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Financial Statement Analysis and

Valuation

Dr. Martin Staehle


Institut fr Unternehmensrechnung und Controlling (IUC)
Universitt Bern
Course Overview

Section 1: Valuation and Financial Analysis


Section 2: Financial Statements: Articulation
Section 3: Financial Statements: Reformulation
Section 4: Standard Valuation Models
Section 5: Residual Earnings Valuation
Section 6: Abnormal Earnings Growth Valuation
Section 7: Ratios and Multiple Analysis
Section 8: The Analysis of Leverage
Section 9: The Analysis of Growth
Section 10: The Analysis of Accounting

Source: All slides in this presentation build on Penman, Stephen (2010): Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation, 4th Ed.
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Introduction

What will you learn in Section 2?

The articulation of financial statements:


Learn how the components of financial statements relate to each
other
Learn about motives and the role of accrual accounting as
compared to cash flow information
Learn how to shift the perspective to the operating business of the
firm

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Introduction: Relating financial statements to the business

For fundamental analysis and valuation we need to understand the


business of the firm

One does not buy a stock, one buys a business

Financial statements provide the information we are interested in

Financial reports are the lens on the business

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Learning objective: How do the components of financial statements fit together?

Beginning stocks Flows Ending stocks

Beginning Balance Sheet Ending Balance Sheet

Cash (Net change in cash) Cash

+ Other Assets + Other Assets


Statement of Shareholders Equity
Total Assets Total Assets
Net Investment by owners
- Liabilities - Liabilities
Net income and other earnings
= Owners equity = Net change in owners equity = Owners equity

Income Statement
Revenues
- Expenses
= Net income

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Balance sheet: The STOCK component

The balance sheet equation: Assets minus liabilities equal equity

Asset. An asset is a resource controlled by the entity as a


result of past events and from which future economic benefits
are expected to flow to the entity. [F 4.4(a)]
Liability. A liability is a present obligation of the entity arising
from past events, the settlement of which is expected to result
in an outflow from the entity of resources embodying economic
benefits. [F 4.4(b)]

Asset/Liability-principle
End-of period focus: Assets minus liabilities measure equity,
the residual economic benefit in accounting terms
Fair Value-measurement: Mark-to-market measurement if
possible

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation
Income statement: The FLOW component

Income statement equation: Revenue minus costs equals income


Economic benefits of the period (update equity)
Comprehensive Income (CI): Net Income plus Other
Comprehensive Income (OCI, see also section 3)

Income. Income is increases in economic benefits during the


accounting period in the form of inflows or enhancements of assets
or decreases of liabilities that result in increases in equity, other than
those relating to contributions from equity participants. [F 4.25(a)]

Matching principle:
Focus on changes: Match costs with revenue for each accounting
period to measure income, the change in economic benefits
Historic cost accounting
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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Equity statement: Equity is the residual claim of shareholders

Change in claims of shareholders in each period form


Comprehensive income1 (revenues and costs from market
transactions and (re-) valuation of assets and liabilities) and
Transactions with owners, i.e. net dividends: Payments to
shareholders (dividends, share repurchases) less amounts
received from shareholder (share issues)

Equity. Equity is the residual interest in the assets of the entity after
deducting all its liabilities. [F 4.4(c)]

Residual principle:
Accounting residual vs. value: Measurement of accounting equity
follows from the measurement of assets

1 Not including dirty surplus items in reformulated comprehensive income (see section 3) page 8
2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Cash Flow statement: The other FLOW component

Cash flows from operating, financing and investment activities


The potential to generate cash determines success or failure
The cash flow statement depicts sources and uses of cash:
No measurement, rather a listing

Cash flows are inflows and outflows of cash and cash equivalents.
.. subject to an insignificant risk of changes in value. [IAS 7]

Balance of:
Source of funds: Free cash flow from operations
Use of funds: Cash to debt and equity
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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Cash Flow statement: Why not just cash-accounting?

