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INSIGHT
Chhattisgarh
ISBN
ISBN 938637045-X
: 978-93-86370-45-7
Thematic Map Based Comparative Analysis of
State Assembly Election 2013 with Assembly Segment
9 789386 370457 of Parliamentary Election 2014 of Chhattisgarh
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
ElectionsinIndia.com i
Editor & Director
Dr. R.K. Thukral
Research Editor
Dr. Shafeeq Rahman
ISBN : 978-93-86370-45-7
Price : Rs.5000/-
Printed in India
An Analysis of Assembly Constituencies
Election Results of
CHHATTISGARH
for Assembly Election 2013 & Assembly
Segment of Parliamentary Election 2014
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
PREFACE
The BJP and the INC, both parties are well aware of the importance of 2018 assembly election in Chhattisgarh
which would be acrucial electoral test before General Elections to be held in 2019. The unique feature of
Chhattisgarh politics is its bipolarity means from the very beginning its politics is dominated by the two most
popular national parties namely the INC and the BJP. The present ruling party of Chhattisgarh, BJP is making
every single effort to regain power for the fourth consecutive term. Chhattisgarh, a state with a predominant
tribal population, the ruling BJP government has initiated several schemes to attract the tribal. On the other
hand, different reactions are clearly observable within the Congress party members in regard to the recent
announcement of the formation of a new party by Ajit Jogi, the first chief minister of Chhattisgarh Congress.
But the time will tell whether the new party is a force to reckon within Chhattisgarh or not. Therefore, the 2018
Chhattisgarh assembly election will be mainly a two-corner tug of war between the BJP and the Congress,
but the importance of the BSP and the new party of Ajit Jogi cannot be ignored since there is every possibility
that their presence might change the whole electoral game of the state. But which party will succeed to
allure their voters would be decided only after the final verdict.
Most of the time it is observed that the demographic composition of a constituency comprising its population
by religious group, caste and literacy therein, reservation nature of the constituency and its location in rural
or urban areas affects the election results significantly. The importance of the election data can never be
neglected since every political party, pressure group, political analyst, political scholars and individual are
interested in the election results so that they can easily chalk out the weak and strong regions of the political
parties, candidate performance in their constituency, impact of demographic profiles, loss and gains of
legislative seats, vote difference and swings of votes among the contesting political parties.
This report has been made by keeping into consideration the usefulness of analysis of the past election
result with linking of socio-religious profile of AC arises in a wider prospective in the contemporary era for
the pre election readiness by the analysis of previous election results. In it thematic maps has been used
to put up a detail insight report of the state assembly election results and the assembly segments of the
parliamentary election since these maps are recognised as the most excellent method to present the sea
of information at a glance. The unique feature of this report is its notable attempt to analyse the variables of
the last assembly result 2013 and the assembly segment in Parliamentary election 2014 comparatively, so
that the readers can have a crystal clear picture of the changing situations of the Chhattisgarh elections in
the forthcoming Assembly election 2018.
This report of analysis is divided into nine chapters, leading from the basic features of Assembly constituencies,
demographic profile of the state, electoral features, election results and analysis of results, vote difference
and swings, state level time series comparison, top ten raking of assembly constituencies and candidates
and the supporting datasheets.
This report is a reader oriented one and mainly aimed at serving as a pre-election reference book which
would be resourceful for politicians, policy makers, researchers, psephologists, media professionals and
academia that have interest in election politics of Indian states.
ElectionsinIndia.com v
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
RR Turnout :-
YY Chhattisgarh voters turnout was 69.54% in 2014 Parliamentary Election, as compared with 77.12% in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, maximum voters turnout was 84.47% in Lundra (ST) AC under Sarguja (ST) PC and Kurud AC
has 88.61% in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, minimum voters turnout was 31.15% in Konta (ST) AC under Bastar (ST) PC and Bijapur (ST)
AC has 45.01% in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY As much as 68.16% of female and 70.89% of male voters in 2014 Parliamentary Election, as compared with 77.32% of
female and 76.93% of male voters in 2013 Assembly Election exercised their franchise.
YY Assembly Election 2013 have seen the highest voters-turnout in the state since first assembly election with 77.12% of the
electorate casting vote. The previous highest was 71.30% recorded in 2003 Assembly Election.
YY In the previous Assembly Election held in 2013, voters turnout was 77.12%. In absolute numbers, out of the total 17664520
electors, 12253551 people cast their vote in 2014 Parliamentary Election.
