Professional Documents
Culture Documents
FISCAL POLICY OF
INDIA
A REPORT
RAGHAVENDRA.K
12/18/2009
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Contents
Contents...................................................................................................................... 2
Introduction.............................................................................................................. 3
Overview of Fiscal Policy.......................................................................................3
Objectives of Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries..............................................4
ROLE OF FISCAL POLICY........................................................................................5
INSTRUMENTS OF FISCAL POLICY.............................................................................6
I. BUDGET:-........................................................................................................... 6
Revenue Deficit and Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act (FRBMA)...7
II.TAXATION........................................................................................................... 7
III.PUBLIC EXPENDITURE........................................................................................9
IV. GOVERNMENT BORROWING:..........................................................................11
V.DEFICIT FINANCING..........................................................................................13
NEED FOR DEFICIT FINANCING:..............................................................................14
FISCAL POLICY STRATEGY STATEMENT..................................................................14
A. FISCAL POLICY OVERVIEW...............................................................................14
B. FISCAL POLICY FOR 2009-10...........................................................................16
Tax Policy ........................................................................................................... 17
Central Excise........................................................................................................ 18
Customs................................................................................................................. 18
Direct Taxes........................................................................................................... 19
Objective................................................................................................................ 20
Contingent and other Liabilities.............................................................................21
Government Borrowings, Lending and Investments...............................................22
Initiatives in Public Expenditure Management.......................................................24
Fiscal Policy Can Be Divided In Two Types.............................................................25
I) DISCRETIONARY FISCAL POLICY FOR STABILISATION.......................................26
Fiscal Policy to cure recession:............................................................................26
Fiscal Policy to Control inflation: ........................................................................29
NON_DISCRETIONARY FISCAL POLICY: AUTOMATIC STABILIZERS..........................30
EFFECTIVENESS OF FISCAL POLICY........................................................................32
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Introduction
In order to overcome these handicaps, a suitable fiscal and taxation policy is called.
To mobilize resources for economic growth, especially for the public sector.
To promote economic growth in the private sector by providing incentives to
save an invest.
To restrain inflationary forces in the economic in order to ensure price
stability.
To ensure equitable distribution of income and wealth so that fruits of
economic growth are fairly distributed.
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In recent weeks, a number of signs have appeared suggesting that the recovery
of the U.S. economy from the recent recession is on a bumpy path. During the
second quarter of 2002, real GDP grew at an anemic annual rate of barely over 1%,
well below market expectations. Unemployment, after rising throughout 2001, has
leveled off but has yet to show signs of declining. Adding some gloom to the general
outlook, the stock market continued to drop through most of July and has remained
volatile. This sluggish economic performance comes despite substantial stimulus
from both monetary and fiscal policy. Since January 2001, the Federal Reserve has
reduced its benchmark policy interest rate, the federal funds rate, from 6.52% in
September 2000 to a current level of 1.75%. Fiscal policy also has become more
expansionary. The federal government budget has swung from a surplus of $236
billion in 2000 (2.5% of GDP) to a projected 2002 deficit of $157 billion (1.5% of
GDP) as the government has increased expenditures and reduced taxes. This active
use of fiscal policy during a recession is somewhat unusual. During the last U.S.
recession, in 1990, then President George H.W. Bush resisted attempts to use fiscal
policy to stimulate the economy. In fact, his Council of Economic Advisers, in their
February 1992 report, argued that increases in fiscal expenditures or reductions in
taxes might hamper the economy’s recovery. In contrast, during the current
recession, both Congress and the President have supported increases in
expenditures and tax cuts as ways to stimulate economic growth, culminating in the
passage of the Economic Recovery Act in March 2002.The current recession and the
1990–1991 recession offer contrasting examples of the use of fiscal policy, and they
also highlight some elements of the longstanding debate in economics over whether
fiscal policy can play a useful role in combating business cycle downturns. This
Economic Letter discusses some of the issues involved in using fiscal policy to help
stabilize short-run fluctuations in the economy.
policy is a powerful and least undesirable weapon on which the states can rely for
promoting economic development.
I. BUDGET:-
Keeping budget in balance, in surplus or deficit, is in itself a fiscal instrument.
When the government keeps its total expenditure equal to its revenue, as a matter
of policy, it means it has adopted a balanced budget policy. When the government
spends more than its expected revenue, as a matter of policy, it is pursuing a
deficit-budget policy. And when the government follows a policy of keeping its
expenditure substantially below its current revenue, it is following a surplus budget
policy.
