Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Stock markets have an uncanny ability to prove not likely to give good returns in the medium term.
everyone, including leading market experts, wrong. There is another category of stocks, which are un-
Allen Greenspan, the legendry former chief of the der valued; but their low valuations are due to the
Fed, used the phrase irrational exuberance in many headwinds being faced by their respective
1996, to caution investors about the high market industries. Stocks of PSU banks, telecom, IT and
valuations during the bull-run of nineties in the US. pharma belong to this category. In this segment,
In spite of the formidable reputation of Greenspan, investors may start nibbling at quality stocks availa-
the market ignored his warnings and raced ahead ble cheap, particularly in the IT and pharma seg-
for 3 more years. Indias Chief Economic Advisor ments. There is another category of high quality
Arvind Subramaniam, in the recently published sec- stocks, whose valuations are rich; but these stocks
ond volume of the Economic Survey, has hinted at have robust earnings growth and high earnings visi-
financial market exuberance decoupled from the bility. In this segment, though valuations are high, it
real economy. The CEA went on to explain the can be justified and therefore, long-term investors
exuberance to international excess liquidity and have nothing to worry by holding on to them and
the domestic shift to equity. Some members of the even buying more on declines.
MPC of the RBI have also indicated asset price
inflation as an area of concern. There are some Bull markets can last longer than most people think.
market experts, too, who share the concerns of exu- But ultimately, earnings should justify valuations; if
berance and excessive valuations presently. The 5- that doesnt happen there will be a sell off. It is quite
day losing streak in the market during the second probable that in FY 2018 too, earnings might remain
week of August, when some mid and small caps got subdued due to GST related disruptions. But a
slaughtered, reinforces the valuation concerns. How sharp upswing in economic growth and earnings
should investors respond to these concerns? cycle is a clear possibility starting FY 2019. And, this
upswing in the economic growth and earnings cycle
Valuations that are much higher than normal are may sustain for many years.
regarded as indicators of excesses and exuberance
in the market. It is true that, going by historical index Declining interest costs and operational leverage
valuations, the market is over priced. The average can bring about a sharp upswing in earnings when
Sensex trailing PE since 1991 has been 18. Pres- the cycle turns. It is quite probable that Nifty EPS
ently (mid August) it is around 23 indicating exces- can climb to around 480 and 600 levels for FY 2018
sive valuation. (Trailing PE is a better indicator than and FY 2019 respectively. In a few months, the mar-
forward PE since trailing earnings are actuals while ket will start discounting FY 2019 earnings. If the
forward earnings are estimates.) Going by Sensex expected recovery in earnings happen, the present
or Nifty valuations, one is justified in concluding that valuations would appear reasonable, in retrospect.
there is some disconnect between fundamentals
and valuations. But discerning investors should look The best insurance against risk in the stock market
beyond general index valuations and look at valua- is investing in quality stocks. In the Emerging Mar-
tions of specific segments. When we do that, we will kets, with the exception of China, India has the best
find many categories of stocks: One, stocks with collection of quality stocks, which have delivered
frothy valuations whose market prices cannot be consistent returns over a long time horizon. Inves-
justified. Many small and mid caps fall under this tors should keep in mind the fact that wealth is cre-
category. Here, prices have been driven up partly by ated, not just by buying stocks at relatively low PE,
momentum and partly by relentless money flows but by remaining invested in quality stocks over the
into these segments. Investors should refrain from long run, thereby allowing the power of compound-
investing in this category. Two, stocks whose valua- ing to work its magic to create phenomenal wealth.
tions are higher due to scarcity of floating stocks.
Some stocks of companies, which came out with
IPOs recently, belong to this category. Here valua-
tions are high due to scarcity of stocks relative to
demand. In this segment too, valuations are hard to
justify, even in the case of quality stocks, which
have good potential. Investment in these stocks is Dr.V . K. Vijayakumar
ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
there is some disconnect between fundamentals and valuations. PE
based on trailing earnings is now around 23, much higher than the 25-
year historical average of 18. But discerning investors should look be- Vol.: 01 | Issue: 08 | September 05, 2017
yond general index valuations and look at valuations of specific seg-
LOOK BRIGHT ments. When we approach the market valuations with that perspective,
we will find many categories of stocks such as: stocks with frothy valua- Printed & Published by: C J George, Director,
tions that cannot be justified by fundamentals; stocks with high valuations Geojit Investment Services Limited
Dr. V. K. Vijayakumar driven by huge demand but low floating stocks; stocks with low valuations
such as stocks from IT, pharma, PSU banks and telecom, where low
34/659- P, Civil Line Road, Padivattom
Kochi - 682 024, Kerala, India
valuations are due to the many headwinds and margin pressures being
faced by their respective industries; and finally high value quality stocks, Owned by: Geojit Investment Services Limited
which have robust earnings and high earnings visibility. Investors should 34/659- P, Civil Line Road, Padivattom
avoid the first category, selectively start nibbling at the third category and Kochi - 682 024, Kerala, India
remain invested/ buy on declines in the last category.
Mahindra CIE
GUEST COLUMN
Axis LT Equity Fund (G)
DSP BR Tax Saver Fund (G)
RNI NO: KERENG/2017/72534
insights@geojit.com
SBI Magnum MidCap Fund 40. Model Portfolio Registered Office:
Submissions should include the writer's name and address. 34/659 - P, Civil Line Road, Padivattom,
Kochi - 682024, Kerala, India.
Views and opinions expressed in the magazine are not necessarily those of Geojit Insights, its publisher and / or editors. We (at Geojit
4 I September 5, 2017 I Geojit Insights Insights) do our best to verify the information published, but do not take any responsibility for the absolute accuracy of the information. Geojit
Insights does not accept responsibility for any investment or other decision taken by readers on the basis of information provided herein.
