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The Value of Derivatives

International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc.


WHO USES DERIVATIVES AND WHY?
MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL TRADE TRANSPORTATION

FINANCING COSTS EXCHANGE RATES FUEL COSTS

MANUFACTURERS USE DERIVA- ALL TYPES OF COMPANIES USE AIRLINES USE DERIVATIVES TO
TIVES TO MANAGE THE COST OF DERIVATIVES TO HEDGE THEIR HEDGE FUEL COSTS, WHICH
CAPITAL THEY BORROW TO EXPOSURE IN INTERNATIONAL HELPS THEM KEEP TICKET
INVEST IN THEIR BUSINESSES. MARKETS, WHICH HELPS THEM PRICES STABLE.
REMAIN COMPETITIVE.

THOUSANDS DERIVATIVES USERS 500 LARGEST


30+ CURRENCIES
Derivatives are transacted
are institutional customers around the world in more than
of companies in all industries corporations, investment 30 currencies. The worlds 500 largest compa-
and in all regions use OTC managers, governments, nies based in Canada, France,
derivatives to manage the risks insurers, energy and commodi- Great Britain, Japan and the
arising from their business and ties firms and international Netherlands use derivatives to
financial activities. Derivatives and regional banks and manage risk. More than 90% of
are essential to global economic financial institutions. those in Germany and the U.S.
activity and growth. also do so.
FINANCIAL SERVICES ENERGY ASSET MANAGEMENT

INTEREST RATES PRODUCTION COSTS CREDIT RISK

BANKS USE DERIVATIVES TO EXPLORERS, PRODUCERS FUND MANAGERS USE


MANAGE INTEREST RATE RISK SO AND DISTRIBUTORS OF DERIVATIVES TO HEDGE THE
THEY CAN OFFER MORE LOANS ENERGY USE DERIVATIVES TO CREDIT RISK OF THEIR
AND BETTER PRICING TO BUSI- MANAGE CHANGES IN ENERGY INVESTMENTS AND HELP CLIENTS
NESSES AND CONSUMERS. PRICES AND REDUCE VOLATILITY MEET THEIR RETIREMENT AND
FOR CONSUMERS. SAVINGS NEEDS.

INTEREST RATE WITHOUT OTC


65 %
IN A RECENT SURVEY OF
END-USERS:

85% said derivatives were


The derivatives most commonly
used by end-users are interest
very important or important to
their risk management strategy.
79% said they plan to increase or
DERIVATIVES of daily interest rate derivatives
rate and foreign exchange end-users would have to use less
instruments, followed maintain their use of OTC effective hedges, which could trade volume is between
by commodity, credit and derivatives. create income statement non-dealer and dealer firms.
equity products. volatility, leave the risk un-
VERY IMPORTANT/IMPORTANT 85% hedged or forego the underlying
INCREASE OR MAINTAIN 79% economy activity.
ANATOMY OF THE OTC MARKET
NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING ($ trillions)

$25
$3

$81
$7
$50

COMMODITY DERIVATIVES
EQUITY DERIVATIVES
CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS
FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
OPTIONS DERIVATIVES

$89
FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
(FRAs) GROSS MARKET VALUE AFTER
NETTING MEASURES THE GROSS
CREDIT EXPOSURES BETWEEN
OTC DERIVATIVES COUNTER-
PARTIES. IT PROVIDES A MORE
ACCURATE VIEW OF RISK
EXPOSURES THAN NOTIONAL

INTEREST RATE SWAPS OUTSTANDING. COLLATERAL-


IZATION FURTHER REDUCES
RISK. AFTER FACTORING IN
THE IMPACT OF COLLATERAL,
GROSS CREDIT EXPOSURE
IS ABOUT 0.2% TO 0.3%
OF NOTIONAL.
(Source: BIS)
$437

INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES: $577 TRILLION TOTAL NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING: $693 TRILLION (AS OF JUNE 30, 2013)

$2.3 TRILLION INTEREST RATE SWAPS


CDS ACTIVITY THE GLOBAL STOCK OF DEBT AND
EQUITY OUTSTANDING INCLUDES:
During 2013, daily credit default
($ trillions) Single currency interest rate
swap (CDS) market risk transac-
The average daily turnover of tion activity was about 7,100 NON-SECURED LENDING $62 swaps comprised about 75% of
daily interest rate derivatives
OTC derivatives is about $2.3
trillion. The daily turnover of
trades. Index activity averaged
2,680 per day and single-name
EQUITY $50 transactions and 34% of daily
exchange-traded derivatives is
more than double that amount.
CDS averaged 4,390 per day. GOVERNMENT BONDS $47 notional traded, according to
a Federal Reserve Bank of
$42
(Source: DTCC)
(Source: BIS Triennial Survey) FINANCIAL BONDS New York study.