RR Candidates :-
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, the total 211 candidates contested the election as compared with 986 candidates in
2013 Assembly Election.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, the maximum number of 36 candidates contested from Raipur PC while maximum
number of 38 candidates contested from Raipur City South AC in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, the minimum number of 8 candidates contested from Bastar PC while the minimum
number of 4 candidates contested from Konta (ST) AC in 2013 Assembly Election.
RR Election Results :-
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, the maximum number of 112613 votes secured by Abhishek Singh (BJP) in Kawardha AC
under Rajnandgaon PC as compared with 95470 votes in 2013 Assembly Election by Umesh Patel (INC) in Kharsia AC.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, the minimum number of 25 votes secured by an Independent candidate Saiyyad Javed
Ali in Raipur City North AC under Raipur PC as compared with 27 votes secured by an Independent candidate Santosh
Dahariya in Raipur City South AC in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, the minimum number of 23112 votes secured by a winner Dinesh Kashyap (BJP) in Konta
(ST) AC under Bastar (ST) PC as compared with 27610 votes in 2013 Assembly Election by Kawasi Lakhma (INC) in Konta
(ST) AC.
YY Kawardha AC under Rajnandgaon PC with 50844 votes (Winner 112613 votes, Runner-up 61769 votes) has the
maximum winning margin in 2014 Parliamentary Election as compared to Marwahi (ST) AC with 46250 votes (Winner-
82909 votes, Runner-up- 36659 votes) in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY Nawagarh (SC) AC under Durg PC with 786 votes (Winner 61147 votes, Runner-up 60361 votes) has the minimum
winning margin in 2014 Parliamentary Election as compared to Takhatpur AC with 608 votes (Winner 44735 votes,
Runner-up 44127 votes) in 2013 Assembly Election.
vi ElectionsinIndia.com
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
YY More than 2.2 lakh voters, (3.3%) chose NOTA in 2014 Parliamentary Election and in 35 Assembly constituencies, NOTA
were the third choice of voters, whereas in 2013 Assembly Election 4.0 lakh voters, (3.1%) chose NOTA and in 34 Assembly
constituencies, NOTA were the third choice of voters.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, 11 candidate won among 36 candidates fielded by National parties as compared to 89
won among 301 candidates in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY Not a single candidate won among 69 candidates in 2014 Parliamentary Election and 330 candidate in 2013 Assembly
Election fielded by state parties.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, Not a single candidate won among 106 Independent candidates contested as compared
with 1 won among 355 Independent candidates contested in 2013 Assembly Election.
YY In 2014 Parliamentary Election, 211 candidates contested the Election and an average number of contestants per seat
were 19 as compared with 986 candidates contested in Assembly Election 2013 and an average contestants per seat
were 11 contestants.
RR Polarity :-
YY In 2013 Assembly Election, Single-party dominated ACs were 2, out of which 1 seat won by each BJP and INC. While
amongst 7 single-party dominated ACs in 2014 Parliamentary Election, all seats won by BJP.
YY In 2013 Assembly Election, the numbers of Bi-polar ACs were 71 and major contest was between BJP-INC, out of which 37
& 34 seats won by BJP and INC respectively, while amongst 78 Bi-polar ACs in 2014 Parliamentary Election major contest
was between BJP-INC, out of which 60 and 18 seats won by BJP & INC respectively.
YY In 2013 Assembly Election, the numbers of Tri-polar ACs were 14 and contest was among BJP-INC-BSP on 7 seats, BJP-INC-
GGP on 3 seats and BJP-INC-IND on 2 seats out of which 8 & 4 seats won by BJP and INC respectively, while amongst 2
Tri-polar ACs in 2014 Parliamentary Election, contest was among BJP-INC-BSP out of which both seats won by BJP.
YY In 2013 Assembly Election, 1 Multi-polar AC seat won by BJP, while in 2014 Parliamentary Election, there is no Multi-polar
AC.
RR Social Groups :-
YY By general-reserved break up, Scheduled Castes Reserved, Scheduled Tribes Reserved, Scheduled Castes dominated,
Scheduled Tribes dominated and General ACs are 10, 29, 15, 47 and 51 respectively.
YY Out of 10 SC reserved constituencies, seats won by BJP fell from 9 in 2013 Assembly Election to 7 in 2014 Parliamentary
Election, while those won by INC increased from 1 in 2013 Assembly Election to 3 in 2014 Parliamentary Election.
YY Out of 29 ST reserved constituencies, seats won by INC declined from 18 in 2013 Assembly Election to 5 in 2014
Parliamentary Election, while those won by BJP increased from 11 in 2013 Assembly Election to 24 in 2014 Parliamentary
Election.
