Professional Documents
Culture Documents
National Bank of Greece
lB k fG
1st Quarter 2010 Results
Quarter 2010 Results
May 26th, 2010
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Key Messages
Profits remain in the black, hurt by exceptional taxes
(€93 ) d di l
(€93mn) and trading losses (€134mn) and the still high level
(€134 ) d h ill hi h l l
Profit & Loss Account
Income 1 070
1 070 962 +11% 1 228
1 228 ‐13%
13%
Cost control leads to a reduction in operating expenses by
13% qoq with the C/I ratio in low 40s in FB and SEE Operating Expenses (605) (694) ‐13% (565) +7%
Pre‐provision earnings 465 268 +74% 662 ‐30%
CoR flat as improvements in asset quality in the
international businesses offset the deterioration in the
international businesses offset the deterioration in the Provisions (314) (323) ‐3% (235) +34%
domestic market
Taxes (19) 33 ‐ (89) ‐79%
Successful liquidity buffers with turnaround in deposit
outflow from May
outflow from May
Minorities & non‐cash charges (19) (16) +18% (22) ‐11%
Equity broadly unchanged despite mtm of GGBs, helped by
TRY appreciation
Windfall Taxes (93) (49) +90% ‐ ‐
page 2
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
An ambitious fiscal reform program
Budget Implementation (% GDP) Fiscal Measures 2010* (% GDP)
y , g
So far this year, the deficit is running at half the level of that in 2009 Ambitious program to achieve a fiscal adjustment equivalent to 5.5% of GDP in ‘10
p g j q %
% of GDP Jan Mar May Cum. Impact
4months Full Year
VAT hikes ‐ 0.5 0.3 0.8
‘09 ‘10 ‘09 ‘10 Increase in excise taxes 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.3
y
Taxation system reform 0.7 ‐ ‐ 0.7
1 N R
1. Net Revenues 61
6.1 68
6.8 20 4
20.4 23 1
23.1
Other measures* 0.6 0.3 ‐ 0.9
2. Expenditure 9.3 8.6 30.2 29.2 Total Revenue 3.7
Public sector wage containment 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.3
3. Public Investment Budget, net 1.4 0.9 3.2 2.5
Pension bill containment 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.1
CG Budget Balance (1‐2‐3) ‐4.5 ‐2.7 13.0 8.6 Public investment program cuts ‐ 0.3 0.2 0.5
Other measures 0.1 ‐ 0.5 0.7
+15%
Debt Dynamics
Revenue yoy % change
+10% Annual Target p p p
Successful implementation will put the debt on a sustainable downward path
+5%
Level of General
0 Government Debt (%GDP)
GDP growth (yoy)
1% 162% 145% 129%
Annual Expenditure Target in 2024, assuming level of
‐5% Debt 2014: 150% of GDP
Primary outlays yoy % change 2% 138% 122% 107%
and annual real interest
‐10%
10%
rate 3.5% for the whole 3% 117% 103% 89%
‐15% period
Jan‐10 Feb‐10 Mar‐10 Apr‐10
3% 4% 5%
Primary Surplus (% of GDP) page 3
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Structural reforms: Boost economy’s capacity to produce, save and export
• Establishment of large tax payers unit • Reform collective wage bargaining
T R f
Tax Reform • Increase effective penalties for tax
I ff i li f
Labour market • Eliminate asymmetric arbitration
evasion • Minimum wages for long‐term
Tackling tax evasion (4 pps of • Audit of high wealth individuals to unemployment and youth
maximize return More flexible wage system
GDP shortfall to EU average)
• Containment of total spending increases to +2.5
pps of GDP in the next 4 decades vs. 12.5 pps
under a no‐policy change assumption P bli Health System
Public H lth S t • Management accounting and financial
Management accounting and financial
Pension System • Universally binding rules from January 2013 with system in hospitals
substantially lower entitlements: savings from mismanagement • Merger of health funds to a single fund
Reform to ease the fiscal ‐ Calculation of pensions benefits on the basis of (equivalent to several pps of
pressure from ageing lifetime earnings
GDP)
‐ Accumulation rate reduced to 1.2/year (after
40
40 years a 50 year replacement rate)
50 l )
• Indexation of pensions to inflation from 2013
• Μerger of the existing pension funds into three
funds
• Restrict early retirement provisions
• One‐stop shop (reduction of costs and delays to
the creation of new employment)
Modernizing public • Reorganization of local government to Business Environment • Management and divestment of state enterprises
reduce size and improve efficiency (railway and state transport)
administration • Single payment authority for wages
Si l t th it f • Opening of restricted professions (legal,