Provisions of FRBMA
The main provisions of the FRBM Act in its original form were:
Revenue deficit as a ratio of GDP should be brought down by 0.5 per cent
every year and eliminated by 2007-08;
The fiscal deficit as a ratio of GDP should be reduced by 0.3 per cent every year and
brought down to 3 per cent by 2007-08;
The total liabilities of the Union Government should not rise by more than 9 per cent a
year;
The Union Government shall not give guarantee to loans raised by PSUs and State
governments for more than 0.5 per cent of GDP in the aggregate;
Further, the Union Government should place three documents along with the budget,
namely, the Macroeconomic Framework Statement, the Medium Term Fiscal Policy
Statement and the Fiscal Policy Strategy Statement. In addition, the Finance Minister will
have to make a statement at the end of the second quarter on the trend of fiscal indicators and
corrective measures if they deviate from the budget estimates beyond the extent stipulated in
the FRBM.
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Revenue deficit is the difference between the revenue expenditure and the revenue receipts
(the recurring income for the government). When a country runs a revenue deficit it means that
the government is unable to meet its running expenses from its recurring income.
The FRBMA was notified on July 2, 2004 and came into force on July 5, 2004. This Act
requires the reduction of fiscal deficit and elimination of revenue deficit by March 31, 2009. The
idea seems to be that deficit, if any, should be used to finance capital expenditure that leads to
asset formation and not on revenue expenditure, the benefits of which do not go beyond that
particular year.
For the year 2005-06, Finance Minister P Chidambaram has chosen to overlook the
requirements of FRBMA. The fiscal deficit for the year has been budgeted at 4.5 per cent of the
estimated GDP, this will be 0.1 per cent less than the required reduction. The revenue deficit
target for the year 2005-06, if FRBMA requirements were followed, it had to be at 1.8 per cent of
the GDP. But it has been budgeted at 2.7 per cent of the GDP.
Given the strong growth experienced by the Indian economy better progress could have been
made on this front. One reason for ignoring FRBMA for this year is the fact that the government
has increased grants to the states in line with the recommendations of the Twelfth Finance
Commission.
The government might miss its revenue deficit target of 2.7 per cent of the GDP in the
coming year on account of a likely undershooting of tax revenue collections, as highly optimistic
assumptions of tax revenue growth have been made. This would lead to the budgeted fiscal
deficit also shooting up.
II.TAXATION
A tax is a non quid pro quo payment by the people to the government. By this definition,
taxation means non quid pro quo transfer of private income to public coffers by means of taxes.
Taxation takes many forms in the developed countries including taxation of personal and
corporate income, so-called value added taxation and the collection of royalties or taxes on
specific sets of goods. Government may want to smooth out the nation's income in order to
minimize the pejorative effects of the business cycle or they may want to take steps designed to
increase the national income. They may also want to take steps intended to achieve specific social
objectives deemed to be appropriate by the political or legal process.
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Sound tax system, with moderate rates and a broad base, is an integral part of
the prudent fiscal policy. The expansion in the tax base is sought to be achieved
through expansion in the scope of taxes, specifically service tax, removal of
exemptions and improvement in tax administration. With a decline in non-tax
revenue receipts as a proportion of overall revenue receipts, the burden of fiscal
corrections is expected to be mainly on tax revenues. However, the measures to
increase the tax-GDP ratio must be harmonized with the overall growth objective.
The strategy seeks to increase tax compliance, improve the efficiency of tax
administration and with intense focus on recovery of arrears of tax revenues and
prevent further build-up of such arrears.
Agricultural taxation: This economic surplus mainly goes to rich farmers, landlords,
intermediaries in the absence of suitable taxation on agriculture. It has potential surplus & to
achieve maximum utilization of land through devising a system of land taxation which would
penalize poor use of good land.
Tax Reforms
1. Historically, rates of income tax in India have been quite high, almost punitive.
E.g. In 1973-94, the maximum marginal rate of individual income tax was as high as
97.7%. This proved to be counter productive. The income tax slabs were reduced &
the rates themselves have been scaled down.
Fiscal policy also changes the burden of future taxes. When the government runs an
expansionary fiscal policy, it adds to its stock of debt. Because the government will have to pay
interest on this debt (or repay it) in future years, expansionary fiscal policy today imposes an
additional burden on future taxpayers. Just as taxes can be used to redistribute income between
different classes, the government can run surpluses or deficits in order to redistribute income
between different generations.
Some economists have argued that this effect of fiscal policy on future taxes will lead
consumers to change their saving. Recognizing that a tax cut today means higher taxes in the
future, the argument goes; people will simply save the value of the tax cut they receive now in
order to pay those future taxes. The extreme of this argument, known as Ricardian Equivalence,
holds that tax cuts will have no effect on national saving, since changes in private saving will
offset changes in government saving. But if consumers decide to spend some of the extra
disposable income they receive from a tax cut (because they are myopic about future tax
payments, for example), then Ricardian Equivalence will not hold; a tax cut will lower national
saving and raise aggregate demand. The experience of the eighties, when private saving fell
rather than rose in response to tax cuts, is evidence against Ricardian Equivalence.