Vinod Nair
105
6
95
4 85
75
2
65
0 55
July -12 January -13 July -13 January -14 July -14 January -15 July -15 January -16 July -16 January -17 July -17
Manufacturing PMI
4 51
50
2
49
0
48
-2 47
Aug -14 Feb-15 Aug -15 Feb-16 Aug -16 Feb-17
Company Market cap (Rs crores) Company Market cap (Rs crores)
1st Jan1991 15th August 2017
TISCO 3193 RIL 511572
TELCO 1685 TCS 472669
RIL 1483 HDFC Bank 452672
Hind Lever 1347 ITC 330152
Century Textiles 998 HDFC 273086
Federal Bank Ltd (FB) is a mid-sized private commercial Mahindra CIE was earlier known as Mahindra Forgings and
bank having a network of 1252 branches with a loan book name was later changed following integration between
UltraTech Cement Ltd (Ultratech), part of Aditya Birla group is the Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd is among the first group of
size of ~Rs77,000 cr. FB is headquartered at Aluva, Kerala Mahindra and CIE Automotive. The complete integration largest manufacturer of grey cement, Ready Mix Concrete (RMC) companies to procure small finance bank (SFB) license.
and their branches and ATMs are spread across 25 States between them was done in CY15 in which Mahindra Forg- and white cement in India. Ultratech has an installed capacity of Ujjivan has a network of 457 branches across 24 states.
and 5 Union Territories in India. FB has diversified its loan 93MnT (including recent acquisition from Jaiprakash Associates). Loan book comprises of Microfinance (86% of loan book) to
ings (India & Europe), MUSCO, Mahindra Investment
book with high growth retail, SME & corporate. Loan book UltraTech Cement has 18 integrated plants, 1 clinkerisation plant, self help groups and individual loans for Agriculture & animal
(Gears division), Mahindra Hindoy and European forging
25 grinding units and 7 bulk terminals. In white cement segment, it husbandry finance and housing finance. It also offers indi-
has grown at a healthy CAGR of 14% over past 5 years. division of CIE. Now on consolidated basis European oper-
goes to market under the brand name of Birla White. It has a white vidual loans to Micro & Small Enterprises (MSEs).
Retail & SME loans have been driving loan book, helped by ations contribute more than 60% and remaining contribution
the strong retail franchise built through aggressive branch is from Indian operations. MCIE is present across diverse cement plant with a capacity of 0.56 MTPA and 2 WallCare putty
Ujjivans transformation to Small finance Bank will script a
expansion in last decade. FB has a strong NRI client base products in this forging is the largest Segment. Recently the plants with a combined capacity of 0.8 MTPA. UltraTech Cement is
new growth in the coming years through larger ticket size
due to its location advantage in NRI stronghold of South company acquired 100% ownership of Bill Forge Private also India's largest exporter of cement.
loans, new products and deposit mobilization. As an SFB,
India which is supporting the deposit and advance momen- Ltd to the tune of Rs1331cr. Presently CIE automotive hold
Ultratech reported ~7% YoY growth in revenue on consolidated Ujjivan will be moving up the ladder to directly compete with
tum. 51.38% stake in company and M&M hold 18.53% stake and
basis in Q1FY18 driven by strong growth in realisation which NBFCs and Banks and will have advantage over these po-
Bill Forge share holders 8.6%. tential competitors in the unbanked markets due to the
FB has been steadily growing their business in the last few helped offset the impact of flat volumes. While the domestic ce-
quarters. Loan book and deposits grew at healthy 28% YoY strong foothold it already enjoys in these markets. The SFB
During Q2CY17 the MCIE registered a consolidated reve- ment volumes declined by 1% YoY in Q1FY18, Ultratech witnessed
can offer new suite of loan products with higher ticket size
and 18% YoY during Q1FY18. Corporate and retail seg- nue/EBT growth of 15%/58%YoY largely driven by the 23% YoY increase in exports leading to flat volumes of 13.2 MT.
ments have been the major growth pillars, while SME fi- which will drive customer acquisition and enhance the credit
acquisition of Bill Forge and 11%YoY growth from The company reported weak cement volumes mainly due to a)
profile of existing customer base. Transition of branches to
nancing is providing further support. Deposit growth is be- standalone business. MCIE India (Including BFPL) busi- Structural issues on account of scarcity of sand & water b) Chal-
ing driven by low cost CASA which grew 20% YoY and full fledged bank branches is gaining momentum. Ujjivan
ness grew by 51%YoY and MICE Europe de-grew by -2% lenging demand environment due to drought situation in certain has opened 54 SFB branches till date and plans to operate
CASA mix in total deposit has improved to 33%. Higher YoY whereas EBT grew by 164%/27% respectively. MCIE parts of the country. Blended realisation during the quarter in- 171 branches by the year end. SFB branches are currently
interest reversals for NPA loans led to a moderate growth in is well placed to gain the benefit from the changing structur- creased by 7% YoY. Capacity utilisation of the company during the focused on growing the deposits. Deposit base has in-
Net Interest Income during Q1FY18. PAT grew 28% YoY al trends in the industry such as vendor consolidation, di-
which was lower than expected due to higher NPA provi- quarter stood at 78%. creased to Rs404cr from Rs200cr QoQ.
versified product portfolio, broad based customer profile
sions. GNPA and NNPA increased marginally by 8bps and and geographical presence. MCIE can leverage CIEs In line with steady revenue growth, Ultratech reported ~11% YoY
11bps QoQ to 2.42% and 1.39% respectively in Q1FY17. strong relationships with European and US OEMs as MCIE increase in EBITDA leading to 80bps improvement in EBITDA Management has remained conservative on fresh loan dis-
Higher NPA was primarily led by prudent recognition of one India has a low share of revenue from them. We expect bursements post demonetization, due to repayment risks in
margin to 23.2%. EBITDA/tonne increased by 11% YoY to Rs1,238
large corporate loan and impact of dispensation during consolidated revenue to grow at 14%CAGR over CY16-18E some markets. This led to a tepid loan growth of 10% YoY in
as raw material cost/tonne declined by 12% YoY coupled with
demonetisation. led by increase in volume recovery of its key Indian custom- Q1FY18. Fresh loan disbursements de-grew 9% YoY, while
strong growth in realisation and improvement in operational effi-
ers (M&M & TATA) and ramp up of new product/customer. customers per branch grew 2% QoQ. GNPA and NNPA
ciency. This helped to offset increase in the energy and logistics
Loan growth outlook remains robust supported by maturing increased by 247bps and 227bps QoQ to 6.2% & 2.3%
retail network and improving economic activities. Mid-size costs. Power & fuel cost/tonne surged by 34% YoY on account of respectively in Q1FY18, post demonetisation dispensation.
