U NIEWS

Uganda National Integrated Early Warning System Monthly Bulletin

Vol. 01 15th JUNE to 15th JULY 2017 Issue No. 08

CROP & PASTURE CONDITIONS MAP OF UGANDA

Source: Crop Monitor Uganda. This crop conditions map synthesizes information for all crops as of 2nd April 2017. Crop conditions ove r the main growing areas are based on a combination of
national and regional crop analysts inputs along with remote sensing and rainfall data.

Early Warnings by Region:

Harvest is ongoing for the March, April and May (MAM) season crops. However there is concern across all areas due to fall armyworm across the
Central, West and East impacting maize crops. Reports have confirmed presence of fall armyworm across 60 districts with up to 40 percent of crops
affected in some areas however, the impact of the pest on crop performance is still uncertain.
1. Teso: Most districts in the region received exceptional rainfall during the month May and crop conditions are favorable, however, condi-
tions are slightly below average in Kaberamaido,
2. Acholi: Conditions have continue to improve in the region to favorable due to consigned above average rainfall throughout March.
3. Central: The MAM seasonal rainfall was exceptionally good and most of the region is projected to have above average to exceptional har-
vests.
4. Eastern and Elgon: Conditions are Favorable across Eastern Uganda with the exception of maize crops that have largely been affected by fall
armyworms.
5. Karamoja: Rainfall late April and early May, conditions have improved in Abim to average, however, due to failed rains in the first Dekad of
April, conditions have not improved other districts in the region and remain under watch
6. Lango: Rainfall in the 2nd and 3rd decade of May was below average in Lango and crop conditions remain under watch for most of the re-
gion.
7. Southwestern: Sufficient rainfall (above 60% of expected) throughout the MAM sustained above average crop conditions. Harvest of beans
and maize under way however, maize harvest in the region has also been largely affected by fall armyworm.
8. West Nile: Conditions in Arua, Maracha improved to Favorable due to rainfall. Yumbe, Zombo, Nebbi have also improved slightly but condi-
tions remain under Watch.
9. Western: Conditions are average to most crops except maize that has been affected by fall armyworm.

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 U NIEWS
Uganda National Integrated Early Warning System Monthly Bulletin

REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTSCENTRAL 1
Fig. 1: MODIS NDVI25 May - 01 June 2017 Fig. 2: Rainfall time series for Central 1MODIS Normalized
Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)

Majority of farmers in the assessed areas planted maize and beans. Other crops included bananas and cassava. Harvest have begun
and farmers reported average to above average crop conditions during the season. Satellite NDVI data indicated above average con-
ditions for the region.

Beans performed above average (Fig 3). however and major complaints were reported for maize particularly pest damage due to the
fall armyworm (Fig. 4) Crop and pasture conditions are above the long-term average (2000 to 2017) for most of the region and rainfall
for March, April and May was above 80% of expected rainfall for the region.
Fig. 3: A well performing Maize/ beans field Fig. 4 Maize plant affected by fall Market prices and status of Regional Market Highlights!
and in Kalungu District . armyworm in Kalungu District .
Similar to other countries in East African region, Uganda, may also face below-
average staple food supply and above-average and increasing prices following
poor harvests.

Matooke prices escalate in Luwero market

Yellow beans prices drop in Kalerwe market
Turkey prices appreciate in both Owino and Jinja markets
Cavendish (Bogoya) prices spiral in Nakawa market

Yellow beans prices dropped in Kalerwe market by up to shs.1000 for both

retail and wholesale because of the harvesting season that led to increased
supply of the commodity. In the same way, Matooke prices continued to drop
across most markets like Nakasero, Nakawa, and Owino. In Owino, prices
tremendously dropped by up to shs.6700 on both retail and wholesale as
compared to the previous week- shs.36,650 up from shs.43,350 on retail and
shs31,650 up from shs.38,350 on wholesale. The prices of Local chicken main-
tained a constant for both wholesale and retail across most markets and many
others experienced a price drop on the commodity whereas no market regis-
tered an increase in the commoditys prices (infotrade Market report, June 5th
2017).
*Iganga, Busia, Jinja, Isingiro, Kabale, Kalerwe, kasese, katuna, Lira, Luwero,
Masindi, Nakasero, Nakawa, Owino, Soroti markets were assessed by in-
fotrade (Agricultural Information System of Uganda).

