Program Name Source Content

1.3 Pritchett Clock Repair Shop Excel QM Breakeven Analysis

1.4 Pritchett Clock Repair Shop Excel QM Goal Seek
2.1 Expected Value and Variance Excel Expected Value and Variance

2.2 Binomial Probabilities Excel Binomial Probabilities

2.3 Normal distribution Excel Normal distribution
2.4 F Distribution Excel F distribution probabilities
2.5 Exponential Distribution Excel Exponential probabilities
2.6 Poisson distribution Excel Poisson probabilities
3.1 Thompson Lumber Excel Decision Table
3.5 Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example Excel Bayes Theorem
4.1 Triple A Construction Company Sales Excel Regression
4.2 Jenny Wilson Realty Excel Multiple Regression
4.3 Jenny Wilson Realty Excel Dummy Variables - Regression
4.4 MPG Data Excel Linear Regression
4.5 MPG Data Excel Nonlinear Regression
4.6 Solved Problem 4-2 Excel Regression
4.8 Triple A Construction Company Sales Excel QM Regression
5.1 Wallace Garden Supply Shed Sales Excel QM Weighted Moving Average
5.2 Port of Baltimore Excel QM Exponential Smoothing
5.3 Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand Excel QM Expo. Smoothing with Trend
5.4 Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand Excel Trend Analysis
5.5 Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand Excel QM Trend Analysis
5.6 Turner Industries Excel QM Multiplicative Decomposition
5.7 Turner Industries Excel Multiple Regression
6.1 Sumco Pump Company Excel QM EOQ Model
6.2 Brown Manufacturing Excel QM Production Run Model
6.3 Brass Department Store Excel QM Quantity Discount Model
6.4 Hinsdale Company Safety Stock Excel QM Safety Stock
7.2 Flair Furniture Excel Linear Programming
7.4 Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch Excel Linear Programming
7.6 High note sound company Excel Linear Programming
7.7 Flair Furniture Excel QM Linear Programming
8.1 Win Big Gambling Club Excel Linear Programming
8.2 Management Science Associates Excel Linear Programming
8.3 Fifth Avenue Industries Excel Linear Programming
8.4 Greenberg Motors Excel Linear Programming
8.5 Labor Planning Example Excel Linear Programming
8.6 ICT Portfolio Selection Excel Linear Programming
8.5xx Top Speed Bicycle Company Excel Linear Programming
8.7 Goodman Shipping Excel Linear Programming
8.8 Whole Foods Nutrition Problem Excel Linear Programming
8.9 Low Knock Oil Company Excel Linear Programming
8.10 Top Speed Bicycle Company Excel Linear Programming
9.1 Transportation Example Excel Linear Programming
9.2 Fix-It Shop Excel QM Linear Programming
9.3 Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem Excel Linear Programming
9.4 Transportation Problem - Birmingham Excel QM Transportation
9.5 Fix-It Shop Assignment Excel QM Assignment
 9.1 Executive Furniture Company Excel QM Transportation
9.2 Birmingham Plant Excel QM Transportation
10.2 Harrison Electric IP Analysis Excel Integer programming
10.4 Bagwell Chemical Company Excel Integer programming
10.5 Quemo Chemical Company Excel Integer programming
10.6 Sitka Manufacturing Company Excel Integer programming
10.7 Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg Excel Integer programming
10.9 Great Western Appliance Excel Nonlinear programming
10.10 Hospicare Corp Excel Nonlinear programming
10.11 Thermlock Gaskets Excel Nonlinear programming
10.12 Solved Problem 10-1 Excel 0-1 programming
10.13 Solved Problem 10-3 Excel Nonlinear programming
12.1 PERT - General Foundry Example Excel QM Crashing
12.2 Crashing General Foundry Problem Excel Crashing
12.extra Crashing General Foundry Problem Excel QM Crashing
13.1 Arnold's Muffler Shop Excel QM Single Server (M/M/1) system
13.2 Arnold's Muffler Shop Excel QM Multi-Server (M/M/m) system
13.3 Golding Recycling, Inc. Excel QM Constant Service Rate (M/D/1)
13.4 Department of Commerce Excel QM Finite population
14.2 Harry's Tire Shop Excel Simulation (inventory)
14.3 Generating Normal Random Numbers Excel Random #s and Frequency
14.4 Harry's Tire Shop Excel QM Simulation (inventory)
14.5 Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings Excel Simulation (waiting line)
14.6 Three Hills Power Company Excel Maintenance Simulation
15.3 Three Grocery Example Excel Markov Analysis
15.4 Accounts Receivable Example Excel Fundamental Matrix & Absorbing States
16.1 Box Filling Example Excel QM Quality = x-bar chart
16.2 Super Cola Example Excel QM Quality = x-bar chart
16.3 ARCO Excel QM p-Chart Analysis
16.4 Red Top Cab Company Excel QM c-Chart Analysis
Module
M1.1 AHP Excel
M5.1 Matrix Multiplication Excel
- Regression
Rate (M/D/1)

ix & Absorbing States

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the selling price in the data area.

Data Cost-volume analysis

Rebuilt Springs 12
Fixed cost 1000 10
8

$
Variable cost 5
Revenue 10 6
4
2
Results 0
Breakeven points 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Units 200 Costs Revenue Units
Dollars $ 2,000.00

Graph
Units Costs Revenue
0 1000 0
400 3000 4000
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the selling price in the data area.

Data
Rebuilt Springs
Fixed cost 1000
Variable cost 5
Revenue 10.71
Volume (optional) 250

Results
Breakeven points
Units 175
Dollars $ 1,875.00

Volume Analysis@ 250

Costs $ 2,250.00
Revenue $ 2,678.57
Profit $ 428.57

Graph
Units Costs Revenue
0 1000 0
350 2750 3750
 X P(X) XP(X) (X - E(X))2P(X)
5 0.1 0.5 0.441
4 0.2 0.8 0.242
3 0.3 0.9 0.003
2 0.3 0.6 0.243
1 0.1 0.1 0.361
E(X) = XP(X) = 2.9 1.290 = Variance
1.136 = Standard deviation

To see the formulas, hold down the CTRL key and press the ` (Grave accent) key
ndard deviation

rave accent) key

The Binomial Distribution
X = random variable for number of successes
n= 5 number of trials
p= 0.5 probability of a succes
r= 4 specific number of successes

Cumulative probabiliP(X < r) = 0.96875

Probability of exactlyP(X = r) = ###
X is a normal random variable
with mean, , and standard deviation, .
= 100
= 20
x= 75
P(X < x) = 0.10565
P(X > x) = 0.89435
F Distribution with df1 and df2 degrees of freedom
To find F given
df1 = 5
df2 = 6
= 0.05
F-value = 4.39

To find the probability to the right of a calculated value, f

df1 = 5
df2 = 6
f= 4.2
P(F > f) = 0.0548
Exponential distribution - the random variable (X) is time
Average number per time period = = 3 per hour
t= 0.5000 hours
P(X < t) = 0.7769
P(X > t) = 0.2231
Poisson distribution - the random variable is the number of occurrences per time period
= 2
x P(X) P(X < x)
0 0.1353 0.1353
1 0.2707 0.4060
2 0.7293 0.6767
s per time period
Thompson Lumber
Decision Tables
Enter
Enter the
the profits
profits or
or costs in the main body of the data table. Enter probabilities in the first row
if
if you want to compute the
you want to compute the expected
expected value.
value.
Data Results
Favorable Unfavorable
Profit Market Market EMV Minimum Maximum Hurwicz
Probability 0.5 0.5 coefficient 0.8
Large Plant 200000 -180000 10000 -180000 200000 124000
Small plant 100000 -20000 40000 -20000 100000 76000
Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0
Maximum 40000 0 200000 124000

Expected Value of Perfect Information

Column best 200000 0 100000 <-Expected value under certainty
40000 <-Best expected value
60000 <-Expected value of perfect information

Regret
Favorable MUnfavorable Market Expected Maximum
Probability 0.5 0.5
Large Plant 0 180000 90000 180000
Small plant 100000 20000 60000 100000
Do nothing 200000 0 100000 200000
Minimum 60000 100000
Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example

Fill in cells B7, B8, and C7

Probability Revisions Given a Positive Survey

State
of Posterior
Nature P(Sur.PosPrior Prob. Joint Pro Probability
FM 0.7 0.5 0.35 0.78
UM 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.22
P(Sur.pos.) 0.45

Probability
State Revisions Given a Negative Survey
of Posterior
Nature P(Sur.PosPrior Prob. Joint Pro Probability
FM 0.3 0.5 0.15 0.27
UM 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.73
P(Sur.neg. 0.55
Triple A Construction C SUMMARY OUTPUT

Sales (Y)Payroll (X) Regression Statistics

6 3 Multiple 0.8333
8 4 R Square 0.6944
9 6 Adjusted 0.6181
5 4 Standard 1.3110
4.5 2 Observat 6
9.5 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regressi 1 15.6250 15.6250 9.0909 0.0394
Residual 4 6.8750 1.7188
Total 5 22.5

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat P-valueLower 95%
Intercept 2 1.7425 1.1477 0.3150 -2.8381
Payroll (X 1.25 0.4146 3.0151 0.0394 0.0989
gnificance F

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
6.8381 -2.8381 6.8381
2.4011 0.0989 2.4011
Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE SF AGE

95000 1926 30
119000 2069 40
124800 1720 30
135000 1396 15
142800 1706 32
145000 1847 38
159000 1950 27
165000 2323 30
182000 2285 26
183000 3752 35
200000 2300 18
211000 2525 17
215000 3800 40
219000 1740 12

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8197
R Square 0.6719
Adjusted R Squa 0.6122
Standard Error 24313
Observations 14

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 1.3E+010 ### 11.262 0.00217877
Residual 11 6.5E+009 ###
Total 13 2.0E+010

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept ### ### 5.7543 0.0001 90545.2073 ###
SF 43.819 10.2810 4.2622 0.0013 21.1911 66.4476
AGE -2899 796.5649 -3.6390 0.0039 -4651.9139 -1145.4586
Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
### ###
21.1911 66.4476
-4651.9139 -1145.4586
Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE SF AGE X3 (ExcX4 (Mint Condition

