Professional Documents
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: 342
29 MAY ,2017
Index
Company Update 2
MARKET BOUNCED BACK FROM SUPPORT LEVELS
Around the
Economy 3 27 MAY 2017
As expected, the market corrected from the high to a strong support
Knowledge Corner 3 level of 9350-9370 range in last week. Any bull market correction lives for
short tim e and bounces back very sharply, which we have witnessed in last
Mutual Fund 4
two trading da ys. But at this level the m arket is punishing bad results and
Commodity Corner 5 weak forecasting while rewarding the good performers. The demonetization
effect is behind us and in fact the formal econom y is getting stronger with
Forex Corner 6 GST on the horizon. T he Government is seriously im plementing the infra pro-
jects in all m ost all the sectors of the econom y, which will have spillover ef-
Report Card 7
f ect on the econom y going forward. The aggressive buying in large cap stocks
Short Term Call Status 8 by the institutes has raised the prospects of the index scaling now heights.
Editor & Contributor W ith technical support of 9500 and 9350, the market can go up to 9700
Darshana Mishra
Special Contributors
Kunal Shah
Dhaval Ghodasara
Kamal Jhaveri
MD- Jhaveri Securities
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29 MAY ,2017
Outlook and valuation : We recommend BUY on the stock BUY rating for the stock and value MGFL at
SoTP valuations, with gold business at 3.0x P/BV, micro-finance at 4.2x P/B FY18E. Subse-
quently, our target price stands at INR 130.
Company Overview :
Manappuram Finance Ltd (Formerly known as Manappuram General Finance and Leasing Ltd) is a non-banking
finance company. The company provides a range of services, including gold loans, vehicle finance, insurance, for-
eign exchange services, distribution of mutual funds and other financial products. The company currently operates
through more than 1000 branches spread across the country. During the year 1994-95, the company opened new
branches in Calicut, Guruvayur, Ernakulam and Thriprayar. In the year 2002, they started Forex business as a
part of its diversification.
Despite the impact of demonetization, Manappuram Finance (MGFL) recorded an all-round performance for Q3FY17 with PAT at
INR 2.036 bn (increased 101.5% on Y-o-Y basis and 52% on Q-o-Q basis) largely led by robust increase in Net interest in-
come (increased 53% on Y-o-Y basis and 6.8% on Q-o-Q basis) and controlled operating expenses (increased merely 9.6% on Y- o-
Y basis).
Product diversification strategy and rising gold loan volumes (gold holdings up 11% Y-o-Y; with large focus on-line gold loan product)
coupled with improved gold loan quality and greater thrust on collections emerging from rapidly improving microfinance segment
boosted the earnings for the quarter.
The share of new businesses (microfinance, mortgage and housing and commercial vehicle financing) increased to 15% in
Q3FY17 of overall AUMs.
Asset quality largely stable: With stressed legacy gold portfolio behind and MGFL focusing on shorter tenure products, laying
greater emphasis upon regular interest collections and tightened recognition norms, the asset quality stands as one of the best in
the industry.
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29 MAY ,2017
Domestic stocks logged strong gains in the week ended Friday, 26 May 2017 led by steady buying in index heavyweights
ITC, ICICI Bank and Infosys. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, scaled record high above the psychological 31,000
mark. The Sensex and the Nifty, both, hit record closing high. However, the BSE Mid-Cap and the S&P BSE Small-Cap indi-
ces underperformed the Sensex during the week.
US flash PMI reading for services and manufacturing for May were mixed. Manufacturing PMI dipped to an 8-month low,
while services PMI rose to a 4-month high, data on Wednesday, 24 May 2017 showed.
Domestic and global macroeconomic data, Q4 results of India Inc., trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio
investors (FPIs) and domestic institutional investors (DIIs), the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price move-
ment will dictate trend on the bourses in week ahead.
On the global front, China Caixin manufacturing PMI data for May 2017 will be announced on Thursday, 1 June 2017. US
Markit Manufacturing PMI for the month of May 2017 is slated to be released on Thursday, 1 June 2017. US nonfarm payrolls
data for May 2017 is scheduled to be released on Friday, 2 June 2017.
1. Mon : Result: Aurobindo Pharm, Bajaj, L&T, BHEL, City Union Bank
2. Tue : Result: ApolloHospitals, HCL, Hindalco, HDIL, Jet Airways, Mahindra
3. Wed : Result: Castrol India Ltd
4. Thu: Dividends: Infosys
5. Fri : Dividends: Indian Banks
Knowledge Corner :
MASALA BONDS
.Masala bonds are rupee denominated overseas bonds
Masala bonds will help to internationalise the Indian rupee and also deepen the Indian financial system. By issuing
bonds in rupees, an Indian company is shielded against the risk of currency fluctuation, typically associated with
borrowing in foreign currency. Besides helping diversify funding sources, the cost of borrowing could also turn out
to be lower than domestic markets. In 2013, the first masala bonds were issued by the International Finance Cpo-
ration (IFC), an arm of the World Bank.
