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John Deere Breakup
Consider a breakup of John Deere into two companies, JD Equipment and JD Financial
Services
1. What is John Deere worth in the market?
2. Based on multiples, estimate the company's breakup value
3. Based on recent growth of revenues, estimate the present value of earnings
4. Does it make sense for the company to break up?
5. What techniques could be used for the breakup?
Given:
US Treasury 10-year 4%
Market risk premium 6%
Industry: JD
Industry: JD Financial Financial Break-up
JD as is Machinery Equipment Services Services total
Sales, 2003
Sales, 2001
Net income
Debt
BV of equity
Beta
Mkt value
P/Earnings
P/Sales
Growth rate
Cost of Equity
P/E value
P/S value
PV earnings
John Deere Breakup
Consider a breakup of John Deere into two companies, JD Equipment and JD Financial Services
1. What is John Deere worth in the market?
2. Based on multiples, estimate the company's breakup value
3. Based on recent growth of revenues, estimate the present value of earnings
4. Does a breakup make sense?
5. What techniques could be used for the breakup?
Given:
US Treasury 10-year 4%
Market risk premium 6%
Industry:
Industry: JD Financial JD Financial
JD as is Machinery Equipment Services Services
Beta adjustment
Debt/equity ratio 79% 63% 52% 143% 219%
Tax rate 22.30% 34.7% 18.80% 34.6%
Unlevered beta 0.54 0.54 0.43 0.43
Levered beta 0.72 1.05
Cost of Equity 8.3% 10.3%
PV Earnings 20,199 5,542
D Financial Services
Break-up total
25,645
20,079
23,942
25,741