Professional Documents
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Time
Calibration Issues:
individual land use parameter determination
location of gaging station data
location of water quality monitoring information
available information on stream systems
Model Configuration
Calibration Points Example
Calibration/Validation
Procedures
F Hydrology - first and foremost
F Sediment - next
F Water quality - last (nitrogen, phosphorus,
pesticides, DO, bacteria)
F Calibration sequence
annual water balance
seasonal variability
storm variability
u time series plot
u frequency duration curve
baseflow
overall time series
Calibration/Validation
Statistics
Storm sequence
u time lag or shifts
time of concentration, travel time
u shape of hydrograph
peak
recession
consider antecedent conditions
Example Calibration Plot
Example Calibration Plot
Calibration of flow at Hico, Bosque River Watershed, TX
Observed Simulated
350
300
Flow Volume (mm/year)
250
200
150
100
50
0
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
Time
Example Calibration Plot
Hydrologic Calibration
Scenario 1
Simulated
Observed
Flow (cfs)
Time (hours)
Hydrologic Calibration
Model failed to simulate some peak
flows
F Rainfall station is not Simulated
representative Observed
Flow (cfs)
F Localized storm -no
response
F Malfunctioning gages
(precipitation or flow) Time (hours)
Solutions
F Use precipitation data from representative
meteorological stations
F Carefully review precipitation and flow data for the
particular duration
Hydrologic Calibration
Scenario 2
Simulated
Observed
Flow (cfs)
Time (hours)
Hydrologic Calibration
Model consistently over predicts the
flow
F High Surface flow Simulated
Observed
Flow (cfs)
Time (hours)
Solutions
F Curve number for different land uses-decrease by 10%
(CN in .mgt)
F Soil available water - increase upto 0.04
(SOL_AWC in .sol)
F Soil evaporation compensation factor increase up to 1.0
(ESCO in *.sub)
Hydrologic Calibration
Model consistently over predicts the
flow
F High base flow Simulated
Observed
F Too little
Flow (cfs)
evapotranspiration
Time (hours)
Solutions
F Increase deep percolation loss (Adjust threshold depth of
water in shallow aquifer required for the base flow to
occur) (max 100mm, GWQMN in .gw)
F Increase groundwater revap coefficient (max of 0.40,
GW_REVAP in .gw)
F Decrease threshold depth of water in shallow aquifer for
revap to occur (min of 0.0, REVAPMN in .gw)
Hydrologic Calibration
Scenario 3
Simulated
Observed
Flow (cfs)
Time (hours)
Hydrologic Calibration
Simulated flow follows the observed pattern
but lags the actual flow consistently
F Time of concentration is too
long
F Less than actual slope for Simulated
Observed
overland flow
Flow (cfs)
F Over estimated surface
roughness
F Snow melt parameters Time (hours)
F Flood routing coefficients
Solutions
F Increase slope (up to 20%) for overland flow (SLOPE)
F Mannings roughness coefficient- lower it after checking
OV_N tables (OV_N)
F The value of overland flow length- lower to 5-10m, if
necessary (SLSUBBSN)
Hydrologic Calibration
Scenario 4
Simulated
Observed
Flow (cfs)
Time (hours)
Hydrologic Calibration
Simulated flow over predicts peak flows but
under predicts all other times
Simulated
F Too little base flow Observed
Flow (cfs)
F Too high surface runoff
F Key considerations
Sources of sediment loadings
u Loadings from HRUs/Subbasins
u Channel degradation/deposition
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
Sediment tons/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Sediment Calibration
Model consistently under predicts the
Sediment
sediment 0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
Sediment tons/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
Solutions 0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
0.60
Sediment tons/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Solutions
F Calibrate Channel degradation/deposition
Linear and exponential parameters used for channel sediment
routing Increase SPCON upto 0.01 & SPEXP to 2.0 (SPCON and
SPEXP in .bsn)
Channel erodibility factor Increase to 0.3 to 0.4 if channel is
erodible (CH_EROD in .rte)
Channel cover factor Increase upto 1.0 if no vegetation exists
on bank/channel bottom (CH_COV in .rte)
Sediment Calibration
Model consistently under predicts the
sediment
F Often only have total sediment yield or