A Publication of the Office of the Prime Minister Department of Relief, Disaster Preparedness and Management
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 U NIEWS
The Official Government of Uganda Inter- Ministerial/Agencies
Monthly National Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning Bulletin
SEASONAL FORECASTJune to August (JJA) - 2017
High chances
for ABOVE
NORMAL
RAINFALL
High chances
for NEAR
NOMAL RAIN-
High chances
for BELOW
NORMAL
RAINFALL
https://www.unma.go.ug/
NORTHERN UGANDA:
Eastern parts of northern region: The rainfall is expected to
continue up to early July giving way to a slight relaxation.
Thereafter, outbreaks of isolated showers are likely to pick
up and continue up to the end of the season. High chances
of receiving near normal to above normal rainfall is ex-
pected.
Central Northern parts: The region is likely to experience a
continuation of the rainfall up to early July when a reduction
in the rains is expected. Thereafter, steady rains are ex-
pected to set in and to extend up to the end of the season.
High chances for this region receiving near normal with a
tendency to above normal rain fall is expected.
North Western: The region is experiencing seasonal rains
punctuated with short lived dry spells which are expected
continue with a relaxation around late July. This condition is
expected to persist up to the end of the season. Near normal
rainfall is expected.
WESTERN UGANDA:
South Western: The region is receiving declining inter-
mittent light rains which are likely to persist up to early June.
Thereafter, dry conditions are expected to set in and contin-
ue up to mid-August when isolated light showers is expected
to set in and continue up to the end of the season. Below
normal (suppressed) rainfall (dry conditions) is expected.
Central Western: This region is experiencing moderate rain-
fall characterized by dry spells. This condition is expected to
persist up to around late June when the dry conditions are
expected to begin and continue up to the end of the season.
Near normal to below normal rainfall (average to sup-
pressed rainfall) is expected.
A Publication of the Office of the Prime Minister Department of Relief, Disaster Preparedness and Management
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Overview:
The June, July and August forecast period is generally part of
the dry season over most parts of south western, central, Lake
Victoria basin and some parts of eastern region but a continu-
ation of rainfall season for much of the northern Uganda. It
generally marks the end of the first rainfall season for the
southern sector of the country and is usually a harvest season
for crops.
Overall, there is an increased likelihood of near normal tend-
ing to above normal rainfall over the northern and some
parts of eastern region, while the rest of the country is ex-
pected to experience below normal rainfall punctuated with
occasional light rainfall conditions
Advisories for the month of June July 2017
Early Land preparation;
Use of proper post harvesting practices to avoid yield losses;
Planting of leafy vegetables;
Pasture preservation practices
Store enough food for the season;
Practice mulching;
Observe Soil & water conservation practices
https://www.unma.go.ug/
EASTERN UGANDA:
South Eastern: The rains are expected to continue up to early
June when the dry conditions are expected to begin and pre-
vail up to late July/early August. Thereafter, occasional out-
breaks of showers and thunderstorms are likely to prevail up
to the end of the forecast period. High chances of near normal
rainfall.
East Central: The rains are expected to continue up to mid-
June. Thereafter, a relaxation of the rainfall is likely to extend
up to mid- July, when steady rains will set in and continue up
to the end of the season. High chances of near normal rainfall
with the tendency to above normal rainfall is expected.
North Eastern Region: The region is experiencing occasional
showers and thunderstorms with some dry spells which are
expected to continue up to late July/early August, when a
reduction in the rainfall is likely to be experienced until the
end of the season. Near normal rainfall conditions are likely to
prevail.
LAKE VICTORIA BASIN & CENTRAL REGIONS:
Central & Western Lake Victoria Basin: The region is experi-
encing occasional showers and thunderstorms, which are ex-
pected to continue up to mid-June. Thereafter, moderate dry
conditions are expected to set in and persist up to the end of
the season. Dry conditions with light showers and thunder-
storms are expected. Near normal (average) rainfall is ex-
pected over this region.
Northern & Southern parts of Central: The seasonal rains
being experienced over this region are on a decline although
they are expected to continue up to early June when the dry
conditions are expected to set in up to mid-August. Thereafter,
occasional showers are expected and may continue up to the
end of the season. Near normal to below normal (average to
suppressed) rainfall is expected.
Eastern Lake Victoria Basin: The region is experiencing some
outbreaks of light showers and thunderstorms are likely to
continue up to early June when the dry conditions are ex-
pected to set in. This is likely to extend up to late July/early
August . Occasional rains until the end of the season. Near
normal is expected.
 U NIEWS
Uganda National Integrated Early Warning System Monthly Bulletin

RAINFALL PERFORMANCES OF MARCH MAY (MAM) SEASON 2017

Highlights: March to May (MAM) seasonal rainfall has generally been below average and unevenly distributed in northern and southwestern a reas.
Planting is significantly delayed in eastern and northern bimodal areas and in Karamoja, where green harvests are expected to be delayed by up to one
month. Harvest prospects are poorer than usual in northern areas due to a combination of poor seasonal progress and damage by Fall Armyworm. In central,
western, and south eastern areas, rainfall supported timely planting and many poor households are now consuming green harvests of maize and beans
(FEWSNET, June, 2017).

