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POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS

FACTORS R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6

Security 0.478 0.104 0.22 0.38 0.224 0.736


1. National Integration 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.01 0.99
2. Regime Legitimacy 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.99
3. Law and Order 0.99 0.01 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.7
4. Provision of Minimum Service 0.9 0.01 0.1 0.1 0.01 0.1
5. Government Aggression 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9

Development 0.351667 0.085 0.233333 0.233333 0.485 0.515


6. Strength of the Economy 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1
7. Attitudes to Development 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.01 0.3
8. Legal and Administrative Structures 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.3
9. Monetary/ Fiscal Policies 0.1 0.01 0.1 0.1 0.01 0.99
10. Provision of Economic Overhead 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.99 0.7
11. Government Revenue and Expenditures 0.01 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7

Participation 0.26 0.082 0.064 0.38 0.38 0.66


12. Political Discrimination 0.99 0.1 0.01 0.1 0.1 0.9
13. Opinion Climate 0.1 0.01 0.1 0.9 0.01 0.5
14. Response to Participatory Demands 0.01 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7
15. Distribution of Resources 0.1 0.1 0.01 0.3 0.99 0.9
16. Socio-Economic Mobility 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3
R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12

0.62 0.74 0.638 0.62 0.549 0.476 0.66


0.9 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.46 0.1 0.7
0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.509 0.9 0.9
0.3 0.5 0.99 0.9 0.6 0.569 0.9 0.3
0.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.282 0.3 0.7
0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.56 0.99 0.7

0.4 0.466667 0.6 0.5 0.4333333333 0.387 0.633333 0.6


0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.32 0.1 0.7
0.7 0.3 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.391 0.7 0.7
0.1 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.3
0.5 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.391 0.9 0.9
0.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.489 0.9 0.7
0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.331 0.3 0.3

0.46 0.66 0.162 0.26 0.32 0.3368 0.362 0.26


0.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3
0.1 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1
0.7 0.7 0.01 0.7 0.01 0.1
0.3 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1
0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.7
R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 R21 R22

0.74 0.3 0.22 0.798 0.598 0.3 0.7 0.74 0.66 0.798
0.9 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.9
0.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.99 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9
0.7 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.99
0.5 0.3 0.3 0.99 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.7
0.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.5

0.711667 0.218333 0.485 0.566667 0.5 0.6 0.366667 0.7 0.466667 0.285
0.7 0.01 0.01 0.5 0.9 0.01 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.5
0.3 0.1 0.01 0.9 0.9 0.99 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5
0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.3
0.99 0.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1
0.99 0.7 0.99 0.7 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.01
0.99 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3

0.66 0.62 0.34 0.66 0.616 0.42 0.46 0.54 0.3 0.5
0.9 0.7 0.99 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.3
0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.99 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5
0.9 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.1 0.01 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.7
0.5 0.7 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.99 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.7
0.1 0.7 0.01 0.9 0.99 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.3

0.66
0.1 0.7
0.9 0.9
0.9 0.3
0.3 0.7
0.99 0.7
0.633333 0.6
0.1 0.7
0.7 0.7
0.9 0.3
0.9 0.9
0.9 0.7
0.3 0.3

0.362 0.26
0.3 0.3
0.3 0.1
0.01 0.1
0.3 0.1
0.9 0.7
R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30 MEAN

0.758 0.82 0.78 0 0 0 0 0 0.666227


0.7 0.9 0.7 0.702727273
0.5 0.7 0.7 0.713136364
0.99 0.7 0.9 0.779045455
0.9 0.9 0.7 0.540545455
0.7 0.9 0.9 0.711363636
0
0.696667 0.766667 0.8 0 0 0 0 0 0.594864
0.99 0.7 0.9 0.492727273
0.99 0.7 0.9 0.635954545
0.3 0.9 0.7 0.490909091
0.7 0.9 0.9 0.617772727
0.5 0.9 0.7 0.7395
0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5605
0
0.62 0.66 0.718 0 0 0 0 0 0.53458182
0.3 0.7 0.5 0.481363636
0.7 0.5 0.7 0.491363636
0.9 0.9 0.7 0.460909091
0.9 0.5 0.99 0.585454545
0.3 0.7 0.7 0.504545455

RATING 0.61072424

COMPUTATIONS
25% 6.25
50% 12.5
75% 18.75
0.74 0.3 0.22 0.798 0.598 0.3 0.7 0.74 0.66
0.9 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.7
0.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.99 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.9
0.7 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.9
0.5 0.3 0.3 0.99 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.5
0.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.3
0.711667 0.218333 0.485 0.566667 0.5 0.6 0.366667 0.7 0.4666666667
0.7 0.01 0.01 0.5 0.9 0.01 0.1 0.7 0.3
0.3 0.1 0.01 0.9 0.9 0.99 0.7 0.7 0.3
0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3
0.99 0.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.5
0.99 0.7 0.99 0.7 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.9
0.99 0.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.5

0.66 0.62 0.34 0.66 0.616 0.42 0.46 0.54 0.3


0.9 0.7 0.99 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1
0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.99 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.3
0.9 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.1 0.01 0.3 0.5 0.3
0.5 0.7 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.99 0.5 0.3 0.5
0.1 0.7 0.01 0.9 0.99 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.3
MEDIAN MODE IQR

0.629 0.74 0.01 Distribution 0.1 Distribution 0.3 0.5 0.7


0.7 0.9 1 5 3 2 5
0.7 0.7 0 6 2 2 8
0.7 0.9 1 3 4 1 4
0.3 0.3 2 5 6 2 5
0.56 0.9 0 3 6 4 4
#VALUE! #VALUE!

0.485 0.6
0.32 0.1 3 7 2 5 4
0.5 0.3 2 3 7 1 6
0.3 0.3 0 5 13 1 4
0.5 0.1 2 6 3 3 4
0.7 0.7 1 4 2 3 7
0.331 0.3 1 3 9 4 6
#VALUE! #VALUE! 0
0.42 0.66 0
0.3 0.1 1 7 7 2 3
0.3 0.1 2 7 4 3 4
0.3 0.1 4 6 4 1 6
0.5 0.3 1 3 7 5 2
0.3 0.1 1 6 6 3 5

0.798 0.758 0.82 0.78


0.9 0.7 0.9 0.7
0.9 0.5 0.7 0.7
0.99 0.99 0.7 0.9
0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7
0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9
0.285 0.696667 0.7666666667 0.8
0.5 0.99 0.7 0.9
0.5 0.99 0.7 0.9
0.3 0.3 0.9 0.7
0.1 0.7 0.9 0.9
0.01 0.5 0.9 0.7
0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7

0.5 0.62 0.66 0.718


0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5
0.5 0.7 0.5 0.7
0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7
0.7 0.9 0.5 0.99
0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7
0.9 0.99 CF(0.01) CF(0.1) CF0.3 CF0.5 CF.7 CF.9 CF.99
9 1 1 6 9 11 16 25 26
6 2 0 6 8 10 18 24 26
8 4 0 3 7 8 12 20 24
4 1 1 6 12 14 19 23 24
8 1 0 3 9 13 17 25 26

3 1 3 10 12 17 21 24 25
5 2 2 5 12 13 19 24 26
3 0 0 5 18 19 23 26 26
6 2 1 7 10 13 17 23 25
6 3 1 5 7 10 17 23 26
2 1 1 4 13 17 23 25 26
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
3 2 1 8 15 17 20 23 25
4 1 1 8 12 15 19 23 24
4 0 3 9 13 14 20 24 24
4 3 0 3 10 15 17 21 24
3 1 1 7 13 16 21 24 25
0.77
0.425