Focus on value generation and value consumption: Cash flows


may not relate to the business and value generation of the firm
Financing and investment: Capital contributions / dividends
are transactions with shareholders. Investment intends to
create future value
Timing: The time of receiving cash is often not the time where
value is generated

Fundamental intention of double entry book-keeping: Using


accruals to associate generation and consumption of value
Measurement and timing of value generation

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Accounting accruals: Measurement under double-entry book


keeping

Periodization of cash flows and timing of value recognition


Non-cash related economic benefits (e.g. customer
receivables, revaluations of assets and liabilities)
Cash related changes without economic benefits (e.g.
investment, transactions with shareholders)

Issues with accruals: Informative value, relevance and reliability


(see section 10 on conservatism)

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

How do the components of financial statements fit together?


Beginning stocks Flows Ending stocks

Beginning Balance Sheet Ending Balance Sheet

Cash (Net change in cash) Cash

+ Other Assets + Other Assets


Statement of Shareholders Equity
Total Assets Total Assets
Net Investment by owners
- Liabilities - Liabilities
Net income and other earnings
= Owners equity = Net change in owners equity = Owners equity

Income Statement
Revenues
- Expenses
= Net income

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Learning objective: Accounting relations of operating and financing


activities operations investments and financing

Cus- OR C F Debt
tomers holders
Net
Net
oper-
financial
ating
assets
assets
(NFA)
(NOA)
Suppli- OE I d Share-
ers holder

The creation The distribution


of value of value
F = net cash flow to debtholders and issuers
d = net cash flow to shareholders
C = cash flow from operations
I = cash investment
OR = operating revenue page 13
OE = operating expense
2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Financing activities: Sources

Transactions with shareholders (d) F Debt


Net dividend to shareholders: holders
Dividends and share repurchases Net
less contributions of shareholders financial
assets
(NFA)
d
Transactions with debtholders (F) Share-
holder
Net debt financing flow: Interest and
principle repayments less cash
received from debtholders

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Financing activities: Net financial assets


(NFA) / Net financial obligations (NFO)

NFA = FA FO (FA > FO); F Debt


holders

Net
NFO = FO FA (FO > FA) financial
assets
(NFA)
Net financial assets: The firm has excess d Share-
cash / debt instruments as assets on the holder
balance sheet

Net financial obligations: The firm is a net


issuer of debt (as liabilities on balance
sheet)

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Financing activities: Net financial expense


(NFE) / Net financial interest (NFI)

F
NFE = Financial expense (FE) Financial Debt
holders
income (FI); FE > FI, usually if FO > FA Net
financial
assets
NFI = FI FE; FI > FE, usually if FA > FO (NFA)
d Share-
holder
Flows from transactions in financial
markets (e.g. interest earnings): Usually
no source of value generation

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Financing activities: Changes in Net financial


assets (NFA) / Net financial obligations (NFO)

+ NFA = + increase lending or reduce F Debt


borrowing + NFI d holders

Net
financial
assets
+ NFO = + increase borrowing or reduce (NFA)
lending + NFE - d d Share-
holder

Cash flows with debtholders and


shareholders determine NFA / NFO

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation
Operating activities: Net operating assets

NOA = OA - OL OR
Cus-
tomers
Operating assets and liabilities: Assets and Net
oper-
liabilities used in the business of producing ating
and selling goods and services to assets
(NOA)
customers OE
Suppli-
ers

Net operating liabilities higher than


operating assets? Unusual and the firm
needs NFA for equity to be positive

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating activities: Operating income

OI = Operating revenue (OR) Operating Cus-


OR
tomers
expense (OE)
Net
oper-
ating
Flows from transactions in product or assets
(NOA)
service markets (e.g. machines): Source OE
Suppli-
of value generation ers

Measurement of value generation by


accruals

Measurement of OI usually after tax

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating activities: Free cash flow from


operations

C-I C

Operating cash flow (C): Net cash flow from Net


Net
operations, i.e. revenues less (cash) costs oper-
financial
for wages etc. ating
assets
assets
(NFA)
(NOA)
Investment cash flow (I): Cash investment in I
operations

