Professional Documents
Culture Documents
June 2015
Fahd Shah
Dr Eisa Abdelgalil
Source: National Geographic Society, accessed via
http://travel.nationalgeographic.com/travel/countries/moldova-guide/
The Republic of Moldova has a parliamentary system and its Administrative map of Moldova
area covers about 33,846 square kilometers. Moldova has a
strategic position in between the CIS and EU regions.
Agriculture
According to data from the IMF, Moldova had a GDP of around [PERCENTA
GE]
Billion USD in 2015. The services sector had the largest share at
around 64% of GDP, followed by industry at around 20% in 2015.
Services
Agriculture also has a relatively significant share of around 16% Industry 64%
in Moldova's GDP in 2015. This reflects the importance of
20%
Moldova's agricultural sector which has grown overtime due to
the presence of fertile land and a favorable climate.
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) and World Bank, World
Private consumption makes up by far the largest portion of GDP Development Indicators. Data for 2015 is based on EIU forecasts.
Private consumption 93
The consumer oriented nature of the Moldovan economy is one
reason for the large share of private consumption and for Government 15
imports being much larger than exports. According to data from consumption
the IMF, income from remittances makes up about 24% of Investments 22
Moldovas GDP. As people have migrated from Moldova,
remittances sent back home to other family members have Net exports (Exports -32
fueled consumption. Imports)
Rebasing residual 2
Source: Dubai Chamber based on Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU)
Economic Performance
States (CIS). 0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f
Percentage change
-2
Budget deficit
-4
Moldovas budget deficit which saw a reduction over the last few
-6
years is expected to see become larger. The increase in the deficit
is expected partly due in part to weaker economic growth coupled Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2015.
8
Inflation in Moldova is expected to remain between 4% to 8%
from 2015 to 2018. Overall, Moldovas economy is highly
6
dependent on remittances from Moldovanss working in foreign
countries and in demand form its major trading partners the 4
European Union and the CIS countries.
Percentage change
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Population Division of the Department of Economic
Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2012
Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.htm
While the trend of net migration has decreased from 2000 to
2015 and is expected to fall further, it is still expected to have a
continued negative impact on the growth of population. Moldovan net migration rate (%)
0
-12
-14
-16
-18
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from United Nations, Population Division of the
Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat,
World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/index.htm
Foreign Trade: Flows
Goods trade flow with the world
3
Exports
A growing economy has meant that demand for imports of goods 1
by Moldova has seen strong increase. Imports by Moldova from
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
the world market grew at a Compound Annual Growth Rate -1
Billion USD
Trade Balance
-5
Exports of goods to the world market in turn grew at a CAGR of Imports
service export and import trade was balanced and the trade 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
balanced was slightly positive in 2014. -1
-2
Imports
The largest category was Electrical and electronic equipment Moldova major exports to the world market (2014)
which made up about 11% of exports, followed by oil seed,
Electrical, electronic equipment
grains and fruits at 9%, cereals with a share in exports of about
11% Oil seed, oleagic fruits, grain,
8% and edible fruits and nuts with a share of around 8% exports seed, fruit, etc, nes
Other major exports products in 2014 consisted of iron and 8% Articles of apparel, accessories,
not knit or crochet
steel, apparel and footwear related products. Beverages and vinegar
30%
Moldova's major import and export partners are located in the 25% 23.3%
region around it either in Europe or former CIS countries. Its 20% 17.4%
major export market is Russia which takes almost one fourth of 15%
11.7%
goods exports. Other important export markets in 2014 included
10%
Romania, Ukraine, Germany and Poland. 6.8%
5.2% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2%
5%
1.9% 1.9%
0%
Moldova's major sources of imports are also little more spread
out geographically and where the top markets have lower share
in total imports, as compared to top export markets. Therefore
Romania is the top import source for Moldova, followed by Italy Source: Dubai Chamber based on trademap.org and International Trade Centre.
ad then the Russian Federation and then Turkey.