OTC DERIVATIVES $25


The gross market value of OTC
derivatives (before netting) is
$25 trillion and after netting and
collateral it is $1 trillion.
(Source: McKinsey; ISDA)
NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING AND GROSS MARKET VALUE (AFTER NETTING)

YE 2011 YE 2012 1H 2013


NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING

647.8 632.6 692.9

3.9 3.6 3.9


GROSS MARKET VALUE GROSS MARKET VALUE GROSS MARKET VALUE
AFTER NETTING AFTER NETTING AFTER NETTING

0.6% 0.6% 0.6%


CDS MARKET TRADING ACTIVITY (In thousands)

80 CDS MARKET RISK ACTIVITY


REFLECTS TRADING VOLUME
THAT RESULTS IN A CHANGE IN
MARKET RISK POSITIONS. ISDA
60
SWAPSINFO (SWAPSINFO.ORG)
CHARTS SUCH ACTIVITY
BY NOTIONAL AND TRADE
40
COUNT ON A WEEKLY
BASIS SINCE 2010.

20

WHAT DOES TRADING CONSIST OF?


SWAPS TRADING
Average daily trading in interest
TURNOVER BY GEO
rate swaps is $1.4 trillion or 60% The UK accounts for just under
Nearly 2/3 of daily interest rate Trades between dealers are
of the total volume. Turnover 50% of daily global OTC deriva-
derivatives trade volume is about 35% of average daily
of FRAs is about one-third of tives turnover. North America is
between end-user and dealer volume. Inter-dealer trading
the total. 24%, continental Europe is 18%
firms. These end-users include is an important part of the
(Source: BIS Triennial Survey)
and Asia-Pacific is 8%.
non-financial corporates, derivatives market-making
government entities, smaller function.
commercial banks, mutual
funds, pension funds, insurance
companies and other financial
institutions.
(Source: BIS Triennial Survey)
THE OTC MARKET AND HOW ITS CHANGING
($ trillions)

$834-$852
1

$259
2

IRD notional
assuming no
compression over
past 5 years
Less: compressed
IRD (gross amount)

$575-$593 $226
3

Actual IRD notional

Less: double-
counting of cleared
IRD notional

$349-$367 $22
Adjusted IRD notional

Less cl
IRD no

%
90 + THE CLEARABLE CLEARING
doubles the notional outstand- COMPRESSION
More than 90% of the global
IRD MARKET ing of a trade, as one bilateral
trade between two counterpar-
ties becomes two cleared trades
Since portfolio compression
first started, about $295 trillion
segment consists primarily of of OTC interest rate derivatives
interest rate derivatives market between the counterparties and
interest rate swaps ($337 trillion, has been eliminated. Also, $90
that can be mandated for the clearing house. Thats why
of which 80%+ are cleared), trillion of CDS contracts has
clearing has been cleared. its important to adjust market
forward rate agreements been terminated via compres-
($77 trillion, 95% cleared), size to reflect the impact of
sion over the years.
overnight indexed swaps clearing.
($55 trillion, 90%+ cleared)
and basis swaps ($30 trillion,
40%+ cleared).
Compression has reduced the size of the OTC interest rate derivatives
market by 30% in recent years. Progress in central clearing continues;
more than 90% of IRD outstanding that can and will be cleared has
been cleared.

26

leared
otional

$123-$141 $80
4

$8
Less non-clearable 5

$29
Non-cleared IRD 6
IRD products

$7-25
notional

Less clearable
IRD in non-clearable Less IRD with
non-financial Remaining
currencies non-cleared IRD
corporates

TRANSPARENCY
1
At year-end 2013, the notional outstanding of interest rate derivatives at DTCCs Global Trade Repository was $575 trillion. The year-end BIS
semiannual survey, which also reports notional outstanding, was not available at the time of this documents publication. The BIS survey has reported
amounts outstanding that range from 1% to 3% higher than the DTCC GTR. For purposes of this analysis, we use a range to describe IRD
notional outstanding (the DTCC GTR figure of $575 trillion and an estimated notional amount that is 3% higher). Compressed IRD is
OTC derivatives trade reporting then added to this figure.
is now mandatory in major 2
TriOptima data
jurisdictions, ensuring regula- 3
Includes $212 trillion, $9 trillion and $6 trillion notional cleared (after double-counting) at SwapClear, CME and JSCC, respectively, as of
tors have transparency into December 31, 2013.
activity and exposures. 4
According to DTCC data, the notional value of non-clearable products at December 31, 2013 was: $30 trillion of swaptions, $30 trillion of cross-currency
swaps, $12 trillion of options, $3.0 trillion of inflation swaps, and $4 trillion of other.
5
Based on analysis of DTCC and SwapClear data, approx. $9 trillion of IRD is denominated in currencies that cant be cleared. Of this, $8 trillion is in
products that could otherwise be cleared.
6
According to BIS mid-year 2013 data, the notional value of swaps with non-financial corporates (NFC) was $35.8 trillion. Assuming this figure breaks
down in the same percentage between clearable (77-78%) and non-clearable (22-23%), about $29 trillion of it would consist of clearable products that
are exempt from clearing mandates and $8 trillion of it would consist of non-clearable products.
THE VALUE OF NON-CLEARED DERIVATIVES
NON-CLEARABLE INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES ($ trillions)

