Tropical Storms

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New tropical depression poses weekend threat to Gulf Coast
Brandon Miller-Profile-Image
By Brandon Miller, CNN Meteorologist
Updated 2:24 PM ET, Wed October 4, 2017
What 'rapid intensification' means for storms
What 'rapid intensification' means for storms 01:10
Story highlights
The system will likely become Tropical Storm Nate soon
The storm is forecast to hit the US Gulf Coast this weekend
(CNN)Though summer officially ended almost two weeks ago, hurricane season is still in full swing, with
a new storm forming in the southwestern Caribbean near Central America.
Track the storm here
Despite being more than 1,000 miles away from the US and only in its infancy, the storm could reach the
Gulf Coast by this weekend. Those with Columbus Day weekend plans anywhere along the eastern half
of the Gulf Coast region should pay very close attention as a hurricane landfall is looking very possible.
What you should know about hurricanes 01:11
Tropical Depression Sixteen, as it was named by the National Hurricane Center at 11 a.m. on
Wednesday, is located approximately 200 miles from the Nicaragua/Honduras border and has sustained
winds of 35 mph.
Nate forecast track
The system is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Nate later today before moving into Nicaragua
Thursday morning and over eastern Honduras later in the day.
Extreme rainfall totals of 15 to 20 inches are possible in Nicaragua, with up to 8 inches in Honduras,
which could bring life-threatening flash floods and mudslides through Friday morning.
View image on Twitter
Follow
NHC Atlantic Ops @NHC_Atlantic
Life-threatening flash floods & mudslides are possible across parts of central America due to very heavy
rainfall of up to 30" from TD 16.
10:07 AM - Oct 4, 2017
7 7 Replies 191 191 Retweets 82 82 likes
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Once Nate moves back over the warm waters of the western Caribbean, more strengthening is
expected, as well as an increase in forward speed. The forecast brings Nate through the Yucatan
Channel between Mexico and Cuba, limiting any land interaction which would otherwise weaken the
storm. If Nate were to move over the Yucatan Peninsula or western Cuba, it could prevent the system
from becoming a hurricane.
The water is warm enough to allow for Nate to potentially see "rapid intensification" -- meaning
conditions are just right and would allow for tropical cyclones to gain strength very quickly.
'Rapid intensification' fuels major Atlantic hurricanes in 2017
'Rapid intensification' fuels major Atlantic hurricanes in 2017
"Rapid intensification is a possibility over the northwestern Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico while
the system is traversing rather warm and deep waters," the National Hurricane Center said Wednesday.
Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, Jose, and Maria all underwent rapid intensification on their way to becoming
major hurricanes earlier this season.
Members of a rescue team embrace as they wait to help in Humacao on September 20.
Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean
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A tree is damaged in Fajardo, Puerto Rico, on September 20.
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Debris is strewn across a Fajardo street on September 20.
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A woman closes her property in Naguabo, Puerto Rico, hours before Maria's arrival.
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People take shelter at Puerto Rico's Humacao Arena on Tuesday, September 19.
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Two girls play on cots at the Humacao Arena.
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Waves crash in San Juan as the hurricane neared Puerto Rico on September 19.
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People pray in Humacao on September 19.
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A street is flooded in Pointe-a-Pitre, on the French Caribbean island of Guadeloupe, on September 19.
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People stand near debris at a restaurant in Le Carbet, Martinique, on September 19.
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People in Luquillo, Puerto Rico, board up windows of a business on September 19.
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A boat is overturned off the shore of Sainte-Anne, Guadeloupe, on September 19.
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Cars line up at a gas station in San Juan on September 19.
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A motorist drives on the flooded waterfront in Fort-de-France, Martinique, on September 19.
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Floodwaters surround cars in Pointe-a-Pitre on September 19.
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Soldiers patrol a street in Marigot, St. Martin, as preparations were made for Maria on September 19.
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People buy provisions in Petit-Bourg, Guadeloupe, as the hurricane approached on Monday, September
18.
18.
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Customers wait in line for power generators at a store in San Juan on September 18.
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An apartment building is missing a wall in San Juan, Puerto Rico, on Monday, September 25, nearly a
week after Hurricane Maria devastated the US commonwealth. Power is still out in most places, and
communications remain almost nonexistent on the island of 3.4 million people.
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Yancy Leon rests at the Luis Muoz Marin International Airport near San Juan on September 25.
She's been waiting in line for two days to get a flight out.
Yancy Leon rests at the Luis Muoz Marin International Airport near San Juan on September 25. She's
been waiting in line for two days to get a flight out.
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An aerial view shows the flooding in San Juan on September 25.
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People collect water from a natural spring created by landslides in Corozal, Puerto Rico, on Sunday,
September 24. Puerto Rican Gov. Ricardo Rossell said the island faces a humanitarian crisis.
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An aerial view shows a flooded neighborhood in Catano, Puerto Rico, on Friday, September 22.
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A man cleans a muddy street in Toa Baja, Puerto Rico, on September 22.
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A man walks on a highway divider while carrying his bicycle through San Juan, Puerto Rico, on Thursday,
September 21.
September 21.
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A shack is destroyed in San Juan on September 21.
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A gas station's sign is damaged in Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, as the hurricane passed just
north of the country on September 21.
A gas station's sign is damaged in Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, as the hurricane passed just north of
the country on September 21.
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Rescue workers drive through a flooded road in Humacao, Puerto Rico, on Wednesday, September 20.
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A mattress that fell from the third floor is surrounded by debris outside a San Juan apartment complex
on September 20.
on September 20.
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Damage is seen in Roseau, Dominica, on September 20.
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People walk through the destruction in Roseau on September 20.
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San Juan is shrouded in darkness after the hurricane knocked out power to the entire island of Puerto
Rico.
Rico.
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Power lines are scattered across a road in Humacao, Puerto Rico, on September 20.
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Residents move aluminum panels from an intersection in Humacao on September 20.
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Rescue vehicles are trapped under an awning in Humacao on September 20.
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Trees are toppled outside the Roberto Clemente Coliseum in San Juan on September 20.
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18.