0%
AED Million
-40
Imports grew at a faster rate of around 15.9% during this period. -50
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from the Moldova Investment and Export Promotion
Organization, CEFTA Secretariat (http://www.cefta.int/ ), European Commission and the WTO
Potential products for increased exports from UAE to Moldova
Product code and Imports by Annual growth Growth of UAEs Analysis of opportunity
description Moldova world of imports from export to the
market (USD world market world, 2010 to
million), 2014 2010 to 2014, % 2014 %
HS 27, Mineral fuels 919 16 12 Moldova needs to import its oil and this forms its biggest import fr
the world market. UAE oil companies can therefore export refined
products via ship and then land through nearby countries to g
access to the Moldovan market. This import market has seen str
growth of around 16% per annum from 2010 to 2014 making it
important growth market.
HS 84, Machinery 428 7 15 Machinery and boilers make up another large import categ
and boilers Important sub-categories include machinery for agricultural use such
HS 8432 Agricultural, forest machinery for soil prep/cultivation and
8433 Harvesting/threshing machinery. High quality used machinery
also be sourced from major agricultural producing countries
potential export to Moldova.
HS 85, Electrical 356 3 10 Moldova imported about 356 million USD of Electrical and electronic
and electronic equipment in 2014. Imports in this category grew at an annual rate of
equipment about 3 % from 2010 to 2014 and UAEs exports to the world market
grew at an annual rate of about 10% from 2010 to 2014. Some major
producers of electrical products are in Asia creating opportunities for
intermediation for Dubai businesses.
HS 8703 , Cars 156 5 20 Moldova imported about USD 325 million worth of cars in 2014. Impo
in the category grew at an annual rate of around 5% from 2010 to 20
UAE exporters also increased their exports to the world market in thi
product by 20% in this product category, indicating their competitive
strength.
Product code and Imports by Annual growth Growth of UAEs Analysis of opportunity
description Moldova world of imports from export to the
market (USD world market world, 2010 to
million), 2014 2010 to 2014, % 2014, %
HS 8701, Tractors 47 6 13 Moldova imported about USD 47 million worth of tractors for use
agricultural production. Imports under this product category grew at
annual rate of 6% from 2010 to 2014 while UAEs exports to the w
of this product also grew at a rate of 13%. Further research of t
market could mean opportunities for UAE businesses to increase t
exports to Moldova in this product category.
HS 39, Plastics and 236 9 18 Moldova imported about USD 236 worth of plastics and articles in 20
articles Imports of this product category grew at an annual rate of around
form 2010 to 2014, while UAE exporters grew their exports to the w
market in this product category by a robust 18% from 2010 to 20
This product category could therefore also be a potential market
increased UAE exports and re-exports to Moldova.
HS 73, Articles of 121 6 10 Articles of iron and steel is another product category with im
iron and steel, potential for Moldova. In 20114 Moldova imported about USD
million worth of products under this category. The import market gre
an annual growth rate of about 6% between 2010 to 2014 while UA
exporters also grew their exports at an annual rate of around 10% fr
2010 to 2014. Articles of iron and steel could therefore be anot
possible product for increased exports from UAE to Moldova.
Source: Molodova Foreign Investment Guide 2007, Moldovan Investment and Export Promotion Organization (MIEPO)
Taxes
Major taxes and payments payable by businesses
Type of tax Rates of taxation
Corporate Income Tax Rate of taxation varies between 7% and 18% for Individual Entrepreneurs
depending on income. Rate of tax is 7% for farming enterprises, 3% for
legal entities that are small and medium enterprises. General Corporate
income tax is 12% for other legal entities. This 12% tax can be halved to
about 6% for entities within the Free Economic Zones (FEZ).
Value Added Tax 20% Standard VAT, 8% VAT on certain supplies such as bread, bakery
products, milk, some pharmaceuticals and sugars etc. VAT on other
supplies such as those involving of goods, supplies to and from the
territory of free economic zones (FEZs), import and supply of goods
destined for technical assistance projects under specific conditions
Capital gains tax Taxable gains are calculated as 50% of total capital gains from sale of assets
and are to be included as part of gross income to be taxed at normal tax
rates.
Social Security Contribution The employer is required to make social security contribution of about
23% of salary while the employee makes a contribution to about 6%.
Health insurance contribution Around 4% of salaries and health insurance contribution is paid by both
employer and employee.