III.PUBLIC EXPENDITURE
significant part of the expenditure allocation would consist of food grain from the
Public Distribution System which would account for part of the wages of workers
employed in such schemes. This in turn means that the losses of the Food
Corporation of India (which also includes the cost of holding stocks) would go down
and hence the money would find its way back to the government. In both cases, the
increased expenditure has further multiplier effects because of the subsequent
spending of those whose incomes go up because of the initial expenditure. The
overall rise in economic activity in turn means that the government’s tax revenues
also increase. Therefore there is no increase in the fiscal deficit in such cases.
No. The PSUs that the government has been disinvesting in are the profit making
ones. Thus, while the government earns a lump-sum amount in one year, it loses the
profits that the PSU would have contributed to the exchequer in the future.
Therefore, it is not a good idea even if the objective is to reduce the fiscal deficit.
The expenditure of the government can be classified into plan expenditure and
non-plan expenditure. Plan expenditure is an expenditure that the government plans
to incur on a scheme to be implemented in a given year. For example, in the year
2003-04 (as per the revised estimates for that year), the government had allocated
Rs 2588.62 crore (Rs 25.886 billion) for construction of national highways.
The construction of the national highways in the year 2004-05 would involve expenditure on
aggregate, bitumen or cement (depending upon the nature of the road) and certain machinery.
This expenditure would be classified as capital expenditure. The labour charges would be
classified as revenue expenditure. Once the plan expenditure is over the maintenance of the road
would start. The expenditure on this would be non-plan and can be further categorized into non-
plan capital expenditure and non-plan revenue expenditure.
The government wants to invest in infrastructure, power, primary education, health and water
supply to put India on the fast track to growth. But it simply doesn't have the money to implement
its strategy. The deficit is essentially servicing current consumption and not financing capital
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investment, which should be the case. The current situation leads to a very interesting conclusion.
We all know that deficit financing involves the government financing its excess expenditure over
revenue through borrowing. Conventional wisdom tells us that money that is borrowed needs to
be invested in areas where the return generated is greater than interest to be paid on the debt (i.e.
the return generated should be greater than the cost of capital). But the government cannot always
work with the profit motive in mind. The government is not earning enough to pay back the
interest on its debt. So what is it doing? It is taking in more debt to repay its earlier debt and the
interest that is to be paid on the existing debt. Not a healthy sign one must say.
Government is keen that the funds reach the ultimate beneficiaries as speedily
as possible rather than remaining in the pipeline with the long chain of
intermediaries, including State Governments. While the House approves the
expenditures for specified objectives, there is avoidable delay in meeting those
objectives. The Government has tightened the fiscal discipline in this regard. The
Ministries have been advised to keep a close watch on the position of unspent
balances available with the State Governments and implementing agencies, and
insist upon furnishing of utilization certificates for funds released earlier, wherever
due under the Rules, before releasing more funds.
Borrowing is resorted to meet the uncovered gap between total expenditure and
total non-debt receipts of the Central Government. Central Government policy
towards borrowing to finance its fiscal deficit places greater reliance on domestic
market borrowings over external debt. Thus, the Government finances major part of
its deficit through resources raised at market determined interest rates. Central
Government is taking several steps to moderate the carrying cost of debt and clean-
up its debt/liability portfolio. Debt restructuring measures along with the policy of
fiscal rectitude as prescribed under FRBMA is expected to moderate the overall
public debt burden.
communication. They can help also in building up of the agricultural and industrial
base of the economy. Therefore public borrowing plays a very important role in
accelerating economic development of underdeveloped economies. Public debt
promotes saving and investment, the two most crucial determinants of economic
growth.
Moreover the resources of the organized money market may be too inadequate
to fulfill the needs both of the private and public sectors. In the financial market the
competition for funds between the government and private sector will raise rate of
interest and this will have a highly distinctive effect on the expansion of investment
in the private sector. In India the rates of interest on loans of government have been
raised quite substantially. Since banks and others prefer to invest in government
securities because they are safe (i.e., risk less). This has reduced the fund for
private investment.