95000 1926 30 0 0 Good
119000 2069 40 1 0 Excellent
124800 1720 30 1 0 Excellent
135000 1396 15 0 0 Good
142800 1706 32 0 1 Mint
145000 1847 38 0 1 Mint
159000 1950 27 0 1 Mint
165000 2323 30 1 0 Excellent
182000 2285 26 0 1 Mint
183000 3752 35 0 0 Good
200000 2300 18 0 0 Good
211000 2525 17 0 0 Good
215000 3800 40 1 0 Excellent
219000 1740 12 0 1 Mint

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9476
R Square 0.8980
Adjusted R 0.8526
Standard Er ###
Observation 14

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 2E+010 4E+009 ### ###
Residual 9 2E+009 2E+008
Total 13 2E+010

Coefficients
Standard Errort Stat P-value Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept ### ### 6.981 0.000 ### ### ### ###
SF 56.43 6.95 8.122 0.000 40.71 72.14 40.71 72.14
AGE -3962.82 596.03 -6.649 0.000 ### ### ### ###
X3 (Exc.) 33162.65 ### 2.723 0.023 5610.43 ### 5610.43 ###
X4 (Mint) 47369.25 ### 4.448 0.002 ### ### ### ###
Upper 95.0%
Automobile Weight vs. MPG SUMMARY OUTPUT

MPG (Y) Weight (X1) Regression Statistics

12 4.58 Multiple R 0.86288
13 4.66 R Square 0.74456
15 4.02 Adjusted R 0.71902
18 2.53 Standard E 5.00757
19 3.09 Observatio 12
19 3.11
20 3.18 ANOVA
23 2.68 df SS MS F Significance F
24 2.65 Regression 1 730.909 730.909 29.14802 0.000302
33 1.70 Residual 10 250.7577 25.07577
36 1.95 Total 11 981.6667
42 1.92
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 47.6193 4.813151 9.89359 1.8E-006 36.89498 58.34371
Weight (X1 -8.24597 1.527345 -5.398891 0.000302 -11.64911 -4.842833
Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
36.89498 58.34371
-11.64911 -4.842833
Automobile Weight vs. MPG SUMMARY OUTPUT

MPG (Y) Weight (X1) WeightSq.(X2) Regression Statistics

12 4.58 20.98 Multiple R 0.9208
13 4.66 21.72 R Square 0.8478
15 4.02 16.16 Adjusted R 0.8140
18 2.53 6.40 Standard E 4.0745
19 3.09 9.55 Observatio 12
19 3.11 9.67
20 3.18 10.11 ANOVA
23 2.68 7.18 df SS MS F
24 2.65 7.02 Regression 2 832.2557 416.1278 25.0661
33 1.70 2.89 Residual 9 149.411 16.60122
36 1.95 3.80 Total 11 981.6667
42 1.92 3.69
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept 79.7888 13.5962 5.8685 0.0002
Weight (X1 -30.2224 8.9809 -3.3652 0.0083
WeightSq.( 3.4124 1.3811 2.4708 0.0355
Significance F
0.000209

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
49.0321 110.5454 49.0321 110.5454
-50.5386 -9.9062 -50.5386 -9.9062
0.2881 6.5367 0.2881 6.5367
Solved Problem 4-2

Advertising ($100) Y Sales X

11 5
6 3
10 7
6 2
12 8

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9014
R Square 0.8125
Adjusted R Square 0.7500
Standard Error 1.4142
Observations 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 26 26 13 0.036618
Residual 3 6 2
Total 4 32

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Intercept 4 1.5242 2.6244 0.0787 -0.8506 8.8506 -0.8506
Sales X 1 0.2774 3.6056 0.0366 0.1173 1.8827 0.1173
Upper 95.0%
8.8506
1.8827
Triple A Construction

Forecasting Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in in the
the
demand
demand column. column. IfIf this
this isis causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with
yy first
first and
and enter
enter aa new
new value
value ofof xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom in
in order
order toto forecast
forecast y.y.

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis

Period Demand (y) Period(x) Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
Period 1 6 3 5.75 0.25 0.25 0.0625 04.17%
Period 2 8 4 7 1 1 1 12.50%
Period 3 9 6 9.5 -0.5 0.5 0.25 05.56%
Period 4 5 4 7 -2 2 4 40.00%
Period 5 4.5 2 4.5 0 0 0 00.00%
Period 6 9.5 5 8.25 1.25 1.25 1.5625 13.16%
Total 0 5 6.875 75.38%
Intercept 2 Average 0 0.833333 1.145833 12.56%
Slope 1.25 Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 1.311011
Next period 10.75 7
Correlatio 0.833333
Wallace Garden Supply

Forecasting Weighted moving averages - 3 period moving average

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Enter
Enter weights
weights in
in
INCREASING
INCREASING order order from
from top
top to
to bottom.
bottom.

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis

Period Demand Weights Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
January 10 1
February 12 2
March 13 3
April 16 12.1667 3.8333 3.8333 14.6944 23.96%
May 19 14.3333 4.6667 4.6667 21.7778 24.56%
June 23 17 6 6 36 26.09%
July 26 20.5 5.5 5.5 30.25 21.15%
August 30 23.8333 6.1667 6.1667 38.0278 20.56%
September 28 27.5 0.5 0.5 0.25 01.79%
October 18 28.3333 -10.3333 10.3333 106.7778 57.41%
November 16 23.3333 -7.3333 7.3333 53.7778 45.83%
December 14 18.6667 -4.6667 4.6667 21.7778 33.33%
Total 4.3333 49.0000 323.3333 254.68%
Average 0.4815 5.4444 35.9259 28.30%
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 6.79636
Next period 15.3333333
Port of Baltimore

Forecasting Exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha (between
(between 00 and and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then enter
enter aa starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting
forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error analysis
analysis for
for all
all rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.

Alpha 0.1
Data Forecasts and Error Analysis
Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
Quarter 1 180 175 5 5 25 02.78%
Quarter 2 168 175.5 -7.5 7.5 56.25 04.46%
Quarter 3 159 174.75 -15.75 15.75 248.0625 09.91%
Quarter 4 175 173.175 1.825 1.825 3.330625 01.04%
Quarter 5 190 173.3575 16.6425 16.6425 276.9728 08.76%
Quarter 6 205 175.0218 29.97825 29.97825 898.6955 14.62%
Quarter 7 180 178.0196 1.980425 1.980425 3.922083 01.10%
Quarter 8 182 178.2176 3.782382 3.782382 14.30642 0.02078232
Total 35.95856 82.45856 1526.54 44.75%
Average 4.49482 10.30732 190.8175 05.59%
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 15.95065
Next period 178.595856
ast.
ast. IfIf the
the starting
starting
Midwestern Manufacturing

Forecasting Trend adjusted exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha andand beta
beta (between
(between 00 and and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then
enter
enter aa starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error
analysis
analysis for
for all
all rows
rows above
above the the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.
Alpha 0.3
Beta 0.4
Data Forecasts and Error Analysis
Forecast
Smoothed Including
Forecast, Smoothed Trend,
Period Demand Ft Trend, Tt FITt Error Absolute Squared
Period 1 74 74 74 0 0 0
Period 2 79 74 0 74 5 5 25
Period 3 80 75.5 0.6 76.1 4.5 4.5 20.25
Period 4 90 77.27 1.068 78.338 12.73 12.73 162.0529
Period 5 105 81.8366 2.46744 84.30404 23.1634 23.1634 536.5431
Period 6 142 90.51283 4.950955 95.46378 51.48717 51.4872 2650.929
Period 7 122 109.4246 10.5353 119.9599 12.57535 12.5754 158.1395
Next period 120.572 10.78011 131.3521
Total 109.4559 109.456 3552.914
Average 15.63656 15.6366 507.5592
Bias MAD MSE
SE 26.65676
Abs Pct
Err
00.00%
06.33%
05.63%
14.14%
22.06%
36.26%
0.103077

94.73%
13.53%
MAPE
Midwestern Manufacturing

Time (X) Demand (Y)

1 74
2 79
3 80
4 90
5 105
6 142
7 122

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.89491
R Square 0.800863
Adjusted R 0.761036
Standard E 12.43239
Observatio 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 3108.036 3108.036 20.10837 0.006493
Residual 5 772.8214 154.5643
Total 6 3880.857

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 56.71429 10.50729 5.397615 0.002948 29.70445 83.72412 29.70445 83.72412
Time (X) 10.53571 2.349501 4.484236 0.006493 4.496131 16.5753 4.496131 16.5753
Midwestern Manufacturing

Forecasting Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then
then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in in the
the demand
demand column.
column. IfIf this
this isis
causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with yy first
first and
and enter
enter aa new
new value
value of
of xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom
in
in order
order to to forecast
forecast y.
y.

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis

Period Demand (y) Period(x) Forecast Error Absolute Squared
Year 1 74 1 67.25 6.75 6.75 45.5625
Year 2 79 2 77.7857 1.2143 1.2143 1.4745
Year 3 80 3 88.3214 -8.3214 8.3214 69.2462
Year 4 90 4 98.8571 -8.8571 8.8571 78.4490
Year 5 105 5 109.3929 -4.3929 4.3929 19.2972
Year 6 142 6 119.9286 22.0714 22.0714 487.1480
Year 7 122 7 130.4643 -8.4643 8.4643 71.6441
Total -4.263256E-014 60.0714 772.8214
Intercept 56.7142857 Average -6.090366E-015 8.5816 110.4031
Slope 10.5357143 Bias MAD MSE
SE 12.43239
Next period 141 8
Correlatio 0.89491
Abs Pct Err
09.12%
01.54%
10.40%
09.84%
04.18%
15.54%
06.94%
57.57%
08.22%
MAPE
Turner Industries

Forecasting Multiplicative decomposition

Enter
Enter past
past demands
demands in
in the
the data
data area.
area. Do
Do not
not change
change the
the time
time
4 seasons period
period numbers!
numbers!