CIE automotive has built the business on acquisitions and 2x rise in pet coke prices (pet coke mix stood at 71% of the overall
corporate and retail loans will continue to be the major then turned them profitable. CIE has a solid track record of Higher NPA provisions & subdued business led to Rs-70cr
growth drivers and we expect the loan book to grow at 19% fuel mix). Further, freight cost/tonne increased by 2% YoY due to loss in Q1FY18 on flat revenue growth.
value creating through consolidation and maintain margin
CAGR over FY17-19E. Robust loan growth and stable sharp rise in diesel prices. In line with robust operating perfor-
resilience even in downturn. CIE cost control initiative, Asset quality deteriorated in Q1FY18 post the RBIs dispen-
margins are likely to revive NII and earnings from Q2FY18. mance coupled with lower interest expense (down 21.7% YoY) and
better utilization of the planned assets through customer sation availed during demonetisation. GNPA and NNPA
higher other income (9.9% YoY), Ultratech reported 15% YoY
profiling, production optimization and select price renegotia- increased by 247bps & 227bps QoQ to 6.2% & 2.3% re-
Asset quality risk from legacy corporate loans is behind us tion have resulted in increase in margins from low single improvement in net profit during the quarter under consideration.
and fresh slippages are expected to be moderate going spectively. Though GNPA will remain elevated in FY18E,
digit to 10% by CY16. We believe that improved perfor- UTCL has completed the acquisition of Jaiprakash Associates the asset quality stress has peaked and would continuously
forward. FB is consciously staying away from risky large mance from the domestic OEM and pick up in the Europe- assets in Q1FY18, thus further strengthening its leadership position improve through FY19E as business environment normaliz-
ticket-size and long-term infrastructure projects. Asset qual- an market will lead to improved utilization of the assets. We
in the cement industry. With the acquisition of cement plants in es and SFB branches gain traction.
ity outlook has further improved due to reduction in large expect the EBITDA margin to improve by 350bps over
risk assets, and we expect fresh slippages to reduce in the Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand
CY16-18E.
coming quarters. GNPA and NNPA are expected to im- and Andhra Pradesh, the overall capacity of Ultratech increased by Ujjivan has been able to grow its client base at an aggres-
prove by 43bps and 58bps over FY17-19E. The merger with Bill Forge Pvt ltd (BFPL) has been com- 21.2 MT to 93 MTPA. Currently the focus of Ultratech's manage- sive 28% CAGR over FY12-17 and has maintained high
pleted and management has indicated that BFPL is in the ment is to improve the operational efficiency and the utilisation customer retention ratio of 86% over the last three years.
Robust loan growth and lower provision would help earn- process of setting up new Plant in Mexico to provide level of the acquired assets (currently operating at utilization of less Ujjivans branches are geographically spread across the
ings to grow at a robust 35% CAGR in the next two years than 15%) to 60% over the next one year and 70% by FY19. Fur- country with stronghold in rural and unbanked markets.
driveline components to GKN group, supplies to NAFTA
and lead to healthy improvement in RoE. FB issued QIP of ther, Ultratech expects to achieve cash breakeven for the acquired These strengths keep long term business growth outlook
region. Synergies from Bill acquisition opens new custom-
Rs2500cr @ Rs116 per share, which has improved the stable. Loan growth target for FY18E has been revised
ers for MCIE Hero Motorcorp in two wheeler, NSK in assets in the next 12 months. We expect Ultratechs focus on
Capital Adequacy Ratio to 15.3%. Federal Bank is currently downward post demonetization headwinds, while we remain
passenger vehicles and GKN in export markets. The foray production ramp-up of the acquired assets and improvement in
trading at 1.8x one year forward price to adjusted book optimistic on a robust revival in FY19E as business normal-
into the Indian two wheeler space through Bill Forge ena- operational efficiency is a long drawn process and will be earnings
value (Adj. P.B). Robust business growth and improving ises and SFB branches gain traction. We factor 24% CAGR
bles MCIE to use the existing facilities for bill forge expan- dilutive in the short run on account of integration of acquired assets
return ratios on healthy earnings trajectory will support the in loan book over FY17-19E.
sion. (increase in interest and depreciation on its books).
premium valuations. We value Federal Bank at 2x FY19E
adjusted Book value and has a Buy rating with a target At CMP, MCIE is trading at a P/E of 26.1x and 21.0x for We expect revenue/PAT to grow at a CAGR of 21%/18% over Headwinds during transition to SFB from demonetisation will
price of Rs134. CY17E and CY18E EPS. On the back of expected strong FY17-19E owing to steady ramp up in capacities. Further with impact earnings in the medium term, while long term growth
auto outlook in the domestic market and improved perfor- strong capacities in place, we believe Ultratech is in a position to visibility from a full fledged SFB is supporting the valuations.
mance by erstwhile subsidiaries, paints a positive stance benefit from any cyclical demand recovery. Hence, we recommend Ujjivan is currently trading at one year forward Adj. P/B of
for the company. We expect valuation to improve ahead BUY with a Target Price of Rs. 4,514 based on 16x FY19E EV/ 2.2x. We value at 2.5x FY19E Adj.BV and recommend Buy
due to better earnings outlook of 57% CAGR over CY16- EBITDA. with a target price of Rs391.
18E. Hence, we value MCIE at 25x on CY18E EPS.
Analyst: Anil R Analyst: Saji John , Analyst: Abhijit Kumar Das Analyst: Anil R
Geojit Financial Services Ltd., INH200000345 Geojit Financial Services Ltd., INH200000345 Dion Global Solutions Ltd., INH100002771 Geojit Financial Services Ltd., INH200000345
margins. Commissioning of captive power plants, government's efforts towards affordable housing is
Waste Heat Recovery (WHR), use of alternative expected to give additional push to the sector.