YY Out of 15 SC dominated constituencies, seats won by INC fell from 4 in 2013 Assembly Election to 1 in 2014 Parliamentary
Election, while those seats won by BJP increased from 10 in 2013 Assembly Election to 14 in 2014 Parliamentary Election.
YY Out of 47 ST dominated constituencies, seats won by INC fell from 26 in 2013 Assembly Election to 12 in 2014 Parliamentary
Election respectively, while those seats won by BJP increased from 20 in 2013 Assembly Election to 35 in 2014 Parliamentary
Election.
YY Out of 51 unreserved (general) constituencies, seats won by INC fell from 20 in 2013 Assembly Election to 10 in 2014
Parliamentary Election, while those won by BJP increased from 29 in 2013 Assembly Election to 41 in 2014 Parliamentary
Election.
RR Religious Groups :-
ElectionsinIndia.com vii
v
RR Rural-urban break-up :-
YY Rural, Urban and Rural + Urban assembly ACs are 36, 9 and 45 respectively.
YY Out of 36 Rural constituencies, seats won by INC fell from 16 in 2013 Assembly Election to 7 in 2014 Parliamentary Election,
while those all won by BJP increased from 19 in 2013 Assembly Election to 29 in 2014 Parliamentary Election.
YY Out of 9 Urban constituencies, seats won by INC fell from 3 in 2013 Assembly Election to 1 in 2014 Parliamentary Election,
while those won by BJP increased from 6 in 2013 Assembly Election to 8 in 2014 Parliamentary Election.
YY Out of 45 Rural + Urban constituencies, seats won by INC fell from 20 in 2013 Assembly Election to 10 in 2014 Parliamentary
Election, while those won by BJP increased from 24 in 2013 Assembly Election to 35 in 2014 Parliamentary Election.
06 Estimated Population 12
59-60 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Less than 2000 Votes 70-71
61-62 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Between 2000 to 5000 Votes 72-73
63-64 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Between 5000 to 10000 Votes 74-75
65-66 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Between 10000 to 20000 Votes 76-77
67-68 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Above 20000 Votes 78-79
71-72 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Less than 5% Votes 82-83
73-74 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Between 5% to 10% Votes 84-85
75-76 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Between 10% to 15% Votes 86-87
77-78 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Between 15% to 25% Votes 88-89
x ElectionsinIndia.com
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
79-80 Winner and Runner-up among Winning Margin Above 25% Votes 90-91
81-84 NOTA Votes are more than Winning Margin and Winner & Runner-up therein 92-95
95-96 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Above Average Poll Percentage 106-107
97-98 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Below Average Poll Percentage 108-109
99-100 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Hindu Dominated ACs 110-111
101-102 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Christian Dominated ACs 112-113
103-104 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Scheduled Castes (SC) Dominated ACs 114-115
105-106 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Scheduled Castes (SC) Reserved ACs 116-117
107-108 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Scheduled Tribes (ST) Dominated ACs 118-119
109-110 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Scheduled Tribes (ST) Reserved ACs 120-121
111-112 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Unreserved (General) ACs 122-123
117-118 Distribution of Winner & Runner-up Parties in Rural + Urban ACs 128-129
119-120 Vote Difference & Swing Impact of BJP against INC 132-133
121-122 Vote Difference & Swing Impact of BJP against BJP 134-135
123-124 Vote Difference & Swing Impact of INC against BJP 136-137
125-126 Vote Difference & Swing Impact of INC against INC 138-139
127-128 Vote Difference & Swing Impact of BSP against BSP 140-141
ElectionsinIndia.com xi
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
Top Ten Assembly Constituencies with Highest and Lowest Poll Percentage 148
Top Ten Winner Candidates Secured Highest and Lowest Numbers of Votes 149
Top Ten Winner Candidates with Highest and Lowest Acceptance in Total Electors 150
Top Ten Candidate with Highest and Lowest Winning Vote Margin 151
I. Data Information
J. Annexure
Disclaimer 203
xii ElectionsinIndia.com
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
2011
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Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
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Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
Map No. 1 2 3 4 5
154 ElectionsinIndia.com
Pre-Election Insight Chhattisgarh : 2013 - 2014
ElectionsinIndia.com i
PRE-ELECTION INSIGHT
Chhattisgarh
ISBN
ISBN 938637045-X
: 978-93-86370-45-7
Thematic Map Based Comparative Analysis of
State Assembly Election 2013 with Assembly Segment
9 789386 370457 of Parliamentary Election 2014 of Chhattisgarh