x y

Tendencia Lineal Tendencia lineal y ex

0.5 0.53
3 3
1 0.69 f(x) = 0.5850988142x
1.5 1.5 2.5 2.5 R = 0.9674030719
2 1.5 2 2
2.5 2
1.5 1.5
3 2.06
1 1
3.5 2.28
4 2.23 0.5 0.5
4.5 2.73 0 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 1 2 3
5 2.42
5.5 2.79
Tendencia exponencial Tendencia logaritmica y
3 3
2.5 2.5 f(x) = 0.9845784038 l n(x) + 1.00
R = 0.9444260736
2 2
1.5 1.5
1
1
0.5
0.5
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0
0 1 2 3

Tendencia Polinomica de 5to Grado

Tendencia Polinomica de 2do
3
f(x) = - 0.0004100756x^5 + 0.0112675613x^4 - 0.0781304389x^3 + 0.0913004788x^2 + 0.8621804322x 3
R = 0.9947253946
2.5
2.5 f(x) = - 0.0805128205x^2 + 0.9130769231x + 0.07
2 R = 0.9532683069
2
1.5
1.5
1
1
0.5
0.5
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0
0 1 2 3 4

Tendencia Media Movil Tendencia Potencial y

3
3
f(x) = 0.8887013031 x^0.7146473544
2.5 R = 0.9389302973
2.5
2
2
1.5
1.5
1
1
0.5

0 0.5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
 2
2
1.5
1.5
1
1
0.5

0 0.5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
0
0 1 2 3
 Tendencia lineal y extrapolacion
3
f(x) = 0.5850988142x
2.5 R = 0.9674030719

1.5

0.5

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Tendencia logaritmica y extrapolacion

f(x) = 0.9845784038 l n(x) + 1.0004218972

R = 0.9444260736

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Tendencia Polinomica de 2do Grado y Extrapolacion

(x) = - 0.0805128205x^2 + 0.9130769231x + 0.0712121212

= 0.9532683069

1 2 3 4 5 6

Tendencia Potencial y Extrapolacion

f(x) = 0.8887013031 x^0.7146473544
R = 0.9389302973
1 2 3 4 5 6
Ejemplo 20.2 uso de
Tendencia lineal con extrapolacion dos periodos
TC Zm 30
22.8 0
22.8 2.3 25
22.8 4.9
20 f(x) = - 1.6349004567x + 40.1137440189
20.6 9.1 R = 0.8892925911
13.9 13.7 15
11 18.3
11.1 22.9 10
11.1 27.2
5

0
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24

tendencia logaritmica tendencia lineal polinom

30 30

25 25

f(x) = -26.6345664622 l n(x) + 86.3748810385

20 R = 0.8933345095 20 f(x) = - 0.1520620263x^2 + 3.5615269524x
R = 0.9446507971
15 15

10 10

5 5

0 0
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 10 12 14 16 18

tendencia media movil

30

25

20

15

10

0
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
ion dos periodos

24

tendencia lineal polinomica

1520620263x^2 + 3.5615269524x
6507971

14 16 18 20 22 24