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1 ($269.28) ($234.36)
2 ($328.88) ($249.11)
3 ($227.44) ($149.93)
4 ($98.99) ($56.80)
5 ($58.02) ($28.97)
6 $134.16 $58.89
7 $255.07 $99.39
8 $286.28 $99.94
9 $533.77 $168.43
10 $792.27 $27,620.01 $8,173.33
$7,880.81
$149.37
Valuing Options or Warrants when there is dilution
Enter the current stock price = 300
Enter the strike price on the option = 18.71
Enter the expiration of the option = 8
Enter the standard deviation in stock price 50.00% (volatility)
Enter the annualized dividend yield on sto 0.00%
Enter the treasury bond rate = 5.00%
Enter the number of warrants (options) ou 6.01
Enter the number of shares outstanding = 52.76
d1 = 2.94868326
N (d1) = 0.99840435
d2 = 1.53446969
N (d2) = 0.93754293
A Valuation of Amazon
Assumptions
1. The firm is expected to grow at a higher growth rate in the first period.
2. The growth rate will drop at the end of the first period to the stable growth rate.
3. The free cashflow to equity is the correct measure of expected cashflows to stockholder
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General FCFF Discount Model
If yes, enter the market price per share = $325.00 (in currency)
& Number of shares outstanding = 52.76 (in #)
& Market Value of Debt = $0.00 ( in currency)
If no, do you want to use the book value debt ratio ? (Yes or No)
If no, enter the debt to capital ratio to be used = (in percent)
Costs of Components
Do you want to enter cost of equity direc No (Yes or No)
If yes, enter the cost of equity = (in percent)
If no, enter the inputs to the cost of equity
Beta of the stock = 1.8
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General FCFF Discount Model
Earnings Inputs
Please enter year-specific inputs for each of the following variables:
Year Growth Rate inCOGS as % ofGrowth Rate in
Growth Rate Working
in Capital
Revenue Revenue Capital Spending
Depreciation
as % of Revenue
1 150.00% 110% 75% 100% 5.00%
2 100.00% 105% 50% 75% 5.00%
3 75.00% 100% 30% 50% 5.00%
4 50.00% 98% 25% 30% 5.00%
5 30.00% 98% 20% 25% 5.00%
6 25.20% 96.80% 16% 20% 5.00%
7 20.40% 95.60% 11% 16% 5.00%
8 15.60% 94.40% 6% 11% 5.00%
9 10.80% 93.20% 6% 6% 5.00%
10 6.00% 92% 6% 6% 5.00%
Compounded Av 42%
Enter growth rate in stable growth perio 6.00% (in percent)
Enter COGS as % of Revenue in stable p 92.00% (in percent)
Enter Working Capital as % of Revenue i 5.00% (in percent)
Will the beta change in the stable perio Yes (Yes or No)
If yes, enter the beta for stable period = 1
Do you want to change the debt ratio in the stable gr Yes (Yes or No)
If yes, enter the debt ratio for the stable growth peri 15% (in percent)
Will the cost of debt change in the stabl Yes (Yes or No)
If yes, enter the new cost of debt = 8.00% ( in percent)
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General FCFF Discount Model
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Before reviewing the output, check to see if any warnings appear on the next page.
Warnings
You have entered a negative current EPS. This model will not work
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General FCFF Discount Model
1 2 3 4 5
Revenues $1,667.50 $3,335.00 $5,836.25 $8,754.38 $11,380.69
- COGS $1,834.25 $3,501.75 $5,836.25 $8,579.29 $11,153.07
- Depreciatio $30.00 $52.50 $78.75 $102.38 $128.17
EBIT ($196.75) ($219.25) ($78.75) $72.71 $99.44
- EBIT*t $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
EBIT (1-t) ($196.75) ($219.25) ($78.75) $72.71 $99.44
+ Depreciati $30.00 $52.50 $78.75 $102.38 $128.17
- Capital Sp $52.50 $78.75 $102.38 $128.17 $154.32
- Chg. Work $50.03 $83.38 $125.06 $145.91 $131.32
Free CF to Fi ($269.28) ($328.88) ($227.44) ($98.99) ($58.02)
Present Value ($234.36) ($249.11) ($149.93) ($56.80) ($28.97)
NOL $316.75 $536.00 $614.75 $542.04 $442.60
Index 0 0 0 0 0
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es of growth, an initial
of stable growth.
growth rate.
flows to stockholders.
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General FCFF Discount Model
currency)
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General FCFF Discount Model
ng Capital
of Revenue
Cap Ex lags revenue growth by 2 years
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e next page.
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General FCFF Discount Model
6 7 8 9 10 Terminal Year
$14,248.62 ### ### ### ### $24,689.29
$13,792.66 ### ### ### ### $22,714.15
$154.32 $178.39 $197.66 $209.52 $222.09 $235.42
$301.63 $576.44 $674.93 $1,020.99 $1,361.75 $1,739.73
$0.00 $156.77 $242.97 $367.56 $490.23 $626.30
$301.63 $419.67 $431.95 $653.43 $871.52 $1,113.42
$154.32 $178.39 $197.66 $209.52 $222.09 $235.42
$178.39 $197.66 $209.52 $222.09 $235.42 $258.96
$143.40 $145.34 $133.81 $107.09 $65.92 $69.88
$134.16 $255.07 $286.28 $533.77 $792.27 $1,020.01
$58.89 $99.39 $99.94 $168.43 $227.91
$140.96 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
0 0 0 0 1
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minal Year
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