Making use of NOA should create cash (C)


that can be invested in NFA (reduce NFO)
unless investment is high (I)

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating activities: Free cash


flow sources
Cus-
OR C
CI = OI - NOA tomers
Net
Net
oper-
financial
ating
Free cash flow derive from assets
assets
(NFA)
(NOA)
operations or from liquidating OE I
Suppli-
operating assets ers

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating activities: Net operating


asset sources
Cus-
OR C
tomers
NOAt = NOAt-1 + OI - (CI)
Net
Net
oper-
financial
ating
NOA increase by operating assets
assets
(NFA)
(NOA)
income NOA decrease by the flow OE I
Suppli-
to NFA (Free cash flows) ers

Accruals affect NOA via OI

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating activities: The role of accruals

OI - NOA = CI

OI C NOA I

Income w/o cash flow: Accounting valuations of assets and


liabilities different to cash flows (no cash investment). Revenue
and expenses w/o cash flows (e.g. receivables)
No income w cash flow: Accruals that off-set cash flows, e.g.
investment that is recognised (later depreciation is a negative
accrual)

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating and financing activities:


Cash Conservation Property

C F Debt
C-I = d + F holders
Net
Net
oper-
financial
What is generated will be paid to ating
assets
assets
capital providers (NOA)
(NFA)
I d Share-
holder

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating and financing activities:


Free cash flow use

C F
C-I = NFA NFI + d, Debt
holders
or: C-I = NFE NFO + d Net
Net
oper-
financial
ating
assets
assets
(NFA)
Free cash flow use: Investment (NOA)
I d Share-
in financial assets or distribution holder

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Financing activities: Free cash flow use

The treasurers rule:


If C I i d : lend or buy down own debt
If C I i d : borrow or reduce lending

Where: i is net interest outflow (net interest paid minus net


interest earned after tax, payments in NFE net of tax)

From C-I = d + F, it is obvious that investments in financial assets


/ liabilities are necessary to equilibrate cash flows

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Operating and financing activities:


Net financial assets

C F
NFAt = NFAt-1 + (CI) + NFI d, Debt
holders
Net
Net
oper-
financial
NFOt = NFOt-1 - (CI) + NFE + d ating
assets
assets
(NFA)
(NOA)
I d Share-
NFA increases by the flow from holder
NOA (subject to NFI) and
decreases by the flow to owners

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Financing activities: Getting back to dividends

The dividend drivers equation: F Debt


d C - I NFI - NFA if FA > FO holders

d C - I - NFE NFO if FO> FA Net


financial
assets
(NFA)
d Share-
holder

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

How do flows map with financing and operating activities?

Cus- OR C F Debt
tomers holders
Net
Net
oper-
financial
ating
assets
assets
(NFA)
(NOA)
Suppli- OE I d Share-
ers holder F = net cash flow to
debtholders and issuers
d = net cash flow to
shareholders
OR OE = OI C = cash flow from
OI NOA = C - I operations
I = cash investment
C I = NFA - NFI + d OR = operating revenue
OE = operating expense
OI = operating income
Operating Activities NFI = net financial income
Financing Activities

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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

How do stocks map with financing and operating activities?

Cus- OR C F Debt
tomers holders
Net
Net
oper-
financial
ating
assets
assets
(NFA)
(NOA)
Suppli- OE I d Share-
ers holder
CSE = Common Shareholder
Equity
NOA = Net Operating Assets
CSE = NOA + NFA NFA = Net Financial Assets
CSE = NOAt-1 + OI - (C-I) + NFAt-1 + (C-I) + NFI - d C-I = Free Cash Flow from
operations
CSE = CSEt-1 + CI - d d = Net dividends
CI = Comprehensive Income
OI = operating income
NFI = net financial income
Operating Activities
Financing Activities
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2 Financial Statements: Articulation

Exercises: Penman, Financial Analysis

Chapter 2 Exercises:
Exercise E2.3., p. 61
Exercise E2.7., p.62

Chapter 7 Exercises:
Exercise E7.2., p. 252
Exercise E7.5., p. 253

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