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Preferred SELL Fundamental research indicates a 13% downside in the preferred stock over the next 6-12 months.
We have calculated the target price based on fundamental factors, using a weighted average of target
Stock prices obtained through DCF and comparative valuation methodologies.
Ticker: TAMM4.SA
Target price: BRL27.75
We reiterate the preferred stock a SELL with a 6-12 month target price of BRL27.75.
Current price: BRL32.05
ADR HOLD The ADR is expected to appreciate approximately 6% over the next 6-12 months primarily due
approximately 19 percentage point upside attributable to the anticipated appreciation of the Brazilian
real against the US dollar over the same period1. We continue to rate this stock over 6-12 months as
we continue to anticipate a significant currency impact on the ADR in the medium term.
Ticker: TAM
Target price: US$21.35
Current price: US$20.12
We reiterate the ADR (1 ADR= 1 preferred share) a HOLD with a 6-12 month target price of US$21.35.
Report summary
TAM S.A.’s (TAM) 1Q 08 revenues were above our expectation while profitability was significantly below
our expectations. Top-line growth was driven by strong domestic and international passenger revenue
growth, while its bottom line was impacted by rising operating costs, primarily fuel, personnel, and
sales and marketing expenses. Going forward, we maintain our cautious outlook for the company’s
performance in light of an anticipated suppression in yields compounded by rising jet fuel expenses.
Furthermore, given global economic conditions and slowing airline traffic, it is unlikely the company will
be to recover fuel costs in the form of higher airfares. Therefore, we expect TAM to deliver an operating
loss in FY 2008 and FY 2009. Therefore, based on current price levels, we believe TAM’s preferred
stock will trade at a discount, going forward.