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Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
Last Close Avg Daily Vol 52-Week High Trailing PE Annual Div ROE LTG Forecast 1-Mo Return
1.29 (MYR) 5.8M 1.55 -- 0.02 -21.3% -- 11.2%
08 February 2017 Market Cap 52-Week Low Forward PE Dividend Yield Annual Rev Inst Own 3-Mo Return
MALAYSIA Exchange
2.3B 0.78 -- 1.6% 11.1B 20.5% 4.9%
AVERAGE SCORE
NEUTRAL OUTLOOK: DRBHCOM's current Score Averages
score is relatively in-line with the market. Automobiles & Auto Parts Group: 6.4 Mid Market Cap: 6.4
Automobiles & Auto Parts Sector: 6.4 FBM KLCI Index: 6.7
Average Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive BKOON 2 3 5 5 6
UMW 3 3 3 6 6
Neutral TCHONG 3 7 6 5 5
DRBHCOM 6 4 3 3 4
Negative
MBMR 4 5 4 4 3
FEB-2014 FEB-2015 FEB-2016 FEB-2017
BUSINESS SUMMARY
DRB-HICOM Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company operates through three segments: Automotive, Services, and Property, Asset
and Construction. The Automotive segment is engaged in manufacturing, assembly, vehicles importation, pre-delivery inspection, composite
manufacturing, vehicles leasing, distribution and sale of motor vehicles, military vehicles, motorcycles and special purpose vehicles, including sale of
related spares and services. The Services segment is engaged in concession, such as vehicle inspection, solid waste management and airport ground
handling business; banking, including Islamic banking and related financial services; postal, such as mail, courier and retail; integrated logistics and
inventory solutions, and education, including higher education and vocational training institution. The Property, Asset and Construction segment is
involved in property holding, development and construction works.
Page 1 of 11
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DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
PEER COMPANIES
UMW UMW Holdings WELLCAL Wellcall Holdings
ORIENT Oriental Holdings NHFATT New Hoong Fatt Holdings
TCHONG Tan Chong Motor Holdings SOLID Solid Automotive
MBMR MBM Resources RUBEREX Rubberex Corporation M
APM APM Automotive Holdings BKOON Boon Koon Group
Page 2 of 11
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DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
Earnings Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive UMW 1 3 1 5 7
DRBHCOM 5 6 5 5 5
Neutral TCHONG 1 5 6 6 5
MBMR 1 3 5 3 1
Negative
BKOON NR NR NR NR NR
FEB-2014 FEB-2015 FEB-2016 FEB-2017
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises Estimate Revisions Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight) (33.3% weight) (33.3% weight)
UMW
TCHONG
DRBHCOM
MBMR
DRBHCOM
TCHONG
UMW
DRBHCOM
MBMR
MBMR
TCHONG
UMW
BKOON BKOON BKOON
1.20
Current Price Price Target
Page 3 of 11
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DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
-0.600
2015 2016 2017 2018
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of Surprise Detail (Last 6 Periods)
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a Surprise Announce Period End Actual Mean Surprise
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type. Type Date Date EPS EPS (%)
Surprise Summary (Last 6 Years) Negative 31/05/16 31/03/16 -0.513 -0.079 -549.4%
Negative 28/05/15 31/03/15 0.117 0.133 -12.0%
Surprise Type Amount Percent
Positive 29/05/14 31/03/14 0.155 0.129 20.2%
Positive Years (> 2%) 3 50.0%
Positive 30/05/13 31/03/13 0.154 0.144 6.9%
Negative Years (< -2%) 2 33.3%
Positive 29/05/12 31/03/12 0.215 0.201 7.0%
In-Line Years (within 2%) 1 16.7%
In-Line 26/05/11 31/03/11 0.244 0.241 1.2%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in Actuals Estimates
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while 20B
2017 2018
flat or falling sales and faltering 18B
earnings may explain a sell Mean 12.6B 13.3B
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat 16B High 14.1B 15.6B
HIGH
or falling sales may result from 13.7B
increased cost efficiency and margins, 14B
Low 10.7B 10.9B
rather than market expansion. This 12.2B MEAN
Forecasted Growth 3.5% 9.2%
chart shows the sales forecast trend of 12B
# of Analysts 4 4
all analysts and the highest and lowest LOW
projections for the current and next 10B
2015 2016 2017 2018
fiscal year.