RAINFALL PERFORMANCES OF MARCH - 2017 RAINFALL PERFORMANCES OF APRIL - 2017

Source: UNMA, June, 2017 Source: UNMA, June, 2017

Southern and Central regions of country received higher rainfall while Western and southern regions and North eastern region received a very
North eastern and pockets in West Nile and Western parts of the coun- little rainfall during the month of April while Central region and lake Vic-
try received relatively less rainfall during the month of Aril 2017. toria basin received relatively high rainfall during April 2017.

RAINFALL PERFORMANCES OF MAY - 2017 SEASONAL RAINFALL PERFORMANCES OF MAM - 2017

Source: UNMA, June, 2017 Source: UNMA, June, 2017

Less rainfall continued in the western and southern regions while North Overall, less rainfall continued in the western and southern regions while
eastern region received a moderate rainfall during the month of May North eastern region received a moderate rainfall during the month of
while Mt. Elgon region received higher rainfall during May 2017. May while Mt. Elgon region received higher rainfall during May 2017.

A Publication of the Office of the Prime Minister Department of Relief, Disaster Preparedness and Management
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 U NIEWS
Uganda National Integrated Early Warning System Monthly Bulletin

MULTI HAZARD EARLY WARNING PROBABILITY MAP (Including incidents Reported)

Malaria Cases Reported
South Sudan

Democratic Republic of Congo

Cholera case were reported from Butaleja

Kenya

Potential Disasters

Landslides

Floods

Tanzania

Source: NECOC/OPM, MoH, Multiple Sources, May, 2017

Rwanda

Early Warning for Hydro meteorological Hazards:

Landslides: If the rain falls as forecasted, moderate chance of occurrence of landslides in 1) Bundibugyo; 2) Kabarole; 3) Bududa; 4) Kapchorwa;
5) Kween; 6) Manafwa; 7) Pallisa; 8) Sironko Districts and hilly areas of Mr. Elgon region.
Floods: If the rain falls as forecasted, moderate chance of occurrence of minor Floods in 1) Adjumani, 2) Nebbi, 3) Zombo, 4) Lamwo, 5) Ntoroko,
5) Bundibugyo 6) Budaka, 7) Bukwo, 8) Bulambuli, 9) Busia, 10) Butaleja, 11) Mbale, 12) Sironko, 13) Tororo districts Mt. Elgon and lower regions
around Rwenzori mountains.
Lightning: High chance of occurrence of lightning in Victoria River basin districts - Rakai, Kalungu, Masaka, Mpigi, Wakiso, Mukono, Buikwe, Jinja,
Mayuge, Bugiri, Busia, Kalangala, Namiyango, Buvuma Districts.
High winds: High chance of occurrence of strong winds in Victoria River basin districts.
Hailstorms: High chances of occurring hailstorms in areas where near normal to above normal rainfall forecasted.

Health Hazard Cases Reported:

Malaria: Reported cases have remained high in the outbreak districts in Northern Uganda. Western, Southern regions also indicates a relatively
high number of cases.
Typhoid Fever: Cases reported from 88 districts and on reported death in Kisoro district. High in Moyo, Kotido and Kiboga Districts.

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Uganda National Integrated Early Warning System Monthly Bulletin

DISASTER EARLY WARNINGS!

Early Warnings!
The mountain regions of Elgon and northern parts of
Ruwenzori are expected to receive above normal rain-
fall. Therefore, high chances of occurring Landslide &
Floods in those areas.
Water Stress for some crops such as Banana and Tea.
Shortage of pasture a& water for livestock.
Increased incidence of livestock and crops pets & dis-
eases.
Health Highlights of the Month of May!
Malaria: 262, 044 were reported including 57 deaths. Cases have
remained high in Northern Uganda.
Measles: 54 suspected cases were reported.
Typhoid Fever: 1,642 cases of suspected Typhoid fever were re-
ported from 89 districts. 01 reported dead from Kagadi districts.
Bacterial meningitis: 08 cases were reported including two deaths
reported from Gulu and Mbale districts.
Dysentery: 804 cases and 01 death were reported from Mukono.
Animal Bites: 331 cases were reported.
Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of Congo. The outbreak
remains confined to Likati Health Zone of north east of DRC.

