6

INGLS
exerccios de portflio

As atividades do portflio desta Semana 6 dependem da

leitura e compreenso do texto abaixo, o qual pertence
ao gnero acadmico abstract.

Fonte:Mller, V. Future Progress in Artificial Intelligence:

C. and Bostrom, N. A Survey of Expert Opinion
Future progress in
artificial intelligence:
A Survey of Expert Vincent C. Mller1,2 & Nick Bostrom1
Opinion, in Vincent
C. Mller (ed.), 1
Future of Humanity Institute, Department of Philo-
Fundamental
Issues of Artificial sophy & Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
Intelligence 2
Anatolia College/ACT, Thessaloniki.
(Synthese Library;
Berlin: Springer).
Abstract: There is, in some quarters, concern about high
level machine intelligence and superintelligent AI coming
up in a few decades, bringing with it significant risks for
humanity. In other quarters, these issues are ignored
or considered science fiction. We wanted to clarify what
the distribution of opinions actually is, what probability
the best experts currently assign to highlevel machine
intelligence coming up within a particular timeframe,
which risks they see with that development, and how
fast they see these developing. We thus designed a brief
questionnaire and distributed it to four groups of experts
in 2012/2013. The median estimate of respondents was for a one in two
chance that highlevel machine intelligence will be developed around 2040-
2050, rising to a nine in ten chance by 2075. Experts expect that systems
will move on to superintelligence in less than 30 years thereafter. They
estimate the chance is about one in three that this development turns out
to be bad or extremely bad for humanity.

exerccio 1
Resuma, em uma sentena e em Portugus, a ideia central do texto.
Trata-se de uma projeo de aceitao pela humanidade de mquinas de inteligncia artificial.

exerccio 2
Abaixo, pegamos o mesmo abstract acima e o dividimos em partes, as
quais numeramos. Indique, a seguir, qual diviso do abstract corresponde
a cada trecho.

()
3 Metodologia 1. There is, in some quarters, concern about high
level machine intelligence and superintelligent AI
()
1 Contextuali- coming up in a few decades, bringing with it signi-
zao ficant risks for humanity. In other quarters, these
issues are ignored or considered science fiction.
()
4 Resultado(s)
2. We wanted to clarify what the distribution of
()
2 Objetivo opinions actually is, what probability the best
experts currently assign to highlevel machine
intelligence coming up within a particular time
frame, which risks they see with that develop-
ment, and how fast they see these developing.

3. We thus designed a brief questionnaire and

distributed it to four groups of experts in
2012/2013.

4. The median estimate of respondents was for

a one in two chance that highlevel machine in-
telligence will be developed around 2040-2050,
rising to a nine in ten chance by 2075. Experts
expect that systems will move on to superintelli-
gence in less than 30 years thereafter. They esti-
mate the chance is about one in three that this
development turns out to be bad or extremely
bad for humanity.

Ingls / Aula 6 Exerccios de Portflio 2