Professional Documents
Culture Documents
PublishedonZeroHedge(http://www.zerohedge.com)
Home>WTFChartOfTheDay:ThereAreNowMoreIndexesThanStocks
WTFChartOfTheDay:ThereAreNowMore
IndexesThanStocks
ByTylerDurden
Created05/12/201720:30
[1]
byTylerDurden[1]
May12,20178:30PM
[2] [3]
Forthefirsttimeever,thenumberofmarketindexesnowexceedsthenumberofU.S.stocks...
[4]
AsBloombergreports[5] ,traditionalonessuchastheS&P500arecollectionsofsecuritiesweighted
bymarketvalue,andindexfundsmimicthemasalowcostwaytodeliverthemarkets
performance.Manynewindexesaredifferent:Theyincludestocksbasedoncustomcriteria,
suchashavinglowvolatilityorhighdividends.Therecentexplosioninindexeshasbeendriven
bydemandasmanynewbenchmarksessentiallyrepackageactiveinvestmentstrategies
intoindexes,saysEricBalchunas,seniorexchangetradedfundanalystatBloombergIntelligence.
http://www.zerohedge.com/print/595856 1/2
5/14/2017 WTFChartOfTheDay:ThereAreNowMoreIndexesThanStocks
TheycanthenbetrackedbysocalledsmartbetaETFs,whichfundcompaniesarerollingout
rapidly.Moneymanagersareunderpressuretocutcosts,saysBalchunas,asinvestorsshifttheir
moneyintofundswithlowfees.SmartbetaETFsaregenerallymoreexpensivethanS&P500
fundsbutcheaperthanactivelymanagedfunds.Itremainstobeseenhowwellthenew
fundswillperform.
Aswewrotepreviously,[6] fornow,thedebateabouttheimpactofETFsrages,andwilldoso
inconclusivelyaslongastrillionsincentralbankliquiditypropupbroaderriskassetsand
equitymarkets.Itisonlyoncecentralbankstakestartsoakingupsome$18trillioninexcess
liquiditythatthetrueimpactofETFswillbevisible.Untilthen,weleavereaderswiththoughtsfrom
arecentnotebyJPM'sNikolaosPanigirtzoglou[6] ,firstreportedherelastOctober,andsummarized
below[7] ,onwhatthetakeoverbyETFsreallymeans:
Marketsbecomemorebrittle,risky:"Theshifttowardspassivefundshasthepotentialto
concentrateinvestmentstoafewlargeproducts.Thisconcentrationpotentiallyincreases
systemicriskmakingmarketsmoresusceptibletotheflowsofafewlargepassiveproducts."
Passiveorindexinvestingfavourslargecapsasmostequityindicesaremarketcap
weighted."Thiscouldexacerbatetheflowintolargecompaniesbeyondtowhatisjustifiedby
fundamentals,creatingpotentialmisallocationofcapitalawayfromsmallercompanies.Tothe
extentthatthesepassivefundsbecomeevenmoredominantinthefuture,theriskofbubbles
beingformedinlargecompanies,atthesametimecrowdingoutinvestmentsfromsmaller
firms,wouldsignificantlyincrease."
Theproliferationofindexfundsincreasesthesizeofstockinclusionflows.Inturn,
marketmovesaroundindexconstituentchangesbecomemorepronouncedoverpenalizing
companiesleavingtheindexandcausingexcessivegainstocompaniesenteringtheindex.
Crashes,whentheyhappen,willbebiggerandbadder:"theshifttowardspassivefunds
tendstointensifyfollowingperiodsofstrongmarketperformanceasactivemanagers
underperforminsuchperiodsofstrongmarketperformance.Inturn,thisshiftexacerbatesthe
marketuptrendcreatingmoreprotractedperiodsoflowvolatilityandmomentum.When
marketseventuallyreverse,thecorrectionbecomesdeeperandvolatilityrisesasmoneyflows
awayfrompassivefundsbacktowardsactivemanagerswhotendtooutperforminperiodsof
weakmarketperformance."
Marketsbecomelessefficient:"ifpassiveinvestingbecomestoobig,potentiallycrowding
outskilledactivemanagersalso,marketefficiencywouldstartdeclining.Inturn,thiswould
presentopportunitiesforactivemanagerstoextractarbitrageprofits."
SourceURL:http://www.zerohedge.com/news/20170512/wtfchartdaytherearenowmoreindexesstocks
Links:
[1]http://www.zerohedge.com/users/tylerdurden
[2]http://www.zerohedge.com/printmail/595856
[3]http://www.zerohedge.com/print/595856
[4]http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2017/05/10/20170512_WTF.jpg
[5]https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/20170512/therearenowmoreindexesthanstocks
[6]http://www.zerohedge.com/news/20170427/etfsareweaponsmassdestructionfpacapitalwarnswecouldget
onslaughtselling
[7]http://www.zerohedge.com/news/20161029/jpmwarnsshiftpassiveinvestingincreasessystemicriskwillmake
crashesworse
http://www.zerohedge.com/print/595856 2/2