concentration at gage/outlet of watershed
F Not sure if source is upland fields or channel
erosion
F Visit watershed to see if significant channel
erosion is occurring
F Check subbasin yields (t/ha) to make sure they are
reasonable. The remainder must come from the
channels
Sediment Calibration
Scenario 2
Sediment
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
Sediment tons/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Sediment Calibration
Model consistently over predicts the Sediment
sediment 0.60
0.50
Observed
Simulated
Sediment tons/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
Solutions 0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Observed
Sediment tons/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Solutions
Time in Months
F Key considerations
Sources of nutrient loadings
u Loadings from HRUs/Subbasins
u In-stream processes
2.00
Org N kg/ha
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
1
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
Months(93-97)
Obs Org N kg/ha Sim org N kg/ha
Mineral N
0.60
Min N kg/ha
0.40
0.20
0.00
1
13
17
21
25
29
33
37
41
45
49
53
57
Months(93-97)
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
0.40
Mineral N kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Mineral Nitrogen Calibration
Model consistently under predicts the
Mineral Nitrogen
0.50
Observed
Simulated
Mineral N kg/ha
0.30
0.20
Solutions 0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
0.60
Observed
0.50
Simulated
Mineral N kg/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Mineral Nitrogen Calibration
Model consistently over predicts the
Mineral Nitrogen
0.50
Observed
Simulated
Mineral N kg/ha
0.40
F 0.30
0.20
0.10
Solutions 0.00
1 2 3 4 5
Time in Months
6 7 8
0.60
Observed
0.50
Simulated
Organic N kg/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Organic Nitrogen Calibration
Model consistently under predicts the
organic nitrogen 0.60
Organic Nitrogen
Organic N kg/ha
0.40
loading 0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
Solutions 1 2 3 4 5
Time in Months
6 7 8
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
0.40
Organic N kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Organic Nitrogen Calibration
Model consistently over predicts the
organic nitrogen 0.60
Organic Nitrogen
Observed
loading 0.40
Organic N kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
Solutions 0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
0.40
Soluble P kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Soluble Phosphorus Calibration
Model consistently under predicts the
Soluble Phosphorus
0.50
Observed
Simulated
Soluble P kg/ha
0.40
0.30
0.20
Solutions 0.10
0.00
0.60
0.40
Soluble P kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Solutions
F Calibrate in-stream soluble phosphorus processes
Fraction of algal biomass that is phosphorus for water quality
increase up to 0.03 (AI2 in.wwq)
Soluble Phosphorus Calibration
Scenario 2
Soluble Phosphorus
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
0.40
Sol P kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Soluble Phosphorus Calibration
Model consistently over predicts the
soluble phosphorus
Soluble Phosphorus
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
Sol P kg/ha
0.30
loading 0.20
0.10
Solutions 0.00
1 2 3 4 5
Time in Months
6 7 8
loading 0.50
0.40
Simulated
Sol P kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Solutions
F Calibrate in-stream soluble phosphorus processes
Fraction of algal biomass that is phosphorus for water quality
decrease down to 0.01 (AI2 in.wwq)
Organic Phosphorus Calibration
Scenario 1
Organic Phosphorus
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
0.40
Organic P kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Organic Phosphorus Calibration
Model consistently under predicts the
organic phosphorus 0.60
Organic Phosphorus
F 0.50 Simulated
0.40
Organic P kg/ha
loading 0.30
0.20
0.10
Solutions 0.00
1 2 3 4 5
Time in Months
6 7 8
0.60
Observed
0.50 Simulated
0.40
Organic P kg/ha
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time in Months
Organic Phosphorus Calibration
Model consistently over predicts the
organic phosphorus 0.60
Organic Phosphorus
Observed
0.40
Simulated
Organic P kg/ha
loading 0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8