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Dishman Pharmaceuticals & Chemicals Ltd
Industry HDFCSec Scrip Code CMP Recommendation Sequential Targets Time Horizon
Pharmaceuticals DISPHAEQNR Rs. 343.45 Buy at CMP and add on dips between Rs. 315-321 band Rs. 378 & Rs. 423 2-3 quarters
Company Profile
Dishman is a global outsourcing partner for the pharmaceutical industry offering a portfolio of development, scale-up and manufacturing services. Incorporated in
1983, Dishman is an integrated CRAMS player. The company has 23 multi-purpose facilities across Bavla, Naroda, Manchester, Switzerland, Netherlands and Shanghai
and a dedicated production facility for APIs and intermediates in Bavla. Almost all the facilities are approved by health authorities (USFDA, MEB, SWISS MEDIC, ANSM,
TGA, WHO, KFDA). Dishman operates mainly under two segments CRAMS and Marketable Molecules. Its cost-effective, high quality research, development and
manufacturing services includes the production and supply of tailor-made, high-quality Intermediates and innovative and generic Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients
(APIs) straddling the entire pharmaceutical value chain. This diversity in capabilities allows a pharma client to stick with Dishman across all stages of a products lifespan
right from pilot proof of concept to proven and commercial mass production. This has enabled the company to forge a strong relationship with the customers, from
biotech to multinational pharma companies in the key advanced markets of the United States, Europe and Asia.
Carbogen Amcis (a business unit) represents the relationship with customers from early to mid-stages of a product lifecycle. Dishman India represents relationship with
customers from mid to mature stages of the same products lifecycle. The two brands deliver complex solutions to suit the varied needs of its global customers large
and small more appropriately. Among the 100% owned companies, Carbogen Amcis AG and Dishman Netherlands B.V. were the major revenue contributors at 50% in
FY15 (FY14: 47%) and 17% (17%), respectively.
Dishman offers products like Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients, High Potent APIs, Intermediates, Phase transfer catalysts, Vitamin D, Vitamin D analogues, Cholesterol,
Lanolin-related products, Antiseptic and disinfectant formulations.
Recent Updates
For Q3FY16, Total Revenues of Dishman Pharma fell marginally by 0.9% YoY to Rs 388.7 crore, primarily due to change in product mix. In Carbogen Amcis,
revenues declined as a result of minimum inventory build-up as required by the customers before actual sales. This revenue will be recognized in Q4. The
overall performance is on track backed by optimum capacity utilisation of 95% and strong order book of ~ CHF 100 mn. For the CRAMS India business, revenue
growth was driven by strong traction in in high quality commercial manufacturing and developmental orders. The Hypo division also shows healthy pickup in
revenues. For CRAMS UK, revenues declined due to lower Non-GMP work during Q3FY16; however the activity is expected to increase in Q4FY16. In Vitamin D
business, revenues declined as the company continued to consolidate its focus on high margin Vitamin D analogues. As far as the Chinese facility is concerned,
revenues of Rs. 7.5 crore revenue in Q3FY16 with 45% EBITDA Margin were driven by increased capacity utilization at the facility.