Early Warnings for June July 2017 Disaster Statistics for the month of May - 2017
HYDRO-METEREOLOGICAL HAZARD - FLOODS HYDRO-METEREOLOGICAL HAZARD - FLOODS

Districts: 1) Adjumani; 2) Nebbi; 3) Hoima; ) lower parts of Mt. Elgon Districts: Floods occurred in Sironko Town Council area.
Area; and areas around Mt. Rwenzori and low lying areas of Kampala
Capital City. No of People Affected: 50 Dead: 0 Injured: 05 Missing: 0
Alert Level: No of houses damaged (Fully): 0 No of houses damaged (Partially): 0

METEREOLOGICAL HAZARDS METEREOLOGICAL HAZARDS

Strong winds: Victoria River basin districts and also in Karamoja region
Hailstorms: Areas where average rainfall is High or Near normal Rainfall
Lightning: Mostly on Victoria River basin districts
Alert Level:
Heavy rains: Recorded in Sironko District (75 people were affected)
High winds: No fatal incidents reported
Thunderstorms: No fatal incidents reported
Hailstorms: No fatal incidents reported

GEOPHYSICAL HAZARDS - LANDSLIDES GEOPHYSICAL HAZARDS

Districts: Mt. Elgon Area and Areas around Mt. Rwenzori is expected to Landslides: Recorded in Sironko District (20 people were affected)
have landslides.
Rock falls: No Incidents Recorded
Alert Level:
Earthquakes / Tremors: No Incidents Recorded

BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS

Measles: Kampala & Mukono Districts needs to be watchful.
1) Measles, 2) Malaria, 3) Dysentery, 4) Animal Bites, 5) Typhoid Fever,
Typhoid Fever: Moyo, Kotido, Kiboga district indicates highest attack
And 6) Bacterial meningitis 7) Severe Acute Respiratory Infections and 8)
rates.
Cholera cases were recorded.
Malaria: Northern Uganda has highest attack rates, but possible
through out the country. No of People Affected: 262, 044 Dead: 57
Alert Level:
Source: ESU, MoH, Week 21, 2017

TRANSPORT / TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS TRANSPORT / TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS

Transport Accidents: Any Location Fatal Road Accidents occurred in:

Fire: Any Location Masaka, Soroti, Mubende, Kiryandongo, Kanungu, Kasese and Wakiso
Electrocution: Any Location districts.
Drowning: Lakes Victoria, Rivers, Lakes or Streams
Deaths: 16 Injured: 46 Affected: 62
Alert Level: Source: NECOC/OPM, Uganda Police Force, May 2017

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Uganda National Integrated Early Warning System Monthly Bulletin

HUMANITARIAN RESPONSE OUTLOOK

A Publication of the Office of the Prime Minister Department of Relief, Disaster Preparedness and Management
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 U NIEWS
Uganda National Integrated Early Warning System Monthly Bulletin

National Emergency Coordination and Operations Centre (NECOC)

The Office of the Prime Ministers Department for Disaster Preparedness and Management established the National Emergency Coordi-
nation and Operations Centre (NECOC) in October 2014, with the support of United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Uganda's
National Emergency Coordination and Operations Centre (NECOC) is a 24 hour, 7- days a week central facility for early warning dissemi-
nation and coordination of emergency and crisis response and recovery action. The NECOC is established under the National Policy for
Disaster Preparedness and Management of Uganda (NPDPM) with the purpose of contributing towards the functionality and characteris-
tics that make creation of an integrated and multi-sectoral system approach to planning, preparedness and management of disasters that
is fundamental to sustained productivity and socio-economic growth of the country.

Important Note!
The Uganda National Integrated Multi Hazard Early Warning System (U-NIEWS)
U-NIEWS monthly bulletin can be used to understand the conditions of crops and pasture, food insecurity, weather/climate forecast and
to determine the anticipated disasters which may occur in the days to come while providing the disaster and humanitarian response sta-
tus update based on monthly statistics. The information in this bulletin can be used as baseline information for planning processes while
detail information may required for respective locations through relevant local and technical agencies for local level planning. For any
specific details and information, relevant sources should be contacted using the NECOC website given below.

The information provided here is shared by the respective government, UN agencies and non governmental agencies stationed in Ugan-
da. The Uganda National Integrated Early Warning monthly bulletin is issued on 15 th of every month to notify the Ministries, Depart-
ments, Authorities, UN Agencies and General public on probable disasters which may occur without warning.

For more details:

National Emergency Coordination and Operations Centre (NECOC)
Office of the Prime Minister (OPM)
5th Floor, Postel Building, Clement Hill Road
P.O Box 341, Kampala Uganda.
Tel No. 0414 342 104

Toll Free Hotline: 0800 177 777

Email: info@necoc-opm.go.ug
Web site: www.necoc-opm.go.ug
Twitter:@OPMUganda & @opmdpm

To subscribe the U-NIEWS bulletin please send an email to news@necoc-opm.go.ug

Publication Partners: OPM, MAAIF, MWE, MoH, DWRM, UNMA, UPF, UNDP, WHO, WFP, FAO, UNHCR, UNICEF, DFID, FEWSNET

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