SWAPTIONS CROSS-CURRENCY SWAPS OPTIONS

$30 $30 $12


NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING

INFLATION SWAPS OTHER

$3 $4
NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING NOTIONAL OUTSTANDING

(Source: DTCC)

SWAPTIONS CROSS-CURRENCY INTEREST RATE INFLATION SWAPS


are essentially an option to enter
into an interest rate swap in the SWAPS OPTIONS are used by utilities, infrastruc-
ture companies and others that
future. Borrowers often use are widely used by financial and have a huge variety of uses and need to hedge inflation-linked
them in anticipation of future non-financial institutions as a are adopted by multiple types of revenues. In many cases, these
funding requirements. They means of converting debt issued end-users from corporate firms are bound by statute to
provide users such as insurers, overseas to home currency. The issuers wanting to cap float- raise their prices by an amount
pension funds and other product allows firms to diversify ing-rate borrowing costs, to life linked to inflation. As such, they
investors managing large pools their investor base and benefit insurance companies managing are keen to match the structure
of liabilities with flexibility from potentially favorable the lapse risk on their policies, of their liabilities with that of
to protect themselves against funding costs elsewhere but to mortgage lenders hedging their revenues.
an adverse move in rates while without exposing them to changes in interest rates.
still being able to benefit from mismatches in interest rates
any upside. and currency.
CLEARABLE AND NON-CLEARABLE INTEREST RATE DERIVATIVES NOTIONAL ($ trillions)

$29
$8 IRD WITH NON-FINANCIALS
$80 CLEARABLE IRD PRODUCTS
IN NON-CLEARABLE
CURRENCIES

NON-CLEARABLE IRD
PRODUCTS

CLEARABLE IRD
$459
-477

NON-FINANCIAL
NON-CLEARABLE CURRENCIES
$9 TRILLION ($ trillions) NON-CLEARED
Approximately $8 trillion of the 0.87 DERIVATIVES
CORPORATES
BRAZILIAN REAL

interest rate market comprises


products that are available for
KOREAN WON 1.98 do not inherently pose more
risk than clearable transactions.
clearing, but in currencies that MEXICAN PESO 1.74 Non-financial corporates and Many factors determine whether
cant be cleared. Another $1
trillion is in products that cant OTHER 4.58 governments, most of which
would qualify for clearing
a product can be cleared,
including its liquidity, standard-
be cleared. The Brazilian real, TOTAL 9.12 exemptions, account for $36 ization, risk characteristics and
Korean won and Mexican peso trillion of outstanding interest complexity.
together account for roughly CLEARABLE
rate derivatives. Some of this
$4.6 trillion in notional out- NON-CLEARABLE
amount would encompass trades
standing of transactions that are in non-clearable products.
not currently cleared.
ISDA: SAFE,EFFICIENT MARKETS

THE SOURCE FOR THE ARCHITECT OF A AN ADVOCATE FOR THE VOICE FOR THE
ROBUST AND TRUSTED SECURE AND EFFICIENT EFFECTIVE RISK MANAGE- GLOBAL DERIVATIVES
DOCUMENTATION INFRASTRUCTURE MENT AND CLEARING MARKET

PROVIDING PROMOTING ENHANCING REPRESENTING THE


STANDARDIZED INFRASTRUCTURE THAT COUNTERPARTY AND DERIVATIVES INDUSTRY
DOCUMENTATION SUPPORTS AN ORDERLY MARKET RISK PRACTICES THROUGH PUBLIC POLICY,
GLOBALLY TO ENSURE AND RELIABLE MARKET- AND ADVANCING THE ISDA GOVERNANCE, ISDA
LEGAL CERTAINTY AND PLACE AS WELL AS EFFECTIVE USE OF SERVICES, EDUCATION
MAXIMUM RISK TRANSPARENCY TO CENTRAL CLEARING AND COMMUNICATION
REDUCTION THROUGH REGULATORS FACILITIES AND TRADE
NETTING AND REPOSITORIES
COLLATERALIZATION

800 +
MEMBERSHIP BREAKDOWN GEOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN TYPES OF MEMBERS

END-USERS 42% EUROPE 43% BANKS 30%


DEALERS 24% NORTH AMERICA 35% LAW FIRMS 24%
Members headquartered in SERVICE PROVIDERS 34% ASIA-PACIFIC 13% ASSET MANAGERS 10%
4% 10%
62 COUNTRIES AFRICA/MIDDLE EAST GOVERNMENT ENTITIES

JAPAN 4% ENERGY/COMMODITY FIRMS 8%


6%
and active in many more.
LATIN AMERICA 1% DIVERSIFIED FINANCIALS

OTHER 13%
International Swaps and Derivatives Association, Inc.
www.isda.org

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