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AbstractThe proliferation of power-electronic-based residen- harmonic control measures. One such measure is to adopt the
tial loads has resulted in significant harmonic distortion in the IEC device level limits in North America [4].
voltages and currents of residential distribution systems. There is The main challenge to developing the above-mentioned tech-
an urgent need for techniques that can determine the collective
harmonic impact of these modern residential loads. These tech- niques is how to model the random nature of the harmonic cur-
niques can be used, for example, to predict the harmonic effects rents produced by residential loads. Over the past many years,
of mass adoption of compact fluorescent lights. In response to the some researchers have investigated the summation of random
need, this paper proposes a bottom-up, probabilistic harmonic harmonic phasors [5], [6], the algorithms of stochastic harmonic
assessment technique for residential feeders. The method models power flows [7], [8], and methods to predict the mean values
the random harmonic injections of residential loads by simulating
their random operating states. This is performed by determining of harmonic indices [9]. All of these works have greatly con-
the switching-on probability of a residential load based on the tributed to our understanding on the modeling and analysis of
load research results. The result is a randomly varying harmonic systems with randomly varying harmonic loads. Unfortunately,
equivalent circuit representing a residential house. By combining the available techniques are still not in a shape to fulfill the needs
multiple residential houses supplied with a service transformer, of predicting harmonic distortions caused by consumer behavior
a probabilistic model for service transformers is also derived.
Measurement results have confirmed the validity of the proposed or regulatory policy changes.
technique. The proposed model is ideally suited for studying the The objective of this paper is to present a systematic, versa-
consequences of consumer behavior or regulatory policy changes. tile technique based on Monte Carlo simulation to study the har-
Index TermsHarmonic analysis, residential loads, statistical monic impact of residential loads. The main idea is originated
analysis, time-varying harmonics. from the following observation: the random harmonic genera-
tion of residential loads is almost exclusively due to the random
on/off states of the loads. For example, a CFL can be in an ON
I. INTRODUCTION or OFF state randomly at any given time. But once it is turned
HE proliferation of power-electronic-based modern resi- on, its harmonic currents essentially follow a known, determin-
T dential loads has resulted in significant harmonic distor-
tions in the voltages and currents of residential power distri-
istic spectrum. Therefore, the key to develop the aforementioned
harmonic assessment technique is to model the random ON/OFF
bution systems. These new harmonic sources have comparable state change events of residential loads properly. Once the states
sizes and are distributed all over a network. Although they pro- of all residential loads are known, the problem becomes a de-
duce insignificant amount harmonic currents individually, the terministic harmonic power flow problem. Fortunately, a body
collective effect of a large number of such loads can be substan- of knowledge on residential load behaviors has been developed
tial [1][3]. At present, there is an urgent need for techniques for load research purposes [10][13]. These techniques can be
that can determine the collective harmonic impact of modern adapted to solve the problem of predicting the operating states
residential loads. Such techniques can be used, for example, to of residential loads. The result is a bottom-up-based harmonic
predict the harmonic effects of mass adoption of compact fluo- analysis technique ideally suited for studying the consequences
rescent lights (CFLs) and to quantify the effectiveness of certain of consumer behavior or regulatory policy changes.
The aforementioned idea has been applied to create a simula-
tion technique for predicting the harmonic impacts in secondary
Manuscript received August 26, 2011; revised March 24, 2012; accepted distribution systems. Such a system typically consists of 520
May 19, 2012. Date of publication August 14, 2012; date of current ver-
sion September 19, 2012. This work was supported in part by the National single-detached houses in North America. An aggregate model
Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, in part by the Al- for service transformers is also derived with the technique. The
berta Power Industry Consortium, and in part by FAPESP, Brazil. Paper no.
TPWRD-00718-2011.
model can help to determine the harmonic conditions in primary
D. Salles and W. Freitas are with the Department of Electrical Energy distribution systems. Field measurement results taken from a
Systems, University of Campinas, Campinas 13083-852, Brazil (e-mail: dozen of service transformers in Canada have validated the pro-
dsalles@ieee.org; walmir@ieee.org).
C. Jiang, W. Xu, and H. E. Mazin are with the Department of Electrical and
posed modeling technique.
Computer Engineering, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2V4 Canada The paper is organized as follows. Section II describes
(e-mail: cjiang3@ece.ualberta.ca; wxu@ece.ualberta.ca; herfania@ece.ual- the electrical models of typical residential loads. Section III
berta.ca). presents a procedure to determine the ON/OFF state of a res-
Color versions of one or more of the figures in this paper are available online
at http://ieeexplore.ieee.org. idential load based on the behaviors of inhabitants and the
Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TPWRD.2012.2207132 usage characteristics of the residential load. Build on the above
0885-8977/$31.00 2012 IEEE
1938 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, VOL. 27, NO. 4, OCTOBER 2012
TABLE I
USAGE PATTERN FOR MAJOR RESIDENTIAL LOADS
TABLE II
AVERAGE USAGE PATTERN FOR OTHER RESIDENTIAL LOADS
TABLE III
OCCUPANCY PATTERN FOR A TYPICAL HOUSEHOLD
including TVs, computers, lighting, house cleaning, and occa- Step 2) When the simulation starts, the probability of load
sional switch-on events (garage door and furnace). activation (Pr) can be read from its activity profile.
2) Residential Load Duration Characteristics: For major Step 3) The number of residential load switch-on events (m)
residential loads, the cycle duration can be established ac- are modified to consider household size
cording to the measurement data from the Canadian Center for , where is the household size factor.
