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MF004: Introduction to Probability and Statistics

Name of Course: Introduction to Probability and Statistics


Course Code: MF004
Lecturer: Ms Nurazeera Binti Md Suder
Office Phone No: 03-9101 8880
E-mail address: nurazeera@ucsi.edu.my
Session: Sept - Dec 2015
Consultation Hours: Mon (2:00pm - 4.00pm)
Wed (9.30am - 11.30 am)

Main References:
Bluman, A. G., 2004. Elementary Statistics (5 th Ed.), A Step by Step Approach, 5th Ed., McGraw Hill

Additional References:
Crawshaw, J. and Chambers, J., 1994. A Concise Course in A-level Statistics with Worked Examples (3rd Ed.),
Longman Group UK

Learning outcomes:
Upon the completion of this module the student should be able to:
1. Understand the basic concepts of statistics and its application in different fields.
2. Demonstrate the ability to collect, organize, present, and describe the data by using appropriate
statistical tools.
3. Understand the basic concepts of probability and differentiate the type of probability rules.
4. Apply the probability rules correctly to the given situation.
5. Differentiate between binomial distribution and normal distribution and able to analyze the data for
each distribution.

Assessment Methods and Types:


Continuous assessment 20%
- Quiz 10%
- Test 10%
Midterm 20%
Final Examination 60%
Total 100%
MF004: Introduction to Probability and Statistics

Topic Week Date Subtopic Learning Outcome Credit Hours

Introduction to descriptive and Demonstrate the knowledge of all statistical terms


inferential Statistics Differentiate between two branches of statistics
1 Sept - 6
1 Identify the types of data and give examples 1.5
Sept
The nature of Types of Data and Variables Identify the measurement level of each variable and give
probability and examples
Statistics
Types of Data collection List the types of Data collection
7 Sept - 1.5
2 Differentiate between the four types of sampling
13 Sept Sampling technique
techniques
Organization of data Organize data using frequency polygon 1.5
Frequency Distribution Construct Histograms, frequency
Construct histograms, frequency polygon and ogive
and Graphs 14 Sept - polygon and ogive
3 3
20 Sept Lable and name others types of graph eg: pareto chart,
Others types of graph
time series graph and pie graphs
21 Sept - Summarize and compute data using the measure of
4 Measures of central tendency 1.5
27 Sept central tendency, such as mean, mode and mindrange
Compute the range variance, and standard deviation and
Measure of variation 1.5
28 Sept - describe the data
Data Description 5
4 Oct Calculate and identify the position of a data value in a
Measure of position 1.5
data set such as percentiles, deciles and quartiles
5 Oct - Use the techniques of exploratory data analysis, including
6 Exploratory data analysis 1.5
11 Oct stem and leaf plots and box plots
Determine the sample spaces and identify the probability
Determine sample spaces of an event using the classical probability and empirical
12 Oct - probability 1.5
7 Find the probability of compounds events using
18 Oct Application of Additional rule
additional rule
Probability Mid Term Examination (17/10/2015) (10:00am-12:00am) 2
Find the probability of compounds events using
8 Application of Multiplication rule
19 Oct - multiplication rule
1.5
25 Oct Conditional probability Find the conditional probability of an event
Permutation and Combination Find number of ways an event can be arrange or selected
MF004: Introduction to Probability and Statistics

Construct probability distribution Construct a probability distribution for a random variable


26 Oct -
9 Compute mean, variance, standard 1.5
1 Nov
Probability deviation and expectation for Find the mean, variance, and expected
Distribution probability distribution

Find the exact probability for X successes in n trials of a


Binomial distribution 1.5
2 Nov - 8 binomial experiment
10
Nov Find the exact probability for X successesin an interval of
Poisson distribution 1.5
time
Identify distribution as symmetric or skewed 1.5
9 Nov - Properties of the Normal Identify the properties of Normal distribution
11
15 Nov distribution 1.5
Find the area under the standard normal distribution given
various z values
Normal Distribution
Find the probabilities for a normally distributed variable
16 Nov - Standard Normal Distribution 1.5
12 by transfroming it into a standard normal variable
22 Nov
Central limit theoremm 1.5
Application of Normal Distribution Apply the normal approximation to compute probabilites
1.5
for a binomial variable
23 Nov -
13
29 Nov Revision class
1.5
Q&A Sessions

Replacement class:
Lecture class on 5/10/2015 will be replaced on 17/10/2015 (Midterm)
Lecture class on 8/10/2015 will be replaced on 31/10/2015 (Quiz/Test)

All the dates are subject to change. The exact date of quiz, test and midterm will be announce in the class.

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