Lineal

Periodo Ventas
x y pronostico con cada modelo
1 17 forma equivalencias
30
2 16 a) lineal y = a+bx idem
3 16 b) exponencial y=ab^x lny=lna+xlnb 25
4 21 c) potencial y=ax^b lny=lna+blnx f(x) = 1.1333333333x + 14
R = 0.8417475728
20
5 20 d) logaritmo y= ablnx y=a+blnx
6 20 15
7 23
8 25 10

9 24 5
10 25.89
11 27.02 0
1 2 3
12 28.16
coef de R 0.9174680228

exponencial
x y 3.3
1 2.833213344 3.2 Grafico exponencial
f(x)
R ==0.8320030917
2.7194919495 exp( 0.0189506252 x )
2 2.772588722 3.1
3
3 2.772588722
2.9
4 3.044522438
2.8
5 2.995732274
2.7
6 2.995732274
2.6
7 3.135494216
2.5
8 3.218875825 1 2 3 4 5 6
9 3.17805383
10 3.277026078 26.4967974 0.9121420348 coef de r
11 3.333613479 28.0394161
12 3.390200881 29.6718445
potencial
x y
0 2.833213344 Grafico de potencia
0.69314718 2.772588722 3.3
1.09861229 2.772588722 3.2
1.38629436 3.044522438
3.1
1.60943791 2.995732274
3
1.79175947 2.995732274
1.94591015 3.135494216 Axis Title 2.9
2.07944154 3.218875825 2.8
2.19722458 3.17805383 2.7
2.30258509 3.169630407 23.7986362 2.6
2.39789527 3.188639314 24.255349 2.5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
 2.8
2.7
2.6
2.5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2.48490665 3.205993087 24.679944 0.8443394319

LOGARITMO
x y
0 17 Grafico de logaritmo
0.69314718 16
30
1.09861229 16
1.38629436 21 25
1.60943791 20 20
1.79175947 20
1.94591015 23 Axis Title 15
2.07944154 25 10
2.19722458 24
5
2.30258509 25.89 0.84240868
2.39789527 27.02 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2.48490665 28.16
 Grafico lineal

30

25
f(x) = 1.1333333333x + 14.5555555556
R = 0.8417475728
20

15

10

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

rafico exponencial
p( 0.0189506252 x )

4 5 6 7 8 9

de potencia

Column B

5 6 7 8 9
 5 6 7 8 9

o de logaritmo

Column B

5 6 7 8 9
Lineal
Periodo Ventas
x y
1 12 Grafico lineal
2 13
3 14 25
4 16
5 18
20 20
6 19 19
18
7 13 f(x) = 0.65x + 12.3055555556
16
R = 0.3828020134
8 15 15 15 Column
14 Linear (C
9 20 13 13
10 18.81 Axis Title 12
11 Err:502 10
12 Err:502
5

Coef. Correl 0.618709959

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Exponencial

Periodo Ventas
x y
1 2.48
2 2.56
3 2.64 Grafico Exponencia
4 2.77 3.50
5 2.89
3.00 2.89 2.94
6 2.94 2.77exp(
f(x) = 2.5242918344
2.64 0.0152309278 x2.71
)
7 2.56 2.50 2.48 2.56 2.56
R = 0.3905318805
8 2.71
2.00
9 3.00 Exponencial Coef correlacion Axis Title
10 2.937469348 18.8680374 0.6231633994 1.50
11 Err:502 Err:502 1.00
12 Err:502 Err:502
0.50

0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Potencial

Periodo Ventas
x y
0 2.48
0.69314718 2.56
1.09861229 2.64
1.38629436 2.77 Grafico potencial
1.60943791 2.89
3.50
1.79175947 2.94
1.94591015 2.56 3.00 2.89 2.94 3.00
2.77 + 2.5214294583
f(x) = 0.041603989x 2.71
2.07944154 2.71 2.64
R =2.56
2.50 2.48 2.56
0.3883326224
2.19722458 3.00 Potencial Coef de Correlacion
2.30258509 2.9341523345 18.8055556 0.6759704656 2.00
2.39789527 Err:502 Err:502 Axis Title
1.50
2.48490665 Err:502 Err:502
1.00

0.50

0.00
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Logaritmica
Periodo Ventas
x y
0 12
0.69314718 13
1.09861229 14 grfico logaritmico
1.38629436 16
25
1.60943791 18
1.79175947 19
20
1.94591015 13
2.07944154 15 f(x) = 0.65x + 12.3055555556
15 R = 0.3828020134
2.19722458 20
2.30258509 18.805555556 0.65713048 Axis Title
10
2.39789527 Err:502
2.48490665 Err:502
5

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
 pronostico con cada modelo
forma equivalencias
fico lineal a) lineal y = a+bx idem
b) exponencial y=ab^x lny=lna+xlnb
c) potencial y=ax^b lny=lna+blnx
d) logaritmo y= ablnx y=a+blnx

20
19
18
55555556
15 Column B
13 Linear (Column B)

6 7 8 9

Grafico Exponencial

2.89 2.94 3.00

2.77exp(
242918344 0.0152309278 x2.71
)
6 2.64 2.56
05318805

Colum
nB
Expone
ntial
(Colum
n B)

3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grafico potencial

2.89 2.94 3.00

2.77 + 2.5214294583
.041603989x 2.71
6 2.64 2.56
3883326224
Column B
Linear (Column B)

3 4 5 6 7 8 9

rfico logaritmico

5x + 12.3055555556 Column B
28020134
Linear (Column B)

4 5 6 7 8 9