Opening of restricted professions (legal
Liberalize private sector and pharmacy, road haulage
Reducing the role of the State
• Improve procurement process private investment • Liberalization of network industries (transport and
energy)
• EU services directive (tourism, education, retail)
page 4
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
1Q.10: Resilient core banking revenues despite challenging domestic macro situation
Group NII+ Fees
Pre‐Provision Earnings Group Net Interest Income & Margin
Core banking revenues resilient
Core banking revenues resilient NII and NIM at record levels despite rising funding costs
NII and NIM at record levels despite rising funding costs
NII (€mn) NIM (bps)
1 213 €1 199mn 1038 1035
1 111
+8% yoy 414
‐1% qoq
401
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
684
747 757
337 140 487 487
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
page 5
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Pre‐provision earnings capacity sustained across all geographies
€mn € mn
TRY mn
+5% yoy
338
72 excl. trading +24% qoq Trading result
324 14
Trading result excl. trading
273 11 9
57 excl. trading 8 70
0 +20% yoy
392 58
63
+11% qoq
+9% yoy
43
+11% qoq
360
‐21 353
T di
Trading result
l
‐154
Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
2.3x 1.5x 1.5x CoR coverage 2.8x 2.1x 4.3x CoR coverage 2.0x 1.2x 1.4x CoR coverage
page 6
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Asset quality trajectory broadly unchanged
NPLs +90dpd
7% CoR, bps Pre‐provision margin, bps
7.1%8% 200 189
6.0% +72bps 500
+62bps 7%
6% 180 367
5.4% 400
+62bps 150
6%
4.9%
+63bps +70bps
6.4%
300 267
5% 143
4.4% 5.8%
+50bps 5%
5.2% 200 157
100
4% 3.7% +50bps
4.5% 4% 100
+70bps
3% 3% 50 0
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.10
Gross NPL flow (before write‐offs) Cash Coverage
h
NPLs
(€mn) Q1.10 Q4.09 Q3.09 Q2.09 +90dpd
70%
66% 63%
64% 63%
Greece +360 +329 +299 +318 58% 56% 53% 54% 53%
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10 Q1.10
page 7
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Asset quality deteriorates in Greece, improves in Turkey and temporarily picks up in SEE
5.8% 5.8%
6.9% 5.4% incl. legacy loans
6.0% ‐2bps
9.4%
4.9%
5.3% +40ps
+89bps
7.8% 8.1%
4.8% +64bps 6.8%
4.2% +49bps +126bps
58b
+58bps 3.9% 30b
+30bps
5.5%
+100bps
+54bps +101bps
+130bps
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
Sep.09
Sep.09
Mar.09
Jun.09
Mar.10
Dec.08
Dec.09
Mar.09
Mar.10
Dec.08
Jun.09
Dec.09
Dec.08
Sep.09
Dec.09
Mar.09
Jun.09
Mar.10
100% 80%
CoR (bps) 285 264 272 300
60% CoR (bps) 178 300 CoR (bps) 260
153 180 80% 70%
250
60% 200
40% 60%
120
50% 150
147150 +90dpd Coverage 66% 65%
40%
+90dpd Coverage
+90dpd Coverage 48% 46% 40% 100
20% 60
20% +90dpd Coverage 71% 73%
30% 50
0% 0 0% 0 20% 0
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
page 8
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Securities portfolio
Fixed Income Portfolio GGBs Maturity Profile
Breakdown 31.3.10
2010 1.0
€5.3bn mature
Hellenic EU Turkish Global Corpo 2011 1.0 by 2014
€bn Republic Govies Sovereign Financials rates Total
2012 08
0.8
Trading 1.6 ‐ 0.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
2013 1.4
2015 1.2
HTM & LaR
HTM & LaR 13.2 0.1 ‐ 0.8 ‐ 14.2
2016 0.7
Total 19.5 0.8 2.5 2.6 0.6 26.0
2017 2.2
GGB spreads
1 800
1 600
Average Prices by Book
GGB10yr Spread
1 400 GGB3yr Spread
1 200
1 200 Trading
T di AFS HTM & LaR
HTM & L R
1 000
800 Carrying amount 92.5 92.5 92.4
600
400 Mark‐to‐market 92.5 92.5 88.6
200
0 % ‐ ‐ ‐4%
14/10/09
28/10/09
11/11/09
25/11/09
23/12/09
30/9/09
9/12/09
6/1/10
20/1/10
3/2/10
17/2/10
3/3/10
17/3/10
31/3/10
14/4/10
28/4/10
12/5/10
page 9
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Domestic deposit attrition ends
adjusted for €1.4bn covered bonds
Group
86%
83% 84% 84%
81%
Greece
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 FY.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 FY.09 Q1.10
Sep09
June08
Aug08
Oct08
Jan09
Mar09
May09
Jul09
Nov09
Jan10
Mar10
page 10
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Robust liquidity profile with untapped wholesale funding capacity
€4.7 bn State‐guaranteed
37.8bn 37%
Term deposits
Term deposits
€1 3 bn
€1.3 b Corporate loans
Work in €1.2 bn
Covered bond program
Inexpensive,
progress
€3.5 bn New covered bond progr.