Housing Technology (CCHT) [20]. At the CCHT, a simulated Step 4) The probability ( ) of a residential load to switch
occupancy system triggers daily residential load ON/OFF state on at the present instant in time ( ) is equal to the
change events in a real single detached home. The average previous probability Pr multiplied by the modified
cycles per year is derived from standard residential load test number of load switch-ons in the simulation time
methods of the Canadian Standards Association [21], [22]. period and a calibration scalar ( ),
Details of some major residential loads and working cycle . A discussion of how the calibration scalar
durations are presented in Table I. is derived is presented below.
Information regarding other residential loads was extracted Step 5) The calculated probability is compared to a nor-
from buyers guides [23], [24] and from field measurements. mally distributed random number ( ) between 0 and
Several other residential loads were surveyed and a partial list 1. If is larger than , go to Step 6); otherwise, go
of the expected hours that each residential load remains on to Step 7).
per month is presented in Table II. The data in the table below Step 6) The residential load is switched on and the present
only include the total working hours per month. The number of simulation time step is updated to , where
switch-on events per day is determined as follows: the average is the load working cycle duration. After that, go
working hours for an electric kettle is 15 per month per Table II. back to Step 2).
If the average working cycle duration of a kettle is 3 min, one can Step 7) The load remains off and the present simulation time
obtain 15 60 30 3 10 switch-on events per day. step is updated to . is the simulation res-
3) Size and Occupancy Pattern of the Household: The size of olution (e.g., 1 min). After that, go back to Step 2).
household has a significant impact on daily electricity demand. The calibration scalar (c) is introduced to reflect the influence
In order to include the impact of different household sizes, a of the household occupancy pattern [12]. This paper uses the oc-
household size factor is introduced. When modeling a residen- cupancy function, as follows, to represent the occupancy pattern
tial house with a specified number of occupants, is equal to
the ratio between and the average number of people per house- when house is actively occupied
hold (assumed to be 2.5 in this paper based on [25]). The value (e.g., morning, evening)
of average hours per month for each residential load provided when house is inactively occupied
in Table II cannot be used directly for different household sizes (e.g., daytime, midnight)
since, for example, a house with more people will lead to an in- where inactively occupied refers to the scenario where no-
crease in load usage. In order to take this into account, the usage body is at home or awake.
times provided in Table II will be multiplied by the household
If , the calibration scalar c is made 0 for most
size factor .
residential loads, which makes the probability of certain load
An occupancy pattern (i.e., when occupants of a residence are switch-on to be zero when nobody is at home or awake.
at home, and using residential loads) affects the ON/OFF state If , the calibration scalar c is introduced in order
of the loads. The common factors influencing the occupancy
to make the mean probability of an activity taking place, when
pattern are as follows [12]: (a) the time of the first person getting
multiplied by the calibration scalar, equal to the mean proba-
up in the morning and the last person to go to sleep and (b) the bility of a load switch-on event. As shown in Fig. 6, before cal-
period of inactive house occupancy during working hours. Due ibration, we have
to a lack of information about the house occupancy pattern, the
five most typical scenarios of the household occupancy pattern
in Canada are proposed. Table III lists these possible scenarios.
4) Probabilistic Model of Residential Load Switching-On:
Based on the usage pattern of residential loads discussed in the
previous sections and the method of [12], a procedure to deter- After introducing the occupancy function and calibration
scalar c
mine load switch-on events at a given time of a day (which is also
called a simulation step) has been established. The procedure is a
form of Monte Carlo simulation and implemented in a computer
program. At each simulation step, a list of residential loads that
are on is generated, which forms the load profile at that step. The
simulation procedure is shown Fig. 5 and explained as follows.
Step 1) The time-of-use probability profile is selected ac-
cording to the chosen load and whether it is a
(n) = 0
weekend or not; the occupancy pattern is also se-
(n)= 1.
lected according to the working type and whether it
is a weekend or not.
SALLES et al.: ASSESSING COLLECTIVE HARMONIC IMPACT OF MODERN RESIDENTIAL LOADSPART I 1941
Some residential loads, such as fridge, freezer, and furnace, domly generated instance. If the simulation runs to the first step
etc. are independent of household occupancy, so the calibration (00:01), the value of occupancy function is 0, and calibration
scalar is always made equal to 1. scalar 0, the resulting probability of microwave switch-on
The simulation of microwave usage is used as an example to ( ) at this time step is 0, which means the microwave has no
illustrate the aforementioned procedure Fig. 7. The simulated chance to switch on. However, if the time step is equal to 1200
household is set to have an average size and is full-time work (20:00), the value of occupancy function is 1, and the calibra-
type. The day of interest is weekday. The simulation resolution tion scalar is
is 1 min, which means 1440 steps in one day. As can be
seen from Fig. 7, the time of the first person waking up is 05:40,
the inactive occupancy period during work is 7:2816:58, and
the time of the last person going to sleep is 22:36 for this ran-
1942 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER DELIVERY, VOL. 27, NO. 4, OCTOBER 2012
TABLE IV
SIMULATION RESULTS OF A RESIDENTIAL HOUSE (I (h))
Fig. 11. Equivalent service transformer circuit model. (a) Service transformer
circuit model. (b) Equivalent model.
TABLE V
MEASUREMENTS RESULTS OF A RESIDENTIAL HOUSE (I (h))
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