Top cement producers of the world (FY16) Cement demand drivers Towards the total target of 1crore houses by 2019,
fuels, setting up of split location grinding units to
3000 2483
Mn Ton Housing sector reduce freight costs, railway siding, conveyor belts central government has sanctioned 1.86 million
2500 9%
2000 etc were the major cost reduction measures taken houses under Urban Pradhan Manthri Awas
1500 11% Infrastructure Yojana (PMAY-Urban) and has already released
by the companies. At the same time, the decline in
1000
500 283
80 78 74 73 72 67 67 13% crude and coal prices helped the industry to further the first instalment towards total allocated amount
55 Housing Commercial real
0 sector, 67 estate reduce the cost of production. of Rs300bn. Under, PMAY-Rural, government
%
Industrial targets constructing 4.4mn houses by December
Due to the subdued demand in the industry 2017. Government's projects like AMRUT (Atal
Source: IBEF, Geojit Research thepace of capacity additions subsequently has Mission for Rejuvenation & Urban Transformation),
September 5, 2017 I Geojit Insights I 27
30.0 Cement industry volume trend in Mn Ton
24.3 25.2 24.1 25.4 24.6
25.0 23.2 22.3 22.9 22.0 22.5
20.5 21.5
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
Jul.16 Aug.16 Sep.16 Oct.16 Nov.16 Dec.16 Jan.17 Feb.17 Mar.17 Apr.17 May.17 Jun.17
Large Cap Equity Mutual Funds Mid Cap funds invest in medium sized companies beyond the top 100 companies by market cap.
They are future large caps. The fund displays higher volatility and has the potential to deliver higher risk
Large Cap Funds invest in industry leaders with stable growth. adjusted returns over longer term.
They are least risky among the equity category due to their large size, lower volatility and high liquidity. Suited for young investors with longer investment horizon.
Suited for first time investors, or for investors with least risk appetite and for conservative investors
looking for small equity allocations.
Scheme Name CAGR %
Data as on 14.08.2017 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Scheme Name CAGR % Franklin India Smaller Cos Fund (G) 23.68 25.81 31.74
1 Year 3 Years 5 Years L&T Midcap Fund-Reg (G) 39.18 27.87 28.98
Invesco India Growth Fund (G) 17.90 15.37 18.90 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme (G) 26.02 26.75 26.47
SBI BlueChip Fund-Reg (G) 13.78 16.05 20.00
HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund (G) 28.47 23.67 26.32
Birla SL Frontline Equity Fund (G) 15.57 14.29 19.17
Canara Rob Emerg Equities Fund-Reg (G) 32.60 26.72 29.33
ICICI Pru Focused Bluechip Equity Fund (G) 15.79 12.51 17.24 SBI Magnum MidCap Fund-Reg (G) 15.63 23.29 28.59
Reliance Top 200 Fund (G) 20.01 14.53 18.59
Equity Linked Saving Schemes (ELSS)
BNP Paribas Equity Fund (G) 14.08 12.55 18.16
Franklin India Bluechip Fund (G) 11.80 12.66 15.11 The scheme enjoys tax benefit forming the 80 C category with 3 year lock in period
Portfolio is generally multi cap with higher large cap allocation which reduces volatility risk.
DSPBR Focus 25 Fund-Reg (G) 13.90 15.57 18.07
Scheme Name CAGR %
Kotak 50(G) 11.57 12.74 15.77
1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
UTI Equity Fund (G) 9.10 11.56 16.44
Birla SL Tax Relief '96(G) 17.40 18.52 21.66
Flexi Cap / Multi cap Funds Axis LT Equity Fund (G) 13.94 16.06 23.04
ICICI Pru LT Equity Fund (Tax Saving) (G) 8.10 10.69 18.17
The fund manager has the freedom to invest across market caps that increases investment opportunity.
The volatility risk is higher than large cap funds due to presence of mid caps in the portfolio. Balanced Funds
Suited for long term investments in equity without the hassle of constant portfolio restructuring.
These are designed to combine the benefit of equity and debt in the same portfolio
Scheme Name CAGR % Ensures equity taxation on returns due to majority allocation in equity (65%) and 35% in debt. In the
debt portfolio the fund managers mostly hold short term papers to reduce duration related risk.
1 Year 3 Years 5 Years Suited for investors with low risk appetite.
Kotak Select Focus Fund (G) 21.47 19.49 21.76 Scheme Name CAGR %
Birla SL Equity Fund (G) 22.65 18.09 22.81
1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Tata Equity P/E Fund (G) 26.57 21.58 23.04
HDFC Balanced Fund (G) 18.70 15.75 19.09
DSPBR Opportunities Fund-Reg (G) 20.21 18.80 21.30
ICICI Pru Balanced Fund (G) 17.39 14.68 19.33
L&T India Spl. Situations Fund-Reg (G) 23.60 15.81 19.16
L&T India Prudence Fund-Reg (G) 17.94 16.19 19.42
Franklin India Flexi Cap Fund (G) 12.74 14.28 19.09 SBI Magnum Balanced Fund-Reg (G) 11.94 13.75 18.69
ICICI Pru Value Discovery Fund (G) 7.93 12.57 21.12
The schemes are listed in the above tables according to the position they hold in the quartile ranking for the month of
Tata Equity Opportunities Fund (G) 12.44 14.09 17.93 August 2017.