undated deposits
with a blended €2.0 bn Corporate loans
cost of just 15bps
cost of just
32.8bn 32%
Core deposits
ECB Collateral: Cash/Face Value
95%
Equity, Prefs & hybrid securities 9.7bn 9% Greece activate Eurozone officials approve
€30bn package €110bn of emergency
90% loans to Greece
85%
80%
75%
31‐Mar 7‐Apr 14‐Apr 21‐Apr 28‐Apr 5‐May 12‐May 19‐May
page 11
Highlights National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Equity position exceptionally strong in the face of unprecedented conditions
C Ti I C it l
Core Tier I Capital 6 723
6 723 6 682
6 682 FX translation
FX translation +181 NBG
NBG
Equity 31.3.10 8 356
Tier I Ratio 11.3% 11.1%
Pro‐forma Basel III Ratios: 31.3.10
Core Tier 1 Ratio * 9.3%
Tier 1 Ratio * 10.6%
Net Stable Funding Ratio 101%
Core Funding Ratio 70%
* Excludes minority interests that will not qualify as Tier 1
under Basle III
page 12
N ti
National Bank of Greece
lB k fG
1st Quarter 2010 Segment Results: Greece
Quarter 2010 Segment Results: Greece
May 26th, 2010
Segment review: Greece National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Core banking revenues support pre‐provision profitability
page 14
Segment review: Greece National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Maintaining market share in a tough environment
Domestic Loan Book Domestic Mortgages
* Source: Bank of Greece
Q1.09 FY.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 FY.09 Q1.10
Mar.09
Sep.09
Mar.10
Dec.08
Dec.09
Jun.09
Domestic Business Lending
Domestic Business Lending Domestic Consumer Lending
Domestic Consumer Lending
17.9 +4% yoy
+4% yoy
5.2
5.0 +12% yoy
+12% yoy
7.3 7.3 +8% yoy
17.5
20.0%
20 0%
17.3 19.4
4.5
19.0
18.3
6.8
17.8
Mar.09
Dec.08
Sep.09
Dec.09
Dec.09
Jun.09
Q1.09 FY.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 FY.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 FY.09 Q1.10
page 15
Segment review: Greece National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Resilient Net Interest Income despite funding pressures
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Feb09
Mar09
Apr09
May09
Jul09
Aug09
Sep09
Dec09
Feb10
Mar10
Jan09
Jun09
Oct09
Nov09
Jan10
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Deposit Spreads
b
bps Q1 10
Q1.10 Q4 09
Q4.09 qoq NII Breakdown
NII Breakdown
Core deposits 17 20 ‐3
Domestic Loans Domestic Deposits Bonds
Term deposits ‐69 ‐50 ‐19
‐0.10% 3.4%
Total deposits ‐23 ‐11 ‐12 ΔRate +8mn
4.7%
‐15mn
15mn 3.2%
‐0.20% ΔRate ‐3mn
Spread
3.0%
Spread
Spread
‐0.30%
Market Rates NII Q4.09 +3mn
4.5% +2mn 2.8%
+1mn
NII Q4.09
‐0.40% NII Q4.09
bps Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq 2.6%
53
54
55
56
57
58
48
49
50
51
15.0
15.5
16.0
16.5
17.0
ΔVolume ΔVol
Euribor 3M 66 72 ‐6 ΔVolume
Avrg balance Avrg balance Avrg balance
page 16
Segment review: Greece National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Credit losses held back due to the large share of secured lending
Gross NPL flow (before write‐offs) Retail Delinquencies: Time Series (€mn)
Total Domestic Retail Lending Mortgages: +180dpd formation
(€mn) Q1.10 Q4.09 Q3.09 Q2.09
+200 +100
Mortgages 47% +163 +115 +111 +86
(€mn) (€mn)
of total +160
Consumer lending
Consumer lending +169 +148 +144 +164 +70
+120
Small Business +15 +40 +38 +33 +40
+80
Corporate +12 +25 +7 +34
+10
+40
Total Greece
Total Greece +360 +329 +299 +318
+0 ‐20
Dec‐08
Dec‐09
Aug‐08
Oct‐08
Feb‐09
Apr‐09
Jun‐09
Aug‐09