V.DEFICIT FINANCING
Deficit financing refers to “created money”, i.e., creation of additions
purchasing power in the form of currency notes. According to the Indian planning
commission, deficit financing is equal to the net increase in the purchasing power of
the economy arising out of the operations of the government. Deficit financing is
said to have been practiced whenever government expenditure exceeds the
government receipts from the public, etc. such an excess of expenditure is financed
by borrowing from the Central Bank.
when central government borrows from RBI and the latter issues new currency it is
called monetization of government debt. It is the monetization of debt that lead to
the expansion in money supply due to Government’s fiscal deficit that was earlier
called deficit financing. However, in the modern terminology it is now called
monetization of fiscal deficit.
circumstances have been enumerated in the Fiscal Policy Strategy Statement and
Macro-Economic Framework Statement presented along with the Interim Budget
2009-10. The prevailing situation now as well as during the presentation of the
Interim Budget is in sharp contrast to the conditions at the time of presentation of
the Union Budget 2008-09 in February 2008 when the Indian economy was riding on
a high and impressive growth trajectory registering about 9 per cent of average
growth during 2004-08. This performance coupled with significant improvement in
fiscal indicators during the regime of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget
Management (FRBM) Act, 2003 inspired confidence in the medium to long term
prospects of the economy. The process of fiscal consolidation during these years
resulted in improvement in fiscal deficit from 5.9 per cent of GDP in 2002-03 to 2.7
per cent of GDP in 2007-08. During the same period, revenue deficit declined from
4.4 per cent to 1.1 per cent of GDP. The gradual reduction in fiscal deficit coupled
with higher rate of growth of GDP helped the total liabilities (net of MSS) to GDP
ratio of the Central Government improve from 69.1 per cent in 2002-03 to 56.5 per
cent in 2007-08.
3. However to mitigate the adverse effects of petroleum price rise, rise in prices
of other commodities and the huge crisis in the global financial system during 2008-
09, the Government had to explore suitable fiscal as well as monetary policy
options. During the first half of the financial year 2008-09, the focus of the monetary
as well as fiscal policy was more on containing inflation, which had reached 12.9 per
cent in August, 2008. Series of fiscal measures both on tax revenue and expenditure
side were undertaken with the objective of easing supply side constraints. These
measures were supplemented by monetary initiatives through policy rate changes
by the Reserve Bank of India which together with the fiscal measures contributed to
the softening of domestic prices. Headline inflation fell below 5 per cent in January
2009 and is now placed at (-) 1.3 per cent in June, 2009. However, the fiscal
measures undertaken through tax concessions and increased expenditure on food,
fertiliser and petroleum subsidies along with increased salary bills for implementing
the Sixth Central Pay Commission recommendations significantly impacted the
deficit position of the Government.
4. The global financial crisis in the second half of the financial year shifted the
focus of fiscal policy to providing growth stimulus. The moderation in growth of the
economy and the impact of the fiscal measures taken to stimulate growth has been
reflected in lower gross tax revenue receipts at Rs.6,09,705 crore as per the
provisional accounts of 2008-09 against B.E.2008-09 of Rs.6,87,715 crore. Additional
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5. The Country is still facing a difficult economic situation, the cause of which is
not emanating from within its boundaries. However, left unattended, the impact of
this crisis is going to affect us in medium to long term. The Government had two
policy options before it. In view of falling buoyancy in tax receipts, the Government
could have taken a decision to cut expenditure and thereby live within the
mandated deficit for the year as per the FRBM Rules. This could have resulted in an
adverse impact on the growth of the economy in the absence of investments,
thereby putting at risk the revival of the economy in the prevailing situation. The
second option was to increase public expenditure, even with lower revenue receipts,
and stimulate economy by creating demand and maintain the growth trajectory. The
Government preferred the second option of undertaking fiscal measures to increase
public expenditure in order to boost demand and increase investment in
infrastructure sector. The above decision of the Government was guided on the
principles of insulating the vulnerable sections of society and sectors of economy
from the impact of economic downturn and at the same time ensure revival of the
economy with higher growth. These measures are expected to spur growth and
restore revenue buoyancy in medium term and provide the required fiscal space to
revert to the path of fiscal consolidation.
Tax Policy
Indirect taxes
7. In recent years, tax policy has been guided by the need to increase the tax-
GDP ratio and achieve fiscal consolidation. In these years, the tax-GDP ratio
improved significantly from 9.2 per cent in 2003-04 to 12.6 per cent in 2007-08. This
has been achieved through rationalisation of the tax structure (moderate levels and
a few rates), widening of the tax base, and reduction in compliance costs through
improvement in tax administration. The extensive adoption of information
technology solutions and re-engineering of business processes has also fostered a
less intrusive tax system and encouraged voluntary compliance. These measures
have resulted in increased buoyancy in tax revenues till 2007-08 and helped in fiscal
consolidation. However, the process of consolidation slowed down in 2008-09,
especially in the case of indirect taxes, as a result of certain policy interventions
necessitated by the need to sustain the growth momentum in the wake of some
unforeseen developments in the global and domestic economy.