Source: Doing Business 2015, doingbusiness.org, World Bank Group and Price WaterHouse Coopers and MIEPO, Investing Guide Moldova 2014.
Free Economic Zones and Industrial Parks
The government of Moldova has created several Free Economic Industrial Parks incentives include the following:
Zones (FEZ) and Industrial parks to encourage investment in the
Free of charge transfer of land for purpose
country.
of establishing an industrial park
FEZ incentives include the following:
Allowance to private public land that is
Entities which are located in the FEZs of Moldova and which associated with construction according to
are involved in export of goods outside the customs territory of the price allowed by the law.
Moldova or delivery of produced goods to other FEZ residents
Allowance for free zoning of agricultural into
can apply 50% of the applicable CIT rate on their income.
industrial land.
Income obtained by a FEZ company on export of goods outside
Possibility of reduced rental price for state
the customs territory of Moldova or for supply of goods to
land.
other FEZ resident for export to outside Moldova is exempted
from CIT for three years provided the enterprises invested a
capital equivalent of about USD 1 million in fixed assets or
Some examples of potential FEZ locations
infrastructure.
are provided in the next page.
Income obtained by a FEZ company on export of goods outside
the customs territory of Moldova or for supply of goods to
other FEZ resident for export to outside Moldova is exempted
from CIT for five years provided the enterprises invested a
capital equivalent of about USD 5 million in fixed assets or
infrastructure.
FEZs also allow for repatriation of profits from Moldova after
full filling tax requirements. Furthermore, workers can be hired
through a simplified procedure.
Selected Free Economic Zones
downturn. 600
500
0
The Moldovan government has relatively low tax rates, for
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Financial Services
According to data from the Moldovan Ministry of Economy,
Manufacturing Industry
sectors receiving large shares investment inflows in 2011 included [VALUE]
financial services, manufacturing and real estate. Inspite of the [VALUE] Real Estate Transactio
1
potential in the agricultural sector, investment in this sector had a 2 Electricity, Water and
Gas
small share of overall FDI inflows
[VALUE] Transport and
Communication
Health and Social
[VALUE] Services
EU countries made up most of the FDI inflows into Moldova in Agriculture
2011. Therefore Holland, Germany, UK, Spain, Italy and Poland 23 Others
together made up the largest share of FDI inflows into Moldova. 10
Russia had the second highest share at 11% for individual
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Ministry of Economy Republic of Moldova and Invest
countries. in Moldova Country Report, Moldovan Investment and Export Promotion Organization (MIEPO).
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Ministry of Economy Republic of Moldova and Inves
Moldova Country Report, Moldovan Investment and Export Promotion Organization (MIEPO).
Investment opportunities in the Agriculture
Production of selected agricultural and livestock products in
Moldova (thousands of tons)
With its rich natural environment, rich soil and favorable climate, 2010 2011 2012 2013
Moldovas agricultural sectors could hold potentially lucrative business
opportunities. Moldova's soil is ideal for growing corn, fruits and
vegetables. The production of corn has been stable from 2010 to 2013, Production of corn 1,420 1,468 572 1,419
while the production of vegetable has seen some reduction. Fruit
production has experienced significant growth during this period.
Vegetables 341 362 231 292
Given increased demand for organic products from the EU, thee exports
Fruits 322 378 380 415
of organic products have experienced strong growth, growing at a
Compound Annual Growth Rate of around 47% from 2004 to 2013. Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Moldova National Bureau of Statistics and
Agricultural Report Republic of Moldova, Invest in Moldova.
Moldova has organic regulations in place and around 2% of its current
arable land is used to produce organic food products.
Export of Organic products by Moldova (tons)
100,000
Livestock production could have potential synergy for export of halal
80,000
meat to UAE and other GCC countries. Potential business opportunities
include setting up new cattle farms, renovation of existing cattle farms 60,000
20,000
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Moldova National Bureau of Statistics an
Agricultural Report Republic of Moldova, Invest in Moldova.
Investment opportunities in the Automotive sector
0.1
In terms of production costs, Moldova compared favorably with
0.05
other central and eastern European countries.