Oct‐09
Feb‐10
Apr‐10
Aug‐08
Oct‐08
Dec‐08
Feb‐09
Apr‐09
Jun‐09
Aug‐09
Oct‐09
Dec‐09
Feb‐10
Apr‐10
Cash Coverage (before collaterals) Consumer lending: +90dpd formation SBLs: +90dpd formation
p
+100 +100
Cash Coverage (before collaterals) Corporate Book (€mn) (€mn)
+70 +70
Jul‐08
Sep‐08
Marr‐09
Mayy‐09
Jul‐09
Sep‐09
Marr‐10
Novv‐08
Jan‐09
Novv‐09
Jan‐10
Dec‐08
Dec‐09
Aug‐08
Oct‐08
Feb‐09
Apr‐09
Jun‐09
Aug‐09
Oct‐09
Feb‐10
Apr‐10
Npls coverage (before collaterals)
page 17
N ti
National Bank of Greece
lB k fG
1st Quarter 2010 Segment Results: Finansbank
Quarter 2010 Segment Results: Finansbank
May 26th, 2010
Segment review: Finansbank National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Solid loan growth and improved asset quality boost profitability
Summary P&L
+14% yoy and + 5%
Loan growth continues strongly:
qoq, +22bps market share yoy to
+22bps market share yoy to 6.2%
6 2%
Profit & Loss Account
TRY mn Q1 10
Q1.10 Q4 09
Q4.09 qoq%
% Q1 09
Q1.09 yoy%
%
Trading & other income
& other income 36 33 +10% 68 ‐46%
46%
‐3bps qoq, at
Asset quality improves: NPL ratio down
5.7%, while coverage ticks up to 74%
Income 699 718 ‐3% 685 +2%
Provisions
403
(91)
396
(169)
+2%
‐46%
417
(129)
‐3%
‐29%
L:D at
Comfortable liquidity position: Liquidity ratio of 20% and
120%
Income tax (53) (19) >100% (59) ‐9%
Core Tier 1 ratio at 13.9%, CAR at 17.7%, reflecting a
f g
strong capital base and internal capital generation
page 19
Segment review: Finansbank National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Top line growth momentum holds up
Earnings Momentum NII and NIM
O
Opex ‐8% qoq (or +3% excl. variable pay)
8% ( 3% l i bl ) Net Interest Margin (bps)
(b ) Net Interest Income (TRY mn)
TRY 674mn 800
TRY 526mn
600 Banking income up
500
+8% yoy +9% yoy
696bps
300 Fl t
Flat yoy 400
650
0 603 300
TRY 296mn
OpEx
OpEx growth 500
(+10% yoy
+10% yoy)
) in
in 200
‐300
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
line with
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
inflation
Earnings Quality Operating Expenses
400 150
TRY mn Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq TRY128mn
TRY 403mn
‐1% yoy
Pre‐provision
Pre provision Wages & Salaries
Wages & Salaries 142 139 +2% 100
200
earnings, up +2%
qoq Other Expenses 154 147 +4% 50
Q1..09
Q2..09
Q3..09
Q4..09
Ave. 09
Q1..10
Provisions
‐200
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
page 20
Segment review: Finansbank National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Asset growth accelerates backed by continued expansion of retail deposits
5.0%
8 9%
8.9% 4.8%
26.6 8.1%
Mortgages 10.6%
25.3 Credit Cards 12.1%
23.4
22.8
23.9 +14% yoy Consumer 5.0% Market share
Market share
+5% qoq
13.5
19.1 12.7
18.9
3.9%
+12% yoy +34% yoy 3.9%
17 0
17.0 Total Deposits
Total Deposits
+1% qoq 10.1 9.9
+6% qoq
15.9 9.4
15.1 3.6%
4.1%
TRY d
TRY deposits
it
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
page 21
Segment review: Finansbank National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Strong capital base and funding structure support future balance sheet growth
57% of funding emanates from deposits 140
2010 313
Net interbank 1.7bn 5%
131 130 2011 592
130
Wholesale Funding 4.1bn 12% 2012 697
120 2013 645
120
2014 554
0
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
2016 nilil
17.2bn 52%
Term deposits
>2016 941
*Bank only
Capital ratios Liquidity reserves