Page 4 of 11
2017 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
FUNDAMENTAL
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Weak fundamentals Fundamental Score Averages
such as low profit margins, high debt levels, or Automobiles & Auto Parts Group: 5.1 Mid Market Cap: 6.4
falling dividends. Automobiles & Auto Parts Sector: 5.1 FBM KLCI Index: 7.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Fundamental Score Trend Peers 2016 2016 2016 2016 Current 3Y Trend
MBMR 4 5 4 6 4
Positive
BKOON 5 6 5 5 3
Neutral UMW 3 3 2 2 3
Negative TCHONG 6 5 5 6 2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 DRBHCOM 2 2 2 2 1
2014 2015 2016
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability Debt Earnings Quality Dividend
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
UMW
TCHON
MBMR
MBMR BKOON BKOON
BKOON
BKOON UMW MBMR
DRBHC
UMW
TCHON MBMR
DRBHC DRBHC TCHON DRBHC
UMW TCHON
Revenue Growth -14.1% Current Ratio 0.6 Oper. Cash Yield 1.1% Dividend Growth -66.7%
For year over year For interim period For latest 12 months For year over year
ending 09-2016 ending 09-2016 ending 09-2016 ending 06-2016
Gross Margin 8.3% Debt-to-Capital 41.8% Accruals -0.9% Dividend Payout 38.6%
For latest 12 months For annual period For latest 12 months For latest 12 months
ending 09-2016 ending 03-2016 ending 09-2016 ending 03-2015
Return On Equity -21.3% Interest Funding 156.5% Days Sales In Inv. 84.1 Dividend Coverage 1.4
For interim period For interim period For annual period For annual period
ending 09-2016 ending 06-2016 ending 03-2016 ending 03-2016
Net Margin -13.1% Interest Coverage -2.1 Days Sales In Rec. 231.2 Current Div. Yield 1.6%
For latest 12 months For interim period For annual period For latest 12 months
ending 09-2016 ending 09-2016 ending 03-2016 ending 02-2017
HIGHLIGHTS
- DRB-Hicom currently has a Fundamental Rating of 1, which is - DRB-Hicom currently has a Fundamental Rating of 1, which is
significantly more bearish than the Automobiles & Auto Parts industry significantly more bearish than the Automobiles & Auto Parts industry
group average of 5.1. group average of 5.1.
- The net margin of -13.1% for DRBHCOM is the lowest within its - The net margin of -13.1% for DRBHCOM is the lowest within its
Automobiles & Auto Parts industry group. Automobiles & Auto Parts industry group.
- The debt-to-capital of 41.8% for DRBHCOM is the highest within its
Automobiles & Auto Parts industry group.
Page 5 of 11
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DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
RELATIVE VALUATION
POSITIVE OUTLOOK: Multiples significantly Relative Valuation Score Averages
below the market or the stock's historic norms. Automobiles & Auto Parts Group: 7.3 Mid Market Cap: 4.2
Automobiles & Auto Parts Sector: 7.3 FBM KLCI Index: 2.9
Relative Valuation Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive TCHONG 5 10 10 10 10
MBMR 8 7 9 9 9
Neutral DRBHCOM 8 8 8 8 8
BKOON 7 7 7 7 7
Negative
UMW 7 7 8 7 7
FEB-2014 FEB-2015 FEB-2016 FEB-2017
DRBHCOM
TCHONG
UMW
BKOON
MBMR
MBMR
MBMR
TCHONG
BKOON BKOON
DRBHCOM DRBHCOM
UMW TCHONG
UMW
HIGHLIGHTS
- DRB-Hicom currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 8 which is - DRB-Hicom currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 8 which is
significantly above the FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA COMPOSITE index significantly above the FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA COMPOSITE index
average rating of 5.5. average rating of 5.5.