Data
Period Demand (y) Time (x) Average Ratio Seasonal Smoothed Unadjusted
Period 1 108 1 0.8491 127.1979 127.1187
Period 2 125 2 0.9626 129.8589 129.4621
Period 3 150 3 131 132.000 1.136 1.1315 132.5660 131.8056
Period 4 141 4 133 134.125 1.051 1.0571 133.3841 134.1490
Period 5 116 5 135.25 136.375 0.851 0.8491 136.6200 136.4924
Period 6 134 6 137.5 138.875 0.965 0.9626 139.2087 138.8359
Period 7 159 7 140.25 141.125 1.127 1.1315 140.5199 141.1793
Period 8 152 8 142 143.000 1.063 1.0571 143.7899 143.5227
Period 9 123 9 144 145.125 0.848 0.8491 144.8643 145.8662
Period 10 142 10 146.25 147.875 0.960 0.9626 147.5197 148.2096
Period 11 168 11 149.5 1.1315 148.4739 150.5530
Period 12 165 12 1.0571 156.0878 152.8965

Average Intercept 124.7753

Slope 2.3434

Ratios
Season 1 Season 2 Season 3 Season 4
1.1364 1.0513
0.8506 0.9649 1.1267 1.0629
0.8475 0.9603
Average 0.8491 0.9626 1.1315 1.0571

Forecasts
Period Unadjusted Seasonal Adjusted
13 155.240 0.849 131.810
14 157.583 0.963 151.687
15 159.927 1.132 180.959
16 162.270 1.057 171.535
 Forecasts and Error Analysis
Adjusted Error |Error| Error^2 Abs Pct Err
107.9327 0.0673 0.0673 0.0045 00.06%
124.6181 0.3819 0.3819 0.1458 00.31%
149.1396 0.8604 0.8604 0.7403 00.57%
141.8086 -0.8086 0.8086 0.6538 00.57%
115.8917 0.1083 0.1083 0.0117 00.09%
133.6411 0.3589 0.3589 0.1288 00.27%
159.7461 -0.7461 0.7461 0.5567 00.47%
151.7175 0.2825 0.2825 0.0798 00.19%
123.8507 -0.8507 0.8507 0.7236 00.69%
142.6641 -0.6641 0.6641 0.4410 00.47%
170.3526 -2.3526 2.3526 5.5346 01.40%
161.6265 3.3735 3.3735 11.3807 02.04%
Total 0.0107 10.8547 20.4014 07.14%
0.0009 0.9046 1.7001 00.59%
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 1.84397092
 Year Quarter Sales X1 Time Period X2 Qtr 2 X3 Qtr 3 X4 Qtr 4
1 1 108 1 0 0 0
2 125 2 1 0 0
3 150 3 0 1 0
4 141 4 0 0 1
2 1 116 5 0 0 0
2 134 6 1 0 0
3 159 7 0 1 0
4 152 8 0 0 1
3 1 123 9 0 0 0
2 142 10 1 0 0
3 168 11 0 1 0
4 165 12 0 0 1

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99718
R Square 0.99436
Adjusted R 0.99114
Standard E 1.83225
Observatio 12

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 4144.75 1036.1875 308.65159574 6.028417E-008
Residual 7 23.5 3.3571428571
Total 11 4168.25

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 104.104 1.3321935232 78.1449277837 1.47884E-011 100.954029555 107.2543038
X1 Time Pe 2.3125 0.1619496174 14.2791322223 1.96444E-006 1.9295500073 2.695449993
X2 Qtr 2 15.6875 1.5047667316 10.4252039004 1.62478E-005 12.1292920943 19.24570791
X3 Qtr 3 38.7083 1.530688065 25.2881917734 3.86047E-008 35.0888312142 42.32783545
X4 Qtr 4 30.0625 1.5729413038 19.1122834191 2.67261E-007 26.3430848477 33.78191515
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
100.954 107.2543
1.92955 2.69545
12.12929 19.24571
35.08883 42.32784
26.34308 33.78192
Sumco Pump Company
Inventory Economic Order Quantity Model
Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area
area

Data
Demand rate, D 1000
Setup cost, S 10
Holding cost, H 0.5 (fixed amount)
Unit Price, P 0
Inventory: Cost vs Quantity
Results
Optimal Order Quantity, Q* 200 12

Cost ($)
Maximum Inventory 200
Average Inventory 100 10 Setup cost
Number of Setups 5 8
Holding
6 cost
Holding cost $50.00
Setup cost $50.00 4 Total cost

Unit costs $0.00 2

Total cost, Tc $100.00 0
Order Quantity (Q)

COST TABLE Start at 25 Increment 15

Q Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost

25 400 6.25 406.25
40 250 10 260
55 181.8182 13.75 195.5682
70 142.8571 17.5 160.3571
85 117.6471 21.25 138.8971
100 100 25 125
115 86.95652 28.75 115.7065
130 76.92308 32.5 109.4231
145 68.96552 36.25 105.2155
160 62.5 40 102.5
175 57.14286 43.75 100.8929
190 52.63158 47.5 100.1316
205 48.78049 51.25 100.0305
220 45.45455 55 100.4545
235 42.55319 58.75 101.3032
250 40 62.5 102.5
265 37.73585 66.25 103.9858
280 35.71429 70 105.7143
295 33.89831 73.75 107.6483
310 32.25806 77.5 109.7581
325 30.76923 81.25 112.0192
340 29.41176 85 114.4118
355 28.16901 88.75 116.919
370 27.02703 92.5 119.527
Brown Manufacturing
Inventory Production Order Quantity Model
Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. You
You may
may have
have to
to do
do some
some work
work to
to enter
enter the
the daily
daily production
production rate.
rate.
Data
Demand rate, D 10000 Inventory: Cost vs Quantity
Setup cost, S 100
Holding cost, H 0.5 (fixed amount) 12

Cost ($)
Daily production rate, p 80
10
Daily demand rate, d 60
Unit price, P 0 Setup cost
8
Holding
cost
Results 6
Total cos t
Optimal production quantity, Q* 4000 4
Maximum Inventory 1000
Average Inventory 500 2
Number of Setups 2.5
0
Holding cost 250 Order Quantity (Q)
Setup cost 250

Unit costs 0

Total cost, Tc 500

COST TABLE Start at 1000 Increment 333.3333

Q Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost

1000 1000 62.5 1062.5
1333.333 750 83.33333 833.3333
1666.667 600 104.1667 704.1667
2000 500 125 625
2333.333 428.5714 145.8333 574.4048
2666.667 375 166.6667 541.6667
3000 333.3333 187.5 520.8333
3333.333 300 208.3333 508.3333
3666.667 272.7273 229.1667 501.8939
4000 250 250 500
4333.333 230.7692 270.8333 501.6026
4666.667 214.2857 291.6667 505.9524
5000 200 312.5 512.5
5333.333 187.5 333.3333 520.8333
5666.667 176.4706 354.1667 530.6373
6000 166.6667 375 541.6667
6333.333 157.8947 395.8333 553.7281
6666.667 150 416.6667 566.6667
7000 142.8571 437.5 580.3571
7333.333 136.3636 458.3333 594.697
7666.667 130.4348 479.1667 609.6014
8000 125 500 625
8333.333 120 520.8333 640.8333
8666.667 115.3846 541.6667 657.0513
ction rate.

s Quantity

Setup cost
Holding
cost
Total cos t
Brass Department Store
Inventory Quantity Discount Model

Data
Demand rate, D 5000
Setup cost, S 49
Holding cost %, I 20%

Range 1 Range 2 Range 3

Minimum quantity 0 1000 2000
Unit Price, P 5 4.8 4.75

Results
Range 1 Range 2 Range 3
Q* (Square root formula) 700 714.4345083118 718.18484646
Order Quantity 700 1000 2000

Holding cost $350.00 $480.00 $950.00

Setup cost $350.00 $245.00 $122.50

Unit costs $25,000.00 $24,000.00 $23,750.00

Total cost, Tc $25,700.00 $24,725.00 $24,822.50 minimum

Optimal Order Quantity 1000
=

$24,725.00
 6.4

Inventory Safety stock - Normal distribution

Select aa model and then
then enter the data inshaded
the
the shaded area. The
The model onbottom
the
the bottom left
left represents
SelectSelect
Select aa model
model model
and andenter
and then
then enter enter
the
the datathein
data data
in thein
the shadedshaded
area. area.
area. The
The model
model model
on theon
on the bottom bottom
left represents
left represents
represents the
the 33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models
the
the 33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models

Model: Demand during leadtime and its standard deviation given Model: Daily demand and its standard deviation are given

Data Data
Average demand during lead time, 350 Average daily demand 15
Standard deviation of dLT 10 Standard deviation of daily demand, d 3
Service level (% of demand met) 95.00% Lead time days 4
Service level (% of demand met) 97.00%

Results Results
Z-value 1.64 Z-value 1.88
Safety stock 16.45 Average demand during lead time 60
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, 6.00
Safety stock 11.28
Reorder Point 71.28

Models: Either daily demand, lead time or both are variable

Data
Average daily demand 25
Standard deviation of daily demand 0 Enter 0 if demand is constant
Average lead time (in days) 6
Standard deviation of lead time, LT 3 Enter 0 if lead time is constant
Service level (% of demand met) 98.00%

Results
Z-value 2.05
Average demand during lead time 150
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, dLT 75.00
Safety stock 154.03
Reorder point 304.03

354824561.xls
Flair Furniture

Variables T (Tables)C (Chairs)

Units Produced 30 40 Profit
Objective functi 70 50 4100

Constraints LHS (Hours used) RHS

Carpentry 4 3 240 < 240
Painting 2 1 100 < 100
Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch

Variables Brand 1Brand 2

Units Produced 8.4 4.8 Cost
Objective functi 2 3 31.2

Constraints LHS (Amt. of Ing.) RHS

Ingredient A 5 10 90 > 90
Ingredient B 4 3 48 > 48
Ingredient C 0.5 0 4.2 > 1.5
High Note Sound Company

Variables CD PlayerReceivers
Units Produced 0 20 Profit
Objective functi 50 120 2400

Constraints LHS (Hrs. Used) RHS

Electrician Hour 2 4 80 < ###
Audio Tech Hour 3 1 20 < ###
 7.7
Enter
Enter the
the values
values inin the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATabTab on on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis
Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.
Linear Programming

Signs
< less than or equal to
= equals (You need to enter an apostrophe first.)
> greater than or equal to

Data Results
x1 x2 LHS Slack/Surplus
Objective 70 50 sign RHS 4100
Constraint 1 4 3 < 240 240 0
Constraint 2 2 1 < 100 100 0