Solid capital base Ample untapped funding reserves
Demand deposits 6%
1.9bn
8.3bn 25%
Equity & Other Total CAR: 17.7% Issuance programme: ~USD 750mn
page 22
Segment review: Finansbank National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Asset quality improves, CoR halved, amply covered by pre‐provision earnings
NPL formation Collections (TRY mn)
Total NPLs
Total NPLs Bank NPL Growth Rate
a G o t ate Monthly collections
Monthly collections
5.7%
5.7% 2009 Average 26
22.5%
‐3bps
+40bps Jan. 2010 30
+60bps
7.9% Feb. 2010 36
3.8%
+90bps 2.5%
Mar. 2010 47
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 07 May Apr. 2010 44
147bps
147bps
p
Cost of Risk (bps)
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
page 23
N ti
National Bank of Greece
lB k fG
1st Quarter 2010 Segment Results: Southeastern Europe
Quarter 2010 Segment Results: Southeastern Europe
May 26th, 2010
Segment review: SEE National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
SEE: profitability on the uptick while asset quality trends in line with expectations
– Top line resilience with total income of €148m up +13% yoy € mn Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy%
and +3% qoq
NII 115 117 ‐2% 105 +9%
– Cost reduction (‐2% yoy and ‐12% qoq) improves efficiency;
Net fees 22 23 ‐6% 20 10%
C:I best ever at 43%
Core Banking Revenues 137 140 ‐2% 125 +9%
– Pre‐provision earnings increase to €84m, up +27% yoy and
+18% qoq Trading & other income 11 4 >100% 6 +76%
Profitable in all countries with net income of €32m, ‐3% yoy and Income
O
Operating Expenses
ti E
148
(64)
144
(73)
+3% 131
(65)
+13%
+76%
76% qoq ‐12%
12% ‐2%
2%
page 25
Segment review: SEE National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Earnings and profits pick up ahead of the anticipated recovery in the region
Income Opex and C:I
Strong operating income with resilient top line… … along with cost containment…
72
117 65
144 €147mn 105 €115mn €63mn 50 50
131 487
operating NII 487bps Opex 48
income +9% yoy NIM ‐2% yoy
+3% qoq ‐2% qoq +56bps yoy ‐12%qoq
+13% yoy flat qoq 43%
431 C:I
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
Pre‐provision earnings Pre‐provision earnings per country
… provide for solid pre‐provision earnings… …absorbing Cost of Risk in all countries
‐29 48 Bulgaria
‐49 84 SEE
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
page 26
Segment review: SEE National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Asset quality in line; Bulgaria temporary outlier
Charge offs & Cost of Risk Cash coverage %
51 52
€49mn Bulgaria
44 272 71%
54%
charge‐offs 264
260bps
29
227 provision
67% Romania 77%
Albania 47%
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
NPL formation NPL formation per country (€m)
Formation temporarily surges on lumpy corporate events in Bulgaria (€74m) Bulgaria trend corrects post Q1
110
112 €115mn 9.4% incl. legacy
NPL 90 Bulgaria
formation 7.6%
74 69 6.3% 70
+90dpd %
51 50
30
Romania
10
Other
‐10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
April
20May
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
page 27
Segment review: SEE National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Liquidity improves as deposits register double digit growth
Loans Deposits
Loan portfolio declines Customer deposits continue rising, improving L:D ratio
4.7 €4.7bn
4.8
8.2 4.7
8.0 €7.9bn €4.6bn 186%
4.2 flat qoq
‐1% qoq corporate
