Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.99927708
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2 0.99855468
R^2 ajustado 0.99839409
Error tpico 4.49908165
Observaciones 11

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados Promedio de los cuadrados F
Regresin 1 125862.733469622 125862.733469622 6217.98127
Residuos 9 182.1756212873 20.2417356986
Total 10 126044.909090909

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad

Intercepcin -12.876133 6.5560596177 -1.9640048554 0.08112047
Variable X 1 0.92403877 0.0117183237 78.8541772588 4.2942E-14

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin Pronstico para Y Residuos

1 345.650912 3.3490883592
2 364.131687 3.8683128663
3 387.232656 0.7673435002
4 416.801897 -2.8018972884
5 447.295177 -3.2951768517
6 484.256728 -0.2567278374
7 517.522124 0.4778762754
8 554.483675 -4.4836747104
9 593.293303 -7.2933032454
10 633.026971 1.9730294449
11 678.304871 7.6951294873
Valor crtico de F
4.2942E-14

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
-27.70697 1.9547043 -27.70697 1.9547043
0.89753008 0.95054746 0.89753008 0.95054746
 Y X e SCT SCE
CONSUMO RENTA
AO NACIONAL NACIONAL y-y^ (Y-Y_)^2 (Y^-Y_)^2
1995 349 388 3.3491 20709.83 21684.97
1996 368 408 3.8683 15602.28 16583.62
1997 388 433 0.7673 11005.92 11167.51
1998 414 465 -2.8019 6226.64 5792.30 e'
1999 444 498 -3.2952 2392.10 2080.63
2000 484 538 -0.2567 79.37 74.86
2001 518 574 0.4779 629.55 605.80
2002 550 614 -4.4837 3259.37 3791.43
2003 586 656 -7.2933 8665.92 10076.99
2004 635 699 1.9730 20189.83 19633.02
2005 686 748 7.6951 37284.10 34371.60
SUMA 5422 6021 1.5348E-12 126044.9091 125862.7335
PROMEDIO 492.91 547.36 0.000000000000140 SCT SCE
n 11

1 388
1 408
1 433 1
1 465 X' 388
X 1 498
1 538
1 574
1 614
1 656
1 699
1 748
(11,2)

11 6021
X'*X 6021 3443083

2.1234 -0.00371
(X'*X)^-1 -0.00371 0.00000678 X'*C

B^ -12.8761
0.924
 B^' -12.8761 0.9240

2798415.8243787

SCE 125862.73346962

e'*e 182.1756 SCR

SCR 20.2417

SCT 126044.9091

R^2 0.998554677
3.3491 3.8683 0.7673 -2.8019 -3.2952 -0.2567 0.4779 -4.4837 -7.2933 1.9730 7.6951

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
408 433 465 498 538 574 614 656 699 748

(2,11)

5422
3104015
n 12
SCT

0.6477 -0.041 -0.0639 91 SUMATORIA DE Y

-0.041 0.0071 -0.0011 699
-0.0639 -0.0011 0.0152 448

a
1.6545 B1
0.7391 B2
0.2258 B3

coeficnte de determinacion

768.3488 SCE

Y_ 7.58333333

SCT
b
UMATORIA DE Y

B^' 1.6545 0.7391 0.2258

78.26547 R^2 0.74598

1049167.000

104.9167
 20 100 24 5
X'*X 100 680 100 X'*Y -255
24 100 48.8 146

0.3623 -0.0388 -0.0988

(X'*X)^-1 -0.0388 0.0063 0.0063
-0.0988 0.0063 0.0563

-2.725
-0.875
6.125