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29 MAY ,2017
Medium
Small
Fund
S&p bse 200
(Rebased to 10,000) Source : - www.valueresearchonline.com
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Commodity Corner
BULLION
FUNDAMENTAL: Bullion prices ended with gains on weekly basis as the dollar softened on political turbulence in the United
States, boosting bullion's safe-haven appeal. New applications for U.S. jobless benefits unexpectedly fell last week and the number of
Americans on unemployment rolls tumbled to a 28-1/2-year low, pointing to rapidly shrinking labour market slack Safe-haven demand
was boosted following reports this week that U.S. President Donald Trump asked former FBI Director James Comey to end the agency's
investigation into ties between former White House national security adviser Michael Flynn and Russia. Former FBI Director Robert
Mueller was appointed by the Justice Department as a special counsel to take over the probe into Russia's interference in the 2016 election
Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank President Loretta Mester repeated her call for further U.S.-interest rate hikes now that the econ-
omy has reached full employment and inflation is nearing the Fed's 2-percent goal European Central Bank policymakers are prepar-
ing to dial back their extraordinary stimulus measures if the economy continues to improve, but that course of action is not yet cer-
tain
RECOMMENDATION : BUY GOLD @ 28550 SL 28300 TGT 28900-29200 BUY SILVER @38900 SL 38200 TGT 39650-40400
BASE METALS
FUNDAMENTAL: Last week, base metals prices ended with gains thanks to dollar weakness and receding worries over China's
economy. Earlier in the Base metals slumped as the political crisis in the U.S. threatened to delay the infrastructure spending plans
and tax cuts that President Trump has promised Zinc prices surged more than 3 percent tracking gains in LME prices amid stock
draws. Premiums for zinc in China jumped by $10 to $155 a tonne, the highest in nearly three years, as the gap between local and
global prices turned favourable for imports. China is likely to step up imports of refined zinc from this month, industry sources said, as
dwindling global supplies of concentrate hit local output of the metal. LME data showed 'on-warrant' or available zinc stocks fell to
170,200 tonnes Nickel prices gained tracking rise in LME nickel closed up 2 percent at $9,360 as dollar weakness cushioned prices,
but the outlook was tainted by investors cutting exposure to metals on concerns over China demand concerns. The global refined
nickel market swung into a small surplus in March after an increase in production outpaced steady global demand, industry data
showed. Global nickel market was in a surplus of 3,300 tonnes during the first three months of 2017, according to the World Bureau
of Metal Statistics (WBMS
RECOMMENDATION : BUY ALUMINIUM @ 123.5 SL 120 TGT 126.5-129 BUY COPPER @ 366 SL 360 TGT 372-78 BUY ZINC @ 165.50 SL
162 TGT 170-173 BUY NICKEL @ 595 SL 570 TGT 615-630
ENERGY
FUNDAMENTAL : Last week, Crude oil prices gained on growing optimism that big producing countries will extend output cuts to
curb a persistent glut in crude. Since the beginning of March, crude prices have swung from over $56 a barrel to under $47 as market
participants were divided over the impact of rising output from the United States versus production cuts by the Organization
of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other oil producers, including Russia But market watchers are growing more confident
that OPEC, Russia and other big producers will extend cuts of almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) until the end of March 2018. U.S.
producers are not party to any agreements capping production. Crude oil exports from Saudi Arabia rose by 275,000 barrels a day
in March from February and stockpiles rose, official data showed U.S. energy companies added oil rigs for an 18th week in a row, the
second-longest such streak on record, as expectations of higher crude prices have motivated drillers to boost monthly shale production
to its highest level since mid-2015. Drillers added eight oil rigs in the week to May 19, bringing the total count to 720, the most since
April 2015, energy services firm Baker Hughes Inc said
RECOMMENDATION : BUY CRUDE @ 3200 SL 3080 TGT 3340-3450 BUY NAT.GAS @ 206 SL 197.5 TGT 215.50-224
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Commodity Corner
Forex Corner
Market Recap :
The USDINR On daily chart pair below all short term, medium term, and long term moving average which is 20,
100 and 200.Whereas on weekly chart pair has continually taking support at 50WMA. Which suggest short term
trend is bearish. So for trading perspective, one could sell to the level 64.80-64.40 with SL of 65.20for target of
64.25-66.06.
USD/INR
Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Close
USD/INR 64.06 64.25 64.63 64.82 65.20 65.00 64.43 64.45
EUR/INR
Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Close
EUR/INR 71.62 71.95 72.52 72.85 73.43 73.09 72.19 72.28
GBP/INR
Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Close
GBP/INR 82.32 81.79 83.35 83.88 84.91 84.37 82.81 82.86
JPY/INR
Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Close
JPY/INR 57.34 57.72 58.09 58.47 58.84 58.45 57.70 58.11
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SL+EXIT 06 28.58
TOTAL 21 100.00
One call on daily basis is given keeping view of short term trading on closing basis.
Time frame and expected % of return is also mentioned with the suggested call.
This call are purely given on technical trading system generated by the Technical Research Desk.
Generally Expected Return on investment is 5-6 % with time horizon of 6-7 days.
Profit Booking update is considered if on an average expected return exceed 3.50-4.00 % against the
Expected return of 5-6%
Risk- Reward ratio percentage wise depends on the volatility of stock Normally it stands ( 3 : 9)
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