INF194K01466 IDFC Focused Equity Fund-Reg(G) 16.03.2006 5000 35.97 29.43 12.88 14.60 INF204K01HY3 Reliance Small Cap Fund(G) 16.09.2010 5000 37.45 33.99 25.50 31.08
INF209K01EN2 Birla SL Small & Midcap Fund(G) 31.05.2007 1000 36.56 23.70 25.02 25.85
INF247L01155 MOSt Focused 25 Fund-Reg(G) 13.05.2013 5000 20.38 21.95 16.21 0.00
INF090I01809 Franklin India Prima Fund(G) 01.12.1993 5000 896.02 16.85 21.10 26.73
INF789F01869 UTI Top 100 Fund(G) 20.05.2009 5000 59.16 15.14 12.34 15.45
INF740K01797 DSPBR Micro-Cap Fund-Reg(G) * 14.06.2007 1000 58.31 17.89 27.44 30.29
INF740K01532 DSPBR Focus 25 Fund-Reg(G) 10.06.2010 5000 21.56 13.90 15.57 18.07
* Subscription Stopped
INF174K01153 Kotak 50(G) 05.02.2003 5000 207.96 11.57 12.74 15.77
ELSS CAGR %
INF789F01513 UTI Equity Fund(G) 01.08.2005 1000 120.50 9.10 11.56 16.44
Inception Minimum
ISIN Code Scheme Name NAV 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Equity Flexi Cap CAGR % Date Amount
Inception Minimum INF209K01108 Birla SL Tax Relief '96(G) 10.03.2008 500 27.73 17.40 18.52 21.66
ISIN Code Scheme Name NAV 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
Date Amount INF209K01348 Birla SL Tax Plan(G) 03.10.2006 500 34.74 16.87 17.73 20.87
INF174K01336 Kotak Select Focus Fund(G) 11.09.2009 5000 31.25 21.47 19.49 21.76 INF677K01064 L&T Tax Advt Fund-Reg(G) 27.02.2006 500 51.19 25.40 17.33 19.12
INF174K01187 Kotak Opportunities Fund(G) 09.09.2004 5000 110.42 21.66 18.46 19.84 INF194K01292 IDFC Tax Advt(ELSS) Fund-Reg(G) 26.12.2008 500 51.21 25.57 17.87 21.35
INF209K01AJ8 Birla SL Equity Fund(G) 27.08.1998 1000 675.32 22.65 18.09 22.81 INF846K01131 Axis LT Equity Fund(G) 29.12.2009 500 37.63 13.94 16.06 23.04
INF277K01451 Tata Equity P/E Fund(G) 29.06.2004 5000 127.12 26.57 21.58 23.04 INF740K01185 DSPBR Tax Saver Fund-Reg(G) 18.01.2007 500 43.86 18.56 17.67 21.73
INF677K01023 L&T India Value Fund-Reg(G) 08.01.2010 5000 34.76 26.92 22.51 26.56 INF179K01996 HDFC Long Term Adv Fund(G) 02.01.2001 500 316.03 21.51 13.09 19.06
INF090I01239 Franklin India Prima Plus Fund(G) 29.09.1994 5000 549.68 14.17 16.38 19.88 INF205K01270 Invesco India Tax Plan(G) 29.12.2006 500 44.04 14.54 15.38 20.26
INF200K01222 SBI Magnum Multicap Fund-Reg(G) 16.09.2005 1000 43.74 17.92 19.20 21.34 INF090I01775 Franklin India Taxshield(G) 10.04.1999 500 518.84 12.69 15.52 19.19
INF090I01981 Franklin India High Growth Cos Fund(G) 26.07.2007 5000 36.13 16.01 17.04 24.01 INF277K01I60 Tata India Tax Savings Fund-Reg(DP) 31.03.1996 500 70.58 18.85 18.84 20.61
INF251K01951 BNP Paribas Dividend Yield Fund(G) 15.09.2005 5000 44.91 21.24 15.90 19.98
INF174K01369 Kotak Tax Saver Scheme(G) 23.11.2005 500 39.69 19.25 17.68 17.38
INF209K01165 Birla SL Advantage Fund(G) 24.02.1995 1000 414.38 22.27 21.82 23.84 INF336L01BA4 HSBC Tax Saver Equity Fund(G) 05.01.2007 500 35.17 20.36 15.19 19.40
INF740K01094 DSPBR Opportunities Fund-Reg(G) 16.05.2000 1000 204.87 20.21 18.80 21.30 INF109K01464 ICICI Pru LT Equity Fund (Tax Saving)(G) 19.08.1999 500 319.60 8.10 10.69 18.17
INF194K01524 IDFC Classic Equity Fund-Reg(G) 09.08.2005 5000 42.20 22.50 16.00 16.61
Balanced Funds CAGR %
INF179K01426 HDFC Capital Builder Fund(G) 01.02.1994 5000 260.90 20.53 15.24 19.62 Inception Minimum
ISIN Code Scheme Name NAV 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years
INF677K01098 L&T India Spl. Situations Fund-Reg(G) 22.05.2006 5000 45.48 23.60 15.81 19.16 Date Amount
INF179K01392 HDFC Balanced Fund(G) 11.09.2000 5000 141.37 18.70 15.75 19.09
INF247L01478 MOSt Focused Multicap 35 Fund-Reg(G) 28.04.2014 5000 25.15 29.55 27.52 0.00
INF109K01480 ICICI Pru Balanced Fund(G) 03.11.1999 5000 119.91 17.39 14.68 19.33
INF205K01189 Invesco India Contra Fund(G) 11.04.2007 5000 39.94 17.78 16.81 21.33
INF917K01LB0 L&T India Prudence Fund-Reg(G) 07.02.2011 5000 24.91 17.94 16.19 19.42
INF090I01205 Franklin India Flexi Cap Fund(G) 02.03.2005 5000 74.47 12.74 14.28 19.09
INF200K01107 SBI Magnum Balanced Fund-Reg(G) 06.01.1996 1000 116.10 11.94 13.75 18.69
INF109K01761 ICICI Pru Dynamic Plan(G) 31.10.2002 5000 235.25 16.78 11.49 17.40
INF090I01841 Franklin India Opportunities Fund(G) 21.02.2000 5000 68.89 13.36 15.39 18.53 INF209K01BT5 Birla SL Balanced '95 Fund(G) 10.02.1995 1000 722.66 14.60 15.79 18.15
INF109K01AF8 ICICI Pru Value Discovery Fund(G) 16.08.2004 1000 132.83 7.93 12.57 21.12 INF090I01817 Franklin India Balanced Fund(G) 10.12.1999 5000 110.00 9.99 14.45 17.05
Reliance Reg Savings Fund-Balanced Plan
INF204K01323 Reliance Growth Fund(G) 08.10.1995 5000 1,046.45 20.38 17.49 19.59 INF204K01FW1 10.06.2005 500 52.08 18.88 14.87 17.78
(G)
INF200K01305 SBI Magnum Multiplier Fund-Reg(G) 28.02.1993 5000 195.96 14.90 15.98 19.83 INF084M01AB8 Birla SL Balanced Advantage Fund(G) 25.04.2000 1000 49.66 16.26 12.55 14.73
