Germany'sMigrantCrisis:

'By2060ThereWillBeNoG
ermanyasWeKnowIt'
The German Interior Ministry has released its 2016 crime statistics,
showing a surge in crimes committed by migrants. In a passionately
argued analysis on the risks posed by the country's ongoing migrant
crisis, Russian Europe observer Igor Pshenichnikov warns that if
current trends continue, Germany as we know it will cease to exist this
century.

This week, Germany's Interior Ministry released its 2016 crime

figures, showing a dramatic increase in violent crime, including a
14.3% rise in murder and manslaughter, a 12.7% rise in rape and
sexual assaults, and a 9.9% increase in serious assaults over the
previous year. The figures showed that illegal immigrants, refugees
and asylum seekers were suspected of having committing 174,438
crimes, a whopping 52.7% increase over the previous year.

With the number of German nationals suspected of crimes falling by 3.4%, migrants
and refugees were estimated to have accounted for over 12% of all suspected crimes
in 2016. Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere called the increase in migrant crime
'"unacceptable" and vowed to expel illegal migrants who committed crimes.

Germany watchers say there's a clear connection between this

increase in crime and Chancellor Angela Merkel's open door policy
toward immigrants. German media, meanwhile, is considering
whether the statistics will affect her chances in September's
parliamentary elections.

Commenting on the migrant crisis facing Germany and the rest of Europe, RIA Novosti
contributor and Europe observer Igor Pshenichnikov recalled that "observing the
situation with refugees in Europe over the last ten or fifteen years, it can be argued that
the authorities of European countries did not set out to confront the influx
of immigrants."
On the contrary, "even before the recent wars in the Middle East, Germany and the
Nordic countriesin accordance with established quotas, allowed in significant
volumes of refugees, with most of the new arrivals coming from Muslim countries. And
the quotas were increased when talking about the categories of 'refugees' or 'political
asylum seekers'."
"The Europeans continued to operate under this paradigm even at the moment, two
years ago, when the flow of migrants suddenly turned into a tsunami, in connection
with the wars in Libya, Syria and Iraq. It took some time before German authorities,
who showed the most favorable attitudes toward immigrants, came to realize the
mistake they made in 2015, when they declared all migrants welcome."
But chalking it all down to some kind of' mistake' isn't correct,
Pshenichnikov noted. Behind Berlin's logic were macroeconomic
calculations which went beyond the interests of ordinary Germans.
Earlier this year, Germany's Rheinische Post newspaper published excerpts from a
secret government report, showing that Chancellor Angela Merkel's decision to bring
about 1.5 million Muslim migrants into the country between 2015 and 2016 was not a
humanitarian gesture, but a deliberate attempt to slow the decline of Germany's
population, and maintain the viability of the German welfare state.
The report explained that Germany's current fertility rates 160
births per 100 women, was far below that which would be
necessary to reproduce the population (which requires a fertility
rate of 210 children per 100 women). Accordingly, the German
government calculated that the country 'needs' an estimated
300,000 migrants new migrants each year, in order to preserve
economic stability up to 2060.
"It's obvious," Pshenichnikov noted, "that without laborers the economy will not work."
"But it's not so difficult to imagine what this will all lead to by
2060, either. If Chancellor Merkel's macroeconomic calculations
are correct, the German economy will not experience shortages
to its working population." However, if the migration trends
continue, by the time 2060 rolls around, "there will be much fewer
actual Germans, for whom all this is all supposedly being
calculated, than there are today."

In other words, the analyst explained, if today about 20% of Germany's

population has immigrant backgrounds, by "2060 this figure could rise
dramatically and not through the migration of Eastern Europeans, as was
considered in the early 2000s, but as a result of migration from the Greater
Middle East and Africa."

Even the simplest calculation of 300,000 migrants per year means over 12
million new arrivals by 2060 to complement Germany's population of 81 million.
"But this calculation does not consider the difference in birthrates
between Germans and migrants, nor the fact that in 2015-2016 alone, Berlin
had 'fulfilled its migration plan' for nearly a decade."

These trends threaten to bring with them tectonic changes

to Germany's ethnic, culture and religious traditions as well,
Pshenichnikov stressed. Today, the analyst recalled, like most EU
members, Germany is facing the lowest birthrates in its history.
 "One of the main reasons for thisis the radical change" that has
been observed "in Europe's cultural and religious traditions, or
rather, their dissolution into the semi-official ideology of urban
individualism," he added.

The migrants, on the other hand, face no such problems, the analyst noted,
with Islamic culture favorable to the idea of large families with many children.
"Today," Pshenichnikov recalled, "in Germany, followers of Islam (i.e.
immigrants, 60% of whom are Turks) are already the largest religious group
after Christians."

The resulting clash between the cultural, social and religious norms that these
people bring with them and those of Germany's native population inevitably lead
to misunderstandings and conflicts, the analyst added.

"For instance, why did the immigrants show themselves in such a striking
manner during last year's New Year's Eve celebrations in Germany
particularly in the infamous Cologne 'night of rape'? Because they were brought
up in different, more severe traditions, and consider Europeans, with their
gender freedoms, to be [a civilization that is] 'finished', from the moral
standpoint, and thus not deserving of respect."

Pshenichnikov emphasized that it's "for the same reason that it

doesn't seem likely that immigrants will mix significantly with the
Europeans: the gulf between the cultures and religions of the East
and Europe is simply too wide. The newcomers not only do not
wish to be integrated into the local culture; they deeply despise it
as something decadent and declining."
The same problems face other European nations as well, particularly the Nordic states,
the journalist warned. "The fact that the overwhelming majority of Muslims in Europe
are members of Islamic religious organizations suggests that socially and culturally,
they prefer not to be assimilated. But they will effectively, and literally, replace the
European population, which has been carried away by ideals of individual freedoms
and macroeconomic forecasts in an attempt to grow economic capital."
The question, Pshenichnikov laments, is "who will this economic
capital be left to?"