Results
Variables 30 40
Objective 4100

Page 54
 A B C D E
1 Win Big Gambling Club
2 Radio Radio
3 TV er 30 sec. 1 min.
4 Variables X1 X2 X3 X4
5 Solution
Audience per 1.9688 5 6.2069 0
6 ad 5000 8500 2400 2800
7
8 Constraints
9 Max. TV 1
10 Newspaper 1
11 radio 1
12 radio 1
13 Cost 800 925 290 380
14 Radio dollars 290 380
15 Radio spots 1 1
 F G H
1
2
3
4
5 Total Audience
6 67240.3017
7
8 LHS RHS
9 1.9688 < 12
10 5 < 5
11 6.2069 < 25
12 0 < 20
13 8000 < 8000
14 1800 < 1800
15 6.2069 > 5
 A B C D E F G H I J
1 Management Science Associates
2
3 Variable X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6
4 Solution 0 600 140 1000 0 560Total Cost
5 Min. Cost 7.5 6.8 5.5 6.9 7.25 6.1 15166
6
7 Constraints LHS RHS
8 Total Househo 1 1 1 1 1 1 2300 > 2,300
9 30 and Younge 1 0 0 1 0 0 1000 > 1,000
10 31-50 0 1 0 0 1 0 600 > 600
11 Border States 0.85 0.85 0.85 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 395 > 0
12 51+ Border St 0 0 0.8 0 0 -0.2 0 < 0
 A B C D E F G
1 Fifth Avenue Industries
2 All All
3 silk poly. Blend 1 Blend 2
4 Variables X1 X2 X3 X4
5 Values 5112 14000 16000 8500 Total Profit
6 Profit 16.24 8.22 8.77 8.66 412028.88
7
8 Constraints LHS
9 Silk available 0.125 0.066 1200 <
10 available 0.08 0.05 1920 <
11 available 0.05 0.044 1174 <
12 Maximum silk 1 5112 <
13 polyester 1 14000 <
14 1 1 16000 <
15 2 1 8500 <
16 Minimum silk 1 5112 >
17 polyester 1 14000 >
18 1
Minimum blend 1 16000 >
19 2 1 8500 >
20
21
22
23 Calculations to determine the profit per tie.
Polyes
24
Silk ter Blend 1 Blend 1
25 Selling Price per ti 19.24 8.7 9.52 10.64 Cost of material per yard
Yards of silk used
26
in tie 0.125 0 0 0.066 24
Yards of polyester
27
used in tie 0 0.08 0.05 0 6
Yards of cotton
28
used in tie 0 0 0.05 0.044 9
29 Material cost per t 3 0.48 0.75 1.98
30 Profit per tie 16.24 8.22 8.77 8.66
 H I J K
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 RHS Slack/Surplus
9 1200 0
10 3000 1080
11 1600 426
12 7000 1888
13 14000 0
14 16000 0
15 8500 0
16 5000 112
17 10000 4000
18 13000 3000
19 5000 3500
20
21
22
23

24

f material25per yard
26

27

28

29
30
 A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
1 Greenberg Motors
2
3 Variable A1 A2 A3 A4 B1 B2 B3 B4 IA1 IA2 IA3 IA4 IB1 IB2 IB3 IB4
4 Solution ### 223.1 ### 792.3 ### ### 77.8 ### ### 0 ### 450 0 ### 0 300
5 Min. Cost 20 20 22 22 15 15 16.5 16.5 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
6
7 Demand Constraints
8 Jan. GM3A 1 -1
9 Feb. GM3A 1 1 -1
10 Mar. GM3A 1 1 -1
11 Apr. GM3A 1 1 -1
12 Jan. GM3B 1 -1
13 Feb. GM3B 1 1 -1
14 Mar. GM3B 1 1 -1
15 Apr. GM3B 1 1 -1
16 Inv.GM3A Apr. 1
17 Inv.GM3B Apr. 1
18 Labor Hour Constraints
19 Hrs Min. Jan. 1.3 0.9
20 Hrs Min. Feb. 1.3 0.9
21 Hrs Min. Mar. 1.3 0.9
22 Hrs Min. Apr. 1.3 0.9
23 Hrs Max. Jan. 1.3 0.9
24 Hrs Max. Feb. 1.3 0.9
25 Hrs Max.Mar. 1.3 0.9
26 Hrs Max. Apr. 1.3 0.9
27 Storage Constraints
28 Jan. Inv. Limit 1 1
29 Feb. Inv. Limit 1 1
30 Mar. Inv. Limit 1 1
31 Apr. Inv. Limit 1 1
32
 A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
33
34 Jan Feb Mar Apr
35 GM3A Units ### 223.1 ### 792.3
36 GMBA Units ### ### 77.8 ###
37 GM3A Inven 476.9 0.0 757.7 450.0
38 GM3B Inven 0.0 ### 0.0 300.0
39 Labor Hours ### ### ### ###
 R S T U V W
1
2
3
4 Total Cost
5 ###
6
7 LHS SignRHS
8 800 = 800
9 700 = 700
10 1000 = ###
11 1100 = ###
12 1000 = ###
13 1200 = ###
14 1400 = ###
15 1400 = ###
16 450 = 450
17 300 = 300
18 Slack/Surplus
19 2560 > ### 320
20 2560 > ### 320
21 2355 > ### 115
22 2560 > ### 320
23 2560 < ### 0
24 2560 < ### 0
25 2355 < ### 205
26 2560 < ### 0
27
28 476.92 < ###
29 1322.22 < ###
30 757.69 < ###
31 750 < ###
32
 R S T U V W
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
 A B C D E F G H I J
1 Labor Planning Example
2
3
4 Variables F P1 P2 P3 P4 P5
5 Values 10 0 7 2 5 0 Total Cost
6 Cost 100 32 32 32 32 32 1448
7
8 Constraints LHS Sign RHS
9 9 a.m. - 10 a 1 1 10 > 10
10 10 a.m. - 11 1 1 1 17 > 12
11 11 a.m. - noo 0.5 1 1 1 14 > 14
12 noon - 1 p.m. 0.5 1 1 1 1 19 > 16
13 1 p.m. - 2 p.m 1 1 1 1 1 24 > 18
14 2 p.m. - 3 p.m 1 1 1 1 17 > 17
15 3 p.m. - 4 p.m 1 1 1 15 > 15
16 4 p.m. - 5 p.m 1 1 10 > 10
17 Max. Full tim 1 10 < 12
18 Total PT hours 4 4 4 4 4 56 < 56
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
 K L M N O
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 Slack/Surplus
9 0
10 5
11 0
12 3
13 6
14 0
15 0
16 0
17 2
18 0
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
 A B C D E F G H
1 ICT Portfolio Selection
2
3 Variable X1 X2 X3 X4
4 Solution 750000 950000 2E+006 2E+006Total Return
5 Max. Return 0.07 0.11 0.19 0.15 712000
6
7 LHS RHS
8 Trade 1 750000 < ###
9 Bonds 1 950000 < ###
10 Gold 1 1500000 < ###
11 Construction 1 1800000 < ###
12 Min. Gold+Con -0.55 -0.55 0.45 0.45 550000 > 0
13 Min. Trade 0.85 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 0 > 0
14 Total Investe 1 1 1 1 5000000 < 5000000
Goodman Shipping

Variables X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6
Values 0.333 1 0 0 0 0 Total Value
Load Value 22500 24000 8000 9500 11500 9750 31500

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Total weigh 7500 7500 3000 3500 4000 3500 10000 < 10000
% Item 1 1 0.333333 < 1
% Item 2 1 1 < 1
% Item 3 1 0 < 1
% Item 4 1 0 < 1
% Item 5 1 0 < 1
% Item 6 1 0 < 1
 A B C D E F G H
1 Whole Foods Nutrition Problem
2
3 Grain AGrain BGrain C
4 Variable Xa Xb Xc
5 Solution 0.025 0.05 0.05 Total Cost
6 Minimize 0.33 0.47 0.38 0.05075
7
8 Constraints LHS Sign RHS
9 Protein 22 28 21 3 > 3
10 Riboflavin 16 14 25 2.35 > 2
11 Phosphoru 8 7 9 1 > 1
12 Magnesiu 5 0 6 0.425 > 0.425
13 Total Weig 1 1 1 0.125 = 0.125
 I J
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 Slack/Surplus
9 0
10 0.35
11 0
12 0
13 0
Low Knock Oil Company

X100 ReX100 EcoX220 ReX220 Econ

Variable X1 X2 X3 X4
Solution 15000 26666.67 10000 5333.33 Total Cost
Cost 30 30 34.8 34.8 1783600

Constraints LHS Sign

Demand Regula 1 1 25000 >
Demand Economy 1 1 32000 >
Ing. A in Regul -0.1 0.15 0 >
Ing. B in Economy 0.05 -0.25 0 <
 RHS Slack/Surplus
25000 0
32000 0
0 0
0 0
Top Speed Bicycle Company
N.O. to N.O. to N.O. to Omaha to Omaha to Omaha to
NY Chicago LA NY Chicago LA
Variables X11 X12 X13 X21 X22 X23
Values 10000 0 8000 0 8000 7000 Total Cost
Cost 2 3 5 3 1 4 96000

Constraints LHS
NY Demand 1 1 10000
Chi. Demand 1 1 8000
LA Demand 1 1 15000
N.O. Supply 1 1 1 18000
Omaha Supply 1 1 1 15000
otal Cost

Sign RHS
= 10000
= 8000
= 15000
< 20000
< 15000
 Shipping Cost Per Unit
From\ToAlbuquerque Boston Cleveland
Des Moines 5 4 3
Evansville 8 4 3
Fort Lauderdal 9 7 5

Solution - Number of units shipped

Albuquerque Boston Cleveland
Total shipped
Supply
Des Moines 100 0 0 100 100
Evansville 0 200 100 300 300
Fort Lauderdal 200 0 100 300 300
Total receive 300 200 200
Demand 300 200 200

Total cost = 3900

 Cost for Assignments
erson\Project Project 1 Project 2 Project 3
Adams 11 14 6
Brown 8 10 11
Cooper 9 12 7

Made
Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Total pSupply
Adams 0 0 1 1 1
Brown 0 1 0 1 1
Cooper 1 0 0 1 1
Total assigne 1 1 1
Total workers 1 1 1