t +11% yoy
‐4% yoy 3.4 3.3
160%
€3.3bn 158%
retail L:D
‐28pps yoy
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Deposits per country Market shares
Cross‐border funding
Attributable PAT
Improvement in all countries Sustainable market share in deposits
3M.09 3M.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
page 28
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National Bank of Greece
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Appendix I: SEE countries 1st Quarter 2010 Results
Appendix I: SEE countries 1 Quarter 2010 Results
May 26th, 2010
Appendix I: SEE countries National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Bulgaria: Q1 npl formation trend eases off after quarter‐end
Charge‐offs
g ((29)) ((15)) +88%
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
Attributable profit 17 18 ‐4% Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
* source: “Bad & Restructured loans”, Central Bank of Bulgaria
L:D (LCY) 163%
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09Q4.09Q1.10
page 30
Appendix I: SEE countries National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Romania: profitability strengthens while asset quality remains at the lower end of the market
* Loss Ratio: as defined by the Central Bank of Romania
L:D (LCY)
L:D (LCY) 74%
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09Q4.09Q1.10
page 31
Appendix I: SEE countries National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
FYROM: market leader with resilient profitability
412
NII 11 10 +9% 374bps
10.1%
incl.
legacy run rate
Fee & other income 4 4 +12% 130
npls 96 96 96%
Operating expenses (7) (7) +9% 6.9% 86 coverage
5.8% 5.9%
5.2% 5.1% npl %
Pre‐provision earnings 7 7 +11%
Attributable profit 1 4 ‐75% Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
L:D (LCY) 63%
page 32
Appendix I: SEE countries National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Serbia: cost base improves further as restructuring delivers results
Attributable profit 1 4 ‐78% ‐77% Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
L:D (LCY) 63%
Q1.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09Q4.09Q1.10
page 33
Appendix I: SEE countries National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Albania: NPLs decrease as intensified collection efforts start paying off
Attributable profit 1 0 >100% Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.09 Q1.10 Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
L:D (LCY) 34%
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
3M.09 3M.10
page 34
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Appendix II: Cyprus & Other international 1st Quarter 2010 Results
Appendix II: Cyprus & Other international 1 Quarter 2010 Results
March 26th, 2010
Appendix II: Cyprus & Other international National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Cyprus: steady profitability of a mainly corporate portfolio
NII 10 10 +1%
Fee & other income 2 2 ‐3%
10 10 €10mn 292 54 57 61%
288bps C:I
NII
NIM
Operating expenses (7) (6) +15% +1% qoq
+1%yoy
Pre‐provision earnings 4 5 ‐16%
Attributable profit 1 2 ‐55%
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q3.09
Q4.09
Q1.10
Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
Q1.09 Q4.09 Q1.10
182
Retail loans 155 ‐0% +2%
98bps
5 257 run rate
run rate
Corporate loans 920 ‐3% +8% €4mn 191bps
‐13%qoq 63%
pre‐provision 63%
Loans 1 075 ‐3% +7%