8. The first half of 2008-09 saw a sharp surge in the international prices of crude
petroleum and other commodities (food items, edible oils, metals etc.) leading to
severe inflationary pressures on the economy. The inflationary pressures were
contained through a slew of fiscal measures, including reduction of import duties
and imposition of export duties on a host of items.
9. The onset of the global financial crisis in September, 2009 led to a reversal of
trends with de-growth in export markets and domestic slowdown. A dip in industrial
and manufacturing growth and the prognosis of an impending crisis prompted the
Government to announce three fiscal stimulus packages in quick succession- on 7th
December, 2008, the 2nd January, 2009 and 24th February, 2009
10. Owing to the policy interventions for inflation management and subsequently for
providing a stimulus to growth, Government had to forego substantial revenues from
excise and customs duties. Consequently, despite the buoyancy of direct tax
revenues and service tax collections, the fiscal consolidation process received a
setback. On the positive side, however, the results of these proactive measures
have begun to show- with some sections of manufacturing and services exhibiting
preliminary signs of recovery. It is expected that this will reflect in recovery in
growth of tax receipts in the later part of 2009-10 and enable a return to the path of
fiscal consolidation by moving closer to FRBM targets.
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12. It is also proposed to integrate the tax on goods (cenvat) and the tax on
services, and finally move to a common Goods and Service Tax (GST). In as much as
the policy so far has sought to achieve convergence of rates, this would facilitate the
introduction of GST by 1st April, 2010, as already announced by the Government.
This shift to GST is expected to significantly improve buoyancy from indirect taxes,
owing to the opportunity it provides for further convergence and moderation of rates
and a substantial expansion in the base which would extend beyond manufacturing
all the way to retail.
Central Excise
To provide continued fillip to the manufacturing sector and accelerate its recovery,
the reduction in ad valorem excise duty rates to 8%, effected in two phases as part
of the fiscal stimulus packages announced on 7.12.2008 and 24.2.2009, is being
continued. To mitigate the problem of credit accumulation (which arose in some
cases as a result of the cenvat cuts implemented as part of the recent fiscal
stimulus packages, owing to deeper cuts on finished goods as compared to their raw
materials), excise duty rate has been increased from 4% to 8% in the following
cases:-
♦ Manmade filament yarn and fibre (polyester, nylon, acrylic and viscose)
♦ Natural fibres and yarns such as silk, wool, coconut etc on optional basis
♦ Spun yarn, woven man made or blended fabrics, and industrial fabrics on
optional basis
In order to converge towards a mean cenvat rate, excise duty rate has been
increased from 4% to 8% on certain finished goods and consumer goods To provide
some relief to automobile manufacturers, who are careworn owing to falling demand
in domestic and export markets, the specific excise duty component on large cars
and utility vehicles of engine capacity 2000 cc and above has been reduced from
Rs.20,000 to Rs.15,000.
Customs
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Direct Taxes
13. During the FRBM period there has been a structural change in the composition of
Centre’s tax revenue. While the Centre’s tax-GDP ratio has increased by 2.3
percentage points to 11.5 per cent in 2008-09 from 9.2 per cent in 2003-04, the
direct tax-GDP ratio has increased by 2.6 percentage points to 6.4 per cent in 2008-
09 from 3.8 per cent in 2003-04. Further, the share of direct taxes in Centre’s tax
revenues has also increased to 55.5 per cent in 2008-09 from 41.4 per cent in 2003-
04. This structural change has been brought about by a multi-pronged strategy
comprising of the following elements :-
(i) Minimizing distortions within the tax structure by expanding the tax base and
reducing the tax rates to moderate levels;
14. The medium term strategy for direct taxes is to consolidate the achievements of
the past and accelerate this process of change. The policy proposals in the Union
Budget 2009-10, are intended to achieve this
Objective
(i) Partly neutralizing the erosion in the tax base on account of various tax incentives
by increasing the Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) rate to 15 per cent from the existing
level of 10 per cent. Also expanding the MAT base by plugging leakages on account
of innovative accounting practices;
(ii) Further rationalization of the Personal Income Tax (PIT) rate structure by
enhancing the threshold exemption limits and removing the surcharge on PIT;
(viii)Rationalizing the tax treatment of the New Pension System (NPS) for enabling
the establishment of a much needed social security system in India;
16. The FRBM Act mandates the Central Government to specify the annual target for
assuming contingent liabilities in the form of guarantees. Accordingly the FRBM
Rules prescribe a cap of 0.5 per cent of GDP in any financial year on the quantum of
guarantees that the Central Government can assume in the particular financial year.