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Yancy Leon rests at the Luis Muoz Marin International Airport near San Juan on September 25.
She's been waiting in line for two days to get a flight out.
Yancy Leon rests at the Luis Muoz Marin International Airport near San Juan on September 25. She's
been waiting in line for two days to get a flight out.
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September 21.
September 21.
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A gas station's sign is damaged in Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, as the hurricane passed just
north of the country on September 21.
A gas station's sign is damaged in Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, as the hurricane passed just north of
the country on September 21.
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on September 20.
on September 20.
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Rico.
Rico.
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05 hurricane maria puerto rico 0925 RESTRICTED01 hurricane maria puerto rico 092502 hurricane maria
puerto rico 0925 RESTRICTED01 hurricane maria puerto rico 092401 hurricane maria 092202 hurricane
maria 092201 puerto rico 092206 hurricane maria 092105 hurricane maria 092102 hurricane maria
092103 hurricane maria 0921 RESTRICTEDDominica hurricane maria 092001 Hurricane Maria Dominica
092013 hurricane maria puerto rico 0920 blackout14 hurricane maria puerto rico 15 hurricane maria
puerto rico 16 hurricane maria puerto rico 01 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 0920 05 Hurricane Maria
Puerto Rico 0920 04 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 0920 03 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 0920 08
Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 0920 07 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 0920 06 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico
0920 18 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 091919 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 091914 Hurricane Maria
Guadeloupe 091910 Hurricane Maria Martinique 091911 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 091913 Hurricane
Maria Guadeloupe 091912 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 091907 Hurricane Maria Martinique 091915
Hurricane Maria Guadeloupe 091905 Hurricane Maria Saint Martin 091916 Hurricane Maria Guadeloupe
091917 Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico 0919
Though it looks like a landfalling storm is likely along the Gulf Coast this weekend, the exact location is
still yet to be determined. There is considerable spread in the forecast models, with potential landfalls
from central Louisiana to Florida's Big Bend region.
The official forecast for Nate has landfall near Panama City, Florida, on Sunday with winds of 80 mph,
which would make Nate a Category 1 hurricane.
The prospects of another hurricane landfall are troubling, coming so quickly after back-to-back-to-back
disasters in Harvey, Irma, and Maria. In fact, September 2017 was deemed the "most active month on
record" for tropical systems in the Atlantic basin by the National Hurricane Center.
Follow
Sam Lillo @splillo

Period with no TC winds in the Atlantic lasted a grand total of three days. #TD16
10:09 AM - Oct 4, 2017
Replies 2 2 Retweets 8 8 likes
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After having a named tropical system active in the Atlantic for over 37 consecutive days, the third-
longest streak on record, the region finally had a break beginning on Sunday, with no storms.
Unfortunately it looks like that break lasted only three days.
New York City, NY Sunny 74
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U.S.Crime + JusticeEnergy + EnvironmentExtreme WeatherSpace + ScienceLive TV

New tropical depression poses weekend threat to Gulf Coast

By Brandon Miller, CNN Meteorologist

Updated 2:24 PM ET, Wed October 4, 2017

What 'rapid intensification' means for storms

What 'rapid intensification' means for storms 01:10

The system will likely become Tropical Storm Nate soon

The storm is forecast to hit the US Gulf Coast this weekend

Track the storm here

Nate forecast track

View image on Twitter

View image on Twitter

NHC Atlantic Ops @NHC_Atlantic

10:07 AM - Oct 4, 2017

7 7 Replies 191 191 Retweets 82 82 likes

Twitter Ads info and privacy

&#39;Rapid intensification&#39; fuels major Atlantic hurricanes in 2017

'Rapid intensification' fuels major Atlantic hurricanes in 2017

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

A tree is damaged in Fajardo, Puerto Rico, on September 20.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

A tree is damaged in Fajardo, Puerto Rico, on September 20.

Debris is strewn across a Fajardo street on September 20.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Debris is strewn across a Fajardo street on September 20.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Two girls play on cots at the Humacao Arena.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Two girls play on cots at the Humacao Arena.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

People pray in Humacao on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

People pray in Humacao on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

People stand near debris at a restaurant in Le Carbet, Martinique, on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

People stand near debris at a restaurant in Le Carbet, Martinique, on September 19.

People in Luquillo, Puerto Rico, board up windows of a business on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

People in Luquillo, Puerto Rico, board up windows of a business on September 19.

A boat is overturned off the shore of Sainte-Anne, Guadeloupe, on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

A boat is overturned off the shore of Sainte-Anne, Guadeloupe, on September 19.

Cars line up at a gas station in San Juan on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Cars line up at a gas station in San Juan on September 19.

A motorist drives on the flooded waterfront in Fort-de-France, Martinique, on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

A motorist drives on the flooded waterfront in Fort-de-France, Martinique, on September 19.

Floodwaters surround cars in Pointe-a-Pitre on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Floodwaters surround cars in Pointe-a-Pitre on September 19.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

An aerial view shows the flooding in San Juan on September 25.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

An aerial view shows the flooding in San Juan on September 25.

Photos: Hurricane Maria slams the Caribbean

'Rapid intensification' fuels major Atlantic hurricanes in 2017