margin coverage
page 36
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Appendix III
Appendix III
May 26th, 2010
1st Quarter 2010 Results
Appendix III National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
NBG Group: Summary Financials
Profit & Loss Account Summary Balance Sheet
€ mn Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy% € mn Q1 10
Q1.10 Q4 09
Q4.09 qoq% yoy%
Net Interest Income 1 035 1 038 ‐0% 945 +10% Cash & Reserves 3 772 4 253 ‐11% ‐0%
Net fees 164 175 ‐6% 166 ‐1% Interbank & Securities Repos 6 063 3 708 +64% >100%
Trading income (134) (231) ‐42% 109 n/a
Securities 26 792 26 000 +3% +9%
Oth i
Other income 5 (20) ‐ 8 ‐41%
41%
Loans (gross) 73 131 71 593 +2% +8%
Income 1 070 962 +11% 1 228 ‐13%
Provisions (2 748) (2 459) +12% +57%
Personnel expenses (375) (398) ‐6% (345) +9%
Goodwill & Intangibles 2 575 2 487 +4% +8%
G&As (178) (192) ‐7% (172) +3%
Tangible assets
Tangible assets 2 095
2 095 2 099
2 099 ‐0%
0% ‐1%
1%
Depreciation (48) (48) ‐1% (45) +7%
Performance pay ‐ (34) ‐100% ‐ Other assets 5 856 5 714 +2% ‐3%
VRS (5) (22) ‐80% (4) +13% Total Assets 117 537 113 394 +4% +9%
Operating Expenses (605) (694) ‐13% (565) +7%
Pre Provision Earnings 465 268 +74% 662 ‐30% Interbank & Securities Repos 26 015 21 643 +20% +37%
Provisions (314) (323) ‐3% (235) +34% Due to customers 70 538 71 194 ‐1% +2%
PBT 152 (55) ‐ 428 ‐65% Debt securities 3 148 3 085 +2% ‐18%
Taxes ((19)) 33 n/a
/ ((89)) ‐79%
Other liabilities
h l bl 8 088 7 644 +6% +7%
Minorities (12) (10) +24% (13) ‐4%
Hybrids & Minorities 1 391 1 374 +1% ‐27%
Non‐cash charges (7) (6) +8% (9) ‐21%
Equity 8 356 8 453 ‐1% +36%
Attr. Income (before one‐off taxes) 114 (38) ‐ 317 ‐64%
Windfall tax
Windfall tax (93) (49) +90% ‐ Total liabilities & equity
q y 117 537 113 394 +4% +9%
page 38
Appendix III National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
P&L account: Segments Results
€ mn Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy% Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy% Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy%
NII 657 659 ‐0% 605 +8% 127 128 ‐1% 117 +9% 252 250 +1% 223 +13%
Commissions 75 88 ‐15% 82 ‐9% 24 26 ‐6% 22 +10% 65 61 +7% 63 +5%
Insurance income 23 12 +100% 25 ‐5% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 5 8 ‐35% 2 >100%
Trading & other income
Trading & other income (182)
(182) (281)
(281) ‐35% 52 ‐ 12
12 4
4 >100% 9
9 +34% 12
12 7
7 +83% 29 ‐59%
Income 573 479 +20% 764 ‐25% 162 158 +3% 147 +10% 335 327 +3% 317 +6%
Personnel expenses (271) (301) ‐10% (253) +7% (35) (34) +4% (36) ‐1% (68) (63) +8% (56) +22%
G&As (87) (101) ‐14% (81) +7% (30) (34) ‐13% (30) ‐2% (61) (56) +9% (60) +2%
Depreciation (27) (28) ‐4% (29) ‐8% (9) (9) ‐4% (8) +14% (12) (11) +9% (8) +54%
Performance pay & VRS (4) (34) ‐88% (5) ‐11% (0) (6) ‐91% ‐ ‐ ‐ (16) ‐100% ‐ ‐
Operating Expenses (388) (464) ‐16% (368) +6% (74) (83) ‐10% (74) +1% (142) (147) ‐4% (124) +14%
Pre‐provision earnings 184 14 >100% 396 ‐53% 88 75 +18% 73 +20% 193 180 +7% 193 +0%
Provisions (219) (187) +17% (143) +53% (51) (58) ‐12% (32) +60% (44) (77) ‐43% (60) ‐27%
Taxes 11 42 ‐74% (58) ‐ (4) (1) >100% (4) +16% (26) (8) >100% (27) ‐5%
Minorities & non‐cash charges (17) (15) +16% (19) ‐9% (0) 0 ‐ (0) ‐61% (2) (2) +26% (3) ‐19%
Attributable PAT (before one‐offs) (40) (145) ‐72% 176 ‐ 32 15 >100% 37 ‐13% 122 93 +32% 103 +18%
Windfall tax
Windfall tax (93)