The Central Government extends guarantees primarily on loans from
multilateral/bilateral agencies, bond issues and other loans raised by various Public
Sector Undertakings/Public Sector Financial Institutions. The stock of contingent
liabilities in the form of guarantees given by the government has reduced from
Rs.1,07,957 crore at the beginning of the FRBM Act regime in 2004-05 to
Rs.1,04,872 crore at the end of 2007-08. As a percentage of GDP, it has reduced
from 3.4 per cent in 2004-05 to 2.7 per cent in year 2006-07 and further to 2.2 per
cent for the year 2007-08. The disclosure statement on outstanding Guarantees as
prescribed in the FRBM Rules, 2004 is appended in the Receipts Budget as Annex 3
(iii).
with a view to supporting financing of above mentioned PPP projects, the India
Infrastructure Financing Company Limited (IIFCL) has been authorized to raise
Rs.10,000 crore through Government guaranteed tax free bonds in the previous
financial year 2008-09. Further, IIFCL have been authorised to raise additional
Rs.30,000 crore on the same basis as per requirement during 2009-10. The capital
so raised will be used by IIFCL to refinance bank lending of longer maturity to
eligible infrastructure projects. This initiative of the government is expected to
result in leveraging of bank financing to PPP programmes of about Rs. one lakh
crore. The likely assumption of contingent liability in the form of guarantee for
2008-09, including the above mentioned Rs.10,000 crore for IIFCL, will amount to
Rs.36,606 crore which will be 0.69 per cent of GDP during 2008-09, higher than the
target of 0.5 per cent of GDP set under the FRBM Rules. This deviation has been
necessitated in the larger interest of re-invigorating the economy in the background
of the current economic scenario, to stimulate demand and increase investment in
infrastructure sector projects. In the medium term while this may not have a
potential budgetary impact, the additional demand thus created will help restore the
economy to its higher growth path and contribute to higher revenue buoyancy which
has shown a slump in the current financial year due to moderation in the growth in
economy.
18. The Government policy towards borrowings to finance its deficit continues to
remain anchored on the following principles, namely (i) greater reliance on domestic
borrowings over external debt, (ii) preference for market borrowings over
instruments carrying administered interest rates, (iii) elongation of the maturity
profile and consolidation of the debt portfolio and (iv) development of a deep and
wide market for Government securities to improve liquidity in secondary market.
19. In order to provide fiscal stimulus to counter the situation created by the effects
of the global financial crisis, the borrowing calendar of the government had to be
revised during 2008-09. The gross and net market borrowings (including dated
securities and 364- day Treasury Bills) of the Central Government during 2008-09
amounted to Rs.3,18,550 crore and Rs.2,42,316 crore respectively as against Rs.
1,88,205 crore and Rs. 1,09,504 crore during 2007-08. The weighted average
maturity of dated securities issued during 2008-09 was 13.8 years as compared to
14.9 years during 2007-08. The Central Government is continuing with the policy of
elongating maturity profile of dated securities as well as building up a sound yield
curve. The Government has been issuing securities with maximum 30–year
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maturity. The weighted average yield of dated securities issued during 2008-09 was
7.69 per cent and was lower than 8.12 per cent during 2007-08.
20. In consultation with RBI, after the presentation of the Interim Budget 2009-10,
the Government has announced a market borrowing programme of Rs.3,98,552
crore (gross) and Rs.3,08,647 crore (net) for 2009-10. Of this, Rs.2,07,364 crore
(net) is scheduled to be raised during the first half of the current financial year. The
borrowing calendar will undergo revision to take care of changes arising on account
of the General Budget presented now. The gross and net market borrowings
(including dated securities and 364- day Treasury Bills) of the Central Government
during 2009-10 (up to June 30 ,2009) amounted to Rs.1,96,000 crore and
Rs.1,53,361 crore respectively as against Rs. 65,550 crore and Rs. 33,144 crore
during 2008-09 for the same period. The weighted average maturity of dated
securities issued during 2009-10 (up to June 30, 2009) was 11.88 years which was
15.74 years during 2008-09 for the same period. The weighted average yield of
dated securities issued during 2009-10 (up to June 30, 2009) was 6.93 per cent
which was lower than 8.42 per cent during 2008-09 for the same period.
21. During the year 2009-10, the financing of fiscal deficit is estimated to be done
without taking recourse to short-term borrowings through Treasury Bills or cash or
cash draw down. However to take care of temporary mismatch between receipts
and expenditure, the Government will have to take recourse to ways and means
advances from RBI. In the last quarter of 2009-10, depending on the prevailing
liquidity with the Government suitable adjustment in the size and composition of the
borrowing programme may be required.
