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Abstract Power transformers are the most critical part of obtained a flexible tool, and it establishes a model of the
power electrical system. The oil and the insulation system are properties with good approach in experimental values with this
subjected to degradation for many chemicals inside them, they methodology [6]. In this research, an expert system based on
are the result of an initial problem that can be predicted. In this principle component analysis (PCA) and adaptive fuzzy logic
research, the intelligent diagnosis system based on component program is used to analysis the gas and insulation, using the
analysis (PCA) and adaptive decision system based on fuzzy logic chemical component of oil and paper degradation. In here, the
permits to realize a dissolved gas analysis (DGA) [1] to predict component of Michel Duval methodology and the document
incipient fault diagnosis by different methods, to obtain CIGRE TB-296 Recent Developments in DGA Interpretation
deterioration rates and health index, besides it allows to analyze
[9], monitoring this components: carbon monoxide (CO),
the degree of polymerization (DP) for the remaining life of the
equipment. It determinates the comparative rates and
carbon dioxide (CO2), ethylene (C2H4), ethane (C2H6),
determinate the efficiency and effective of this diagnosis system, hydrogen (H2), methane (CH4), acetylene (C2H2), nitrogen
it improves the international standards IEEE, IEC, among (N2), oxygen (O2) and Furan, are extracted by calculating nine
others. The correct diagnosis performance of the PCA and fuzzy gases and these interactions with this dimensions [10]. It can be
logic is calculated on 107 samples on Peruvian power electrical reduced to 3 components using PCA, to correct diagnosis
systems with excellent results. performance, the correct diagnosis performance of PCA and
fuzzy logic program is calculated in 107 equipment.
KeywordsDissolved gas analysis; expert system; power
transformers. II. EXPERT SYSTEM AND FUZZY LOGIC
of incorporating fuzzy reasoning is that the inference rules can Figure 2: Output value for Centroid method
be defined in a precise and consistent manner from knowledge
and experience of the staff specialist, while uncertainty
originating from the input information is considered by
defining one or more fuzzy sets for each input.
To explain: How does it develops a SID based on the Figure 3: Membership for calculation
Mamdanis model? Its going to present a process
development condition analysis equipment, for example it is TABLE I
necessary to determine the dielectric oil condition of a Variables, Test and Relation With Failure Modes
transformer from the test results of oil dielectric strength in Failure mode Test Variables
Thermal paper failure DGA CO, CO2
[kV] and the power factor in [%] at 25 C. An example is the Thermal oil failure DGA C2H4, C2H6
following diagnostic rules: Cooling system fails Monitoring Oil temperature,
Rule 1: If the dielectric strength is "good" and the power chargeability level
factor is "Good", then the dielectric oil condition is "good". Partial discharges failure DGA H2, CH4
Rule 2: If the dielectric strength is "good" and the power Electric arc failure DGA C2H2, H2
Failure axial SFRA and Correlation index (band
factor is "Bad", then the dielectric oil condition is "Regular". deformation windings impedance kHz)
Rule 3: If the power factor is "not adequate", then the Failure radial windings
dielectric oil condition is "Bad". At the fig. 1, the functions Failure mechanical Physical and 2FAL, furans, CO, CO2
work with the conditions as T - Conorm (T - Conorm) and paper capacity loss chemical
Failure insulating oil Physical and Interfacial, Neutralization
triangular norm (T Norm) the last one was development by
degradation chemical Number.
Schweizar and Sklar at the reference [12], it is introducing by Failure insulating oil Physical and Dielectric Strength, Power
operation between [0, 1], it is commutative, associative pollution chemical Factor Oil Particle Content
without decreasing in the two variables, one of them has one OLTC failure, insulating Physical and Dielectric, Moisture
(1) as neutral and zero (0) as absorbent; they are defined as oil pollution chemical Content, Content Particles
Moisture oil pollution Physical and Moisture content, relative
functions of membership to calculate the degree of failure. chemical saturation, Temperatures
membership from 0 to 1, for each linguistic variables (Good, Paper moisture Power factor, Moisture Content, Relative
Regular, Bad). contamination failure. Physical and Saturation, Temperature,
chemical Humidity
Dielectric insulation Power factors, Power Factor, Capacitance
windings and bushings Dielectric,
failure monitoring
The conditions of each rule is connected with other rule by After the intervention in April 2015, the analysis confirms the
conjunction or disjunction based on our newly experiment rule release of high voltage connection in the power transformer
fuzzy logic. This makes the decision making process more under the bushing, in the hub of the reactor, which caused low
efficient. The system extracts some more logical questions energy arc, until disconnect the unit. With the table IV, we can
stored in the form of rules in the knowledgebase and prompts demonstrate the deterioration of the equipment a value of 12%
the user to select from it. The system then tries to reach the represent a physical problem on a connection, and with the
final inference. table III, confirm an Arc on Oil problem based on low energy
discharge, it causes a continuous overheating with a reliable the maximum basic probability assignment function. Expert
analysis. Finally, the table IV presents a reduction of the system should be focused on detecting possible failure modes
remaining life: Estimated 60 years [9], and the Kraft evolving in a transformer.
remaining life is obtained as: 33.4 years:
TABLE IV ACKNOWLEDGMENT
Physical and chemical deterioration / Kraft remaining life Recognition of the company Red de Energa del Peru,
Dielectric Power Mx AX Physical chemical
strength Factors at Total Total deterioration [%]
ENEL GREEN POWER and the Pontificia Universidad
[kV] 100 [%] Catlica del Per (PUCP), Doctoral program Engineering, for
51 0.839 314.113 25.31 12.406 the support and development of this investigation.
Kraft Remaining Mx AX Remaining life kraft
deterioration life [years] Total Tot. [years]
[years]
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