Total cost = 25
Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem

Shipping Cost Per Unit

From\To Chicago Buffalo NYC Phil. St.Louis
Toronto 4 7
Detroit 5 7
Chicago 6 4 5
Buffalo 2 3 4

Solution - Number of units shipped

Chicago Buffalo NYC Phil. St.Louis
Total shipped
Supply
Toronto 650 150 800 800
Detroit 0 300 300 700
Chicago 0 350 300 650
Buffalo 450 0 0 450
Total receiv 650 450 450 350 300
Demand 450 350 300

Total cost = 9550

 9.4

Birmingham

Transportation

Enter
Enter the
the transportation
transportation data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then gogo to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
Data
Analysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Data
COSTS Dest 1 Dest 2 Dest 3 Dest 4 Supply
Origin 1 73 103 88 108 15000
Origin 2 85 80 100 90 6000
Origin 3 88 97 78 118 14000
Origin 4 84 79 90 99 11000
Demand 10000 12000 15000 9000 46000 \ 46000

Shipments
Shipments Dest 1 Dest 2 Dest 3 Dest 4 Row Total
Origin 1 10000 0 1000 4000 15000
Origin 2 0 1000 0 5000 6000
Origin 3 0 0 14000 0 14000
Origin 4 0 11000 0 0 11000
Column Total 10000 12000 15000 9000 46000 \ 46000

Total Cost 3741000

Page 77
 9.4

Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
Data

Page 78
 9.5

A B C D E F G
1 Fix-It Shop Assignment
2
3 Assignment
4
5 Enter
Enter the
the assignment
assignment costs
costs in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATabTab onon the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on
Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis Group
Group and and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
6 IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data TabTab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.
7
8 Data
9 COSTS Project 1 Project 2 Project 3
10 Adams 11 14 6
11 Brown 8 10 11
12 Cooper 9 12 7
13
14 Assignments
15 Shipments Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Row Total
16 Adams 1 1
17 Brown 1 1
18 Cooper 1 1
19 Column Total 1 1 1 3
20
21 Total Cost 25
22

Page 79
Harrison Electric Integer Programming Analysis
Chandeliers Fans
Variables X1 X2
Values 5 0 Total Profit
Profit 7 6 35

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Wiring hours 2 3 10 < 12
Assembly hours 6 5 30 < 30
Bagwell Chemical Company
Xyline (bags)Hexall (lbs)
Variables X Y
Values 44 20 Total Profit
Profit 85 1.5 3770

Constraints LHS sign RHS

Ingredient A 30 0.5 1330 < 2000
Ingredient B 18 0.4 800 < 800
Ingredient C 2 0.1 90 < 200
Quemo Chemical Company
Catalytic Conv. Software Warehouse Expan.
Variables X1 X2 X3
Values 1 0 1 NPV
Net Present Val 25000 18000 32000 57000

Constraints LHS
Year 1 8000 6000 12000 20000
Year 2 7000 4000 8000 15000
sign RHS
< 20000
< 16000
 Sitka Manufacturing Company
Baytown Lake Charles Mobile Baytown units
Variables X1 X2 X3 X4
Values 0 1 1 0
Cost 340000 270000 290000 32

Constraints
Minimum capacity 1
Maximum in Baytown -21000 1
Maximum in L. C. -20000
Maximum in Mobile -19000
L. Charles units
Mobile units
X5 X6
19000 19000 Cost
33 30 1757000

LHS Sign RHS

1 1 38000 > 38000
0 < 0
1 -1000 < 0
1 0 < 0
`
 Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg

Variables X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7
Values 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 Return
Return ($1,000s) 50 80 90 120 110 40 75 360
Constraints LHS Sign
Texas 1 1 1 2 >
Foreigh Oil 1 1 1 <
California 1 1 1 =
$3 Million 480 540 680 1000 700 510 900 2890 <
RHS
2
1
1
3000
 Great Western Appliance
MicroSelf-Clean
Variables X1 X2
Values 0 1000

Terms X1 X2 X22
Calculated Values 0 1000 ### Profit
Profit 28 21 0.25 271000

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Capacity 1 1 1000 < 1000
Hours Available 0.5 0.4 400 < 500
 Hospicare Corp

Variables X1 X2
Values ### ###

Terms X1 X12 X1*X2 X2 X23 1/X2

Calculated Values### ### ### ### ### ### Total Profit
Profit 13 0 6 5 1 ###

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Nursing 2 4 90.00 < 90
X-Ray 1 1 75.00 < 75
Budget 8 -2 40.33 < 61
Thermlock Gaskets

Variables X1 X2
Values 3.325 14.672 Total Cost
Cost 5 7 119.333

X1 X12 X13 X2 X22

Value 3.325 11.058 36.771 14.672 215.276
Constraints LHS Sign
Hardness 3 0.25 4 0.3 ### >
Tensile Stre 13 1 80 >
Elasticity 0.7 1 17 >
RHS
125
80
17
Solved Problem 10-1

Variables X1 X2 X3
Values 1 1 0 Total
Maximize 50 45 48 95

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Constraint 1 19 27 34 46 < 80
Constraint 2 22 13 12 35 < 40
Constraint 3 1 1 1 2 < 2
Constraint 4 1 -1 0 0 < 0
Forecasting - Exponential Smoothing

= 0.3478 Ft+1 = Ft + (Yt-Ft)

Time Period (t)Demand (Yt) Forecast (Ft) Error = Yt - F |error|
1 110 110 0 -
2 156 110 46.000 46.000
3 126 125.999999781 0.000 0.000
4 138 125.9999998571 12.000 12.000
5 124 130.1739128932 -6.174 6.174
6 125 128.0264649597 -3.026 3.026
7 160 126.9737815099 33.026 33.026
8 138.461161697 MAD= 16.704

F1 is assumed to be a perfect forecast.

MAD is based on time periods 2 through 7

`
General Foundry

Project Management Precedences; 3 time estimates

Enter
Enter the
the times
times in
in the
the appropriate
appropriate column(s).
column(s). Enter
Enter the
the precedences,
precedences, one
one per
per column.
column. (Do
(Do not
not try
try to
to Gantt Chart
use
use commas).
commas).
Data A
Activity Optimistic Likely Pessimistic Mean Std dev Variance
B
A 1 2 3 2 0.333333 0.111111
B 2 3 4 3 0.333333 C 0.111111
C 1 2 3 2 0.333333 0.111111
D 2 4 6 4 0.666667 D0.444444
E 1 4 7 4 1 E 1
F 1 2 9 3 1.333333 1.777778
G 3 4 11 5 1.333333 F1.777778
H 1 2 3 2 0.333333 G 0.111111
Precedences Immediate Predecessors (1 per column)
Activity Time Pred 1 Pred 2 H
A 2
0 2 4 6 8 10
B 3
C 2 A
D 4 B Slack NoncriticalTime
Activity Criti
E 4 C
F 3 C
G 5 D E
H 2 F G

Results
Early Early Late Late
Activity Start Finish Start Finish Slack Variance
A 0 2 0 2 0 0.111111
B 0 3 12 15 12
C 2 4 2 4 0 0.111111
D 0 4 4 8 4
E 4 8 4 8 0 1
F 4 7 10 13 6
G 8 13 8 13 0 1.777778
H 13 15 13 15 0 0.111111
Project 15 Project 3.111111
Std.dev 1.763834
Early start computations
A 0 0
B 0 0
C 2 0
D 0 0
E 4 0
F 4 0
G 4 8
H 7 13

Late finish computations

A B C D E F G H
A 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
B 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
C 2 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
D 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
E 15 15 4 15 15 15 15 15
F 15 15 10 15 15 15 15 15
G 15 15 15 8 8 15 15 15
H 15 15 15 15 15 13 13 15
2 15 4 8 8 13 13 15

Graph Critical Act Noncritical Slack 9 Graph Critical Acti Noncritical

A 0 2 0 0 8 H 13 2 0
B 0 0 3 12 7 G 8 5 0
C 2 2 0 0 6 F 4 0 3
D 0 0 4 4 5 E 4 4 0
E 4 4 0 0 4 D 0 0 4
F 4 0 3 6 3 C 2 2 0
G 8 5 0 0 2 B 0 0 3
H 13 2 0 0 1 A 0 2 0
 Gantt Chart

6 8 10 12 14 16

NoncriticalTime
Activity Critical Activity
Slack
0
0
6
0
4
0
12
0
 Crashing

A B C D E F G H I J K L M
3 Project Management Crashing
4 Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab onon the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
5 IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not onon the
the Data
DataTab
Tab then
then please
please seesee the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.
6 Results
7 Data Normal time 15 Minimum crash cost to meet project goal $ 5,000.00
8 Project goal 12 Minimum time 7 Project time 12
9
10 Immediate Predecessors (1 per column) Intermediate
Crash Computations
Normal Normal Crash Crash Crash cost/da
11
Activity Time Cost Time Cost Pred 1 Pred 2 Pred 3 Pred 4 days y Crash limit
12 A 2 ### 1 $23,000 0 1000 1
13 B 3 ### 1 $34,000 0 2000 2
14 C 2 ### 1 $27,000 A 0 1000 1
15 D 4 ### 3 $49,000 B 0 1000 1
16 E 4 ### 2 $58,000 C 1 1000 2
17 F 3 ### 2 $30,500 C 0 500 1
18 G 5 ### 2 $86,000 D E 2 2000 3
19 H 2 ### 1 $19,000 F G 0 3000 1
20 0 0 0

354824561.xls
 Crashing

N
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Computations
10

11

12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20

354824561.xls
Crashing General Foundry Problem
YA YB YC YD YE YF YG YH XST XA XB XC XD XE XF XG
Values 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 3 7 7 6 10
Minimize cost 1000 2000 1000 1000 1000 500 2000 3000
A crash max. 1
B crash max. 1
C crash max. 1
D crash max. 1
E crash max. 1
F crash max. 1
G crash max. 1
H crash max. 1
Due date
Start 1
A constraint 1 -1 1
B constraint 1 -1 1
C constraint 1 -1 1
D constraint 1 -1 1
E constraint 1 -1 1
F constraint 1 -1 1
G constraint 1 1 -1 1
G constraint 2 1 -1 1
H constraint 1 1 -1
H constraint 2 1 -1
Finish constraint
XH XFIN
12 12 Totals
5000
0 < 1
0 < 2
1 < 1
0 < 1
0 < 2
0 < 1
2 < 3
0 < 1
1 12 < 12
0 = 0
2 > 2
3 > 3
2 > 2
4 > 4
4 > 4
3 > 3
5 > 5
5 > 5
1 6 > 2
1 2 > 2
-1 1 0 > 0
Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines M/M/1 (Single Server Model)