INF277K01428 Tata Equity Opportunities Fund(G) 25.02.1993 5000 182.95 12.44 14.09 17.93 INF109K01BH2 ICICI Pru Balanced Advantage Fund(G) 30.12.2006 5000 31.60 10.97 11.55 15.65
SBI BlueChip Fund-Reg(G) 2,23,510.06 14.98 4,77,610.47 18.95 13,64,117.99 15.79 ICICI Pru Multicap Fund(G) 2,18,437.64 13.34 4,66,395.74 17.97 13,17,466.12 15.14
Invesco India Growth Fund(G) 2,27,224.00 16.16 4,75,462.70 18.77 13,29,933.62 15.32 Franklin India Flexi Cap Fund(G) 2,15,184.14 12.27 4,64,737.22 17.82 13,63,719.05 15.78
Birla SL Top 100 Fund(G) 2,25,477.52 15.61 4,74,319.55 18.67 13,80,258.81 16.01 IDFC Classic Equity Fund-Reg(G) 2,34,299.75 18.38 4,63,400.58 17.70 11,76,848.75 13.02
Reliance Top 200 Fund(G) 2,23,789.51 15.07 4,72,738.18 18.53 13,25,446.19 15.25 Tata Equity Opportunities Fund(G) 2,16,834.52 12.81 4,57,299.70 17.15 12,77,921.82 14.57
Birla SL Frontline Equity Fund(G) 2,25,076.51 15.48 4,69,630.45 18.25 13,87,873.07 16.11 ICICI Pru Dynamic Plan(G) 2,22,484.86 14.65 4,55,130.04 16.95 13,33,615.49 15.37
DSPBR Focus 25 Fund-Reg(G) 2,20,020.67 13.85 4,64,551.51 17.80 - - Mid & Small
ICICI Pru Focused Bluechip Equity Fund(G) 2,24,513.07 15.30 4,58,234.12 17.23 - - Reliance Small Cap Fund(G) 2,53,428.18 24.18 6,68,968.41 33.25 - -
BNP Paribas Equity Fund(G) 2,15,956.76 12.53 4,52,465.67 16.71 12,66,248.20 14.39 Canara Rob Emerg Equities Fund-Reg(G) 2,47,916.12 22.54 6,30,894.78 30.72 21,74,357.72 24.48
ICICI Pru Top 100 Fund(G) 2,22,956.70 14.80 4,52,178.85 16.68 12,79,540.53 14.59 L&T Midcap Fund-Reg(G) 2,56,895.25 25.19 6,26,632.83 30.43 19,32,236.22 22.28
SBI Magnum Equity Fund-Reg(G) 2,14,898.32 12.18 4,38,288.57 15.39 12,27,540.84 13.81 Franklin India Smaller Cos Fund(G) 2,37,525.38 19.38 6,02,686.44 28.76 20,71,884.56 23.58
Kotak 50(G) 2,14,528.53 12.06 4,38,019.72 15.37 11,65,858.05 12.84 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme(G) 2,39,296.27 19.93 5,81,690.83 27.25 17,09,506.09 20.00
UTI Equity Fund(G) 2,11,753.81 11.14 4,37,855.10 15.35 12,96,073.61 14.83 Sundaram Select Midcap(G) 2,39,375.15 19.95 5,73,026.15 26.61 18,51,017.95 21.48
Franklin India Bluechip Fund(G) 2,15,441.71 12.36 4,33,832.26 14.97 12,17,800.05 13.66 HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund(G) 2,39,859.42 20.10 5,70,213.67 26.40 19,94,331.67 22.87
Flexicap Franklin India Prima Fund(G) 2,33,453.20 18.12 5,56,430.73 25.37 18,34,674.36 21.32
L&T India Value Fund-Reg(G) 2,44,535.13 21.52 5,79,714.31 27.11 - -
SBI Magnum MidCap Fund-Reg(G) 2,22,600.21 14.68 5,48,543.69 24.76 17,11,173.52 20.02
Tata Equity P/E Fund(G) 2,48,267.83 22.64 5,56,883.03 25.40 16,11,894.42 18.91
ELSS
Birla SL Advantage Fund(G) 2,44,453.25 21.50 5,51,073.78 24.96 15,09,641.70 17.69
DSPBR Tax Saver Fund-Reg(G) 2,34,562.79 18.47 5,09,629.54 21.66 14,97,617.81 17.54
Birla SL Equity Fund(G) 2,40,273.67 20.23 5,31,638.82 23.44 14,86,614.66 17.40
Axis LT Equity Fund(G) 2,20,512.16 14.01 5,05,340.48 21.31 - -
Kotak Select Focus Fund(G) 2,35,691.64 18.82 5,16,187.47 22.20 - -
Birla SL Tax Relief '96(G) 2,27,738.83 16.32 5,05,036.73 21.29 - -
SBI Magnum Multicap Fund-Reg(G) 2,32,910.59 17.95 5,13,032.02 21.94 13,72,006.87 15.90
Invesco India Tax Plan(G) 2,21,213.35 14.24 4,82,919.05 19.41 14,75,916.12 17.26
Franklin India High Growth Cos Fund(G) 2,20,069.83 13.87 5,11,151.64 21.79 15,97,817.43 18.74
Franklin India Taxshield(G) 2,17,692.91 13.09 4,72,001.98 18.46 14,33,459.81 16.72
DSPBR Opportunities Fund-Reg(G) 2,37,768.04 19.46 5,07,566.04 21.49 14,29,734.29 16.67
ICICI Pru LT Equity Fund (Tax Saving)(G) 2,07,553.87 9.73 4,45,664.98 16.08 13,78,001.63 15.98
Invesco India Contra Fund(G) 2,26,583.83 15.96 5,07,434.48 21.48 14,93,389.31 17.48
Balanced Funds
Kotak Opportunities Fund(G) 2,34,771.25 18.53 4,98,892.69 20.77 13,84,347.83 16.07
HDFC Balanced Fund(G) 2,26,562.97 15.95 4,83,909.92 19.50 15,10,897.98 17.70
ICICI Pru Value Discovery Fund(G) 2,10,118.02 10.59 4,87,080.41 19.77 17,27,669.35 20.20 L&T India Prudence Fund-Reg(G) 2,24,382.72 15.26 4,77,867.29 18.98 - -
SBI Magnum Multiplier Fund-Reg(G) 2,22,437.16 14.63 4,84,132.60 19.52 13,86,095.03 16.09 ICICI Pru Balanced Fund(G) 2,24,941.84 15.43 4,71,995.35 18.46 14,03,480.36 16.32
Birla SL Balanced '95 Fund(G) 2,23,667.58 15.03 4,68,460.68 18.15 13,72,424.53 15.90
HDFC Capital Builder Fund(G) 2,26,408.88 15.90 4,83,493.23 19.46 14,35,265.06 16.74
SBI Magnum Balanced Fund-Reg(G) 2,14,661.34 12.10 4,52,156.58 16.68 12,73,701.76 14.51
L&T India Spl. Situations Fund-Reg(G) 2,28,199.53 16.47 4,81,503.72 19.29 14,30,731.95 16.68
Franklin India Balanced Fund(G) 2,13,850.89 11.83 4,47,955.41 16.29 12,49,537.62 14.14
The above listed funds are taken from the first two quartiles of mutual fund analysis and ranked on the basis of 5 year SIP return. The above listed funds are taken from the first two quartiles of mutual fund analysis and ranked on the basis of 5 year SIP return.