Due to a significant drop in raw material cost and cost efficiencies, the operating profit came in at Rs. 110 crore, up by 48.8% YoY thus boosting OPM to 28.8%
from 19.2% in Q3FY15. However, there was a rise in employee cost of about 15% YoY to Rs. 130.12 crore and as a percentage to sales also it increased to 34% as
against 29.4% in Q3FY15. This was on account of increments, bonuses to employees, and recruitment of more employees in Carbogen Amcis due to increase in
the proportion of developmental work, which requires more people. The rise in EBITDA margin was also backed by healthy capacity utilisation, execution of high
margin commercial and development orders, process improvement and bulk purchase of raw materials at lower prices. Due to lower interest cost, down by 28%
Particulars - Rs.Cr Q3FY16 Q3FY15 % Chg Q2FY16 % Chg 9MFY16 9MFY15 % Chg
Net Sales 382.47 385.84 -0.9% 373.66 2.4% 1156.18 1139.73 1.4%
Other operating income 6.27 3.84 63.3% 7.49 -16.3% 17.76 11.8 50.5%
Total Operating Income 388.7 389.7 -0.2% 381.2 2.0% 1173.9 1151.5 1.9%
Gross Profit 298.1 258.4 15.3% 283.4 5.2% 895.5 789.0 13.5%
Revenues Segment wise Breakup (Rs. in Mn) Q3FY16 Q3FY15 YoY (%) 9MFY16 9MFY15 YoY (%)
CRAMS (% of Total) 76.5% 75.5% 63.0% 63.0%
CRAMS - India 799.8 648.9 23.3% 2038 1862 9.5%
CRAMS - Carbogen Amcis 1874.5 1931.5 -3.0% 5526.1 5546 -0.4%
CRAMS - UK 252.6 333.1 -24.2% 578.2 711.5 -18.7%
Marketable Molecules (% of Total) 24% 25% 37% 37%
Vitamin D 321.9 442.5 -27.3% 1726.8 1646.9 4.9%
Others 575.9 502.4 14.6% 1692.6 1630.8 3.8%
Total 3824.7 3858.4 -0.9% 11561.7 11397.2 1.4%
(Source: Company, HDFC sec)
The recent Amalgamation Scheme (details provided above) will provide a high level of synergistic integration, better operational management and provide value
addition. It would re-emphasise the strategy of One Company, Two Brands with both Dishman and Carbogen Amcis brands being reflected in the trade name of
one company. Synergies arising out of consolidation of business will lead to enhancement of net worth of the combined business and reflection of true net-worth in the
financial statements, improved alignment of debt and enhancement in earnings and cash flow. The next stage of consolidation (though a few years away) could be
merging Carbogen Amcis with Dishman to create one large integrated company with both Dishman and Carbogen brands facing the entire client community.
At the CMP of Rs.343.45, the stock is trading at 14.4x FY17RE EPS of Rs.23.9 and 11.4x FY18E EPS of Rs 30.2. We think investors can buy the stock at the CMP and add on
dips between Rs. 315-321 band (~10.5x FY18E EPS) for sequential targets of Rs. 378 and Rs. 423 (~12.5-14x FY18E EPS) over the next 2-3 quarters.
Financial Estimates
Particulars (Rs in Cr) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16OE FY16RE FY17OE FY17RE FY18E
Net Sales 1124.1 1272.2 1385.3 1575.2 1733.4 1569.3 1994.3 1758.3 2013.3
Operating Profit 224.5 290.1 332.1 313.6 431.3 419.4 492.7 455.6 537.2
OPM (%) 20.0% 22.8% 24.0% 19.9% 24.9% 26.7% 24.7% 25.9% 26.7%
PAT 56.8 100.3 109.3 119.8 146.4 169.5 165.6 192.7 243.4
PAT Margin (%) 5.0% 7.9% 7.9% 7.6% 8.4% 10.8% 8.3% 11.0% 12.1%
EPS (Rs.) 7.0 12.4 13.5 14.8 18.1 21.0 20.5 23.9 30.2
PE (x) 48.8 27.6 25.4 23.1 18.9 16.3 16.7 14.4 11.4
(OE: Original Estimates, RE: Revised Estimates) (Source: Company, HDFC sec)
Particulars (Rs. Cr.) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E
Equity & Liabilities
Shareholders Funds 928.8 1030.8 1177.2 1237.8 1368.5 1507.7 1688.0
Share Capital* 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1
Reserves & Surplus 912.7 1014.7 1161.1 1221.7 1352.3 1491.6 1671.8
Share Application money pending allotment 1.8 3.7 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total Equity & Liabilities 2248.9 2291.0 2627.8 2809.0 2940.2 3108.5 3347.6
Assets
Non-Current Assets 1625.1 1617.8 1803.2 1795.4 1941.6 2071.7 2204.6
Fixed Assets 1451.3 1470.2 1584.1 1582.7 1686.3 1803.9 1930.3
Tangible Assets 809.5 1145.7 1257.8 1184.5 1279.2 1381.6 1492.1
Intangible Assets 211.3 214.9 235.1 244.2 249.1 261.5 274.6
Capital Work-in-Progress 418.2 97.4 78.9 141.8 137.6 140.3 143.1
Goodwill on consolidation 12.3 12.3 12.3 12.3 20.5 20.5 20.5
Non-Current Investments 26.3 24.9 24.9 25.0 28.4 30.0 32.0
Long -term Loans and Advances 146.2 119.9 193.0 187.1 225.5 236.8 241.5
Other non-current assets 1.2 2.8 1.2 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.8
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RETAIL RESEARCH
RETAIL RESEARCH
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