The
The
The arrival
arrival RATE
Thearrival
arrival RATEand
RATE
RATE and
and
and service
service
service
service RATE
RATE RATE
RATEboth must
must be
bothboth
both be rates
must
must be
be
rates and use
rates the
the same
useand
rates
and and use time
use the
same unit.
unit. Given
timesame
the same timeaaunit.
time
Given time
time Given
unit. Given aa
such
time
time as
as 10
suchsuch
such minutes,
10as 10
minutes,
as convert
convert itconvert
10 minutes,
minutes, it to
to aa rate
convert itsuch
rateit to aaas
to
such 66 per
rate
as
rate hour.
such
per as
as 66 per
hour.
such per hour.
hour.
Data Results
Arrival rate () 2 Average server utilization() 0.66667
Service rate () 3 Average number of customers in the queue(L
1.33333
Average number of customers in the system(L 2
Average waiting time in the queue(Wq 0.66667
Average time in the system(Ws) 1
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P
0.33333

Probabilities e
Probabi Probabilit
Number lity y
0 ### 0.333333
1 ### 0.555556
2 ### 0.703704
3 ### 0.802469
4 ### 0.868313
5 ### 0.912209
6 ### 0.941472
7 ### 0.960982
8 ### 0.973988
9 ### 0.982658
10 ### 0.988439
11 ### 0.992293
12 ### 0.994862
13 ### 0.996575
14 ### 0.997716
15 ### 0.998478
16 ### 0.998985
17 ### 0.999323
18 ### 0.999549
19 ### 0.999699
20 ### 0.999800
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Waiting Lines M/M/s
The
The arrival
arrival RATE
RATE and
and service
service RATE
RATE both
both must
must be
be rates
rates and
and use
use the
the same
same time
time unit.
unit. Given
Given
aa time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.
time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.
Data Results
Arrival rate () 2 Average server utilization() 0.33333
Service rate () 3 Average number of customers in the queue(L q) 0.08333
Number of servers(s) 2 Average number of customers in the system(L) 0.75
Average waiting time in the queue(W q) 0.04167
Average time in the system(W) 0.375
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P 0) 0.5
Probabilities
Number Probability Cumulative Probability
0 0.500000 0.500000
1 0.333333 0.833333
2 0.111111 0.944444
3 0.037037 0.981481
4 0.012346 0.993827
5 0.004115 0.997942
6 0.001372 0.999314
7 0.000457 0.999771
8 0.000152 0.999924
9 0.000051 0.999975
10 0.000017 0.999992
11 0.000006 0.999997
12 0.000002 0.999999
13 0.000001 1.000000
14 0.000000 1.000000
15 0.000000 1.000000
16 0.000000 1.000000
17 0.000000 1.000000
18 0.000000 1.000000
19 0.000000 1.000000
20 0.000000 1.000000

Computations
n or s (lam/mu)^nCumsum(n-term2 P0(s)
0 1
1 0.666667 1 2 0.33333
2 0.222222 1.666667 0.3333333333 0.5
3 0.049383 1.888889 0.0634920635 0.5122
4 0.00823 1.938272 0.0098765432 0.51331
5 0.001097 1.946502 0.0012662235 0.51341
6 0.000122 1.947599 0.0001371742 0.51342
7 1.2E-005 1.947721 0.000012835 0.51342
8 9.7E-007 1.947733 1.05569378546059E-006 0.51342
9 7.2E-008 1.947734 7.74175442671098E-008 0.51342
10 4.8E-009 1.947734 5.12020795417393E-009 0.51342
11 2.9E-010 1.947734 3.08313597240581E-010 0.51342
12 1.6E-011 1.947734 1.70369367459144E-011 0.51342
13 8.3E-013 1.947734 8.69753527569206E-013 0.51342
14 3.9E-014 1.947734 4.12575391282828E-014 0.51342
15 1.7E-015 1.947734 1.82757648408783E-015 0.51342
16 7.3E-017 1.947734 7.59282983727312E-017 0.51342
17 2.9E-018 1.947734 2.96998446015785E-018 0.51342
18 1.1E-019 1.947734 1.09750556974159E-019 0.51342
19 3.7E-021 1.947734 3.84311714656988E-021 0.51342
20 1.2E-022 1.947734 1.27871411410371E-022 0.51342
21 3.9E-024 1.947734 4.05275511573853E-024 0.51342
22 1.2E-025 1.947734 1.22628006974231E-025 0.51342
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Rho(s) Lq(s) L(s) Wq(s) W(S)

0.666667 1.333333 2 0.666667 1

0.333333 0.083333 0.75 0.041667 0.375
0.222222 0.009292 0.675958 0.004646 0.337979
0.166667 0.001014 0.667681 0.000507 0.33384
0.133333 0.0001 0.666767 5.0E-005 0.333383
0.111111 8.8E-006 0.666675 4.4E-006 0.333338
0.095238 6.9E-007 0.666667 3.5E-007 0.333334
0.083333 4.9E-008 0.666667 2.5E-008 0.333333
0.074074 3.2E-009 0.666667 1.6E-009 0.333333
0.066667 1.9E-010 0.666667 9.4E-011 0.333333
0.060606 1.0E-011 0.666667 5.1E-012 0.333333
0.055556 5.1E-013 0.666667 2.6E-013 0.333333
0.051282 2.4E-014 0.666667 1.2E-014 0.333333
0.047619 1.1E-015 0.666667 5.3E-016 0.333333
0.044444 4.4E-017 0.666667 2.2E-017 0.333333
0.041667 1.7E-018 0.666667 8.5E-019 0.333333
0.039216 6.2E-020 0.666667 3.1E-020 0.333333
0.037037 2.2E-021 0.666667 1.1E-021 0.333333
0.035088 7.2E-023 0.666667 3.6E-023 0.333333
0.033333 2.3E-024 0.666667 1.1E-024 0.333333
0.031746 6.8E-026 0.666667 3.4E-026 0.333333
0.030303 2.0E-027 0.666667 9.8E-028 0.333333
Garcia-Golding Recycling

Waiting Lines M/D/1 (Constant Service Times)

The
Thearrival
The
The arrival
arrival RATE
arrival RATE
RATE and
RATEand
and
and service
service
service
service RATE
RATE RATE
RATE bothboth
both must
both must
must be
must be
be ratesbe
rates rates
and useand
use
rates
and the use
use the
the same
and same timesame
time
the unit. time
timeaaunit.
unit. Given
same Given time Given
time
unit. Given
aasuch
timeas
such 10
such
as 10 minutes, convert
convert itit to
as 10 minutes,
minutes, to aa rate
convertrate such
it toas
such a 6rate
as 6 per hour.
persuch
hour. as 6 per hour.
Data Results
Arrival rate () 8 Average server utilization() 0.667
Service rate () 12 Average number of customers in the queue(L
0.667
Average number of customers in the system(L
1.333
Average waiting time in the queue(W
0.083
Average time in the system(Ws) 0.167
Probability (% of time) system is empty
0.333(P
Department of Commerce

Waiting Lines M/M/s with a finite population

The
The
The
The arrival
arrival
arrival rate
rate
rate
arrival rateisisis
is for
for
for each
each
each
for each member
member
member
memberofof
of thethe
the
of population.
population.
population.
the IfIfIfthey
population. they
Ifthey go
go
they go
go for
for
for service
service
service
for service every
every
every
every 20
20
20 minutes
minutes
minutes
20 then
minutesthen enter
enter 33 (per
(per
then
then enter
hour).
hour). enter 33 (per
(per hour).
hour).
Data Results
Arrival rate () per
customer 0.05 Average server utilization() 0.436
Service rate () 0.5 Average number of customers in the queue(L
0.2035
Number of servers 1 Average number of customers in the system(L
0.6395
Population size (N) 5 Average waiting time in the queue(W
0.9333
Average time in the system(Ws) 2.9333
Probability (% of time) system is empty
0.564(P
Effective arrival rate 0.218

Probabilities
Probability, Cumulative Arrival
Number, n P(n) Probability Number waiting rate(n)
0 0.5639522 0.56395218 0 0.25
1 0.2819761 0.84592827 0 0.2
2 0.1127904 0.9587187 1 0.15
3 0.0338371 0.99255583 2 0.1
4 0.0067674 0.99932326 3 0.05
5 0.0006767 1 4 0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
 1.7732
Sum term Sum term Decum
Term 1 1 Term 2 2 term 2 P0(s)
1 1 1 1 0.7732
0.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.2732 0.563952
0.2 1.7 0.0732
0.06 1.76 0.0132
0.012 1.772 0.0012
0.0012 1.7732 0
Harry's Tire Shop NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the bo
Probability
Range Cumulative Tires Random Simulated
Probability (Lower) Probability Demand Day Number Demand
0.05 0 0.05 0 1 0.494133 3
0.1 0.05 0.15 1 2 0.812661 4
0.2 0.15 0.35 2 3 0.39347 3
0.3 0.35 0.65 3 4 0.250493 2
0.2 0.65 0.85 4 5 0.522859 3
0.15 0.85 1 5 6 0.804192 4
7 0.474221 3
8 0.911891 5
9 0.017361 0
10 0.182548 2
Average 2.9
Results (Frequency table)
Tires
Demanded Frequency Percentage Cum %
0 1 10% 10%
1 0 0% 10%
2 2 20% 30%
3 4 40% 70%
4 2 20% 90%
5 1 10% 100%
10
same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.
Generating Normal Random Numbers NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the