Page 6 of 11
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DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
Page 7 of 11
2017 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
RISK
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK: Variable return patterns Risk Score Averages
(high volatility). Automobiles & Auto Parts Group: 5.8 Mid Market Cap: 7.6
Automobiles & Auto Parts Sector: 5.8 FBM KLCI Index: 9.1
Risk Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive TCHONG 6 8 8 7 8
UMW 7 6 7 6 7
Neutral BKOON 2 2 2 3 4
DRBHCOM 4 3 4 3 3
Negative
MBMR 5 6 5 5 2
FEB-2014 FEB-2015 FEB-2016 FEB-2017
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude Of Returns Volatility Beta (1-year) Correlation
(25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight) (25% weight)
UMW
TCHON TCHON TCHON DRBHC
BKOON
UMW MBMR
MBMR UMW
BKOON DRBHC
BKOON
MBMR TCHON
DRBHC BKOON
UMW MBMR
DRBHC
Daily Returns (Last 90 Days) Standard Deviation Beta vs. FBM KLCI 1.65 Correlation vs. FBM KLCI
Best 12.5% Last 90 Days 3.22 Positive Days Only 2.30 Last 90 Days 25%
Worst -8.2% Last 60 Months 11.17 Negative Days Only 1.24 Last 60 Months 39%
Monthly Returns (Last 60 Months) Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days) Beta vs. Group 0.79 Correlation vs. Group
Best 44.8% Average 3.8% Positive Days Only 0.40 Last 90 Days 19%
Worst -24.0% Largest 11.1% Negative Days Only 0.59 Last 60 Months 53%
Page 8 of 11
2017 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
Price Momentum Score Trend (4-Week Moving Avg) Peers -6M -3M -1M -1W Current 1Y Trend
Positive BKOON 4 6 9 8 10
UMW 2 1 1 6 5
Neutral DRBHCOM 7 4 2 3 4
MBMR 7 8 1 1 4
Negative
TCHONG 1 2 1 1 1
FEB-2014 FEB-2015 FEB-2016 FEB-2017
BKOON
BKOON
DRBHCOM UMW
MBMR DRBHCOM
UMW MBMR
TCHONG
TCHONG
Relative Strength Indicator (Scale from 1 to 100) Average Monthly Return (Last 10 Years)
DRBHCOM Industry Avg FEB MAR APR
Last 1 Month 62 54 Company Avg -3.4% 4.2% 4.6%
Last 3 Months 53 50 Industry Avg -0.3% 0.2% 6.0%
Last 6 Months 52 48 Industry Rank 43 of 54 45 of 54 5 of 54
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the DRBHCOM DRBHCOM FBM KLCI
performance of the stock as compared to a
FBM KLCI Close Price (08/02/17) 1.29 1,689
relevant index over five time periods.
52-Week High 1.55 1,728
10.3%
1-Week 52-Week Low 0.78 1,615
1%
19.4%
1-Year
1.6%
Page 9 of 11
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DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
Page 10 of 11
2017 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
DRB-HICOM (DRBHCOM-KU)
Automobiles & Auto Parts / Automobiles & Auto Parts / Auto & Truck Manufacturers DETAILED STOCK REPORT
Report Date: 09 February 2017
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current companys values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the companys ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
Magnitude of Returns The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
best / worst monthly returns in the past 60 months.
Volatility The standard deviation of the stock price over the last 90 days and
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
Beta Measures the tendency of a securitys returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
Correlation Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
Relative Strength The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
months, and 6 months on a scale of 1 to 100.
Seasonality The average monthly return (price performance) for the current
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.
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