0
Moldova Romania Serbia Bulgaria
Moldova is position on the largest pan European corridor
between Helsinki (Finalnd) and Alexandroupoli (Greece). It takes Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Moldova National Bureau of Statistics, Spelleken
Assoc. and Avanz Experts Panel, introduction to the Automotive sector Republic of Moldova,
about 2 days to deliver good to Germany. This makes it possible to Moldova Investment and Export Promotion Organization
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Moldova National Bureau of Statistics, Spelleken
Assoc. and Avanz Experts Panel, introduction to the Automotive sector Republic of Moldova,
Moldova Investment and Export Promotion Organization
Investment opportunities in Pharmaceuticals and Health
care
Per capita total health care expenditure in Moldova (USD)
As discussed earlier, Moldovas population is undergoing significant 300
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
400
Niche areas of growth could include aged care centers and aviation
sanitation. Given the need for more hospitals, there could be many
potentially lucrative business opportunities. Medical and testing 200
equipment could also be exported to other countries in Europe.
According to data from trademap.org, Moldova exported about USD
113 million worth of goods under HS 30 Pharmaceutical products, 0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
most of them going to the CIS countries. Further investments in
pharmaceutical and medical appliance production in Moldova could Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Euromonitor International.
Moldova has the ability to quickly deliver fashion products given 800
that it takes about 1 day by truck to deliver products to Eastern 600
Europe and 2 days to Western Europe. With such low delivery 400
times and availability of required workforce, and relatively 200
competitive cost of production, there could be potentially 0
lucrative investment opportunities in the Moldovan textile and
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
footwear.
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Euromonitor International
Given the need to manage the logistics needs of fast changing Production of footwear (million Moldovan Leu)
fashion items, UAE businesses with experience in logistics could 300
establish warehouses and provide transport and trucking facilities
250
to Moldovan textile companies to get their goods quickly to the
export destination in Europe and elsewhere. 200
150
100
50
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source: Dubai Chamber based on data from Euromonitor International
Risks And Challenges
Economic Challenges Ease of Doing business: While Moldova has made
improvements in the ease of doing business, some
Demographic change: Moldovas population is challenges remain. Some of these include the following:
facing a strong reduction in numbers due in part to
migration to other countries. This decline in Trading across borders: According to Doing
numbers of working members of society coupled Business 2015 of the World Bank Group, it takes
with an aging population can be expected to put a about 27 days to import goods into Moldova and 23
significant burden on future economic growth and days to export goods. Furthermore, According to
budgetary revenues. Doing Business 2015 of the World Bank Group, it
takes on average about 9 documents and 23 days to
Spillover of global and regional macro-economic export goods from Moldova. This is significantly
challenges: The Republic of Moldova has a higher than the documents and time for Romania
relatively small economy and is surrounded by and Hungary. The landlocked geography of the
many large markets. As a result global and regional country combined with documentation required can
economic and trade turbulences have the potential be challenge in trading with business in Moldova.
to cause economic challenges in the country.
Business wanting to hedge against these risks Dealing with construction permits: It takes about
should therefore aim to diversify their businesses 247 days and 27 procedures to deal with
across sectors and also in other regions. construction permits with Moldova ranking at 175 out
of 189 economies according to Doing Business
Challenges in effective financial intermediation: 2015.
Weak financial intermediation leading to difficulty in
access to finance is a major constraint for Getting electricity: It takes about 118 days and 7
businesses in Moldova which could also lead to procedures to get electricity in Moldova and it ranked
higher financing costs. at 149 out 189 economies in getting electricity
according to data from Doing Business 2015.
Conclusion
Despite some challenges and its landlocked geography, Moldova offers prospective business with a diverse range
of trade and investment opportunities. A large number of these opportunities arise from the potential to use Moldova
as a production, re-packaging and logistics base to do trade with the European Union countries on one side and the
CIS countries on the other side.
Selected trade opportunities for UAE businesses include opportunities for exporting and re-exporting finished
products to Moldova such as:
Cars,
Tractors (for agriculture) ,
Machinery,
Electrical equipment,
Plastics and articles and
Pharmaceuticals.
Several of these products are made in Asia and this creates opportunities for UAE businesses to intermediate between
Asia and Europe and export these goods to Moldova.
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