Random number Value Frenquency Percentage

36.1662983605 26 0 0.0%
47.7912737665 28 2 1.0%
48.350773977 30 2 1.0%
35.8095880895 32 10 5.0%
34.448313288 34 7 3.5%
44.3371038262 36 23 11.6%
35.842770695 38 32 16.1%
35.8663091865 40 29 14.6%
47.239009232 42 33 16.6%
39.4481173513 44 30 15.1%
37.7708663271 46 14 7.0%
42.1605025717 48 8 4.0%
43.2373482576 50 7 3.5%
38.1071723331 52 2 1.0%
42.3994137911 54 0 0.0%
49.1760900015 56 0 0.0%
40.2701661052 199
43.3368125086
33.4673192101
42.4480632095
38.6955516478
40.1666556373
37.4841962988
43.6658275695
40.8020131818
45.8884301498
35.6916816366
43.1752353024
42.3106389814
41.1821600623
31.568485528
43.0707306477
35.5278923286
46.952031231
40.4831073217
40.7802443772
29.922515476
37.4338243585
37.1763717433
33.3234763853
42.13273297
56.5179934091
42.883155078
39.2926480249
36.1436288218
32.3434430115
34.1639096121
36.7590702071
31.4009308931
41.6423959074
36.2138807883
36.7278967284
46.1200585331
42.8021171014
37.8251180951
35.0410867092
42.1782319079
34.0554372798
36.0996093531
37.4173971659
36.7649499109
31.4508433446
43.22933833
40.360492374
42.144788729
39.7168180284
44.133814052
41.9318461994
44.911210045
31.7072985114
34.6584040266
40.8292111615
39.6954174567
36.7910319726
30.7822599842
37.9867904342
49.5954426224
37.3739689419
38.16044513
42.5152987441
42.715939447
35.9490451676
44.1787230961
40.2304099447
34.3509494445
36.8061265594
39.0037116282
40.4526395227
38.6702374049
43.6913288927
41.7353571387
27.940886647
39.923041265
40.018855195
38.0815948675
33.8889097277
36.8352580341
32.7563060049
34.5696633873
42.5442510387
37.6100441677
45.1177920314
41.4021546483
32.3516049014
49.5862658062
31.7156237911
26.5533743407
43.0757502628
42.3491866541
39.8331416755
42.5291537165
36.1287987784
39.3490383736
37.9139516397
39.956445608
31.2219636842
44.0556591696
39.946741803
30.0609857492
41.779216757
34.9688369766
44.2067307853
41.7513376342
41.2889604605
35.4047943661
40.1618480459
43.3431632204
47.4423918135
35.9038874042
43.5196213384
38.7926594427
40.2182988692
49.5571993826
30.0251906788
41.1544017123
44.2396579539
48.3794314278
40.5542041035
34.8905440333
39.5579532309
40.6463007757
36.815542689
43.7333791485
39.1588167473
38.6635048041
35.587511689
40.4319687025
36.6716080066
40.3555242874
38.9038690109
44.6001565069
36.3779404062
29.9789406159
40.9078088728
36.8234430639
39.1858796023
39.0781842784
40.4348966648
45.8817075753
46.7389662511
39.2734474544
35.4627801038
38.5325316445
37.5738181715
34.4222566648
41.4998839381
40.7729419047
38.5235947384
34.30324603
38.8587414068
42.0194811154
48.044537569
30.6547855933
40.6475689953
47.6517783901
41.6645119683
39.7277637841
42.0083472709
43.9895292247
42.3506381066
41.0269443239
37.1009027489
36.2816410995
40.4498950393
33.456030208
50.1055345502
35.9638087187
51.4488105086
36.9079207998
35.198356633
36.918018991
47.9755894078
44.4564535045
38.2643268702
42.5420081704
38.7219253784
36.1978183788
37.0004565291
44.6238290345
44.0418297522
ay not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.
Harry's Auto Tire Enter
Enter the
the values
values and
and the
the requencies
requencies in
in the
the top
top table.
table. Press
Press F9
F9 to
to run
run another
another simulation.
simulation. IfIf you
you like,
like,
you
like,
you may
you
may enter
may
enter the
enter
the random
the
random numbers
random
numbers in
numbers
in the
theincolumn
the labeled
column
column "Random
labeled
labeled "Random
"Random
like, you may enter the random numbers in the column labeled "Random number". number".
number".
number".
Simulation

Data Expected Value

Random Number Cumulative Value *
Sorter Category name Value Frequency Probability Probability Frequency
0 Category 1 0 10 0.05 0.05 0
5 Category 2 1 20 0.1 0.15 20
15 Category 3 2 40 0.2 0.35 80
35 Category 4 3 60 0.3 0.65 180
65 Category 5 4 40 0.2 0.85 160
85 Category 6 5 30 0.15 1 150
Total 200 Expected

Simulation trials
Trial Random Number Value
1 42.6475484157 3
2 11.9392026681 1
3 68.7949405285 4
4 56.6843905486 3
5 80.5179012939 4
6 14.610918914 1
7 99.2064072052 5
8 10.8022977132 1
9 11.025308189 1
10 18.7746195123 2
11 44.2485085689 3
12 52.306941757 3
13 7.5408941833 1
14 75.189223676 4
15 85.8407030813 5
16 23.7447701395 2
17 21.3170068804 2
18 50.4303440684 3
19 44.6938217618 3
20 9.9609467899 1
21 32.7547298744 2
22 68.1597963907 4
23 41.1797093228 3
24 72.4700067891 4
25 46.6562901391 3
26 21.5315073496 2
27 93.586594332 5
28 68.8946039183 4
29 52.1628553746 3
30 15.2908863733 2
31 70.8718508715 4
32 9.8681429168 1
33 66.903951671 4
34 40.4673131881 3
35 75.4974364769 4
36 65.6906960299 4
37 20.052874973 2
38 43.6316128587 3
39 83.0263840267 4
40 96.3720788946 5
41 59.0341030853 3
42 47.8671521181 3
43 33.6377183441 2
44 31.0557414545 2
45 52.5925638154 3
46 5.4632411571 1
47 53.6774265114 3
48 87.5825592084 5
49 94.1689905012 5
50 47.9015402729 3
51 38.0357651506 3
52 38.5171038099 3
53 87.9467121558 5
54 52.8109995881 3
55 81.9707988296 4
56 55.7216343237 3
57 17.6975930342 2
58 44.8684006464 3
59 54.3669050792 3
60 38.6836637277 3
61 15.5365458224 2
62 28.6260205088 2
63 78.9016156225 4
64 51.2581795454 3
65 47.2360600252 3
66 94.2907317309 5
67 46.9495421508 3
68 35.876578046 3
 69 72.2046009498 4
70 6.1962358886 1
71 91.8611053377 5
72 41.0274749622 3
73 85.2788798744 5
74 29.9716680543 2
75 43.7851728871 3
76 82.0591670461 4
77 64.5376143744 3
78 36.585657578 3
79 25.8221981348 2
80 48.7119362224 3
81 24.3096862687 2
82 49.2308207555 3
83 29.0026640054 2
84 42.4625506392 3
85 18.5015533352 2
86 51.7208854668 3
87 93.7143336749 5
88 82.980772038 4
89 22.942194296 2
90 38.6235509068 3
91 16.3278316613 2
92 80.7982289465 4
93 28.498966014 2
94 17.6740561146 2
95 43.3945253491 3
96 87.2426225571 5
97 27.5862109382 2
98 31.4646002837 2
99 18.8020666828 2
100 28.9327268489 2
101 46.6128485976 3
102 23.3296074439 2
103 58.6373934755 3
104 88.1827848731 5
105 66.1486997735 4
106 82.6237991685 4
107 66.5169541491 4
108 71.626524278 4
109 64.4096883247 3
110 78.5822416889 4
111 95.8429399645 5
112 39.5229833899 3
113 36.9954143185 3
114 4.8636846012 0
115 55.307023623 3
116 32.2204350028 2
117 93.3367690537 5
118 26.655997592 2
119 41.8778115651 3
120 91.8174158316 5
121 89.205867704 5
122 26.0224325815 2
123 23.8491532858 2
124 87.4539869372 5
125 83.6466879584 4
126 5.8062964119 1
127 42.0215800637 3
128 37.6617701724 3
129 67.3090329394 4
130 78.382894001 4
131 80.3002784494 4
132 19.9322282802 2
133 49.0520329913 3
134 60.9636633191 3
135 1.7846097937 0
136 16.9532923261 2
137 83.666700637 4
138 36.093191267 3
139 64.0939595411 3
140 22.6559542585 2
141 74.946257798 4
142 1.1243266985 0
143 49.5658796979 3
144 61.5220231935 3
145 72.9462496703 4
146 93.7761527719 5
147 35.814460041 3
148 53.119073296 3
149 23.3745701378 2
150 44.4670632482 3
151 93.1456628721 5
152 18.3680762537 2
153 55.7279156521 3
154 1.5174574452 0
155 70.531104994 4
156 20.9978750208 2
157 27.4103306234 2
158 32.3808917543 2
159 54.9202492926 3
160 69.319210411 4
161 21.0127057042 2
162 13.803697098 1
163 70.3632134246 4
164 36.749816942 3
165 24.3823913857 2
166 47.9144532233 3
167 69.6635011816 4
168 35.5902540265 3
169 87.07631547 5
170 5.2540973527 1
171 24.7629054822 2
172 2.3993664188 0
173 3.6843323149 0
174 99.4451517472 5
175 34.0308725601 2
176 40.7862634398 3
177 27.5423423853 2
178 96.8602270354 5
179 58.8514938951 3
180 45.0119693298 3
181 57.2930655442 3
182 5.9549932135 1
183 92.5150264986 5
184 64.747412107 3
185 5.6269357214 1
186 21.2392524118 2
187 24.0498057567 2
188 19.1292143194 2
189 31.7808930296 2
190 40.3560732957 3
191 10.1619309979 1
192 34.1603030451 2
193 24.8327461304 2
194 34.1701903613 2
195 97.3235501908 5
196 97.3436570494 5
197 67.466269061 4
198 7.2613098426 1
199 12.1114529669 1
200 80.247933371 4
r simulation.
simulation. IfIf you
you like,
like,
.
mber".
".
mber".

