impacts in Asia and the Pacific 1970 - 2014

Community Based Landslide Risk Reduction

Defining disaster resilience: a DFID approach paper


EMDAT: Country Profile on Historical Disaster Events

Towards Safer School Construction

Understanding Risk in an Evolving World - Emerging Best Practices in Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction: Country Profiles

Global Risk Patterns and Trends in Global Assessment Report

Guidance on Safe School Construction

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