ID NO.

: NAME:

QUESTIO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
N
ANSWER

Birla Institute of Technology & Science-Pilani, Hyderabad Campus

Second Semester, 2015-2016
Course Name: Probability & Statistics Course No.: MATH F113
Date: 03-05-2016 Time: 9.00A.M.-10.30AM
Day: Tuesday Max Marks: 39
__________________________________________________________________________
1. There are 13 questions. Each carries 3 marks for correct answer and 1 mark for wrong
answer.
2. Any overwriting/cutting will not be considered and will carry zero mark.
3. Write the most appropriate alternative A, B, C or D in the space provided above and nowhere else.

1. A device that continuously measures and records seismic activity is placed in a remote

region. The time T , failure of the device is exponentially distributed with mean 3

years. Since the device will not be monitored during its first two years of service, the time

to discovery of its failure is X =max ( T , 2 ) . Then E ( X )=

1
2+ e6 2/ 3
[A] 3 [B] 23 e [C] 5 [D]

2
3
2+3 e

2. The loss due to fire in a commercial building is modelled by a random variable X with

probability density function {

f ( x)= 0.005 ( 20x ) for 0< x< 20
0 otherwise . Given that a fire loss

exceeds 8 , the probability that it exceeds 16 is

1 1 1
[A] 25 [B] 9 [C] 8

3
[D] 7

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 3. Suppose that the moment generating function M X (t) of the continuous random

t
variable X has the property M X ( t ) =e M X (t) for all t . Then the mean of

X is
1
[A] [B] 0 [C] 1 [D]
2

4. An undergraduate student has asked a professor for a letter of recommendation. He

estimates that the probability he will get the job is 0.8 with a strong letter, 0.4 with

a medium letter and 0.1 with a weak letter. He also believes that the probabilities that

the letter will be given strong, medium or weak are 0.5 , 0.3 or 0.2 respectively.

The probability that the letter was strong given that he got the job is
1 14 40
[A] 54 [B] 54 [C] 54

[D] none of these

5. A bowl contains four red and four blue balls. As part of drawing lots, you choose four
times two balls at random from the bowl without replacement. The probability that one
red and one blue ball are chosen each time is

27 8 256
[A] 35 [B] 35 [C] 2401

2145
[D] 2401

6. The time to failure of a component in an electronic device has an exponential distribution

with a median of four hours. The probability that the component will work without failing
for at least five hours is

2 2 2 2
ln ln ln ln

[A] 4 [B] 5 [C] 5 [D] 4

5 4 4 5
1e 1e e e

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7. An urn contains 10 balls, 4 red and 6 blue. A second urn contains 16 red
balls and an unknown number of blue balls. A single ball is drawn from each urn. The

probability that both balls are of the same color is 0.44 . Total number of balls in the

second urn is
[A] 20 [B] 24 [C] 44 [D]

64

8. Among a large group of students in our campus, it is found that 22 play both football

and cricket, whereas 12 play neither of these. The probability that a student plays

cricket exceeds by 0.14 the probability that a student plays football. Then the
probability that a randomly chosen student of this group plays football is
[A] 0.26 [B] 0.38 [C] 0.40 [D] 0.48

9. If the joint probability density function of two dimensional random variable (X , Y ) is

0.25< X < 0.50

given by f ( x , y ) =2,0 < x< y , 0< y <1 , then P Y =0.75 is

2 1 3
[A] 3 [B] 3 [C] 4

1
[D] 4
10. To test the hypothesis that the coin is fair, the adopted rule is: accept the hypothesis if the
number of heads in 10 tosses is more than 4. Then the probability of committing type I
error is
[A] B (4 ;10,0.5) [B] B (3 ; 10,0.5) [C] B (5 ; 10,0.5) [D]

B (2;10,0.5)

11. Consider the following two statements: (i) S is an unbiased estimator for (ii)
2 2
S is a biased estimator for . Then which of the following is true
[A] both (i) and (ii) are false [B] only (i) is true
[C] only (ii) is false [D] both (i) and (ii) are true
12. Associate Dean of Instruction Division wants to use the mean of a random sample to
estimate the average amount of time that students take to get from one class to next class.
He wants to be able to assert with 99% confidence that the width is 0.25 minute. If it can

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 be presume from the experiment that =1.40 minute, then the smallest sample size he

z 0.01=2.33, z 0.005=2.575
has to take is (use
[A] 681 [B] 832 [C] 831 [D] 682
13. The standard deviation of a population is 2.50 cm. In a random sample of size 100, the
probability that the sample mean will differ from the population mean by 0.75 cm or more
is
[A] (3) [B] 2 (3) [C] (0.3) [D]

2 (0.3)

*******

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