Simulation results
Simulation Occurences *
Value Occurrences Percentage Value
0 6 0.03 0
1 17 0.085 17
2 50 0.25 100
3 66 0.33 198
4 35 0.175 140
5 26 0.13 130
Totals 200 1 585
Average 2.925
Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be

Total to
Previously Random be Random Possibly
Day delayed number Arrivals unoaded Number unloaded Unloaded
1 0 0.376056 2 2 0.248161 3 2
2 0 0.192154 1 1 0.282036 3 1
3 0 0.1667 1 1 0.53817 3 1
4 0 0.077653 0 0 0.988048 5 0
5 0 0.493175 3 3 0.767583 4 3
6 0 0.179844 1 1 0.99143 5 1
7 0 0.84833 4 4 0.471222 3 3
8 1 0.425937 2 3 0.737052 4 3
9 0 0.694115 3 3 0.299646 3 3
10 0 0.938837 5 5 0.583833 3 3

Barge Arrivals Unloading rates

Demand Probability Lower CumulativeDemand Number Probability Lower Cumulative
0 0.13 0 0.13 0 1 0.05 0 0.05
1 0.17 0.13 0.3 1 2 0.15 0.05 0.2
2 0.15 0.3 0.45 2 3 0.5 0.2 0.7
3 0.25 0.45 0.7 3 4 0.2 0.7 0.9
4 0.2 0.7 0.9 4 5 0.1 0.9 1
5 0.1 0.9 1 5
pearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Unloading
1
2
3
4
5
Three Hills Power Company

Time Time of Time

Breakdow Random between breakdown repairperson is Random Repair Repair
n number number breakdowns s free Number time ends
1 0.4329 2 2 2 0.4567 2 4
2 0.3375 2 4 4 0.6167 2 6
3 0.5113 2 6 6 0.8138 3 9
4 0.5603 2 8 9 0.4387 2 11
5 0.7363 2.5 10.5 11 0.8032 3 14
6 0.4217 2 12.5 14 0.3094 2 16
7 0.0745 1 13.5 16 0.9136 3 19
8 0.6738 2.5 16 19 0.4106 2 21
9 0.6788 2.5 18.5 21 0.9016 3 24
10 0.9357 3 21.5 24 0.6011 2 26

Demand
Time Table Repair times
between
breakdow
ns Probability Lower Cumulative Demand Time Probability
0.5 0.05 0 0.05 0.5 1 0.28
1.0 0.06 0.05 0.11 1 2 0.52
1.5 0.16 0.11 0.27 1.5 3 0.20
2.0 0.33 0.27 0.6 2
2.5 0.21 0.6 0.81 2.5
3.0 0.19 0.81 1 3

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are
 Lower CumulativeLead time
0.00 0.28 1
0.28 0.80 2
0.80 1.00 3

ok, but the formulas are the same.

Three Grocery Example

State Probabilities
American Food S Food Mart Atlas Foods
Time #1 #2 #3 Matrix of Transition Probabilities
0 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.1
1 0.41 0.31 0.28 0.1 0.7 0.2
2 0.415 0.314 0.271 0.2 0.2 0.6
3 0.4176 0.3155 0.2669
4 0.41901 0.31599 0.265
5 0.419807 0.316094 0.264099
6 0.4202748 0.3160663 0.2636589
Accounts Receivable Example

1 0 0 0
P= I:0 = 0 1 0 0
A:B 0.6 0 0.2 0.2
0.4 0.1 0.3 0.2

I-B= 0.8 -0.2

-0.3 0.8

F = (I - B) inverse 1.37931 0.344828

0.517241 1.37931

FA = 0.965517 0.034483
0.862069 0.137931
Box Filling Example

Quality Controlx bar chart

Enter
Enter the
the population
population standard
standard deviation
deviation
then
then enter
enter the
the data
data from
from each
each sample.
sample.
Number of 1 Finally,
Finally,you
you may
may change
change the
the number
number ofof
standard
standard deviations.
deviations.
Sample siz 36
Populatio
n
standard
deviation 2
Data Results
Mean
Sample 1 16 x-bar va 16
Average 16 z value 3
Sigma x 0.3333

Upper c 17
Center 16
Lower c 15
Super Cola Example

Quality Controlx bar chart

Enter
Enter the
the mean
mean and
and range
range
Number of 1 from
from each
each sample.
sample.
Sample si 5

Data Results
Mean Range Xbar Range
Sample 1 16.01 0.25 x-bar valu 16.01
Average 16.01 0.25
R bar 0.25

Upper con 16.1543 0.52875

Center li 16.01 0.25
Table Lower con 15.8658 0

Upper Lower
Sample Mean Range, Range,
size, n Factor, A2 D4 D3
2 1.88 3.268 0
3 1.023 2.574 0
4 0.729 2.282 0
5 0.577 2.115 0
6 0.483 2.004 0
7 0.419 1.924 0.076
8 0.373 1.864 0.136
9 0.337 1.816 0.184
10 0.308 1.777 0.223
11 0.285 1.744 0.256
12 0.266 1.716 0.284
13 0.249 1.692 0.308
14 0.235 1.671 0.329
15 0.223 1.652 0.348
16 0.212 1.636 0.364
17 0.203 1.621 0.379
18 0.194 1.608 0.392
19 0.187 1.596 0.404
20 0.18 1.586 0.414
21 0.173 1.575 0.425
22 0.167 1.566 0.434
23 0.162 1.557 0.443
24 0.157 1.548 0.452
25 0.153 1.541 0.459
ARCO

Quality Control p chart

Enter
Enter the
the sample
sample size
size then
then enter
enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects in
in each
each sample.
sample.
Number o 20
Sample s 100

Data Results
# Defects % Defects Total Sam
2000
Sample 1 6 0.06 Total Def
80
Sample 2 5 0.05 Percenta
0.04
Sample 3 0 0 Std dev o
###
Sample 4 1 0.01 z value3
Sample 5 4 0.04
Sample 6 2 0.02 Upper Co ###
Sample 7 5 0.05 Center L 0.04
Sample 8 3 0.03 Lower Co 0
Sample 9 3 0.03
Sample 1 2 0.02 p-chart
Sample 1 6 0.06
Sample 1 1 0.01 0.12
Mean

Sample 1 8 0.08 0.1

Sample 1 7 0.07 0.08
Sample 1 5 0.05 0.06
0.04
Sample 1 4 0.04
0.02
Sample 1 11 0.11 Above UCL
0
Sample 1 3 0.03
Sample 1 0 0
Sample 2 4 0.04 Sample

Graph information
Sample 1 0.06 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 2 0.05 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 3 0 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 4 0.01 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 5 0.04 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 6 0.02 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 7 0.05 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 8 0.03 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 9 0.03 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.02 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.06 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.01 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.08 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.07 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.05 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.04 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.11 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0.03 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 1 0 0 0.04 0.09879
Sample 2 0.04 0 0.04 0.09879
 Red Top Cab Company
c-chart
Quality Controlc chart

Mean
Enter 15
Enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects for
for each
each of
of the
the
Number of 9 samples/items.
samples/items.
10

5
Data Results
# Defects Total un 9 0
Sample 1 3 Total De 54 1 2 3 4 5
Sample 2 0 Defect rate, 6 Sample
Sample 3 8 Standard2.4495
Sample 4 9 z value 3
Sample 5 6
Sample 6 7 Upper C 13.35
Sample 7 4 Center 6
Sample 8 9 Lower C 0
Sample 9 8

Graph information
Sample 1 3 0 6 13.34847
Sample 2 0 0 6 13.34847
Sample 3 8 0 6 13.34847
Sample 4 9 0 6 13.34847
Sample 5 6 0 6 13.34847
Sample 6 7 0 6 13.34847
Sample 7 4 0 6 13.34847
Sample 8 9 0 6 13.34847
Sample 9 8 0 6 13.34847
 c-chart

3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sample
AHP n= 3
Hardware Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Priority Wt. sum vector Consistency vector
Sys.1 1 3 9 Sys.1 0.6923 0.7200 0.5625 0.6583 2.0423 3.1025 Lambd
Sys.2 0.3333 1 6 Sys.2 0.2308 0.2400 0.3750 0.2819 0.8602 3.0512 CI
Sys.3 0.1111 0.1667 1 Sys.3 0.0769 0.0400 0.0625 0.0598 0.1799 3.0086 CR
Column Total 1.4444 4.1667 16

Software Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Priority Wt. sum vector
Sys.1 1 0.5 0.125 Sys.1 0.0909 0.0769 0.0943 0.0874 0.2623 3.0014 Lambd
Sys.2 2 1 0.2 Sys.2 0.1818 0.1538 0.1509 0.1622 0.4871 3.0028 CI
Sys.3 8 5 1 Sys.3 0.7273 0.7692 0.7547 0.7504 2.2605 3.0124 CR
Column Total 11 6.5 1.325

Vendor Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Priority Wt. sum vector
Sys.1 1 1 6 Sys.1 0.4615 0.4286 0.6000 0.4967 1.5330 3.0863 Lambd
Sys.2 1 1 3 Sys.2 0.4615 0.4286 0.3000 0.3967 1.2132 3.0582 CI
Sys.3 0.1667 0.3333 1 Sys.3 0.0769 0.1429 0.1000 0.1066 0.3216 3.0172 CR
Column Total 2.1667 2.3333 10

Factor Hard. Soft. Vendor Hardware Software Vendor Priority Wt. sum vector
Hardware 1 0.125 0.3333 Hardware 0.0833 0.0857 0.0769 0.0820 0.2460 3.0004 Lambd
Software 8 1 3 Software 0.6667 0.6857 0.6923 0.6816 2.0468 3.0031 CI
Vendor 3 0.3333 1 Vendor 0.2500 0.2286 0.2308 0.2364 0.7096 3.0011 CR
Column Total 12 1.4583 4.3333

n RI Hardware Software Vendor Priority

2 0.00 Sys.1 0.658 0.087 0.497 0.231
3 0.58 Sys.2 0.282 0.162 0.397 0.227
4 0.90 Sys.3 0.060 0.750 0.107 0.542
5 1.12
6 1.24
7 1.32
8 1.41
onsistency vector
3.0541
0.0270
0.0466

3.005543075
0.0028
0.0048

3.0539
0.0269
0.0464

3.0015
0.0008
0.0013
Matrix Multiplication

A= 1 2 3 B= 2 1
1 2 0 1 1
3 2

AxB = 13 9
4 3

Matrix Inverse

A= 2 1 A-inverse= 1.5 -0.5

4 3 -2 1

Matrix Determinant

A= 3 4 det(A)= -10
4 2