Professional Documents
Culture Documents
<<
IRC:1081996
HIGHWAYS
Published By
THE INDIAN ROADS CONGRESS
Jamnagar House, Shahjahan Road,
New Delhi-i 10 Oil
1996
Price Rs40/-
(Plus packing&
postage charges)
<<
IRC:] 084996
13. l)r. L.R, Kadiyali Chief Consultant, Dr. L.R. Kadiyali &
Associates, S-487, End floor, Greater
Kailash-I, New Delhi-I 10048
* Al)G(R) being not in position. The meeting was presided by Sh,i AD. Narain, DG(RD),
Govt. of India, MOST
<< (I)
IRC:10S-1996
15. [he Director General, National Council for Cement & Building
Materials, P-21, South hate II, Rusg Road,
New Delhi-I 10049
19. ProL CV. Ran Prof. of Civd Engg., I.T.T., Flauz. Khas,
New Delhi-F 10016
<< (ii)
IRC:108-1996
1 SEp. Gee. C.l (hart
D,C.W ,E-in-Chiefs Branch, Army Hqrs.,
Kashrnir I-louse, DIIQ P0, New Delhi-IlOOl I
5rot N. Ranganathan
13 l Prof & Head, Deptt. of Transport Planning,
School of Planssmg & Architecture, 4,
Block-B, Indraprasiha Estate, New Delhi
4.1 0. N. Srisasoo
(hid Engineer, Dy Director GenerallDS
Die. General Bssrder Roads, Kashmir House,
DHQPO, New l)elhi-IlOOll
IS. AK \lisht,s
Direr, tor (lec-hrrtcal), Oil Coordination
Cratinti tee, 2nd Floor, Core-S. Scope
Complex, 7, Institutional Area, Lodhi Road,
New I)elhr-I 10003
In Ii S lihatia
Chief Consultant, Engineers & Management
Associates, 3/5, Kaikaji Earn., New Delhi
Ft I KiwI
Chief Engineer (Plannning), Ministry of
Surface Transport (Roads Wing), New Delhi
AS K K lain
Project Dsrecinr, ADB Project, Kothi No.1,
Nsnnan Konj, Secior-16A, Faridahad
IS resident - ha-Officio
lisdiari Rssads Congress (MS. Curare,
Chief Engoteer, Punjab PWD,
B&R Branch, Pataala)
Ft-Officio
-~ lIiL Director Central (Road Ministrs of Surfas e iransport
irs .~Ioprnent~(, (Roads V~ing), New Delha
(Al). Naratn)
-41 the Secretary, Es-Officio
lrsdiais Rcsads Congress
(S.C. Shanna)
CORRESPOVDENTh/G MEAIBERS
I. N Na rendra S org h 3-36, Plot 86, Kakateela Apartments,
Patpsrganj, DelhiIl 0002
(iii)
<<
IRC:108-1996
CONTENTS
Page
1. Introduction 1
5. Design Period 8
<<
(iv)
IRC:108-1996
1. 1NTRODUQTION
.1, The need for preparing draft Guidelines for Traffic Prediction on Rural
Highways was suggested by the Traffic Engineering Committee in its meeting
held on 30th September, 1994.
The draft was prepared by Dr. L.R. Kadiyali and was discussed by the
Traffic Engineering Committee in its meeting held on 31st August, 1995 when it
was felt thaI. the draft may be reviewed and revised in view of the comment.s of
tile members.
<<
IRC liIb-199h
The presetit gtndclines arc intended for predictine traffic on rural secI ions
of higlurt a) s, iticludtng intersections, The.y can not be used for urban siltiations,
where the prcdicttori is more cotnplicated.
2 ESFABLlSHI(C EX1S1ING TRAFFiC FI,OWS
r)
<<
IRC:108-1996
6. Cycle 0.50
7. Cycle-rickshaw 2.00
8. lland Cart 3.00
9, ilorse.drawn Vehicle 4.01)
tO. Bullock Cart* 8.00
<<
3
IRC:tOS-1996
2. Agricultural Output
3 tndustrtal Output
l)ernographic
5oputaticsi
4. t
5. RuralfUrban mix of populasion
Since the abeve economic indicators vary widely across the country,
traffic growi.h rate varies from State to State, and within a State frnni region to
region. Traffic growth rate has to be esl.ahlishe.d for each location by giving due
considerations to the above factors.
2. Vehicle rcgisiratiott
3. Fuel sates
A comparison of the growth rates for each of the above will be useful.
For establishing reliahle growth rates, the data should be for a number of
years. The analysis can then be done for the entire period, and also for blocks of
5 years.
<< 4
IRC:108-1996
1983 6,250
1984 6,720
1985 7,650
1986 8,250
1987 9,320
1988 10,000
1989 11,300
1990 12,200
1991 13,200
1992 14,900
Year ii f LOgeP(=Y)
1983 0 6,250 8.74
1984 1 6,720 8.81
1985 2 7,650 8.94
1986 3 8,250 9.02
1987 4 9,320 9.14
1988 5 10,000 9.21
1989 6 11,300 9.33
1990 7 12,200 9.41
1991 8 13,200 9.49
1992 9 14,900 9.61
<<
5
IRC: 11)81096
If the past data is avai table on traffic for a number of years arid the
corresponding data on sonic economic indicator such as GNJP is also available.,
then the data can ield art e.c.onometr~c.mode.l of the. following type:
Logr, P = Ao + At t.ogr, GNP
Ao t. Regression Constant
A :5 RegressEon (ocifictent
The time se.rie.s data on iraffic \rotutflc% at a certain location and the
corresponding data on GDP of the region arc given in the. following table.. The
0 DP is expected to grow at a rate. of 5 per cent during, 1995-2005 and at 6 per cent
durin,e 2.00520 iS. Determine the. possible rate of growth of traffic during
1995-2005 artd 2005-2015.
<< 6
IRC: 108-1996
=1.8976X6
= 11.39percent
<<
7
IRC:108-l996
5. DESIGN PERIOD
<<
8