You are on page 1of 1

International Institute of Information Technology, Bangalore.

2017 GEN 503 Probability and Statistics.


Assignment 1.
Only 3 of the 5 questions will be evaluated. The ones being evaluated will be
same for all.
If you omit answering the question that is evaluated, 0 marks will be assigned to that
question.
Write not more than 2 lines justifying the chosen approach.
1. In a dice game, three fair dice are rolled. A player picks a number between 1 and 6
and wins if and only if the selected number appears at least on one die. Determine the
probability of the player winning the game.
Hints: Define Ai , i = 1, 2, 3 as the event when the selected number appears on the
i-th die. Now, calculate P (A1 A2 A3 ). Choose the appropriate formula to calculate
this probability by determining whether the events Ai are disjoint and/or independent.
2. Use the data presented in Table 1 and answer the questions:

(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected subject is pregnant, given that
the test result is positive?
(b) What is the probability that a randomly selected subject is NOT pregnant, given
that the test result is negative?

Positive Test Result Negative Test Result


Subject is Pregnant 80 5
Subject is Not Pregnant 3 11

Table 1: Pregnancy Test Data

3. You ask your neighbour to feed your dog while you are on holiday. Without food, it
will fall ill with a probability of 0.8. With food, this probability reduces to 0.1. You
are 90% sure that your neighbour will remember to feed your dog. Now
(a) What is the probability that the dog is not ill when you return?
(b) If your dog is ill, what is the probability that your neighbour forgot to feed it?
4. How many different licence plates containing 2 letters and 3 numbers can be formed?
A person, who has seen a car drive away from a crime scene, reports to the police that
the licence plate of the car had KD6 as the first three symbols and is sure that the
numbers in the licence plate dont repeat. How many cars can be cleared by the police
that it was not used in the crime?
5. A coin is tossed twice. Consider the following events.
A: Heads on the first toss.
B : Heads on the second toss.
C : The two tosses come out the same.
(a) Show that A, B, and C are pairwise independent but not independent.
(b) Show that C is independent of A and B but not of A B.

You might also like