Recommended Alloca-
Category
tion This portfolio is ideal for investors with
high risk tolerance and those who wish
Large Cap Funds 40% to generate wealth over longer time
Equity Funds Small and Midcap Funds 20% horizon. Minimum investment horizon
recommended is 10 years. The thematic
Thematic Funds 20%
funds could be replaced by sector funds
Income Funds 10%
Debt Funds or gold on opportunity basis.
Dynamic Bond Funds 10%
Moderate Portfolio*
Recommended Alloca-
Category
tion
Conservative Portfolio*
Recommended Alloca-
Category
tion
For investors who cannot afford high
Short Term Funds 40% volatility in their portfolio and at the
Debt Funds Income Funds 20% same time wish to earn returns better
than Fixed deposits. Ideal Investment
Dynamic Bond Funds 20%
horizon is 3 years+
Equity Funds Balanced Funds 20%
* Investors are classified in to 4 groups based on their risk tolerance level, age, Objective of investment, time horizon
for which they ready to park funds etc. Schemes could be chosen from our recommended list with respect to Its cate-
gory. In case the investor finds that a fund is removed from the recommended list due to under performance, he/she
may replace that fund with another one in the same category.
NAV as on 16.08.2017 31.81 Risk Status Moderately High NAV as on 16.08.2017 29.84 Risk Status Moderately High
Mr. Manish Banthia& Mr. SankaranNaren :-Mr. Banthia holds B.Com, ACA and MBA. He manag- Mr. Amit Ganatra & Mr. Taher Badshah:-Mr. Ganatra holds B.Com (H), Chartered Accountant
Fund Manager es this fund along with others since Nov.2009. Mr. Naren is a B.Tech from IIT Chennai and MBA Fund Manager and CFA. He manages this fund since Jun 2014. Mr. Taher Badshah holds B.E (Electronics) and
(Finance) from IIM Kolkata. He manages this fund since Jul 2017. MMS (Finance) from University of Mumbai. He manages this fund since Jan 2017.
Investment Dynamics Scheme Performance Investment Dynamics Scheme Performance
The ICICI Pru Balanced Advantage Fund is a Balanced fund Period Returns Category SIP Returns The Invesco India Growth fund is a pure large cap fund which Period Returns Category SIP Returns
which keeps 65.99% of its portfolio in equity, 33.66% in debt holds 96.07% of its portfolio in equity, 3.68%in debt and 0.25% in
and 0.34% in cash. Out of the equity portfolio, it holds 85.91% 6 Months 8.09 10.18 13.32 cash or cash equ. In its equity portfolio the fund holds 79.33% in 6 Months 17.02 13.29 26.06
in large caps, 13.24% in mid-caps and 0.85% in small cap Large caps, 14.96% in mid-caps and 5.71% in small cap stocks.
1 Year 11.73 14.43 15.35 1 Year 19.84 17.62 25.57
The fund has a consistent track record of beating its benchmark
companies. The funds equity exposure can range anywhere
3 Year 11.77 12.42 12.56 with a high margin. In the last three years, the fund had out per- 3 Year 15.87 13.55 16.92
between 30 to 80 percentage. The fund adapts a contrarian
formed its benchmark more than 85% of the time on one year
approach investment strategy, in which the fund manager buy rolling returns. This fund holds more exposure to mid-caps and
5 Year 15.79 15.84 14.65 5 Year 19.28 16.63 18.66
the stocks when the market is low and sell when the market is small cap companies when comparing to its benchmark and the
high. The fund follows this strategy based on the Price to 10 Year 11.35 11.04 13.57 category peer funds. The fund had generated an alpha of 6.63% 10 Year 11.70 11.13 -
Book value ratio (P/B Ratio). The fund uses derivatives to over its benchmark return in three year period and 5.65% in five
hedge against the downside or generate arbitrage returns. Since Inception 11.49 13.66 13.52 year period. Since Inception 11.52 13.09 15.29
Risk Reward Measures (%) Top 10 Holding Risk Reward Measures (%) Top 10 Holding
One year data Category Range Sector Wise (%) Company Wise (%) One year data Category Range Sector Wise (%) Company Wise (%)
HDFC Bank Ltd. SR-1 Bank - Private 28.4 HDFC Bank Ltd. 9.04
Standard Deviation* 0.40 0.36 - 0.72 Other 27.20 4.05 Standard Deviation* 0.73 0.65 - 0.86
8.85%
Sharpe 0.07 0.02 - 0.13 Bank - Private 21.20 HDFC Bank Ltd. 3.42 Sharpe 0.08 0.03 - 0.12 Refineries 9.70 IndusInd Bank Ltd. 8.33
Information Ratio*** 0.02 -0. 01 - 0.06 Motherson Sumi Sys- Information Ratio*** 0.07 -0. 03 - 0.14 IT - Software 7.30 Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 7.22
Unspecified 7.20 2.92
tems Ltd.
Automobiles - Reliance Industries Ltd.