(93) (49)
(49) +90% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Attributable PAT (133) (194) ‐31% 176 ‐ 32 15 >100% 37 ‐13% 122 93 +32% 103 +18%
Investment & Trading Securities 14 721 15 111 ‐3% 13 242 +11% 584 557 +5% 360 +62% 2 589 3 120 ‐17% 2 232 +16%
LaR Securities 8 898 7 212 +23% 8 668 +3% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Net Loans 49 397 49 131 +6% 46 644 +1% 8 574 8 721 ‐2% 8 915 ‐4% 12 413 11 281 +10% 10 238 +21%
Deposits 55 631 56 847 ‐2% 56 337 ‐1% 5 594 5 562 +1% 5 017 +12% 9 312 8 785 +6% 7 641 +22%
page 39
Appendix III National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
Finansbank: Summary Financials
Profit & Loss Account Summary Balance Sheet
TRY mn Q1 10
Q1.10 Q4 09
Q4.09 qoq% Q1 09
Q1.09 yoy% TRY mn
TRY mn Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy%
Net interest income 526 549 ‐4% 482 +9% Cash & reserves 1 788 1 829 ‐2% 2 395 ‐25%
Net fees 137 135 +1% 135 +1% Interbank placements 2 346 1 134 >100% 1 070 >100%
page 40
Appendix III National Bank of Greece | Q1.10 Results
SEE and Other International: P&L and key Balance Sheet items
SEE & International SEE
SEE Cyprus Other
€ mn Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy% Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy% Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy% Q1.10 Q4.09 qoq% Q1.09 yoy%
Net Interest Income 127 128 ‐1% 117 +9% 115 117 ‐2% 105 +9% 10 10 +1% 10 +1% 2 2 +5% 2 +13%
Net fees 24 26 ‐6% 22 +10% 22 23 ‐6% 20 +10% 1 1 ‐20% 1 +4% 1 1 ‐0% 1 +28%
Trading & other income 12 4 >100% 9 +34% 11 3 >100% 6 +77% 1 1 ‐10% 1 ‐14% 0 1 ‐52% 2 ‐85%
Income 162 158 +3% 147 +10% 148 144 +3% 131 +13% 11 12 ‐2% 11 +1% 3 3 ‐7% 4 ‐28%
Personnel expenses (35) (34) +4% (36) ‐1% (28) (27) +3% (30) ‐5% (5) (4) +20% (5) +12% (2) (2) ‐17% (1) +44%
G&As (30) (34) ‐13% (30) ‐2% (27) (31) ‐13% (28) ‐5% (1) (2) ‐25% (1) +21% (1) (1) ‐7% (1) +39%
Depreciation (9) (9) ‐4% (8) +14% (8) (9) ‐6% (7) +11% (0) (0) +45% (0) +53% (0) (0) +14% (0) +79%
VRS & performance pay
VRS & performance pay (0) (6) ‐91% ‐ ‐ (0) (5) ‐94% 0 ‐ 0 (0) ‐76% 0 ‐13% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Operating Expenses (74) (83) ‐10% (74) +1% (64) (72) ‐12% (65) ‐2% (7) (7) +6% (6) +15% (4) (4) ‐5% (2) +51%
Pre‐provision earnings 88 75 +18% 73 +20% 84 71 +18% 66 +27% 4 5 ‐13% 5 ‐16% (1) (1) +2% 2 n/a
Provisions (51) (58) ‐12% (32) +60% (49) (52) ‐6% (29) +69% (2) (6) ‐64% (3) ‐32% (0) (0) >100% 0 ‐
AFS & LaR recycling 0 (0) ‐100% 0 ‐ 0 (0) ‐100% 0 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Taxes (4) (1) >100% (4) +16% (3) (0) >100% (4) ‐16% (1) (0) >100% (0) >100% 0 0 ‐ 0 ‐88%
Minorities &non‐cash charge (0) 0 n/a (0) ‐61% (0) 0 ‐ (0) ‐61% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Attributable PAT 32 15 >100% 37 ‐13% 32 18 +76% 33 ‐3% 1 (2) n/a 2 ‐55% (1) (1) +4% 2 n/a
Net Loans 8 574 8 721 ‐2% 8 915 ‐4% 7 432 7 560 ‐2% 7 892 ‐6% 973 1 009 ‐4% 916 +6% 169 152 +11% 107 +58%
Customer Deposits 5 594 5 562 +1% 5 017 +12% 4 711 4 715 ‐0% 4 234 +11% 699 680 +3% 661 +6% 184 167 +10% 123 +50%
page 41
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Contact details
Contact details
Anthimos Thomopoulos Paul Mylonas
CFO / COO Chief Economist – Chief of Strategy
+30210 3343 921 +30210 3341 521
athom@nbg.gr pmylonas@nbg.gr
Gregory Papagrigoris
Investor Relations Manager
+30210 3342 310
+30210 3342 310
papagrigoris.gr@nbg.gr