22. The outstanding balance under Market Stabilization Scheme (MSS) on 1st April,
2008 was Rs.1,70,554 crore. Notwithstanding fresh issuance of Rs.43,500 crore
during 2008-09, the outstanding balance under the MSS declined to Rs.88,773 crore
mainly reflecting the change in policy, unwinding of MSS through buy-back of
Rs.47,544 crores and de-sequestering of Rs.12,000 crore. This was part of the
Government decision to de-sequester Rs.45,000 crore from MSS for using it in
financing increased fiscal deficit during 2008-09 and 2009-10. As only Rs.12,000
crore was de-sequestered during 2008-09, of the balance Rs.33,000 crore the
option of de-sequestering MSS to the tune of Rs. 28,000 crore was opted (up to June
30, 2009) during 2009-10 to augment the liquidity with the Central Government.
The outstanding amount in MSS as on June 24, 2009 is Rs. 23,273 crore consisting of
Rs.18,773 crore of dated securities and Rs.4,500 crore of T-bills.
23. In order to have prudent management of debt and greater focus on carrying cost
as well as meeting secondary market liquidity, the government has set up a Middle
Office which in due course will merge with the proposed Debt Management Office.
24. Central Government has stopped playing the role of financial intermediary for
State Governments for domestic market borrowings. The trends in the current year
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show that this transition has been very smooth resulting in reduction in cost for the
State Governments, while at the same time bringing in a sense of market discipline.
25. The Government has set up the National Investment Fund (NIF) to which the
disinvestment proceeds from Central PSUs are being transferred. This fund is being
managed by professional fund managers. The receipts in the Fund are not reckoned
as resources for the purpose of financing the fiscal deficit. However, the income
from investments under NIF is used to finance social infrastructure and provide
capital to viable public sector enterprises without depleting the corpus of NIF.
26. The focus has shifted from financial outlays to outcomes for ensuring that the
budgetary provisions are not merely spent within the financial year but have
resulted in intended outcomes. As part of process reform, all new expenditure
proposals will have to report on how the proposal under consideration will enhance
the goals of equity or inclusion, innovation and public accountability. The
government has outlined in the President’s address to the joint session of Parliament
in June 2009 that an area of major focus would be reform of governance for effective
delivery of public services. Following initiatives are being taken by the Government
to achieve the above mentioned objective:
Putting up a public data policy to place all information covering non-strategic areas
in the public domain which will help citizens to challenge the data and engage
directly in governance reform.
27. Initiatives have also been taken to evenly pace the plan expenditure during the
year and also to avoid rush of expenditure at the year-end which results in poor
quality of outcomes. The practice of restricting the expenditure in the month of
March to 15 per cent of budget allocation within the fourth quarter ceiling of 33 per
cent is being enforced. The quarterly exchequer control based cash and expenditure
management system which inter alia involves preparing a Monthly Expenditure Plan
25
29. A central monitoring, evaluation and accounting system for the 1258 centrally
sponsored schemes and central sector schemes of the Government has been
instituted under the Central Plan Schemes Monitoring System. All sanctions issued
by the Central Ministries under these schemes are now identified with a unique
sanction ID that enables the tracking of release as per their accounting and budget
heads across the different implementing agencies. This central system is hosted on
the e-lekha portal of the CGA.
30. The application software COMPACT has been extended to all civil ministries of
the Government and expenditure data is being uploaded on a daily basis by the Pay
and Accounts Offices on e-lekha. This is a significant step towards faster and
accurate compilation of the accounts for the Government of India and will lead to
the development of a core accounting solution. The monthly and annual Finance and
Appropriation Accounts are regularly updated on the CGA website:
www.cgaindia.gov.in.
http://indiabudget.nic
The recession occurs when aggregate demand decreases due to fall in private
investment. Private investment may fall when businessmen become highly
pessimistic about making profits in future, resulting in decline in marginal efficiency
of investment. A fall in private investment expenditure, aggregate demand curve
shifts down creating a deflationary or recessionary gap.
position C+I2+G2 and as a result the equilibrium level of income will increase to the
full employment or potential level of output Yf and in this way the economy would be
lifted out of depression.