ICICI Bank Ltd. SR- 7.20 7.15
* Measures the risk, lower the better. Bank - Public 6.60 2.55 * Measures the risk, lower the better. Passenger Cars
DMR17AT 09.20%
Finance - NBFC 6.20 ICICI Bank Ltd. 6.13
Pharmaceuticals &
Measures the excess return (over risk free rate) per unit 4.50 Hindustan Unilever Ltd. 2.49 Measures the excess return (over risk free rate) per unit
** Drugs **
of risk, higher the better. of risk, higher the better. Engineering - Kotak Mahindra Bank
4.50 4.91
Construction Ltd.
IT - Software 2.90 ICICI Bank Ltd. 2.48
Measures the consistency of a fund manager in beating Measures the consistency of a fund manager in beating Consumer Food 4.40 Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 4.54
*** Auto Ancillary 2.80 Infosys Ltd. 2.38 ***
the benchmark, higher the better. the benchmark, higher the better.
Tata Consultancy
State Bank of India SR- Other 4.00 4.21
Finance - NBFC 2.30 2.30 Services Ltd.
III 8.39%
The expense ratio is the total fee charged by the fund. It The expense ratio is the total fee charged by the fund. It Automobiles-Trucks/Lcv 3.20 Tata Motors Ltd. 3.22
# Consumer Food 2.30 State Bank Of India 2.19 #
is expressed as a percentage of total assets. is expressed as a percentage of total assets.
Power Generation/
Finance - Investment 2.10 Bajaj Finserv Ltd. 2.11 3.10 Britannia Industries Ltd. 3.12
Distribution
NAV as on 16.08.2017 254.02 Risk Status Moderately High NAV as on 16.08.2017 35.15 Risk Status Moderately High
Mr. Venugopal M.& Mr. Karan Desai :-Mr. Venugopal holds B.Sc in Mathematics and MBA on
Mr.Vikas Chiranewal :- Mr. Chiranewal holds B.com (H), PGDBM from IIM Lucknow and CFA
Fund Manager from USA. He manages this fund since Sep 2016.
Fund Manager Finance. He manages this fund Since Nov 2012. Mr. Desai has done Bcom from Mumbai Universi-
ty and MSc Investments from University of Birmingham. He manages this fund since Feb2017.
Investment Dynamics Scheme Performance Investment Dynamics Scheme Performance
The Templeton India Growth Fund is a large cap fund with Period Returns Category SIP Returns The L&T India value fund is a Flexi cap fund which holds 95.54% Period Returns Category SIP Returns
95.72% exposure towards equity, 0.20% in debt and 4.08% in of its portfolio in equity, 0.01% in debt and 4.45% in cash or cash
cash. In its equity portfolio the fund holds 47.33% in Large-caps, 6 Months 16.10 13.29 27.08 equal. This fund holds 47.75% of its equity portfolio in Large cap 6 Months 14.73 13.42 28.39
49.59% in Mid-cap and 3.08% in Small-cap stocks. This large companies, 38.05% in Mid-caps and 14.2% in Small-caps. This
cap fund has the indulge character of a Flexi- cap fund. The 1 Year 27.66 17.62 29.49 fund can vary its market cap, with large cap typically falling in the 1 Year 28.73 18.99 30.73
large cap exposure in this fund is low when comparing to its 3 Year 15.88 13.55 18.77 range of 30%-60% based on the valuation. This fund can also take 3 Year 22.93 15.33 24.47
benchmark and category average, while the Mid cap exposure is big calls in cash when needed. The fund had out performed it
more than the benchmark and category average. This veteran 5 Year 18.01 16.63 18.89 benchmark almost all the times in 3,5and 10 years performance. 5 Year 26.72 18.75 26.84
fund had out performed its benchmark in 1, 3, 5 and 10 year Over this period, the performance of the fund over its benchmark
performance with a high margin. The fund has generated an 10 Year 13.51 11.13 14.94 remains arangeof 12-17% points. The fund was able to generate 10 Year - 12.16 -
alpha of 14.52% over its benchmark return in one year period, an alpha9.86% over its benchmark in one year period, while it had
while it had generated 9.13% in 3 years and 5.61% in 5 years. Since Inception 19.73 13.09 16.07 generated 11.10% in three years and 10.14% in five year term. Since Inception 17.97 15.53 22.82
Risk Reward Measures (%) Top 10 Holding Risk Reward Measures (%) Top 10 Holding
One year data Category Range Sector Wise (%) Company Wise (%) One year data Category Range Sector Wise (%) Company Wise (%)
Bajaj Holdings & Invest- Bank - Private 9.20 Reliance Industries Ltd. 4.73
Standard Deviation* 0.82 0.65 - 0.86 Bank - Private 22.88 9.18 Standard Deviation* 0.97 0.57 - 0.97
ment Ltd.
Sharpe 0.10 0.03 - 0.12 Sharpe 0.09 0.01 - 0.11 Refineries 8.10 ICICI Bank Ltd. 4.50
Finance - NBFC 17.59 HDFC Bank Ltd. 8.25
Information Ratio*** 0.10 -0. 03 - 0.14 Information Ratio*** 0.09 -0. 05 - 0.11 Bank - Public 5.50 ITC Ltd. 4.32
Fertilizers 7.28 Tata Chemicals Ltd. 7.28
Housing Development
Infosys Ltd. Engineering - Construc-
* Measures the risk, lower the better. Tyres & Allied 7.16 6.25 * Measures the risk, lower the better. 4.70 Finance Corporation 3.79
tion
Ltd.
IT - Software 6.25 ICICI Bank Ltd. 6.20
Measures the excess return (over risk free rate) per unit Measures the excess return (over risk free rate) per unit Finance - Housing 4.50 State Bank Of India 3.41
** **
of risk, higher the better. of risk, higher the better.
Refineries 5.77 Reliance Industries Ltd. 5.77 Other 4.50 Axis Bank Ltd. 2.40
Pharmaceuticals &
Measures the consistency of a fund manager in beating 4.99 Apollo Tyres Ltd. 4.59 Measures the consistency of a fund manager in beating Cigarettes/Tobacco 4.30 The Federal Bank Ltd. 2.32
*** Drugs ***
the benchmark, higher the better. the benchmark, higher the better.
Tata Motors - DVR Cement & Construction
Automobiles-Trucks/Lcv 4.41 4.41 3.80 Future Retail Ltd. 2.31
Ordinary Materials