E
P 45o
E
E2 C+I2+G2
N
H C+I1+G1
D
I
Deflationary
Gap
T E1
Y= G 1
U Potential
R
450 output 1-MPC
E
Y1 YF
NATIONAL INCOME
Example: -There are some instances in history of capitalist world, especially USA
when taxes were reduced to stimulate the economic. In 1964,the President Kennedy
reduce personal and business tax by about $12 billion to give a boost to the
American economy when there was high unemployment and lower capacity
utilization in American economy. This tax cut was quiet successful in reducing
unemployment substantially at expanding national Income through full utilization of
excess capacity. Again, over the period 1981-84, President Reagan made a very
large tax reduction to get out of recession and to achieve expansion in National
29
There are two ways in which budget surplus can be disposed of: -
and large of the taking appropriate action to tackle the problem. In this Non-
discretionary fiscal policy, the tax structure and expenditure are so designed that
taxes and government spending vary automatically inappropriate direction with the
changes in National Income. That is, these taxes and expenditure pattern without
any special deliberate action by the government and parliament automatically raise
aggregate demand in times of recession and reduce aggregate demand in times of
boom and inflation and there by help in insuring economic stability. These fiscal
measures are therefore called automatic stabilizers or built-in stabilizers. Since
these automatic stabilizers do not require any fresh deliberate policy action or
legislation by the government, they represent non-discretionary fiscal policy. Built-
in-stability of tax revenue and government expenditure of transfer payment of
subsidies is created because they vary with national income. These taxes and
expenditure automatically bring about appropriate change in aggregate demand
and reduce the impact to recession and inflation that might occur in an economy at
sometimes. This means that because of existence of this automatic or built-in-
stabilizers recession and inflation will be shorter and less intense than otherwise is
the case. Important automatic fiscal stabilises compensation, welfare benefits
corporate dividends.
Below are some taxes and revenue from which varies directly
with the change in national income:
1) Personal Income Taxes: The tax rate structure is so designed that revenue
from these taxes directly varies with income. Moreover, personal income taxes have
progressive rates: The higher rates are changed are from the upper income
brackets. As a result, when national income increases during expansion and
inflation, increasing percentage op the people’s income is paid to the government.
Thus, through causing a decline in their disposable income this taxes automatically
reduce people’s consumption and therefore aggregate demand. This decline n
aggregate demand because of imposition of progressive personal income tax
tender’s to check inflation from becoming more severe. On the other hand, when
national income decline’s at times of recession, the tax revenue declines as well
which prevent aggregate demand from falling by same proportion as the decline in
income.
and revenue from them falls greatly during recession which tends to offset the
decline in aggregate.
The critics of Keynesians theory has pointed out that expansionary effect of
fiscal policy is not as larger as Keynesians economists suggest. In Keynesians theory
it is asserted that the Government increases its expenditure, without raising its
taxes or when it reduces taxes without changing expenditure it will have a large
expansionary effect of national income. In other words deficit budget would lead to
the large increase in aggregate demand and thereby help to expand national output
and income. However it has been pointed that the above analysis of the effect
expansionary fiscal policy of budget deficit ignores the effect of increase in
government expenditure or budget deficit on private investment. It has been argued
that the increase in government expenditure or creation of budget deficit adversely
affects private investment which offsets to a good extent the expansionary affects
of budget deficit. This adverse effect comes about as increase in Government
expenditure or reduction in taxes causes rate of interest to go up. There are two
ways in which rise in rate of interest is explained.
33
Secondly, in order to finance its budget deficit the government will borrow funds
from the market. This will raise the demand for the loanable funds which will bring
about rise in the rate of interest.
However, there may be factors which make fiscal policy ineffective aside from
the usual crowding out phenomena. Future-oriented consumption theories hold that
individuals undo government fiscal policy through changes in their own behavior –
for example, if government spending and borrowing rises, people may expect an
increase in the tax burden in future years, and therefore increase their current
savings in anticipation of this.
TABLE 18
DEBT POSITION OF THE CENTRE (INTERNAL
DEBT)
Amount Outstanding at the end of
March (Rs. crores)
2000 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006-
DEBT -01 02 03 04 05 06 07
(RE) (BE)
Internal 8036 91306 10206 11417 12759 135594 152203
debt (Total) 98 1 89 06 71 3 1
I) Market 4287 51651 61910 70796 75899
Loans 93 7 5 5 5 867368 984645
3749 39654 40158 43374 51697
II) Others 05 4 4 1 6 488575 537386
As % of
GDP 38.1 40.0 41.7 41.4 40.7 39.9 38.9
The FRBM Rules envisage an annual reduction of at least 0.3 percentage points
in fiscal deficit and 0.5 percentage points in revenue deficit. In BE 2006-07,
Government had projected Revenue Deficit to be at 2.1 per cent of GDP i.e., 0.5
percentage points lower than the BE 2005-06. The Revenue Deficit estimates have
shown improvement at 2.0 per cent of GDP at RE 2006-07. Similarly, Fiscal Deficit,
which was budgeted to decline from 4.3 per cent of GDP in BE 2005-06 to 3.8 per
cent of GDP in BE 2006-07 has shown further improvement at 3.7 per cent of GDP in
RE 2006-07. This improvement has been possible due to high economic growth,
increased revenues and prudent expenditure management practices.
References